Due to the extensive economic disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the United Kingdom's Government created a range of measures to help support businesses survive the loss in revenues and cashflow. To help smaller businesses (SMEs), the Coronavirus Business Interruption Loan Scheme (CBILS) was set up. The scheme operates through the British Business Bank via more than 40 accredited lenders including high street banks, challenger banks, asset based lenders and smaller specialist local lenders. These lenders can then provide up to five million British pounds (GBP) in the form of term loans, overdraft, invoice finance and asset finance.

Between the 10th of May, 2020 and the 31st of May, 2021, the cumulative number of approved facilities through the Coronavirus Business Interruption Loan Scheme (CBILS) in the United Kingdom (UK) has reached more than 110,000 at a combined value of approximately 26 billion British pounds.

In response to the extensive economic disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the United Kingdom's Government created a range of measures to help support businesses survive the loss in revenues and cashflow. To help mid-sized and larger enterprises with a group turnover of more than ** million British pounds, the Coronavirus Large Business Interruption Loan Scheme (CLBILS) was set up.

The scheme operates through the British Business Bank via accredited lenders, which can provide up to *** million British pounds in finance. These lenders can then provide finance in the form of term loans, revolving credit facilities (overdrafts), invoice finance and asset finance. For term loans and revolving credit facilities, finance that could be offered was increased from ** million GBP after an announcement by HM Treasury on the **** of May 2020.

Between the **** of May, 2020 and the **** of May, 2021, the cumulative value of approved facilities through the Coronavirus Large Business Interruption Loan Scheme (CLBILS) in the United Kingdom (UK) had amounted to **** billion British pounds across more than *** approved facilities.

In response to the extensive economic disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the United Kingdom's government created a range of measures to help support businesses survive the loss in revenues and cashflow. The help businesses, the Bounce Back Loan Scheme (BBLS) was set up. The scheme, which is a part of a wider package of government support for UK businesses and employees allows lenders to provide a six-year term loan from ************ British pounds up to ** percent of a business' turnover. The maximum loan amount is currently fifty thousand British pounds.

Between ************ and ************, nearly **** million businesses have been approved for finance with the cumulative value of lending through the Bounce Back Loan Scheme (BBLS) amounting to approximately **** billion British pounds.

After peaking in the second quarter of 2020, following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, lending to small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in the United Kingdom (UK) decreased overall. In the second quarter of 2023, lending to UK SMEs amounted to *** billion British pounds, compared to *** billion British pounds in the first quarter of 2021.

Government debt in the United Kingdom reached over 2.8 trillion British pounds in 2024/25, compared with 2.69 trillion pounds in the previous financial year. Although debt has been increasing throughout this period, there is a noticeable jump between 2019/20, and 2020/21, when debt increased from 1.82 trillion pounds, to 2.15 trillion. The UK's government debt was the equivalent of 95.8 percent of GDP in 2024/25, and is expected to increase slightly in coming years, and not start falling until the end of this decade. Public finances in a tight spot With government debt approaching 100 percent of GDP, the UK finds itself in a tricky fiscal situation. If the UK can't reduce it's spending, or increase its revenue, the government will have to continue borrowing large amounts, increasing the debt further. Adding to the problem, is the fact that financing this debt has got steadily more expensive recently, with the government currently spending more on debt interest than it does on defence, transport, and public order and safety. Can the UK grow out its debt? After the Second World War, when the national debt reached over 250 percent of GDP, the UK managed to reduce its debt-to-GDP ratio, due to the economy growing faster than its debt over a long period of time. This is certainly the hope of the current Labour government, who are seeking to avoid significant tax and spending adjustments by strengthening the economy. Overdue investments in infrastructure and increased capital spending may eventually achieve this goal, but the government's declining popularity suggests they may not be in power by the time these policies might eventually bear fruit.

Mortgage brokers’ revenue is anticipated to climb at a compound annual rate of 4.5% over the five years through 2024-25 to £2.3 billion, including estimated growth of . Rising residential property transactions stimulated by government initiatives and rising house prices have driven industry growth. However, mortgage brokers have faced numerous obstacles, including downward pricing pressures from upstream lenders and a sharp downturn in the housing market as rising mortgage rates ramped up the cost of borrowing. After a standstill in residential real estate activity in the immediate aftermath of the COVID-19 outbreak, ultra-low base rates, the release of pent-up demand, the introduction of tax incentives and buyers reassessing their living situation fuelled a V-shaped recovery in the housing market. This meant new mortgage approvals for house purchases boomed going into 2021-22, ramping up demand for brokerage services. 2022-23 was a year rife with economic headwinds, from rising interest rates to fears of a looming recession. Yet, the housing market stood its ground, with brokers continuing to benefit from rising prices. Elevated mortgage rates eventually hit demand for houses in the first half of 2023, contributing to lacklustre house price growth in 2023-24, hurting revenue, despite a modest recovery in the second half of the year as mortgage rates came down. In 2024-25, lower mortgage rates and an improving economic outlook support house prices, driving revenue growth. Mortgage brokers’ revenue is anticipated to swell at a compound annual rate of 5.3% over the five years through 2029-30 to £2.9 billion. Competition from direct lending will ramp up. Yet, growth opportunities remain. The emergence of niche mortgage products, like those targeting retired individuals and contractors, as well as green mortgages, will support revenue growth in the coming years. AI is also set to transform the industry, improving cost efficiencies by automating tasks like document verification, risk assessment and customer profiling.

