Gold rose to 3,294.43 USD/t.oz on July 31, 2025, up 0.60% from the previous day. Over the past month, Gold's price has fallen 1.31%, but it is still 34.70% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Gold - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Dataset Card for Sentiment Analysis of Commodity News (Gold)

This is a news dataset for the commodity market which has been manually annotated for 10,000+ news headlines across multiple dimensions into various classes. The dataset has been sampled from a period of 20+ years (2000-2021). The dataset was curated by Ankur Sinha and Tanmay Khandait and is detailed in their paper "Impact of News on the Commodity Market: Dataset and Results." It is currently published by the authors on… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/SaguaroCapital/sentiment-analysis-in-commodity-market-gold.

As of June 25, 2024, gold futures contracts to be settled in June 2030 were trading on U.S. markets at around ***** U.S. dollars per troy ounce. This is above the price of ******* U.S. dollars per troy ounce for contracts to be settled in June 2025, indicating that gold traders expect the price of gold to rise over the next five years. Gold futures are contracts that effectively lock in a price for an amount of gold to be purchased at a time in the future, which can then be traded on markets. Futures markets therefore provide an indicator of how investors think a commodities market will develop in the future.

China Commodity Trading Market over 100 M Yuan: Turnover: Retail: Gold, Jeweller, Jade Market data was reported at 2.965 RMB bn in 2023. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.631 RMB bn for 2022. China Commodity Trading Market over 100 M Yuan: Turnover: Retail: Gold, Jeweller, Jade Market data is updated yearly, averaging 4.601 RMB bn from Dec 2008 (Median) to 2023, with 16 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.689 RMB bn in 2019 and a record low of 1.717 RMB bn in 2009. China Commodity Trading Market over 100 M Yuan: Turnover: Retail: Gold, Jeweller, Jade Market data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Bureau of Statistics. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Wholesale, Retail and Catering Sector – Table CN.RJA: Commodity Trading Market over 100 Million Yuan: Turnover: Retail.

As of the end of April 2024, boerse.de Gold was the best-performing gold exchange-traded commodity (ETC) worldwide. EUWAX Gold followed closely behind in second place, providing an annual return of ***** percent by the month of April.

Analysis of ‘Sentiment Analysis of Commodity News (Gold)’ provided by Analyst-2 (analyst-2.ai), based on source dataset retrieved from https://www.kaggle.com/ankurzing/sentiment-analysis-in-commodity-market-gold on 14 February 2022.

--- Dataset description provided by original source is as follows ---

Context

This is a news dataset for the commodity market where we have manually annotated 11,412 news headlines across multiple dimensions into various classes. The dataset has been sampled from a period of 20+ years (2000-2021).

Content

The dataset has been collected from various news sources and annotated by three human annotators who were subject experts. Each news headline was evaluated on various dimensions, for instance - if a headline is a price related news then what is the direction of price movements it is talking about; whether the news headline is talking about the past or future; whether the news item is talking about asset comparison; etc.

Acknowledgements

Sinha, Ankur, and Tanmay Khandait. "Impact of News on the Commodity Market: Dataset and Results." In Future of Information and Communication Conference, pp. 589-601. Springer, Cham, 2021.

https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.04202 Sinha, Ankur, and Tanmay Khandait. "Impact of News on the Commodity Market: Dataset and Results." arXiv preprint arXiv:2009.04202 (2020)

We would like to acknowledge the financial support provided by the India Gold Policy Centre (IGPC).

Inspiration

Commodity prices are known to be quite volatile. Machine learning models that understand the commodity news well, will be able to provide an additional input to the short-term and long-term price forecasting models. The dataset will also be useful in creating news-based indicators for commodities.

Apart from researchers and practitioners working in the area of news analytics for commodities, the dataset will also be useful for researchers looking to evaluate their models on classification problems in the context of text-analytics. Some of the classes in the dataset are highly imbalanced and may pose challenges to the machine learning algorithms.

--- Original source retains full ownership of the source dataset ---

China Commodity Trading Market over 100 M Yuan: Number of Booth by Category: Gold, Silver and Jewellery data was reported at 27,519.000 Unit in 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 25,194.000 Unit for 2022. China Commodity Trading Market over 100 M Yuan: Number of Booth by Category: Gold, Silver and Jewellery data is updated yearly, averaging 24,582.500 Unit from Dec 2008 (Median) to 2023, with 16 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 33,707.000 Unit in 2019 and a record low of 9,428.000 Unit in 2008. China Commodity Trading Market over 100 M Yuan: Number of Booth by Category: Gold, Silver and Jewellery data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Bureau of Statistics. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Wholesale, Retail and Catering Sector – Table CN.RJA: Commodity Trading Market over 100 Million Yuan: Number of Booth by Category.

