This graph show how interest rates hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve affect gold's price. While gold underperforms during the period leading up to rate hikes, its performance improves during the year after the interest rates increase.

Gold Loan Market Outlook

The global gold loan market size was valued at approximately USD 140 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 260 billion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7%. This substantial growth is driven by factors such as increasing awareness and acceptance of gold loans, the rising price of gold, and the need for quick and easy financing solutions. Gold loans have become an increasingly popular financial instrument, especially in regions where gold holds cultural and economic significance.

One of the primary growth factors for the gold loan market is the rising price of gold. As gold prices increase, the value of collateral used in gold loans also rises, making it an attractive option for both lenders and borrowers. Additionally, economic uncertainties and volatile financial markets have led individuals and businesses to seek safer investment options, further enhancing the appeal of gold loans. This has driven significant growth in the market as more people turn to gold as a reliable asset for securing loans.

Another significant growth driver is the increasing awareness and acceptance of gold loans among various demographics. Traditionally, gold loans were more popular in rural areas, but over the past few years, there has been a noticeable shift in urban and semi-urban regions as well. Financial institutions and fintech companies have played a crucial role in educating consumers about the benefits of gold loans, including lower interest rates compared to other unsecured loans, quick disbursement, and minimal documentation requirements. This broader acceptance has contributed to the market's expansion.

Moreover, the technological advancements in the financial sector have streamlined the gold loan process, making it more accessible and convenient for borrowers. Online platforms and mobile applications have simplified the application and approval processes, reducing the time and effort required to obtain a gold loan. This technological integration has not only enhanced customer experience but also expanded the reach of gold loan services to a larger audience, including tech-savvy millennials and business owners seeking faster financing options.

Regionally, the Asia Pacific region dominates the gold loan market, largely due to the cultural significance of gold in countries like India and China. The region's market is expected to continue its dominance, driven by the increasing demand for gold loans from both individuals and businesses. In contrast, regions such as North America and Europe are witnessing moderate growth, primarily due to the rising acceptance and awareness of gold loans as viable financial instruments. The Middle East & Africa and Latin America regions are also showing promising potential, with increasing market penetration and strategic partnerships among financial institutions.

Type Analysis

The gold loan market can be segmented into two main types: short-term gold loans and long-term gold loans. Short-term gold loans are typically preferred by individuals and businesses seeking quick financing solutions to meet immediate financial needs. These loans usually have a repayment period ranging from a few days to a few months. The demand for short-term gold loans is driven by the need for fast cash flow, minimal documentation, and the ability to repay the loan within a short period. Moreover, the shorter repayment tenure reduces the risk for lenders, making it an attractive option for financial institutions.

On the other hand, long-term gold loans are aimed at borrowers who require a more extended repayment period, typically ranging from one year to several years. These loans are often used for more substantial financial requirements such as business expansion, higher education, or significant personal expenses. The longer repayment period allows borrowers to manage their finances more effectively and provides them with the flexibility to repay the loan in manageable installments. The increasing demand for long-term gold loans is also driven by the rising price of gold, which enhances the value of collateral and provides borrowers with higher loan amounts.

Both short-term and long-term gold loans have their unique advantages and cater to different financial needs. Short-term gold loans are favored for their quick approval process and minimal documentation requirements, making them ideal for immediate financial needs. In contrast, long-term gold loans offer the benefit of larger loan amounts and extended repayment periods, making them suitable for signi

Gold Loan Market Market size is growing at a moderate pace with substantial growth rates over the last few years and is estimated that the market will grow significantly in the forecasted period i.e. 2024 to 2030.

Global Gold Loan Market Drivers

The market drivers for the Gold Loan Market can be influenced by various factors. These may include:

