Gold fell to 3,350.92 USD/t.oz on July 14, 2025, down 0.18% from the previous day. Over the past month, Gold's price has fallen 0.98%, but it is still 38.32% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Gold - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Machine Learning Models for Gold Price Prediction

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

As of June 25, 2024, gold futures contracts to be settled in June 2030 were trading on U.S. markets at around ***** U.S. dollars per troy ounce. This is above the price of ******* U.S. dollars per troy ounce for contracts to be settled in June 2025, indicating that gold traders expect the price of gold to rise over the next five years. Gold futures are contracts that effectively lock in a price for an amount of gold to be purchased at a time in the future, which can then be traded on markets. Futures markets therefore provide an indicator of how investors think a commodities market will develop in the future.

This statistic depicts the average annual prices for gold from 2014 to 2024 with a forecast until 2026. In 2024, the average price for gold stood at 2,388 U.S. dollars per troy ounce, the highest value recorded throughout the period considered. In 2026, the average gold price is expected to increase, reaching 3,200 U.S. dollars per troy ounce.

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Gold in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East Africa).

https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-user-content/o/inbox%2F19238395%2F16f18b685654bc1f07d8d614bcea2e13%2FScreenshot%202024-06-25%20141846.png?generation=1719305359168334&alt=media" alt="">

Gold Price Prediction in INR (2004-2024)🇮🇳 - Can You Forecast the Future? ✨

Data Description:

1. Time Period: October 2004 - December 2024 (20 years) - Long-term Trend Analysis!
2. Frequency: Monthly Average Gold Price (INR) - Uncover Seasonality!
3. Source: Financial Service Website (verified) ✅ - Reliable Data for Accurate Predictions!

Potential Applications:

• Time Series Analysis: Analyze trends and seasonality in gold prices. - Unravel the Gold Market Mystery! ️‍♀️
• Gold Price Prediction: Forecast future gold prices using ARIMA, SARIMA, fbProphet, etc. - Predict the Next Big Move!

Key Points:

• Long-Term Trend: Explore the evolution of gold prices over two decades. - See How Gold Has Changed Over Time! ⏳
• Prediction Models: Evaluate the effectiveness of different time series forecasting models. - Find the Best Tool for the Job!
• INR Focus: Gain insights specific to the Indian gold market. 🇮🇳 - Understand the Indian Gold Market Landscape! ️

⚠️ Note:

• Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Bonus:

This dataset allows you to explore the fascinating world of gold price prediction in the Indian market. Challenge yourself! Can you develop a model that outperforms the rest?

The Kuwaiti gold market soared to $X in 2021, jumping by 142% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption showed prominent growth. As a result, consumption reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Context

Content

Ticker Description 0 GC=F Gold 1 SI=F Silver 2 CL=F Crude Oil 3 ^GSPC S&P500 4 PL=F Platinum 5 HG=F Copper 6 DX=F Dollar Index 7 ^VIX Volatility Index 8 EEM MSCI EM ETF 9 EURUSD=X Euro USD 10 ^N100 Euronext100 11 ^IXIC Nasdaq 12 ^BSESN Bse sensex 13 ^NSEI Nifty 50 14 ^DJI Dow

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Gold: A Brighter Future Ahead?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

What happens to gold if CPI increases?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Predictions: S&P GSCI Gold index is expected to continue its upward trend in the near term, driven by safe-haven demand amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and concerns about global economic growth. The index may face some resistance at higher levels, but it is likely to break through and reach new highs. Risks: The main risks to the S&P GSCI Gold index's upward trend include a significant improvement in the global economic outlook, a sharp decline in geopolitical tensions, and a shift in investor sentiment towards riskier assets. A prolonged period of high inflation could also pose a risk to the index, as investors may seek alternative safe-haven assets such as bonds.

Goldman Sachs raises its year-end gold price target to $3,700 due to economic uncertainties and strong demand. UBS also revises its forecast to $3,500, highlighting gold's status as a secure investment.

