Cost of food in the United States increased 3 percent in June of 2025 over the same month in the previous year. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Food Inflation - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

According to a survey conducted monthly between April 2022, and March 2023, due to rising prices, some U.S. consumers have decided to reduce their grocery spending. On October 23, 41 percent of respondents said they had repeatedly held back from buying something at the grocery store, while 21 percent said they had not. On April 3, and May 1, of 2022, 30 percent stated reducing their grocery spending many times.

Graph and download economic data for Producer Price Index by Industry: Supermarkets and Other Grocery Stores: Supermarket and Other Grocery Store Services (PCU4451104451103) from Dec 1999 to Jun 2025 about groceries, services, PPI, industry, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food at Home in U.S. City Average (CUSR0000SAF11) from Jan 1952 to Jun 2025 about urban, food, consumer, CPI, housing, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Cost of food in Canada increased 2.90 percent in June of 2025 over the same month in the previous year. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Canada Food Inflation - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Graph and download economic data for Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food in U.S. City Average (CPIUFDNS) from Jan 1913 to Jun 2025 about urban, food, consumer, CPI, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Since 2015, the consumer price index (CPI) of food in the United States has increased every year except for 2016, when the CPI decreased by *** percent. The increase of CPI for food compared to the previous year was the highest in 2022, at *** percent.

Supermarkets and grocery stores have significantly transformed in recent years, driven by technological advancements and shifting consumer preferences. E-commerce has become a cornerstone of the industry, with over 70.0% of grocery retailers integrating online ordering and fulfillment into their operations in 2025. This shift has been fueled by consumer demand for convenience and efficient shopping experiences, prompting retailers to invest heavily in curbside pickup and home delivery services. Major players like Kroger have leveraged these innovations to maintain a competitive edge, while third-party delivery platforms like Instacart have enabled smaller grocers to compete with larger chains. The adoption of "dark stores" and AI-driven technologies has further optimized operations but heightened competition has limited revenue expansion. Over the past five years, revenue has been slipping at a CAGR of 0.1%, reversing course in 2025 to climb 1.1%, reaching $883.1 million. Over the past five years, the industry has faced rising labor costs and competition from discount grocers and private-label products. Automation has played a crucial role in managing these pressures, with more than 50.0% of transactions in major chains processed through self-checkout systems in 2025. Despite these advancements, wages have continued to rise, accounting for an estimated 10.7% of revenue. This has led retailers to focus on strategic pricing and the promotion of high-margin private-label products to sustain profit. The proliferation of discount grocers like Aldi and Lidl has intensified competition, forcing traditional supermarkets to innovate and adapt to retain market share. Looking ahead, supermarkets and grocery stores are likely to endure steady but marginal revenue growth over the next five years, influenced by economic and demographic factors. Increases in per capita disposable income and consumer spending suggest a stable economic environment that could bolster sales of premium and specialty grocery items. However, declines in the agricultural price index may pressure revenue growth, as lower prices could reduce sales value. Urban population growth will continue to drive demand for grocery products, encouraging retailers to adopt urban-centric strategies. Upcoming FDA regulations on product labeling and ongoing geopolitical tensions will present challenges and opportunities for the industry. Retailers that can navigate these complexities and align with evolving consumer preferences, such as the rise of functional foods and the "quiet luxury" trend, will be well-positioned to thrive in a rapidly changing market landscape. Revenue is anticipated to expand marginally over the next five years at a CAGR of less than 0.1%, totaling $883.3 million in 2030.

In Canada, consumers have seen almost all food prices in the grocery store increase in April 2022, compared to the prices in April 2021. The cost of pasta went up the most, increasing by about **** percent. The prices of fresh fruits and vegetables went up by *** percent and *** percent, respectively.

According to Cognitive Market Research, the global Grocery Store market size will be USD XX million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.80% from 2024 to 2031.

North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.0% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.3% from 2024 to 2031.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.8% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.5% from 2024 to 2031.
The Retail Chain category is the fastest growing segment of the Grocery Store industry

Market Dynamics of Grocery Store Market

Key Drivers for Grocery Store Market

Growing Consumer Interest in Organic and Fresh Foods to Boost Market Growth

The market for grocery stores is significantly influenced by consumers' increased interest in fresh and organic foods. Organic vegetables, dairy, meats, and other minimally processed foods are becoming more and more popular among health-conscious consumers because of their perceived quality, environmental impact, and health benefits. Growing consumer awareness of pesticide use, genetically modified organisms, and additives has led them to favour products with organic labels and those supplied locally. In response, grocery stores have increased the variety of organic products they provide and established special areas, which draw in a devoted clientele and strengthen their brand identity. This change further supports the expansion of the grocery business by being in line with trends toward eco-friendly and sustainable practices.