GSCI fell to 553.99 Index Points on July 31, 2025, down 0.76% from the previous day. Over the past month, GSCI's price has risen 1.80%, and is up 1.77% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. GSCI Commodity Index - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Gold: A Brighter Future Ahead?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Silver fell to 37.14 USD/t.oz on July 30, 2025, down 2.81% from the previous day. Over the past month, Silver's price has risen 3.07%, and is up 27.86% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Silver - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

In 2024, the rate of return on gold was 26.62 percent, making gold the leading commodity based on return rate in that year. Natural resources, like any other investment, exhibit a wide range of fluctuations over time.

China Commodity Trading Market over 100 M Yuan: Operating Area: Gold, Jeweller, Jade Market data was reported at 1,864.003 sq m th in 2023. This records a decrease from the previous number of 1,911.003 sq m th for 2022. China Commodity Trading Market over 100 M Yuan: Operating Area: Gold, Jeweller, Jade Market data is updated yearly, averaging 1,904.001 sq m th from Dec 2008 (Median) to 2023, with 16 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2,556.300 sq m th in 2017 and a record low of 497.300 sq m th in 2008. China Commodity Trading Market over 100 M Yuan: Operating Area: Gold, Jeweller, Jade Market data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Bureau of Statistics. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Wholesale, Retail and Catering Sector – Table CN.RJA: Commodity Trading Market over 100 Million Yuan: Operating Area.

CRB Index rose to 377.14 Index Points on July 29, 2025, up 0.83% from the previous day. Over the past month, CRB Index's price has risen 3.27%, and is up 16.45% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. CRB Commodity Index - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Commodity Index Funds Market Outlook

The global commodity index funds market size was valued at approximately $200 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach nearly $400 billion by 2032, growing at a robust CAGR of 7.5% during the forecast period. The significant growth in this market can be attributed to the increasing demand for diversification in investment portfolios and the inherent benefits of hedging against inflation that commodity investments provide. Furthermore, the volatility in global stock markets and geopolitical uncertainties have led investors to seek safer, more stable investment avenues, thus driving the growth of commodity index funds.

One of the primary growth factors propelling the commodity index funds market is the rising awareness among investors about the advantages of commodity investments as a hedge against inflation. Commodities, unlike stocks and bonds, often move inversely to the stock market, providing a cushion during market downturns. This characteristic makes commodity index funds an attractive option for risk-averse investors and those looking to balance their portfolios. Additionally, the globalization of trade and the increasing demand for raw materials in emerging markets have further spurred the demand for commodity investments.

Technological advancements in trading platforms have also significantly contributed to the growth of this market. The advent of sophisticated online platforms has made it easier for retail investors to access and invest in commodity index funds. These platforms offer a range of tools and resources that help investors make informed decisions, thereby democratizing access to commodity investments. Moreover, the rise of robo-advisors and algorithm-based trading strategies has further simplified the investment process, attracting a new generation of tech-savvy investors.

The regulatory landscape has also played a crucial role in shaping the commodity index funds market. Governments and financial regulatory bodies across the globe have been working to create a transparent and secure trading environment. Regulatory reforms aimed at reducing market manipulation and increasing transparency have instilled confidence among investors, thereby boosting the market. Additionally, tax incentives and favorable policies for commodity investments in various countries have also contributed to market growth.

In terms of regional outlook, North America holds a significant share of the global commodity index funds market, followed by Europe and Asia Pacific. The presence of well-established financial markets and a high level of investor awareness in North America are key factors driving the market in this region. Europe, with its strong regulatory framework and increasing adoption of alternative investment strategies, is also witnessing substantial growth. Meanwhile, the Asia Pacific region is emerging as a lucrative market, driven by the rapid economic growth in countries like China and India, and the increasing interest in commodity investments among institutional and retail investors.

Fund Type Analysis

When analyzing the market by fund type, Broad Commodity Index Funds dominate the landscape. These funds invest in a diversified portfolio of commodities, making them a popular choice for investors seeking broad exposure to the commodity markets. The broad commodity index funds are designed to track the performance of a basket of commodities, ranging from energy products to metals and agricultural goods. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with the volatility of individual commodities, thereby providing a more stable investment option for risk-averse investors.

Single Commodity Index Funds, on the other hand, focus on specific commodities such as gold, oil, or agricultural products. These funds appeal to investors who have a strong conviction about the performance of a particular commodity. For instance, during periods of economic uncertainty, gold-focused funds often see a surge in demand as investors flock to the safe-haven asset. Similarly, energy-focused funds attract investors when there are disruptions in oil supply or significant geopolitical events affecting oil prices. While these funds offer the potential for high returns, they also come with higher risks due to their lack of diversification.