Context

Gold, the yellow shiny metal, has been the fancy of mankind since ages. From making jewelry to being used as an investment, gold covers a huge spectrum of use cases. Gold, like other metals, is also traded on the commodities indexes across the world. For better understanding time series in a real-world scenario, we will work with gold prices collected historically and predict its future value.

Content

Metals such as gold have been traded for years across the world. Prices of gold are determined and used for trading the metal on commodity exchanges on a daily basis using a variety of factors. Using this daily price-level information only, our task is to predict future price of gold.

Data

For the purpose of implementing time series forecasting technique , i will utilize gold pricing from Quandl. Quandl is a platform for financial, economic, and alternative datasets. To access publicly shared datasets on Quandl, we can use the pandas-datareader library as well as quandl (library from Quandl itself). The following snippet shows a quick one-liner to get your hands on gold pricing information since 1970s.

import quandl gold_df = quandl.get("BUNDESBANK/BBK01_WT5511")

The time series is univariate with date and time feature

Starter Kernel(s)

-Start with Fundamentals: TSA & Box-Jenkins Methods

This notebook is an overview of TSA and traditional methods

Acknowledgements

For this dataset and tasks, i will depend upon Quandl. The premier source for financial, economic, and alternative datasets, serving investment professionals. Quandl’s platform is used by over 400,000 people, including analysts from the world’s top hedge funds, asset managers and investment banks.

Inspiration

• Forecast gold price

*If you find the data useful your upvote is an explicit feedback for future works, Have fun exploring data!*

#

MORE DATASETs ...

In 2021, the global gold market decreased by -7.3% to $X for the first time since 2018, thus ending a two-year rising trend. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, the global market reached the maximum level at $X in 2020, and then shrank in the following year.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

How does stagflation affect gold prices?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

In 2025, the price of platinum is forecast to hover around 1,150 U.S. dollars per troy ounce. Meanwhile, the cost of per troy ounce of gold is expected to amount to 1,700 U.S. dollars.

Precious metals

Precious metals are counted among the most valuable commodities worldwide. The most well known such metals are gold, silver and the platinum group metals. A precious metal can be used as an industrial commodity or as an investment. The major areas of application include the following sectors: technology, car-making, industrial manufacturing and jewelry making. Furthermore, gold and silver are used as coinage metals, and gold reserves are held by the central banks of many countries worldwide in order to store value or for use as a redemption medium. The idea behind this procedure is that gold reserves will help secure and stabilize the countries’ respective currencies. At 8,100 tons, the United States is the country with the most extensive stock of gold. It is kept in an underground vault at the New York Federal Reserve Bank.

Russia, the United States, Canada, South Africa and China are the main producers of precious metals. Silver is the most abundant of the metals, followed by gold and palladium. Barrick Gold is the world’s largest gold mining company. The Toronto-based firm produced some five million ounces of gold in 2020. The leading silver producers include Mexico-based Fresnillo, Poland’s KGHM Polska Miedž and the mining giant Glencore. Anglo Platinum and Impala are the key mining companies to produce platinum group metals.

In 2023, Silver prices are expected to settle at around 23.5 U.S. dollars per troy ounce. It is expected to remain the precious metal with the lowest value per ounce. The price of gold is forecast to drop to around 1,663 U.S. dollars per ounce, making it the most expensive precious metal in 2023.

Dataset

This dataset was created by Aparnendu A

Released under Apache 2.0

Contents

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Gold Price Outlook: S&P GSCI Gold index Faces Uncertain Future

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

The Sri Lankan gold market was finally on the rise to reach $X in 2021, after three years of decline. Over the period under review, consumption saw a noticeable increase. Gold consumption peaked at $X in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2021, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The average monthly prices for gold increased worldwide between January 2014 and May 2025, although with some fluctuations. In January 2014, the average monthly price for gold worldwide stood at ******** nominal U.S. dollars per troy ounce. Significant jumps in the gold prices were observed, especially in the periods of uncertainty, as the investors tend to see gold as a safe investment option. For instance, the Corona pandemic acted as a shock to the economy, resulting in substantial increases in gold prices in 2020. As of May 2025, gold valued at ******** U.S. dollars per ounce, the highest value reported during this period.