Growth of Private Label Goods to Drive Market Growth

As private label items provide merchants with larger profit margins and competitive pricing, their expansion is a key factor in the grocery store industry. Store-branded private labels are popular among budget-conscious shoppers seeking high-quality substitutes for national brands. More control over pricing and production allows supermarkets and grocery stores to customize products to consumer tastes and new trends, such as organic or gluten-free options. Because consumers are drawn to unique products that aren't found anywhere else, private labels also encourage customer loyalty, which eventually improves store distinction and boosts total grocery sector sales.

Restraint Factor for the Grocery Store Market

Increasing Online Retailer Competition Will Limit Market Growth

The grocery store sector is being restrained by the growing competition from online retailers, as customers are attracted to the ease of online shopping and doorstep delivery. With their extensive assortment, affordable costs, and easy-to-use platforms that simplify shopping, e-commerce behemoths and grocery delivery services are alluring substitutes for conventional grocery stores. Due to this change, fewer people are visiting physical businesses, particularly younger, tech-savvy shoppers. Online merchants also frequently provide subscription-based discounts and tailored promotions, which help them gain market share. Digital trends are difficult for traditional grocery stores to adopt, which may hinder their expansion and financial success.

Key Trends for

Grocery Stores

Sustainability and Eco-Friendly Initiatives: Consumers are increasingly favoring retailers that are dedicated to minimizing plastic consumption, food waste, and carbon emissions. Grocery stores are embracing sustainable packaging, providing locally sourced produce, and establishing recycling initiatives to resonate with eco-conscious consumer values and ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) criteria.

Personalization Through Data Analytics and Loyalty Programs: Retailers are utilizing purchase hist...

Monthly indexes and percentage changes for selected sub-groups of the food component of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), not seasonally adjusted, for Canada, provinces, Whitehorse and Yellowknife. Data are presented for the corresponding month of the previous year, the previous month and the current month. The base year for the index is 2002=100.

Supermarkets have maintained stable volume-driven business strategies amid a pricing environment that has been in the spotlight. Conflict in the Middle East, avian flu outbreaks and other inflationary pressures have driven prices up, with many stores passing on these costs to consumers. While consumers are paying more for groceries and upstream suppliers are seeing their margins shrink, supermarkets Coles and Woolworths have maintained relatively stable profit margins, among the highest in the world. The continued expansion of Aldi and Amazon has forced the two established industry giants to shift gears recently to remain price-competitive on both the physical store and online service fronts, launching short-term price discounting initiatives. These supermarket giants also rely on loyalty programs and promotions. Coles and Woolworths have displayed interest in data analytics, strengthening their relationships with analytics data giants like Palantir to optimise their marketing and operational processes. The ACCC's landmark supermarkets inquiry, while not finding evidence of price gouging, identified 20 key recommendations that would ensure a more sustainable market and avoid oligopolistic exploitation. Supermarket and grocery revenue rose significantly following the COVID-19 outbreak. A combination of panic buying, along with the suspension of many specials and promotions in supermarkets, boosted grocery turnover at the beginning of the period, spiking revenue for the two years through 2020-21. This high benchmark at the start of the period has resulted in an industry correction and an annualised revenue contraction of 0.4% to $144.3 billion over the five years through 2025-26. Revenue is estimated to climb 0.4% in 2025-26, reflecting the price-driven industry growth that falling tobacco sales have offset. Supermarkets and grocery stores are set to perform well, with industry revenue slated to climb at an annualised 1.5% through 2030-31 to $155.6 billion. Population growth will remain a key growth factor that stores rely on, as many continue a volume-driven business approach to generating revenue. Should the transparency-related recommendations from the ACCC's inquiry be implemented, some price-driven growth may be curtailed. Eventually, when inflationary pressures subside and consumer sentiment returns to a positive level, supermarkets and grocers will be well-positioned to take advantage of consumer appetite for value-added and premium goods. Strong growth in online sales is set to continue.

