Some say climate change is the biggest threat of our age while others say it’s a myth based on dodgy science. We are turning some of the data over to you so you can form your own view.

Even more than with other data sets that Kaggle has featured, there’s a huge amount of data cleaning and preparation that goes into putting together a long-time study of climate trends. Early data was collected by technicians using mercury thermometers, where any variation in the visit time impacted measurements. In the 1940s, the construction of airports caused many weather stations to be moved. In the 1980s, there was a move to electronic thermometers that are said to have a cooling bias.

Given this complexity, there are a range of organizations that collate climate trends data. The three most cited land and ocean temperature data sets are NOAA’s MLOST, NASA’s GISTEMP and the UK’s HadCrut.

We have repackaged the data from a newer compilation put together by the Berkeley Earth, which is affiliated with Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. The Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature Study combines 1.6 billion temperature reports from 16 pre-existing archives. It is nicely packaged and allows for slicing into interesting subsets (for example by country). They publish the source data and the code for the transformations they applied. They also use methods that allow weather observations from shorter time series to be included, meaning fewer observations need to be thrown away.

In this dataset, we have include several files:

Global Land and Ocean-and-Land Temperatures (GlobalTemperatures.csv):

• Date: starts in 1750 for average land temperature and 1850 for max and min land temperatures and global ocean and land temperatures
• LandAverageTemperature: global average land temperature in celsius
• LandAverageTemperatureUncertainty: the 95% confidence interval around the average
• LandMaxTemperature: global average maximum land temperature in celsius
• LandMaxTemperatureUncertainty: the 95% confidence interval around the maximum land temperature
• LandMinTemperature: global average minimum land temperature in celsius
• LandMinTemperatureUncertainty: the 95% confidence interval around the minimum land temperature
• LandAndOceanAverageTemperature: global average land and ocean temperature in celsius
• LandAndOceanAverageTemperatureUncertainty: the 95% confidence interval around the global average land and ocean temperature

Other files include:

• Global Average Land Temperature by Country (GlobalLandTemperaturesByCountry.csv)
• Global Average Land Temperature by State (GlobalLandTemperaturesByState.csv)
• Global Land Temperatures By Major City (GlobalLandTemperaturesByMajorCity.csv)
• Global Land Temperatures By City (GlobalLandTemperaturesByCity.csv)

The raw data comes from the Berkeley Earth data page.

The table Global Temperatures by Major City is part of the dataset Climate Change: Earth Surface Temperature Data, available at https://columbia.redivis.com/datasets/1e0a-f4931vvyg. It contains 239177 rows across 7 variables.

Since 1880, the annual global land temperature anomaly has fluctuated, showing an overall upward tendency. In 2024, the global land surface temperature stood at 1.98 degrees Celsius above the global average between 1901 to 2000. This was the highest annual temperature anomaly recorded during the period in consideration. Anomalies in global ocean surface temperature followed a similar trend over the same period of time. Man-made change The Earth's temperature increases naturally over time as the planet goes through cyclic changes. However, the scientific community has concluded that human interference, particularly deforestation and the consumption of fossil fuels, has acted as a catalyst in recent centuries. Increases in the unprecedented number of natural disasters in the past few decades, such as tropical cyclones, wildfires and heatwaves, have been attributed to this slight man-made increase in the Earth's surface temperature. End of an ice age? Although a one- or two-degree anomaly may not seem like a large difference, changes in the ocean and land temperatures have significant consequences for the entire planet. A five-degree drop triggered the last major ice age – the Quaternary Glaciation – over 20,000 years ago, which technically is still continuing today. This ice age is in its final interglacial period, and it will not officially end until the remnants of the final ice sheets melt, of which there are only two left today, in Antarctica and Greenland.

The table Global Temperatures by Country is part of the dataset Climate Change: Earth Surface Temperature Data, available at https://columbia.redivis.com/datasets/1e0a-f4931vvyg. It contains 577462 rows across 4 variables.