Sector Commodity Index Funds are another important segment within the commodity index funds market. These funds concentrate on commodities within a specific sector, such as energy, agriculture, or metals, allowing investors to target particular segments of the commo

The global commodities trading services market is a dynamic and substantial sector, exhibiting significant growth potential over the next decade. While precise figures for market size and CAGR are unavailable, a reasonable estimate, considering the involvement of major players like Vitol, Glencore, and Cargill, places the 2025 market size at approximately $5 trillion, reflecting the vast scale of global commodity transactions. This market is driven by increasing global demand for raw materials, fluctuating energy prices, and the need for efficient supply chain management across diverse sectors, including agriculture, energy, and metals. The market is further shaped by evolving geopolitical landscapes, technological advancements (e.g., blockchain for enhanced transparency and traceability), and increasing regulatory scrutiny. Key trends include the rise of sustainable and ethical sourcing practices, growing digitalization of trading platforms, and a focus on risk management strategies to navigate market volatility. However, challenges remain, including geopolitical instability impacting supply chains, volatile commodity prices, and the need for continuous adaptation to changing environmental regulations. Segmentation within the commodities trading services market is complex, encompassing various commodity types (energy, agricultural products, metals, etc.), trading strategies (physical trading, derivatives, etc.), and geographical regions. The dominant players, including those listed (Vitol, Glencore, Trafigura, etc.), leverage their established networks, financial strength, and expertise to maintain market leadership. However, emerging players and technological innovations are continuously reshaping the competitive landscape. The forecast period of 2025-2033 anticipates consistent market expansion, driven by factors mentioned above, although the precise CAGR will depend on global economic conditions and geopolitical factors. Strategic partnerships, mergers and acquisitions, and technological investments will be critical for players seeking sustained growth and profitability in this dynamic marketplace.

Context

Gold, the yellow shiny metal, has been the fancy of mankind since ages. From making jewelry to being used as an investment, gold covers a huge spectrum of use cases. Gold, like other metals, is also traded on the commodities indexes across the world. For better understanding time series in a real-world scenario, we will work with gold prices collected historically and predict its future value.

Content

Metals such as gold have been traded for years across the world. Prices of gold are determined and used for trading the metal on commodity exchanges on a daily basis using a variety of factors. Using this daily price-level information only, our task is to predict future price of gold.

Data

For the purpose of implementing time series forecasting technique , i will utilize gold pricing from Quandl. Quandl is a platform for financial, economic, and alternative datasets. To access publicly shared datasets on Quandl, we can use the pandas-datareader library as well as quandl (library from Quandl itself). The following snippet shows a quick one-liner to get your hands on gold pricing information since 1970s.

import quandl gold_df = quandl.get("BUNDESBANK/BBK01_WT5511")

The time series is univariate with date and time feature

Starter Kernel(s)

-Start with Fundamentals: TSA & Box-Jenkins Methods

This notebook is an overview of TSA and traditional methods

Acknowledgements

For this dataset and tasks, i will depend upon Quandl. The premier source for financial, economic, and alternative datasets, serving investment professionals. Quandl’s platform is used by over 400,000 people, including analysts from the world’s top hedge funds, asset managers and investment banks.

Inspiration

• Forecast gold price

*If you find the data useful your upvote is an explicit feedback for future works, Have fun exploring data!*

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MORE DATASETs ...

Gold prices in , June, 2025 For that commodity indicator, we provide data from January 1960 to June 2025. The average value during that period was 600.07 USD per troy ounce with a minimum of 34.94 USD per troy ounce in January 1970 and a maximum of 3352.66 USD per troy ounce in June 2025. | TheGlobalEconomy.com

The commodity prices displayed in Trading Economics are based on over-the-counter (OTC) and contract for difference (CFD) financial instruments. Our market prices are intended to provide you with a reference only, rather than as a basis for making trading decisions. Trading Economics does not verify any data and disclaims any obligation to do so. This dataset provides a table with prices for several commodities including the latest price for the nearby futures contract, yesterday close, plus weekly, monthly and yearly percentage changes. This dataset provides a table with prices for several commodities including the latest price for the nearby futures contract, yesterday close, plus weekly, monthly and yearly percentage changes.

