The 2020 recession did not follow the trend of previous recessions in the United States because only six months elapsed between the yield curve inversion and the 2020 recession. Over the last five decades, 12 months, on average, has elapsed between the initial yield curve inversion and the beginning of a recession in the United States. For instance, the yield curve inverted initially in January 2006, which was 22 months before the start of the 2008 recession. A yield curve inversion refers to the event where short-term Treasury bonds, such as one or three month bonds, have higher yields than longer term bonds, such as three or five year bonds. This is unusual, because long-term investments typically have higher yields than short-term ones in order to reward investors for taking on the extra risk of longer term investments. Monthly updates on the Treasury yield curve can be seen here.
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Key information about Switzerland Long Term Interest Rate
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Key information about Italy Long Term Interest Rate
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United States - Total Value of Loans for More than 365 Days, Low Risk, Large Domestic Banks (DISCONTINUED) was 2428.00000 Mil. of $ in April of 2017, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Total Value of Loans for More than 365 Days, Low Risk, Large Domestic Banks (DISCONTINUED) reached a record high of 2428.00000 in January of 2017 and a record low of 48.00000 in July of 1999. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Total Value of Loans for More than 365 Days, Low Risk, Large Domestic Banks (DISCONTINUED) - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.
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The global financial planning service market size was valued at approximately USD 3.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 5.8 billion by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.5% during the forecast period. The market is driven by the increasing demand for professional financial advice, burgeoning complexities in personal and business finance, and the growing awareness about the benefits of financial planning services.
The growth of the financial planning service market is significantly fueled by the increasing awareness among individuals and businesses about the importance of financial planning. As people become more educated about managing their finances, the demand for professional financial advisors rises. In addition, the evolving financial landscape, marked by ever-changing tax laws, market volatility, and complex investment opportunities, necessitates expert guidance for effective management of finances. The technological advancements in financial planning tools and platforms also play a pivotal role in making financial services more accessible and efficient, thereby driving market growth.
Moreover, the rising disposable incomes and increasing life expectancy rates are major growth drivers in the financial planning service market. With higher incomes, individuals are more likely to seek professional advice to optimize their investment portfolios, plan for retirement, and secure their financial future. Similarly, as people live longer, the need for comprehensive retirement planning becomes more pressing, resulting in a higher demand for financial planning services. Additionally, regulatory changes and government initiatives aimed at promoting financial literacy and planning further bolster market growth.
The shift towards digitalization and the proliferation of online financial planning services are also significant contributors to market expansion. The convenience and accessibility offered by digital platforms attract a broader client base, including younger generations who are more tech-savvy. Online financial planning services allow for real-time updates, personalized financial advice, and easy management of financial portfolios, thereby enhancing customer satisfaction and driving market growth. Furthermore, the increasing integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in financial planning tools improves the accuracy and efficiency of financial advice, further boosting market growth.
Regionally, North America holds the largest share in the financial planning service market, driven by the high disposable incomes, a well-established financial services industry, and a high level of awareness about financial planning. However, the Asia Pacific region is expected to witness the highest growth rate during the forecast period. The rising middle-class population, increasing disposable incomes, and growing awareness about financial planning in countries like China and India are key factors contributing to the growth of the market in this region. Other regions, such as Europe and Latin America, also present significant growth opportunities due to increasing financial literacy and the adoption of digital financial planning tools.
Investment planning is one of the most significant segments in the financial planning service market. This segment involves the creation of tailored investment strategies to meet clients' financial goals, such as wealth accumulation, retirement planning, and education funding. Investment planning services are in high demand due to the increasing complexity of investment options and the need for professional guidance to navigate market volatility. The growing popularity of mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and other investment vehicles further drives the demand for investment planning services. Financial advisors play a crucial role in helping clients diversify their portfolios and manage risks, thereby enhancing the appeal of investment planning services.
Retirement planning is another critical segment, driven by the increasing life expectancy rates and the need for financial security in old age. As individuals live longer, they require well-structured retirement plans to ensure a steady income stream during their retirement years. Retirement planning services include the assessment of retirement needs, the development of savings strategies, and the management of retirement accounts. The growing awareness about the importance of early retirement planning and the availability of various retirement saving
The average yield for long-term government bond in Bulgaria reached almost four percent as in October 2024. Bond yields were as low as 0.19 percent in 2021, but started increasing following the interest rates hikes implemented by central banks in the last three years.
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United States - Weighted-Average Maturity for More than 365 Days, Other Risk (Acceptable), Large Domestic Banks (DISCONTINUED) was 45.00000 Months in April of 2017, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Weighted-Average Maturity for More than 365 Days, Other Risk (Acceptable), Large Domestic Banks (DISCONTINUED) reached a record high of 85.00000 in April of 2000 and a record low of 24.00000 in April of 2009. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Weighted-Average Maturity for More than 365 Days, Other Risk (Acceptable), Large Domestic Banks (DISCONTINUED) - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.