Since the 1980s, the annual temperature departure from the average has been consistently positive. In 2024, the global land and ocean surface temperature anomaly stood at 1.29 degrees Celsius above the 20th-century average, the largest recorded across the displayed period. What are temperature anomalies? Temperature anomalies represent the difference from an average or baseline temperature. Positive anomalies show that the observed temperature was warmer than the baseline, whereas a negative anomaly indicates that the observed temperature was lower than the baseline. Land surface temperature anomalies are generally higher than ocean anomalies, although the exact reasons behind this phenomenon are still under debate. Temperature anomalies are generally more important in the study of climate change than absolute temperature, as they are less affected by factors such as station location and elevation. A warming planet The warmest years have been recorded over the past decade, with the highest anomaly in 2024. Global warming has been greatly driven by increased emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. Climate change is also evident in the declining extent of sea ice in the Northern Hemisphere. Weather dynamics can affect regional temperatures, and therefore, the level of warming can vary around the world. For instance, warming trends and ice loss are most obvious in the Arctic region compared to Antarctica.

The NOAA Global Surface Temperature Dataset (NOAAGlobalTemp) is a blended product from two independent analysis products: the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) analysis and the land surface temperature (LST) analysis using the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) temperature database. The data is merged into a monthly global surface temperature dataset dating back from 1850 to the present. The monthly product output is in gridded (5 degree x 5 degree) and time series formats. The product is used in climate monitoring assessments of near-surface temperatures on a global scale. Changes to the data in version 5.1 included: removing the EOT filtering; filling in data gaps over the polar regions; and extending the beginning data coverage from 1880 to 1850.

What does the data show?

This data shows the monthly averages of surface temperature (°C) for 2040-2069 using a combination of the CRU TS (v. 4.06) and UKCP18 global RCP2.6 datasets. The RCP2.6 scenario is an aggressive mitigation scenario where greenhouse gas emissions are strongly reduced.

The data combines a baseline (1981-2010) value from CRU TS (v. 4.06) with an anomaly from UKCP18 global. Where the anomaly is the change in temperature at 2040-2069 relative to 1981-2010.

The data is provided on the WGS84 grid which measures approximately 60km x 60km (latitude x longitude) at the equator.

Limitations of the data

We recommend the use of multiple grid cells or an average of grid cells around a point of interest to help users get a sense of the variability in the area. This will provide a more robust set of values for informing decisions based on the data.

What are the naming conventions and how do I explore the data?

This data contains a field for each month’s average over the period. They are named 'tas' (temperature at surface), the month and ‘upper’ ‘median’ or ‘lower’. E.g. ‘tas Mar Lower’ is the average of the daily average temperatures in March throughout 2040-2069, in the second lowest ensemble member.

To understand how to explore the data, see this page: https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/457e7a2bc73e40b089fac0e47c63a578

Please note, if viewing in ArcGIS Map Viewer, the map will default to ‘tas Jan Median’ values.

What do the ‘median’, ‘upper’, and ‘lower’ values mean?

Climate models are numerical representations of the climate system. To capture uncertainty in projections for the future, an ensemble, or group, of climate models are run. Each ensemble member has slightly different starting conditions or model set-ups. Considering all of the model outcomes gives users a range of plausible conditions which could occur in the future.

To select which ensemble members to use, the monthly averages of surface temperature for the period 2040-2069 were calculated for each ensemble member and they were then ranked in order from lowest to highest for each location.

The ‘lower’ fields are the second lowest ranked ensemble member. The ‘upper’ fields are the second highest ranked ensemble member. The ‘median’ field is the central value of the ensemble.

This gives a median value, and a spread of the ensemble members indicating the range of possible outcomes in the projections. This spread of outputs can be used to infer the uncertainty in the projections. The larger the difference between the lower and upper fields, the greater the uncertainty.