The global precious metal trading platform market is experiencing robust growth, driven by increasing investor interest in gold, silver, platinum, and palladium as safe-haven assets and diversification tools. The market size in 2025 is estimated at $15 billion, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8% from 2025 to 2033. This growth is fueled by several key factors. Technological advancements, including the rise of mobile trading apps and sophisticated charting tools, are making precious metal trading more accessible to a wider range of investors. Furthermore, the increasing volatility in global financial markets is prompting investors to seek refuge in precious metals, bolstering demand for platforms facilitating their trading. Regulatory changes aiming to improve market transparency and investor protection are also indirectly supporting market expansion. However, challenges remain, including potential regulatory hurdles in specific regions and the inherent risks associated with volatile commodity markets. The market is segmented by platform type (web-based, mobile-based), trading style (spot, futures, options), and investor type (retail, institutional). Key players like GAIN Global Markets Inc., AxiTrader Limited, LMAX Global, IG Group, and CMC Markets are vying for market share through innovation, strategic partnerships, and expansion into new geographic markets. Competition is intense, forcing providers to continuously enhance their offerings and improve customer experience to retain a competitive edge. The forecast period of 2025-2033 presents significant opportunities for expansion, particularly in emerging markets with growing retail investor bases. The continued growth of the precious metal trading platform market is projected to be influenced by several ongoing trends. The increasing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) for algorithmic trading and risk management is expected to further enhance the efficiency and sophistication of trading platforms. The integration of blockchain technology for improved security and transparency is also gaining traction. However, potential restraints include cybersecurity threats, the need for robust compliance frameworks, and the ongoing evolution of investor preferences which necessitate platform adaptation. The expanding availability of educational resources and improved investor awareness about precious metals trading is expected to positively impact market growth. Furthermore, strategic mergers and acquisitions within the industry are likely to reshape the competitive landscape. Geographic expansion into underpenetrated regions, coupled with the development of tailored products to meet the specific needs of diverse investor segments, will be crucial for achieving sustained growth in the coming years.

Commodity Services Market Outlook

In 2023, the global commodity services market size was valued at approximately USD 12 billion and is projected to reach USD 18 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 4.5% during the forecast period. The market's growth can be attributed to the increasing globalization of trade, advancements in technology, and heightened demand for risk management and advisory services in volatile markets. These factors are driving the market toward a sustainable growth trajectory.

The primary growth factor for the commodity services market is the growing need for risk management in the face of fluctuating commodity prices. As global markets become more interconnected, the volatility in commodity prices has escalated, necessitating advanced risk management tools and services. Companies across various sectors, including agriculture, energy, and metals, are increasingly leveraging these services to mitigate risks and ensure market stability. These risk management services cover a broad spectrum, from hedging strategies using futures and options to more complex financial instruments.

Another key driver is the technological advancements in commodity trading and brokerage services. The advent of sophisticated trading platforms and algorithms has revolutionized the commodity services market. These technologies enable faster transaction execution, enhanced data analytics, and improved market intelligence, thereby attracting more participants into the market. Furthermore, blockchain technology is being integrated for increased transparency and reduced fraud, which further boosts market confidence and participation.

The increasing demand for specialized research and advisory services also fuels the market's growth. With the complexity of global markets, businesses seek in-depth market analysis, trend forecasting, and strategic advice to make informed decisions. Research and advisory firms provide valuable insights into market dynamics, regulatory changes, and economic indicators, helping companies navigate the intricate landscape of commodity trading. This service segment is seeing robust growth as companies become more dependent on expert guidance to optimize their trading strategies.

Regionally, North America holds a significant share of the commodity services market, driven by its well-established financial markets and advanced technological infrastructure. The region's dominance is expected to continue, supported by the presence of major commodity exchanges and brokerage firms. Meanwhile, the Asia Pacific region is experiencing the fastest growth, primarily due to expanding industrial activities and increasing participation in global trade. The burgeoning economies of China and India, in particular, are key contributors to this regional growth, with their rising demand for various commodities.

Trading and Brokerage Analysis

The trading and brokerage segment is a cornerstone of the commodity services market, providing essential platforms and services for buying and selling various commodities. This segment has evolved significantly with the advent of electronic trading platforms that offer real-time market data, automated trading systems, and enhanced connectivity across global markets. These platforms have democratized access to commodity trading, allowing even small and medium-sized enterprises to participate actively.

In recent years, the role of brokerage firms has expanded beyond mere transaction facilitation to providing comprehensive market analysis, trading recommendations, and personalized investment strategies. Brokerage firms are now leveraging advanced analytics and big data to offer tailored solutions to their clients, enhancing their decision-making capabilities. This trend is particularly prominent in the energy and metals sectors, where market dynamics are highly complex and require specialized expertise.

Moreover, the integration of blockchain technology is poised to transform the trading and brokerage landscape. Blockchain offers unparalleled transparency and security, reducing the risk of fraud and ensuring the integrity of transactions. Several commodity exchanges and brokerage firms are already piloting blockchain-based platforms, which could set a new standard for the industry. This technological shift is expected to attract more institutional investors, further boosting market liquidity and stability.

The trading and brokerage segment also faces challenges, particularly in terms of regulatory compliance and cybersecurity. With increasi