European supermarkets’ revenue is forecast to inch upwards at a compound annual rate of 0.6% over the five years through 2025 to reach €1.7 trillion. European supermarkets face intense price competition amid lingering cost pressures. Though EU food inflation has stabilised at 2.7% in April 2025, consumer focus on value remains high. Discounters like Aldi and Lidl continue to gain share as shoppers seek lower prices. Supermarkets are investing heavily in price-matching schemes, though sustaining these is financially challenging. Tesco and Sainsbury’s have begun scaling back such initiatives, while Asda has abandoned its price match strategy. Private label growth is reshaping the sector. Sales reached €352 billion in 2024. Retailers are diversifying these ranges to balance value, quality, and margins. Smarter product mixes are emerging as retailers prioritise local sourcing and premium niches to build loyalty. Strategies like Sainsbury’s “Supporting British” and Mercadona’s local sourcing model resonate with values-driven shoppers. Loyalty programmes have become a strategic pillar, offering personalisation and margin-friendly growth. Programmes like Tesco Clubcard and Carrefour+ drive retention and profitability beyond price wars. Finally, rising labour costs add further pressure. Recent minimum wage increases across Europe have prompted supermarkets to pursue automation, cost savings, and operational efficiencies to protect profitability in an evolving retail landscape. In 2025 alone, revenue is expected to grow at 0.9% to €2 trillion while profit is expected to reach 5.2%, a minor drop from 5.6% in 2022 thanks to intense price competition. Over the five years through 2030, supermarkets’ revenue is slated to climb at a compound annual rate of 2.9% to €3 trillion. Private label growth remains a structural trend while health, convenience, and on-the-go meals are driving new demand, particularly among younger shoppers. Supermarkets must diversify ranges to capture this growth, blending value, quality, and functionality. Convenience is also fuelling an ongoing channel shift. Online grocery sales remain, with consumers willing to pay premiums for faster delivery. Retailers are scaling up e-commerce, partnering with delivery apps, and innovating store formats to meet demand for flexibility. Smaller urban stores, hybrid models and grocerants are gaining traction. To boost efficiency and margins, supermarkets are accelerating investment in automation and AI. Personalised loyalty schemes are driving customer retention, while automation in warehouses and stores enhances productivity. Trials in drone delivery and robotic shelf scanning signal further innovation. Consolidation and integration are key to navigating sustained margin pressure. Larger grocers are pursuing M&A and pan-European alliances to drive scale, while moving upstream into food production for resilience. Supermarkets that adapt rapidly - blending private labels, convenience, technology and scale - will outperform in Europe’s increasingly competitive grocery landscape.

This statistic shows the results of a 2017 survey in which consumers in the United States were asked if they would continue to shop at their local grocery store if the prices increased by a given percentage. According to the report, only ** percent of respondents would continue to shop at their local supermarket if the prices increased by ** percent.

Supermarkets and grocery stores have endured a transformative journey since 2019, shaped by the pandemic, geopolitical tensions and an ever-changing market landscape. Grocers first encountered unprecedented demand as lockdowns redirected consumers' spending from entertainment to at-home essentials. Sales spiked, but the boom was fleeting; by 2021, factors like declining disposable income and soaring food prices reversed the trend. Even post-pandemic, the industry is evolving—more consumers than ever are embracing online grocery shopping, prompting traditional retailers to bolster their digital presence. Those unable or unwilling to adapt were largely forced out, while the largest supermarket chains maintained dominance through aggressive merger and acquisition activity and by leveraging vertically integrated operations. This momentous period caused heightened revenue volatility that still persists. Revenue has been rising at a CAGR of 0.1% over the past five years and is expected to dip 0.9% in 2024 when revenue will reach $111.9 billion. Amid this transformation, significant profit disparities worsened in an incredibly concentrated industry. Geopolitical instabilities like the war in Ukraine intensified supply chain disruptions, impacting costs for retailers. Rising energy prices compound this issue, squeezing profit as transportation expenses mount. Meanwhile, climate change injects further unpredictability into production costs, forcing grocers to manage these pressures by cautiously adjusting consumer prices. A class-action lawsuit against Loblaw Cos. Ltd. underscores market concentration challenges, spotlighting potential anti-competitive behaviours and their implications. This legal scrutiny, combined with governmental pressure for price transparency, could foster a more equitable marketplace. Should dominant players like Loblaw adjust their pricing strategies, it may level the playing field for smaller competitors, expanding competition and consumer choice. Over the next five years, a stable economic backdrop will support modest revenue growth for supermarkets. As disposable incomes stabilize, a return to preferred brands could uplift grocers' revenue. A more tempered rise in food prices will allow for strategic pricing decisions, providing grocers with a favourable environment for maintaining consumer loyalty. Technological advancements will be pivotal, with retailers expected to deepen investments in e-commerce and in-store technologies like AI-powered inventory management. This investment will be crucial as online grocery shopping and big-box retailers thrive. Governmental regulatory efforts may also reshape industry dynamics, offering smaller grocers a greater chance to compete by enhancing pricing equity. Continued inventory diversification reflecting health-conscious consumer preferences will likely continue, driven by rising interest in plant-based and ethical products. Retailers that navigate these shifts adeptly, leveraging both technology and emerging consumer trends, are poised to gain a competitive edge. Revenue is forecast to climb at a CAGR of 1.7% over the next five years, reaching $122.0 billion in 2029.