Data source

CRU TS v. 4.06 - (downloaded 12/07/22)

UKCP18 v.20200110 (downloaded 17/08/22)

Useful links

Further information on CRU TS Further information on the UK Climate Projections (UKCP) Further information on understanding climate data within the Met Office Climate Data Portal

This version has been superseded by a newer version. It is highly recommended for users to access the current version. Users should only access this superseded version for special cases, such as reproducing studies. If necessary, this version can be accessed by contacting NCEI. The NOAA Global Surface Temperature Dataset (NOAAGlobalTemp) is a blended product from two independent analysis products: the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) analysis and the land surface temperature (LST) analysis using the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) temperature database. The data is merged into a monthly global surface temperature dataset dating back from 1880 to the present. The monthly product output is in gridded (5 degree x 5 degree) and time series formats. The product is used in climate monitoring assessments of near-surface temperatures on a global scale. The changes from version 4 to version 5 include an update to the primary input datasets: ERSST version 5 (updated from v4), and GHCN-M version 4 (updated from v3.3.3). Version 5 updates also include a new netCDF file format with CF conventions. This dataset is formerly known as Merged Land-Ocean Surface Temperature (MLOST).

Based on policies and actions in place as of November 2024, the global temperature increase is estimated to reach a median of 2.7 degrees Celsius in 2100. In the best-case scenario, where all announced net-zero targets, long-term targets, and Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) are fully implemented, the global temperature is still expected to rise by 1.9 degrees Celsius, when compared to the pre-industrial average. In 2015, Paris Agreement parties pledged to limit global warming to well below two degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, with the aim of reaching a maximum of 1.5 degrees. As of 2024, a warming of 1.3 degrees above the pre-industrial average was recorded.

What does the data show?

This data shows the monthly averages of surface temperature (°C) for 1981-2010 from CRU TS (v. 4.06) dataset. It is provided on the WGS84 grid which measures approximately 60km x 60km (latitude x longitude) at the equator. This is the same as the 60km grid used by UKCP18 global datasets.

What are the naming conventions and how do I explore the data?

This data contains a field for each month’s average over the period. They are named 'tas' (temperature at surface) and the month. E.g. ‘tas March’ is the average of the daily average surface air temperatures in March throughout 1981-2010.

To understand how to explore the data, see this page: https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/457e7a2bc73e40b089fac0e47c63a578

Please note, if viewing in ArcGIS Map Viewer, the map will default to ‘tas January’ values.

Data source

CRU TS v. 4.06 - (downloaded 12/07/22)

Useful links

Further information on CRU TS Further information on understanding climate data within the Met Office Climate Data Portal

The mean annual temperature in North America stood at -4.5 degrees Celsius in 1995. It is expected that, 30 years later in 2025, the average temperature will increase by 1.6 degrees Celsius due to the effects of global warming, under a scenario where global temperatures increase by 1.5 degree Celsius.

This web map is part of SDGs Today. Please see sdgstoday.orgTemperature on Earth varies significantly each day. With each passing day, a pattern emerges: the planet is getting warmer. While the global average temperature has increased by approximately 1.2 degrees Celsius since 1880, the past 45 years have accounted for two-thirds of that increase. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), and the UK Meteorological Office (UK Met) have used detailed station data going back to the 1800s to analyze these changes and have all confirmed the warming of our planet. Each day via satellites and weather balloons, tens of thousands of temperature observations are captured across the globe, on land, and at sea. Land stations use these daily readings to create a monthly average, which is then sent for use by climate researchers. Individual ship and buoy observations are transmitted on the Global Telecommunication System, which is managed by the World Meteorological Association. These figures are then used to calculate the global average temperature. To learn more, visit the NOAA, NASA, and UK Met websites.

The NOAA Global Surface Temperature Dataset (NOAAGlobalTemp) is a monthly global merged land-ocean surface temperature analysis product that is derived from two independent analyses. The first is the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) analysis and the second is a land surface air temperature (LSAT) analysis that uses the Global Historical Climatology Network - Monthly (GHCN-M) temperature database. The NOAAGlobalTemp data set contains global surface temperatures in gridded (5° × 5°) and monthly resolution time series (from 1850 to present time) data files. The product is used in climate monitoring assessments of near-surface temperatures on a global scale. This version, v6.0, an updated version to the current operational release v5.1, is implemented by an Artificial Neural Network method to improve the surface temperature reconstruction over the land.

