Description for Kaggle Project

Title: Gold Price Prediction

Subtitle: Analysis and Forecasting Using Gold Price Data from Kaggle's goldstock.csv

Description This project aims to analyze and forecast gold prices using a comprehensive dataset spanning from January 19, 2014, to January 22, 2024. The dataset, sourced from Kaggle, includes daily gold prices with key financial metrics such as opening and closing prices, trading volume, and the highest and lowest prices recorded each trading day. Through this project, we perform time series analysis, develop predictive models, formulate and backtest trading strategies, and conduct market sentiment and statistical analyses.

Upload an Image - Choose a relevant image such as a graph of gold price trends, a gold bar, or an illustrative image related to financial data analysis.

Datasets - Source: Kaggle - File: goldstock.csv

Context, Sources, and Inspiration -Context: Understanding the dynamics of gold prices is crucial for investors and financial analysts. This project provides insights into historical price trends and equips users with tools to predict future prices. - Sources: The dataset is sourced from Kaggle and contains historical gold price data obtained from Nasdaq. Inspiration: The inspiration behind this project is to enable researchers, analysts, and data enthusiasts to make informed decisions, develop trading strategies, and contribute to a broader understanding of market behavior.

Gold rose to 3,476.40 USD/t.oz on September 1, 2025, up 0.79% from the previous day. Over the past month, Gold's price has risen 3.03%, and is up 39.21% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Gold - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on September of 2025.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Machine Learning Models for Gold Price Prediction

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

This statistic depicts the average annual prices for gold from 2014 to 2024 with a forecast until 2026. In 2024, the average price for gold stood at 2,388 U.S. dollars per troy ounce, the highest value recorded throughout the period considered. In 2026, the average gold price is expected to increase, reaching 3,200 U.S. dollars per troy ounce.

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Gold Price Prediction in INR (2004-2024)🇮🇳 - Can You Forecast the Future? ✨

Data Description:

1. Time Period: October 2004 - December 2024 (20 years) - Long-term Trend Analysis!
2. Frequency: Monthly Average Gold Price (INR) - Uncover Seasonality!
3. Source: Financial Service Website (verified) ✅ - Reliable Data for Accurate Predictions!

Potential Applications:

• Time Series Analysis: Analyze trends and seasonality in gold prices. - Unravel the Gold Market Mystery! ️‍♀️
• Gold Price Prediction: Forecast future gold prices using ARIMA, SARIMA, fbProphet, etc. - Predict the Next Big Move!

Key Points:

• Long-Term Trend: Explore the evolution of gold prices over two decades. - See How Gold Has Changed Over Time! ⏳
• Prediction Models: Evaluate the effectiveness of different time series forecasting models. - Find the Best Tool for the Job!
• INR Focus: Gain insights specific to the Indian gold market. 🇮🇳 - Understand the Indian Gold Market Landscape! ️

⚠️ Note:

• Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Bonus:

This dataset allows you to explore the fascinating world of gold price prediction in the Indian market. Challenge yourself! Can you develop a model that outperforms the rest?

In 2021, the global gold market decreased by -7.3% to $X for the first time since 2018, thus ending a two-year rising trend. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, the global market reached the maximum level at $X in 2020, and then shrank in the following year.

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Gold in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East Africa).