Online grocery sales have surged as online shopping has shot up. The surge in the popularity of online shopping, along with an increase in per capita disposable income and consumer spending, contributed to significant revenue growth for the industry. Overall, industry revenue will climb at a CAGR of 16.3% over the five years to 2024 to reach an estimated $43.3 billion in 2024, including expected growth of 4.3% in 2024. Over the past five years, strengthening incomes and climbing food prices have benefited online grocery sales. Sensing heightened demand for internet-based delivery services, major companies like Amazon and Walmart have scaled up their industry-relevant operations and captured much of this rising demand. Meanwhile, a new group of highly focused online grocers, including Door-to-Door Organics, have targeted niche markets across the United States by selling organic and other specialty groceries online. Moving forward, online grocery services will continue to enjoy revenue growth through the end of 2029, though at a muted pace when compared to the previous five years. Competition from brick-and-mortar grocery stores will continue to pressure the industry as many consumers prefer to shop for groceries, specifically produce, in person to assess the quality. Online grocers will invest in advanced technology to attempt to strengthen operational efficiency and reduce consumer hesitations. The use of drones for delivery and virtual reality will be key trends over the next five years. Price competitiveness will also climb, contributing to declining profit. Over the five years to 2029, industry revenue will expand at a CAGR of 3.5% to reach an estimated $51.5 billion in 2029.

August 2022 update

1. The updated database has monthly prices from over 400 supermarkets across six chains (all Shufersal stores, plus ~20 per chain for the other chains), from March 2022-August 2022. Before march there is a steady increase in the number of stores.
2. The current database has combined all the supermarket chains, which required adding two columns - 'ChainName' is the supermarket chain, and 'store_code' is a concatenation of the store_id and the beginning of the chain name, to solve the duplicate store_ids.
3. A new table was constructed to try and identify the manufacturers of each product, given the significant discrepancies in the retailers' reporting. This table ("manufacturer_finder") has identified the likely supplier of around half of the products in the database, and can be used to track specific suppliers (producers/importers).

This dataset was created to analyze changes in prices in the Israeli grocery retail market. It was created based on the files retailers are legally required to upload, available here: https://www.gov.il/he/departments/legalInfo/cpfta_prices_regulations

The data is not complete and downloads increased gradually. Beginning in May 2020 there are sporadic files for three specific Shufersal stores. Starting in November 2021 Downloads increased, ~20-50 stores downloaded at various times from Shufersal, and ~5-10 stores downloaded from a few other retailers.

Different table for each retailer. The table "snifim" specifies the names for stores for Shufersal (in the main table you can find store_id which can be joined to the names).

Description of columns in the Prices tables: Filename - original file name (without the xml extension) store_id - ID of the store upload_date - date of file download. Upload dates before 2020 - unclear what they are, probably of stores which shut down.
PriceUpdateDate - Last date of price change of the item. ItemCode - a unique ID of the item. ItemName - name. ManufacturerName - manufacturer. These data are messy. ManufactureCountry - country of production. ManufacturerItemDescription - similar to ItemName UnitQty - unit of measure Quantity - quantity. UnitOfMeasure - also unit of measure ItemPrice - price (NIS) UnitOfMeasurePrice - price divided by quantity AllowDiscount - boolean/dummy variable.

Supplementary data can be found here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1LYyCt3BTJ-QInja-4iN1vqZ91xV6TAwhywgJxecSOkM/edit?usp=sharing Including: - Analysis of suppliers - different labels associated with each supplier - A table linking Shufersal stores with their store_id - A table with details on how many price files (stores) were downloaded each date.

What are we looking for? - Price collusion - producers raising prices at the same time. - Which producers saw the greatest price increase? - Which is the most expensive store? - Which products are most promoted? You can go to the source and find "promo" tables. - Can you create a user-friendly tool to analyze these data for non-data scientists?