The average value of mortgage loans granted in the UK since 2016 ranged between ******* British pounds and ******* British pounds. In the third quarter of 2024, the average mortgage loan amounted to nearly ******* British pounds - the second-highest figure on record after the third quarter of 2022. The overall increase in the average value of mortgages granted can be explained by the accelerated increase in house prices since the outbreak of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic.

The non-depository financing industry's revenue has contracted at a projected compound annual rate of 2.1% over the five years through 2024-25. The COVID-19 outbreak caused a large drop in borrowing in 2020-21 as consumers faced a lack of spending opportunities, outweighing the gains from businesses taking out additional loans to stay afloat. The industry has also faced stronger regulatory oversight to combat the proliferation of overly risky and expensive loans. The cost-of-living crisis has caused consumer lending to swell as households rely on short-term borrowing to make up for weakened savings and costs outpacing wages. Soaring interest rates have caused the cost of mortgages to skyrocket, damaging revenue as buyers pull back and lenders are more cautious. The Non-Depository Financing industry's revenue is estimated to climb by 1.7% in 2024-25 – and is expected to total £6.7 billion. This comes from the much-anticipated sliding down of interest rates that will aid the mortgage market and big returns from newer sectors like OpenAI and sustainable technologies. Industry revenue is expected to swell at a compound annual rate of 2.4% to £7.6 billion over the five years through 2029-30. The need for credit is set to be supported by the previous erosion of savings from spiked inflation, leading to more loans needed for sizeable investments as confidence rebounds. Non-depositary financing companies will continue facing stiff competition from other types of lenders, like peer-to-peer lenders. The regulation constricting payday loans will continue to push services towards a lower margin and higher volume approach, aiding those with lower credit scores but dented industry profit. The high cost of mortgages and economic headwinds will settle and start to rebuild the housing market, supporting revenue.

Since the start of the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis, many businesses have had to close their doors or have struggled to pay rent. As a result, commercial property landlords suffered loss of income, leading to failure to repay mortgage loans. In 2020, the default rate of commercial real estate mortgages rose to 4.6 percent, which is the highest value observed since the global financial crisis.

According to Cognitive Market Research, the global Revenue Based Financing market size will be USD 2985.2 million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 61.80% from 2024 to 2031.

North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 1194.08 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 60.0% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 895.56 million.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 686.60 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 63.8% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 149.26 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 61.2% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD 59.70 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 61.5% from 2024 to 2031.
The healthcare industry is the fastest-growing category in the Revenue-Based Financing market. The rising demand for healthcare services, especially after the global pandemic, has led to accelerated growth within the sector

Market Dynamics of Revenue Based Financing Market

Key Drivers for Revenue Based Financing Market

Increased Demand for Flexible Capital to Boost Market Growth

In the Revenue-Based Financing Market, one of the most significant drivers is the growing demand for flexible capital solutions among startups and small businesses. Unlike traditional financing methods that often require fixed repayments regardless of a company’s cash flow, revenue-based financing allows businesses to repay their investors based on their monthly revenues. This flexibility is particularly appealing to entrepreneurs who face seasonal fluctuations or unexpected market challenges. By aligning repayment schedules with revenue performance, businesses can manage their cash flow more effectively, reducing the financial burden during lean periods and fostering sustainable growth. This adaptability not only enhances the appeal of revenue-based financing but also empowers businesses to make strategic investments that can drive long-term success without the fear of crippling debt. For instance, in the UK, the government launched the future fund scheme on May 20, 2020, which offers convertible loans to startups based on their revenue

Increasing Adoption of Digital Platforms and Fintech Solutions to Drive Market Growth

The surge in digital platforms and fintech solutions is another key driver in the Revenue-Based Financing market. With advancements in technology, fintech companies have made it easier for businesses to access funding through online platforms, streamlining the application and approval processes. Digital platforms also provide investors with detailed insights into business performance, facilitating better decision-making and risk management. The scalability and transparency offered by these platforms have accelerated the adoption of RBF, making it a popular choice among tech-driven startups and e-commerce businesses looking for quick and hassle-free funding solutions.