Easy Access to Credit: Gold loans provide quick access to funds without extensive credit checks, making them attractive for individuals with limited credit history or poor credit scores. Liquidity Solution: Gold loans offer a liquid asset (gold) as collateral, providing lenders with security and borrowers with immediate cash flow solutions. Flexible Loan Terms: Borrowers can typically choose flexible repayment terms and loan amounts based on the value of the gold pledged as collateral. Lower Interest Rates: Compared to unsecured loans, gold loans often have lower interest rates due to the collateralization of the loan, making them a cost-effective borrowing option. Minimal Documentation: The documentation requirements for gold loans are generally simpler and less stringent compared to other types of loans, reducing processing time and hassle for borrowers. Financial Inclusion: Gold loans cater to a wide range of borrowers, including those in rural and semi-urban areas who may not have access to traditional banking services. Emergency Funding: Gold loans are often used for emergencies, such as medical expenses, business needs, or sudden financial crises, providing a quick source of funds. Stable Asset Value: Gold is considered a stable and valuable asset, providing assurance to lenders and reducing the risk associated with loan defaults. Cultural and Social Factors: In many cultures, gold is considered a valuable asset and holds sentimental value, encouraging its use as collateral for loans. Regulatory Support: Favorable regulatory frameworks and government policies supporting gold-backed lending practices can stimulate growth in the gold loan market.

Gold rose to 3,354.76 USD/t.oz on July 11, 2025, up 0.92% from the previous day. Over the past month, Gold's price has fallen 0.92%, but it is still 39.14% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Gold - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Gold prices, recently at $3,057.31, may drop to $1,820 due to supply-demand dynamics, interest rates, and new mines, says Morningstar's David Sekera.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

How does stagflation affect gold prices?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Gold prices have surged past $3,300, driven by US-China trade tensions, central bank purchases, and anticipated interest rate cuts, setting new records in the market.

Between January 1971 and May 2025, gold had average annual returns of **** percent, which was only slightly more than the return of commodities, with an annual average of around eight percent. The annual return of gold was over ** percent in 2024. What is the total global demand for gold? The global demand for gold remains robust owing to its historical importance, financial stability, and cultural appeal. During economic uncertainty, investors look for a safe haven, while emerging markets fuel jewelry demand. A distinct contrast transpired during COVID-19, when the global demand for gold experienced a sharp decline in 2020 owing to a reduction in consumer spending. However, the subsequent years saw an increase in demand for the precious metal. How much gold is produced worldwide? The production of gold depends mainly on geological formations, market demand, and the cost of production. These factors have a significant impact on the discovery, extraction, and economic viability of gold mining operations worldwide. In 2024, the worldwide production of gold was expected to reach *** million ounces, and it is anticipated that the rate of growth will increase as exploration technologies improve, gold prices rise, and mining practices improve.

Statistics on annual transaction volume of commodities - Interest rate type (futures exchange)

Historical dataset of the 12 month LIBOR rate back to 1986. The London Interbank Offered Rate is the average interest rate at which leading banks borrow funds from other banks in the London market. LIBOR is the most widely used global "benchmark" or reference rate for short term interest rates.

Explore the factors affecting gold prices, including inflation, interest rates, supply and demand dynamics, currency fluctuations, and geopolitical events, and learn how these elements influence gold's value in the global market.

As of September 2023, NBFCs dominated the gold loan market with a ** percent market share. Banks, on the other hand, held only ** percent of market share. Indian population has traditionally relied on gold as a means of investment. The country is the second-largest importer of gold in the world. Banks and non-banking financial companies are currently the major players in offering secured loans with gold as collateral. Process of taking a gold loan To apply for a gold loan, a borrower usually approaches these institutions, which is followed by a purity check of gold to evaluate its market value. A borrower usually keeps their gold ranging from 18 to 24 carats with the lender for getting credit. The interest rates on gold loans can range between 7.35 percent to 29 percent per annum, depending on the bank. Gold’s present market value called the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, usually fixed by the Reserve bank of India determines the amount a consumer is eligible to get against gold. New digital players Online gold loan options are increasingly being offered; however, a customer is still required to visit the bank or NBFC branch for depositing the gold and its purity check. But a large part of the gold loan market is still unorganized, leaving customers exposed to high-interest rates. Certain fintech startups are now entering the market space offering services with lower interest, flexible EMIs, and door-to-door delivery and pickup. The entry of new players in this traditional marketplace is expected to increase the penetration rate of the gold loan market.