Measurements of surface air and ocean temperature are compiled from around the world each month by NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information and are analyzed and compared to the 1971-2000 average temperature for each location. The resulting temperature anomaly (or difference from the average) is shown in this feature service, which includes an archive going back to 1880. The mean of the 12 months each year is displayed here. Each annual update is available around the 15th of the following January (e.g., 2020 is available Jan 15th, 2021). The NOAAGlobalTemp dataset is the official U.S. long-term record of global temperature data and is often used to show trends in temperature change around the world. It combines thousands of land-based station measurements from the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) along with surface ocean temperature from the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) analysis. These two datasets are merged into a 5-degree resolution product. A report summary report by NOAA NCEI is available here. GHCN monthly mean station averages for temperature and precipitation for the 1981-2010 period are also available in Living Atlas here.What can you do with this layer? Visualization: This layer can be used to plot areas where temperature was higher or lower than the historical average for each year since 1880. Be sure to configure the time settings in your web map to view the timeseries correctly. Analysis: This layer can be used as an input to a variety of geoprocessing tools, such as Space Time Cubes and other trend analyses. For a more detailed temporal analysis, a monthly mean is available here.

Data are sourced from Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC). Four different series are provided: Global Annual Temperature Anomalies (Land) 1880-2014, Global Annual Temperature Anomalies (Land and Ocean) 1880-2014, Hemispheric Temperature Anomalies (Land+ Ocean) 1880-2014 and Annual Temperature anomalies (Land + Ocean) for three latitude bands that cover 30%, 40% and 30% of the global area, respectively, 1900-2014.

In 2024, the global ocean surface temperature was 0.97 degrees Celsius warmer than the 20th-century average. Oceans are responsible for absorbing over 90 percent of the Earth's excess heat from global warming. Departures from average conditions are called anomalies, and temperature anomalies result from recurring weather patterns or longer-term climate change. While the extent of these temperature anomalies fluctuates annually, an upward trend has been observed over the past several decades. Effects of climate change Since the 1980s, every region of the world has consistently recorded increases in average temperatures. These trends coincide with significant growth in the global carbon dioxide emissions, greenhouse gas, and a driver of climate change. As temperatures rise, notable decreases in the extent of arctic sea ice have been recorded. Outlook An increase in emissions from the use of fossil fuels is projected for the coming decades. Nevertheless, global investments in clean energy have increased dramatically since the early 2000s.

This datasets contains 3 csv files. This are – 1) GlobalTemperatures.csv 2) GlobalLandTemperaturesByCountry.csv 3) GlobalLandTemperaturesByState.csv

The GlobalTemperatures.csv contains : • Date: starts in 1750 for average land temperature and 1850 for max and min land temperatures and global ocean and land temperatures • LandAverageTemperature: global average land temperature in celsius • LandAverageTemperatureUncertainty: the 95% confidence interval around the average • LandMaxTemperature: global average maximum land temperature in celsius • LandMaxTemperatureUncertainty: the 95% confidence interval around the maximum land temperature • LandMinTemperature: global average minimum land temperature in celsius • LandMinTemperatureUncertainty: the 95% confidence interval around the minimum land temperature • LandAndOceanAverageTemperature: global average land and ocean temperature in celsius • LandAndOceanAverageTemperatureUncertainty: the 95% confidence interval around the global average land and ocean temperature

We just take Date and LandAverageTemperature for our analysis. The GlobalTemperaturesByCountry.csv contains : • Date : Same as Date column of GlobalTemperatures.csv. • AverageTemperature : Same as LandAverageTemperature column of GlobalTemperatures.csv. • Country : Name of countries from which the data contains.