Restraint Factor for the Revenue Based Financing Market

High Cost of Capital, will Limit Market Growth

One significant restraint in the Revenue-Based Financing (RBF) market is the high cost of capital associated with this financing model. While RBF provides flexibility in repayment structures, the overall cost can be higher than traditional loans. Investors often charge higher fees or revenue percentages in exchange for the lower risk they assume. For startups and small businesses with limited profit margins, this elevated cost can strain their financial resources and deter them from choosing RBF over other funding options. Consequently, the perception of RBF as a more expensive alternative may hinder its widespread adoption among potential borrowers.

Impact of Covid-19 on the Revenue Based Financing Market

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted the Revenue-Based Financing Market, catalyzing both challenges and opportunities for businesses seeking flexible capital solutions. As many startups faced unprecedented financial pressures due to lockdowns and ...

United Kingdom CBILS: Approved Facilities: Value data was reported at 13.680 GBP bn in 16 Aug 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 13.410 GBP bn for 09 Aug 2020. United Kingdom CBILS: Approved Facilities: Value data is updated weekly, averaging 11.070 GBP bn from May 2020 (Median) to 16 Aug 2020, with 15 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 13.680 GBP bn in 16 Aug 2020 and a record low of 6.090 GBP bn in 10 May 2020. United Kingdom CBILS: Approved Facilities: Value data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by HM Treasury. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.KB043: Coronavirus Business Interruption Loan Scheme.

The high uptake in funds received by SMEs heavily supported factoring companies leading up to the pandemic. However, after COVID-19 struck, the government's heavy backing of conventional lending hit demand for factoring companies; that's not to say the government doesn't support factoring, since the British Business Banks provide guarantees to cover a portion of credit losses for designated lending portfolios. Over the five years through 2024-25, factoring companies' revenue is forecast to grow at a compound annual rate of just 3.5% to £4 billion. The economy's recovery from the COVID-19 outbreak was dented by harsh inflationary pressures in 2022-23, with high interest rates making lending more expensive. However, this has also ratcheted up discount rates, which are fees factor companies charge clients, supporting revenue growth. The tough economic conditions in the two years through 2023-24 amid geopolitical tensions and muted economic growth also resulted in many businesses looking for liquidity and turning to factor companies. Although economic conditions are set to improve in 2024-25, limiting the number of companies looking for short-term finances, a growing economy will also incentivise businesses to expand and invest in working capital, lifting demand for financing and contributing to revenue growth in 2024-25. Interest rates will also remain high by historical standards despite an expected drop later in the year, making traditional lending more expensive and factoring all the more attractive. Over the five years through 2029-30, factoring companies' revenue is forecast to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to £5.3 billion. As business sentiment recovers and interest rates steady out, factoring companies will experience healthy demand, supporting invoice amounts and driving revenue growth. However, improving cash flow conditions will dent revenue growth as more businesses no longer seek short-term financing like factoring. Competition from alternative lending sources like P2P lending and crowdfunding will remain fierce. Factoring companies will also face an increasingly tough regulatory environment, raising costs and weighing profitability.

The Venture Capital industry has seen healthy growth over the past decade, as investors increasingly turn to private markets, seeing the benefits of greater returns and portfolio diversification that a venture capitalist can offer. From being a niche area of finance consisting of old-school investors and investment bankers, venture capital has evolved to allow investors to capitalise on new technologies and innovations that could disrupt and shape the future. This phenomenon has become all too common in recent years, with the rapid pace of technological change giving rise to exciting advancements like generative AI. Venture capital revenue is projected to grow at a compound annual rate of 17.6% over the five years through 2024-25 to £545.8 million, including an estimated growth of 13.9% in 2024-25. The Venture Capital industry experienced unprecedented growth in 2021-22, brought about by low interest rates and sky-high investor confidence amid the tech boom that followed the COVID-19 outbreak. Many venture capitalists also had eyewatering amounts of dry powder from limited investment during the first half of 2020-21. Although showing signs of slowing amid numerous economic headwinds like rising interest rates and uncertain economic conditions, venture capitalists continued to perform strongly with VC investment recording its second-highest year ever in 2022. VCs in 2023-24 fared less well, with deteriorating economic conditions and further rate hikes making investors nervous, hitting VC investment and deal volumes. 2024-25 marked a turning point with VC investment more than doubling in the first quarter, according to KPMG, as improved economic growth prospects and interest rate cuts prompt investment towards SMEs. Venture capital revenue is projected to swell at a compound annual rate of 11.7% over the five years through 2024-25 to £947.5 million. With macroeconomic challenges persisting, VCs are set to place a greater emphasis on companies with robust fundamentals, contrasting the ‘growth at all costs’ approach seen following the COVID-19 outbreak. Excitement around generative AI will persist, with many VCs rushing to secure the largest deals. Developments in platform technology, giving retail investors greater access to private markets, will also support fundraising activity, pushing up revenue in the coming years.