Dataset

This dataset was created by Hohin WANG

Contents

Gold is the most popular precious metal in the investment industry. The rate of return for gold investments fluctuated significantly during the period from 2002 to 2024 but generated positive returns in most years of the observed period. The return of gold as an investment reached almost ** percent in 2024, one of the highest recorded. Why is gold valuable? Gold is a precious metal with several practical uses, particularly in technology. For example, NASA uses gold to improve its lasers and protect sensitive things in space, including a part of the visor for its astronauts. However, a large share of the demand for gold worldwide is as an investment, particularly by central banks. Gold serves the purpose of an alternative to currency because it is relatively scarce but still has enough mine production to serve the financial sector. Gold as an investment Under the Bretton Woods agreement after World War II, the world’s major currencies were tied to the value of gold. This system, called the Gold Standard, ended in 1971. Still, most countries maintain significant gold reserves. Due to this history and the overall faith in the value of gold, the average gold price tends to increase in times of recession, making it an attractive investment in uncertain times.

The Dow Jones North America Select Junior Gold index is expected to trend higher in the short term, supported by positive momentum and bullish technical indicators. However, investors should be aware of potential risks, including geopolitical tensions, rising interest rates, and economic uncertainties, which could lead to market volatility and downward pressure on gold prices.

Lending Rate: Bank of Russia: Avg Weighted: Collateralized Loans by Gold data was reported at 12.500 % pa in May 2016. This records an increase from the previous number of 12.000 % pa for Apr 2016. Lending Rate: Bank of Russia: Avg Weighted: Collateralized Loans by Gold data is updated monthly, averaging 8.960 % pa from Nov 2011 (Median) to May 2016, with 38 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.500 % pa in Jan 2015 and a record low of 6.500 % pa in Dec 2013. Lending Rate: Bank of Russia: Avg Weighted: Collateralized Loans by Gold data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Central Bank of the Russian Federation. The data is categorized under Russia Premium Database’s Interest and Foreign Exchange Rates – Table RU.MB003: Lending Rate: Bank of Russia: Average Weighted.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Machine Learning Models for Gold Price Prediction

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

EGPB - An Event-based Gold Price Benchmark Dataset

This benchmark dataset consists of 8030 rows and 36 variables sourced from multiple credible economic websites, covering a period from January 2001 to December 2022. This dataset can be utilized to predict gold prices specifically or to aid any economic field that is influenced by the variables in this dataset.

Key variables & Features include:

• Previous gold prices

• Future gold prices with predictions for one day, one week, and one month

• Oil prices

• Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500)

• Dow Jones Industrial (DJI)

• US dollar index

• US treasury

• Inflation rate

• Consumer price index (CPI)

• Federal funds rate

• Silver prices

• Copper prices

• Iron prices

• Platinum prices

• Palladium prices

Additionally, the dataset considers global events that may impact gold prices, which were categorized into groups and collected from three distinct sources: the Al-Jazeera website spanning from 2022 to 2019, the Investing website spanning from 2018 to 2016, and the Yahoo Finance website spanning from 2007 to 2001.

These events data were then divided into multiple groups:

• Economic data

• Politics

• logistics

• Oil

• OPEC

• Dollar currency

• Sterling pound currency

• Russian ruble currency

• Yen currency

• Euro currency

• US stocks

• Global stocks

• Inflation

• Job reports

• Unemployment rates

• CPI rate

• Interest rates

• Bonds

These events were encoded using a numeric value, where 0 represented no events, 1 represented low events, 2 represented high events, 3 represented stable events, 4 represented unstable events, and 5 represented events that were observed during the day but had no effect on the dataset.

Cite this dataset: Farah Mansour and Wael Etaiwi, "EGPBD: An Event-based Gold Price Benchmark Dataset," 2023 3rd International Conference on Electrical, Computer, Communications and Mechatronics Engineering (ICECCME), Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain, 2023, pp. 1-7, doi: 10.1109/ICECCME57830.2023.10252987.

@INPROCEEDINGS{10252987, author={Mansour, Farah and Etaiwi, Wael}, booktitle={2023 3rd International Conference on Electrical, Computer, Communications and Mechatronics Engineering (ICECCME)}, title={EGPBD: An Event-based Gold Price Benchmark Dataset}, year={2023}, volume={}, number={}, pages={1-7}, doi={10.1109/ICECCME57830.2023.10252987}}

Barrick Gold reported 11M in Interest Income for its fiscal quarter ending in March of 2025. Data for Barrick Gold | ABX - Interest Income including historical, tables and charts were last updated by Trading Economics this last July in 2025.

Explore the stability of gold prices amidst economic uncertainty in the U.S., despite slight dips and fluctuating market conditions.