The GlobalTemperaturesByCountry.csv contains : • Date : Same as Date column of GlobalTemperatures.csv. • AverageTemperature : Same as LandAverageTemperature column of GlobalTemperatures.csv. • Country : Name of countries from which the data contains. • State: Name of state from which the data contains.

This archive contains Thermal Emission Spectrometer (TES) 25-micron global surface temperature data, collected during the ANS portion of the Mars Global Surveyor (MGS) orbit, displayed as GIF images.

The problem being investigated involves analyzing global land temperature changes for major cities as well as globally. This topic was chosen as it is representative of the international issue of global warming. The severity of the issue is reflected in The Paris Agreement, which is a legally binding treaty with the goal of limiting global warming to the target rate of 1.5°C (degrees Celsius), or at least 2°C within this century (United Nations, 2021). Global warming has been linked to intensification of extreme weather phenomena, which lead to fatalities, environmental damage, community devastation, and financial costs. For example, extreme heat can lead to drought, wildfires, and create the urban heat island effect (Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, 2018). The temperature of the ocean will be explored as well as this factor is significant since theoretically, changes in the ocean would take longer – which in turn provides clarity on the severity of climate change.

This dataset provides high-resolution gridded temperature and precipitation observations from a selection of sources. Additionally the dataset contains daily global average near-surface temperature anomalies. All fields are defined on either daily or monthly frequency. The datasets are regularly updated to incorporate recent observations. The included data sources are commonly known as GISTEMP, Berkeley Earth, CPC and CPC-CONUS, CHIRPS, IMERG, CMORPH, GPCC and CRU, where the abbreviations are explained below. These data have been constructed from high-quality analyses of meteorological station series and rain gauges around the world, and as such provide a reliable source for the analysis of weather extremes and climate trends. The regular update cycle makes these data suitable for a rapid study of recently occurred phenomena or events. The NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies temperature analysis dataset (GISTEMP-v4) combines station data of the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) with the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) to construct a global temperature change estimate. The Berkeley Earth Foundation dataset (BERKEARTH) merges temperature records from 16 archives into a single coherent dataset. The NOAA Climate Prediction Center datasets (CPC and CPC-CONUS) define a suite of unified precipitation products with consistent quantity and improved quality by combining all information sources available at CPC and by taking advantage of the optimal interpolation (OI) objective analysis technique. The Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station dataset (CHIRPS-v2) incorporates 0.05° resolution satellite imagery and in-situ station data to create gridded rainfall time series over the African continent, suitable for trend analysis and seasonal drought monitoring. The Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals dataset (IMERG) by NASA uses an algorithm to intercalibrate, merge, and interpolate “all'' satellite microwave precipitation estimates, together with microwave-calibrated infrared (IR) satellite estimates, precipitation gauge analyses, and potentially other precipitation estimators over the entire globe at fine time and space scales for the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) and its successor, Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) satellite-based precipitation products. The Climate Prediction Center morphing technique dataset (CMORPH) by NOAA has been created using precipitation estimates that have been derived from low orbiter satellite microwave observations exclusively. Then, geostationary IR data are used as a means to transport the microwave-derived precipitation features during periods when microwave data are not available at a location. The Global Precipitation Climatology Centre dataset (GPCC) is a centennial product of monthly global land-surface precipitation based on the ~80,000 stations world-wide that feature record durations of 10 years or longer. The data coverage per month varies from ~6,000 (before 1900) to more than 50,000 stations. The Climatic Research Unit dataset (CRU v4) features an improved interpolation process, which delivers full traceability back to station measurements. The station measurements of temperature and precipitation are public, as well as the gridded dataset and national averages for each country. Cross-validation was performed at a station level, and the results have been published as a guide to the accuracy of the interpolation. This catalogue entry complements the E-OBS record in many aspects, as it intends to provide high-resolution gridded meteorological observations at a global rather than continental scale. These data may be suitable as a baseline for model comparisons or extreme event analysis in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 dataset.