Description for Kaggle Project

Title: Gold Price Prediction

Subtitle: Analysis and Forecasting Using Gold Price Data from Kaggle's goldstock.csv

Description This project aims to analyze and forecast gold prices using a comprehensive dataset spanning from January 19, 2014, to January 22, 2024. The dataset, sourced from Kaggle, includes daily gold prices with key financial metrics such as opening and closing prices, trading volume, and the highest and lowest prices recorded each trading day. Through this project, we perform time series analysis, develop predictive models, formulate and backtest trading strategies, and conduct market sentiment and statistical analyses.

Upload an Image - Choose a relevant image such as a graph of gold price trends, a gold bar, or an illustrative image related to financial data analysis.

Datasets - Source: Kaggle - File: goldstock.csv

Context, Sources, and Inspiration -Context: Understanding the dynamics of gold prices is crucial for investors and financial analysts. This project provides insights into historical price trends and equips users with tools to predict future prices. - Sources: The dataset is sourced from Kaggle and contains historical gold price data obtained from Nasdaq. Inspiration: The inspiration behind this project is to enable researchers, analysts, and data enthusiasts to make informed decisions, develop trading strategies, and contribute to a broader understanding of market behavior.

Gold rose to 3,754.06 USD/t.oz on September 26, 2025, up 0.11% from the previous day. Over the past month, Gold's price has risen 10.48%, and is up 41.22% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Gold - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on September of 2025.

As of June 25, 2024, gold futures contracts to be settled in June 2030 were trading on U.S. markets at around ***** U.S. dollars per troy ounce. This is above the price of ******* U.S. dollars per troy ounce for contracts to be settled in June 2025, indicating that gold traders expect the price of gold to rise over the next five years. Gold futures are contracts that effectively lock in a price for an amount of gold to be purchased at a time in the future, which can then be traded on markets. Futures markets therefore provide an indicator of how investors think a commodities market will develop in the future.

This statistic depicts the average annual prices for gold from 2014 to 2024 with a forecast until 2026. In 2024, the average price for gold stood at 2,388 U.S. dollars per troy ounce, the highest value recorded throughout the period considered. In 2026, the average gold price is expected to increase, reaching 3,200 U.S. dollars per troy ounce.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Machine Learning Models for Gold Price Prediction

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Gold spot and futures prices, technical support/resistance levels, market sentiment and historical trends.

In 2021, the global gold market decreased by -7.3% to $X for the first time since 2018, thus ending a two-year rising trend. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, the global market reached the maximum level at $X in 2020, and then shrank in the following year.

After three years of decline, the Indian gold market increased by 162% to $X in 2021. In general, consumption showed a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

This comprehensive dataset offers a decade's worth of insights into gold price trends, spanning from 2013 to 2023. It meticulously captures the daily opening and closing prices, highs and lows, along with trading volume for each day. Such a wealth of information can be instrumental for those seeking to analyze or visualize market dynamics over this ten-year period. All data was sourced from the authoritative platform: Investing.com Gold Historical Data

The Kuwaiti gold market soared to $X in 2021, jumping by 142% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption showed prominent growth. As a result, consumption reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In 2025, the price of platinum is forecast to hover around ***** U.S. dollars per troy ounce. Meanwhile, the cost of per troy ounce of gold is expected to amount to ***** U.S. dollars. Precious metals Precious metals are counted among the most valuable commodities worldwide. The most well known such metals are gold, silver and the platinum group metals. A precious metal can be used as an industrial commodity or as an investment. The major areas of application include the following sectors: technology, car-making, industrial manufacturing and jewelry making. Furthermore, gold and silver are used as coinage metals, and gold reserves are held by the central banks of many countries worldwide in order to store value or for use as a redemption medium. The idea behind this procedure is that gold reserves will help secure and stabilize the countries’ respective currencies. At ***** tons, the United States is the country with the most extensive stock of gold. It is kept in an underground vault at the New York Federal Reserve Bank. Russia, the United States, Canada, South Africa and China are the main producers of precious metals. Silver is the most abundant of the metals, followed by gold and palladium. Barrick Gold is the world’s largest gold mining company. The Toronto-based firm produced some **** million ounces of gold in 2020. The leading silver producers include Mexico-based Fresnillo, Poland’s KGHM Polska Miedž and the mining giant Glencore. Anglo Platinum and Impala are the key mining companies to produce platinum group metals. In 2023, Silver prices are expected to settle at around **** U.S. dollars per troy ounce. It is expected to remain the precious metal with the lowest value per ounce. The price of gold is forecast to drop to around ***** U.S. dollars per ounce, making it the most expensive precious metal in 2023.

The average monthly prices for gold increased worldwide between January 2014 and May 2025, although with some fluctuations. In January 2014, the average monthly price for gold worldwide stood at ******** nominal U.S. dollars per troy ounce. Significant jumps in the gold prices were observed, especially in the periods of uncertainty, as the investors tend to see gold as a safe investment option. For instance, the Corona pandemic acted as a shock to the economy, resulting in substantial increases in gold prices in 2020. As of May 2025, gold valued at ******** U.S. dollars per ounce, the highest value reported during this period.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

What happens to gold if CPI increases?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Gold prices in , August, 2025 For that commodity indicator, we provide data from January 1960 to August 2025. The average value during that period was 607.06 USD per troy ounce with a minimum of 34.94 USD per troy ounce in January 1970 and a maximum of 3368.03 USD per troy ounce in August 2025. | TheGlobalEconomy.com

Goldman Sachs raises its year-end gold price target to $3,700 due to economic uncertainties and strong demand. UBS also revises its forecast to $3,500, highlighting gold's status as a secure investment.

This dataset contains the predicted prices of the asset $GOLD over the next 16 years. This data is calculated initially using a default 5 percent annual growth rate, and after page load, it features a sliding scale component where the user can then further adjust the growth rate to their own positive or negative projections. The maximum positive adjustable growth rate is 100 percent, and the minimum adjustable growth rate is -100 percent.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

How does stagflation affect gold prices?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

The average gold price increased by 1.7% to $1800 per troy ounce in 2021. This year, it was forecast to ease, but rising political uncertainty may reverse the forecast.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Gold Price Outlook: S&P GSCI Gold index Faces Volatility Amidst Economic Uncertainties

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Gold Bullion Market Outlook 2032

The global gold bullion market size was USD 50 Billion in 2023 and is likely to reach USD 133 Billion by 2032, expanding at a CAGR of 10.6% during 2024–2032. The market growth is attributed to the relative stability of gold investments.



Increasing economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions are fueling the market. Investors are turning to gold as an asset, due to its inherent value and stability. The growing interest of central banks are leading them to expand their gold reserves. This allows them to diversify their holdings and reduce their dependence on the US dollar.

The growing popularity of gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is propelling the market. These investments provide investors with exposure to the price movements of gold without the need to physically store the precious metal. The convenience and ease of investing in gold ETFs are attracting a new generation of investors, spurring the market.

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  According to a January 2024 report published by the World Gold Council, the total value of global gold ETFs rose by 6% to USD 2.4 Billion. This rise was due to a 15% hike in gold prices during 2023.

  
  

Impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Gold Bullion Market

The use of artificial intelligence (AI) is likely to provide substantial propulsion to the gold bullion market. It is enhancing the efficiency and accuracy of gold trading with algorithms. These algorithms rapidly analyze vast amounts of data to make real-time trading decisions. This leads to increasingly profitable trades and reduces the risk of human error.


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