In 2025, the price of platinum is forecast to hover around ***** U.S. dollars per troy ounce. Meanwhile, the cost of per troy ounce of gold is expected to amount to ***** U.S. dollars. Precious metals Precious metals are counted among the most valuable commodities worldwide. The most well known such metals are gold, silver and the platinum group metals. A precious metal can be used as an industrial commodity or as an investment. The major areas of application include the following sectors: technology, car-making, industrial manufacturing and jewelry making. Furthermore, gold and silver are used as coinage metals, and gold reserves are held by the central banks of many countries worldwide in order to store value or for use as a redemption medium. The idea behind this procedure is that gold reserves will help secure and stabilize the countries’ respective currencies. At ***** tons, the United States is the country with the most extensive stock of gold. It is kept in an underground vault at the New York Federal Reserve Bank. Russia, the United States, Canada, South Africa and China are the main producers of precious metals. Silver is the most abundant of the metals, followed by gold and palladium. Barrick Gold is the world’s largest gold mining company. The Toronto-based firm produced some **** million ounces of gold in 2020. The leading silver producers include Mexico-based Fresnillo, Poland’s KGHM Polska Miedž and the mining giant Glencore. Anglo Platinum and Impala are the key mining companies to produce platinum group metals. In 2023, Silver prices are expected to settle at around **** U.S. dollars per troy ounce. It is expected to remain the precious metal with the lowest value per ounce. The price of gold is forecast to drop to around ***** U.S. dollars per ounce, making it the most expensive precious metal in 2023.

Goldman Sachs raises its year-end gold price target to $3,700 due to economic uncertainties and strong demand. UBS also revises its forecast to $3,500, highlighting gold's status as a secure investment.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Gold: A Brighter Future Ahead?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

As of June 25, 2024, gold futures contracts to be settled in June 2030 were trading on U.S. markets at around ***** U.S. dollars per troy ounce. This is above the price of ******* U.S. dollars per troy ounce for contracts to be settled in June 2025, indicating that gold traders expect the price of gold to rise over the next five years. Gold futures are contracts that effectively lock in a price for an amount of gold to be purchased at a time in the future, which can then be traded on markets. Futures markets therefore provide an indicator of how investors think a commodities market will develop in the future.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

What happens to gold if CPI increases?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

After three years of decline, the Indian gold market increased by 162% to $X in 2021. In general, consumption showed a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

FINAL_USO Dataset

  Overview

The FINAL_USO dataset is a comprehensive collection of financial data, including stock prices, volumes, and other relevant metrics for various market indices and individual securities. This dataset is particularly suited for financial analysis, time series forecasting, and market trend analysis.

  Dataset Structure

The dataset is provided as a single CSV file named FINAL_USO.csv. It contains 1,718 entries and 80 columns, each… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/mltrev23/gold-price.

Predictions: S&P GSCI Gold index is expected to continue its upward trend in the near term, driven by safe-haven demand amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and concerns about global economic growth. The index may face some resistance at higher levels, but it is likely to break through and reach new highs. Risks: The main risks to the S&P GSCI Gold index's upward trend include a significant improvement in the global economic outlook, a sharp decline in geopolitical tensions, and a shift in investor sentiment towards riskier assets. A prolonged period of high inflation could also pose a risk to the index, as investors may seek alternative safe-haven assets such as bonds.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

How does stagflation affect gold prices?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

This comprehensive dataset offers a decade's worth of insights into gold price trends, spanning from 2013 to 2023. It meticulously captures the daily opening and closing prices, highs and lows, along with trading volume for each day. Such a wealth of information can be instrumental for those seeking to analyze or visualize market dynamics over this ten-year period. All data was sourced from the authoritative platform: Investing.com Gold Historical Data

The average monthly prices for gold increased worldwide between January 2014 and May 2025, although with some fluctuations. In January 2014, the average monthly price for gold worldwide stood at ******** nominal U.S. dollars per troy ounce. Significant jumps in the gold prices were observed, especially in the periods of uncertainty, as the investors tend to see gold as a safe investment option. For instance, the Corona pandemic acted as a shock to the economy, resulting in substantial increases in gold prices in 2020. As of May 2025, gold valued at ******** U.S. dollars per ounce, the highest value reported during this period.

Content

Daily gold prices (2014-01-01 to 2025-01-06)

Acknowledgements

Raw Data Source: MCX Market This data frame is pre-processed to time series analysis and forecasting

Inspiration

Forecast, Predict Prices, Time Series Forecasting

Note

Prices are in INR (Indian Rupee) for 10gm of Gold 24K.

Gold Prices in this dataset makes no guarantee or warranty on the accuracy or completeness of the data provided.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Gold Price Outlook: S&P GSCI Gold index Faces Uncertain Future

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data