In March 2025, the inflation rate for food prices in the United Kingdom was measured at three percent. A period of continuous deflation between March 2015 and January 2017 preceded a return to a sustained rise in the cost of food from February 2017 onwards. While food prices were deflating between September 2020 and July 2021, they started increasing rapidly from August 2021 to March 2023. The inflation rate started to decline from April 2023. Inflation rate and consumer price indexInflation is commonly measured via the consumer price index, which illustrates changes to prices paid by consumers for a representative basket of goods and services. An annualized percentage change in the price index constitutes a measure of inflation. In order to maintain an inflation rate at a stable level, to enable the general public and businesses to plan their spending, the Government set a two percent inflation target for the Bank of England. The discounter boom The increase in food prices in the United Kingdom has shifted shopping behaviours amongst consumers. Value is now key and shoppers are changing their retailer loyalties. Aldi, the German discount supermarket retailer, overtook Morrisons as Great Britain's fourth largest supermarket in September of 2022. Aldi's market share reached double digits for the first time in April 2023. It is yet to be seen if Lidl, Aldi's discounter competitor, can also continue to rise up in the ranks and eventually take over Morrisons as the fifth leading food retailer.

Snapshot img

India Grocery Market Size 2025-2029

The India grocery market size is forecast to increase by USD 352.8 billion, at a CAGR of 8.5% between 2024 and 2029.

The India Solar Power Market is segmented by Platform (Offline, Online), product (Food Grains, Bread Bakery and Dairy Products, Fruits and Vegetables, Personal Care, Others), Method (Online Payments, Cash on Delivery), and Geography (APAC: India). This segmentation reflects the market's diversity, driven by increasing demand for food grains and fruits and vegetables in India, growing adoption of online platforms with online payments for convenience, and the continued reliance on Cash on Delivery for offline purchases to meet regional consumer preferences across the APAC region.
The grocery market is experiencing a significant shift towards online shopping, with m-commerce seeing particularly rapid growth. This trend is driven by the convenience and time savings offered by online platforms, as well as the increasing availability of delivery and pick-up options. Convenience stores and convenience-focused grocery stores offer a wide range of household goods and quick meal solutions. However, end-users exhibit mixed perceptions towards this mode of shopping, with some expressing concerns over product quality and freshness. Another key trend in the market is the rising demand for functional foods and beverages, as consumers prioritize health and wellness. This shift is expected to continue, with an increasing number of players introducing new product offerings to cater to this demand. 
Despite these opportunities, challenges remain, including the need to ensure product quality and freshness in the online channel, as well as the increasing competition and pressure to differentiate offerings. Companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities and navigate challenges effectively must focus on delivering high-quality products, providing excellent customer service, and leveraging technology to enhance the shopping experience. Machine learning and artificial intelligence are being integrated to improve product placement, customer segmentation, and demand forecasting. 

What will be the size of the India Grocery Market during the forecast period?

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In the dynamic grocery market, store formats continue to evolve, with local sourcing gaining traction as consumers seek fresher produce and reduced food miles. Grocery pickup and delivery services, including online ordering and same-day delivery, are increasingly popular, driven by consumer convenience and the ongoing pandemic. Food waste management and safety are top priorities, with voice ordering and precision agriculture technologies helping to minimize waste and ensure food safety. Virtual reality shopping and augmented reality experiences enhance the customer experience, while retail analytics and customer insights provide valuable data for pricing strategies and product assortment decisions. The circular economy is a growing trend, with emphasis on food security, automated checkout, and alternative protein sources.
Urban farming and labor shortages are also influencing market dynamics, as retailers explore innovative solutions to meet demand. Plant-based foods and pricing strategies remain key areas of competition, with retailers leveraging digital shelves and retail analytics to optimize offerings and stay competitive.

How is this market segmented?

The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Platform

  Offline
  Online


Product

  Food grains
  Bread bakery and dairy products
  Fruits and vegetables
  Personal care
  Others


Method

  Online payments
  Cash on delivery


Geography

  APAC

    India

By Platform Insights

The offline segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. The grocery market in the US is witnessing significant trends and advancements, enhancing the shopping experience for consumers. Grocery pickup and delivery services, such as click and collect and food delivery, are increasingly popular, offering convenience and time savings. Price transparency is a key focus, with many retailers employing competitive pricing strategies to attract customers. Store layouts are evolving, with an emphasis on fresh produce, household goods, and meal kits. In-store kiosks and mobile apps enable customers to access predictive analytics and personalized product recommendations. Supply chain optimization and inventory management are essential for maintaining product availability and reducing food waste.

Specialty stores catering to health and wellness, natural foods, and organic produce are growing in popularity. Private label products and subscription services are also gaining

Cost of food in Singapore increased 1 percent in June of 2025 over the same month in the previous year. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Singapore Food Inflation - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.