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Using data from nearly 1.2 million Black SAT takers, we estimate the impacts of initially enrolling in an Historically Black College and University (HBCU) on educational, economic, and financial outcomes. We control for the college application portfolio and compare students with similar portfolios and levels of interest in HBCUs and non-HBCUs who ultimately make divergent enrollment decisions - often enrolling in a four-year HBCU in lieu of a two-year college or no college. We find that students initially enrolling in HBCUs are 14.6 percentage points more likely to earn a bachelor's degree and have 5 percent higher household income around age 30 than those who do not enroll in an HBCU. Initially enrolling in an HBCU also leads to $12,000 more in outstanding student loans around age 30. We find that some of these results are driven by an increased likelihood of completing a degree from relatively broad-access HBCUs and also relatively high-earning majors (e.g., STEM). We also explore new outcomes, such as credit scores, mortgages, bankruptcy, and neighborhood characteristics around age 30.
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United States - Average Loan Size for More than 365 Days, Low Risk, Domestic Banks (DISCONTINUED) was 1732.00000 Thous. of $ in April of 2017, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Average Loan Size for More than 365 Days, Low Risk, Domestic Banks (DISCONTINUED) reached a record high of 1829.00000 in April of 2010 and a record low of 79.00000 in July of 1999. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Average Loan Size for More than 365 Days, Low Risk, Domestic Banks (DISCONTINUED) - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.
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This dataset tracks annual graduation rate from 2012 to 2022 for Long Branch High School vs. New Jersey and Long Branch Public School District
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Between 2000 and 2022, Burkina Faso’s economic output has more than tripled in real terms, but this has not translated into significant reductions in the number in extreme poverty. Economic growth has been highly volatile due to exposure to weather and climate shocks, political instability and conflict, and external shocks such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. Although the economy has undergone major sectoral changes, they do not reflect the degree of structural transformation needed to equip the country for future success. A slowdown in agricultural production over the past decade has left Burkina Faso less able to provide employment in rural areas and feed a growing population. Growth has not been efficient due to low productivity, a sub-optimal allocation of production factors, and major constraints to private sector development, including a low human capital base. Growth has also not been sustainable due to low levels of investment, the deterioration of public finances, and the destruction of natural resources, which all limit the economy’s resilience to shocks. Finally, growth has not been inclusive due to the underemployment of young people and women in the formal sectors of the economy, and little redistribution of the fruits of growth. The policy objective in this area will be to increase women’s engagement in higher-value sectors, improve their access to productive inputs, and increase their physical security and household agency. Under the high, sustainable, and inclusive growth scenario, significant per capita GDP gains would see Burkina Faso join the group of lower middle-income countries by 2040 and remain in the group thereafter.
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The global long read sequencing market size was valued at approximately USD 1.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 10.5 billion by 2032, growing at a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 27.1% during the forecast period. This notable growth can be attributed to the increasing adoption of advanced sequencing technologies in various sectors, including clinical diagnostics, research, and agriculture, driven by the demand for high accuracy and comprehensive genomic data.
One of the primary growth factors driving the long read sequencing market is the technological advancements in sequencing methodologies. Innovations such as Single-Molecule Real-Time (SMRT) sequencing and Nanopore sequencing have revolutionized the field by providing longer read lengths, higher accuracy, and faster processing times compared to traditional short-read sequencing technologies. These advancements allow for a more detailed and comprehensive understanding of complex genomic regions, structural variants, and epigenetic modifications, thus broadening the scope of genomic research and clinical applications.
Another significant driver of market growth is the increasing application of long read sequencing in clinical diagnostics. The ability to obtain longer reads and more accurate sequencing data helps in the precise identification of genetic mutations, structural variations, and disease-causing variants. This is particularly crucial for diagnosing rare genetic disorders, cancers, and other complex diseases where traditional sequencing methods may fall short. The growing awareness and adoption of precision medicine are further propelling the demand for long read sequencing technologies in healthcare settings.
The agricultural sector also presents substantial growth potential for the long read sequencing market. By enabling the detailed analysis of plant genomes, long read sequencing assists in the identification of beneficial traits, disease resistance genes, and other genetic factors that can enhance crop yield and quality. The technology's capacity to provide comprehensive insights into complex plant genomes is driving its adoption in plant breeding, genomics research, and agricultural biotechnology, which is expected to significantly contribute to market growth in the coming years.
From a regional perspective, North America leads the long read sequencing market, primarily due to the presence of a well-established healthcare infrastructure, significant research funding, and early adoption of advanced sequencing technologies. However, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest growth rate during the forecast period. Factors such as increasing healthcare expenditure, rising awareness about genetic diseases, and growing investments in genomics research are driving the market in this region. Europe also holds a substantial market share, supported by robust research activities and favorable government initiatives.
The long read sequencing market by technology is segmented into Single-Molecule Real-Time (SMRT) sequencing and Nanopore sequencing. SMRT sequencing technology offers several advantages, including long read lengths, high accuracy, and the ability to directly observe DNA modifications. This technology is particularly valuable for applications requiring the sequencing of complex genomic regions and repetitive sequences. The continuous advancements in SMRT sequencing chemistry and platform enhancements are expected to drive its adoption further, making it a dominant segment in the market.
Nanopore sequencing, on the other hand, provides real-time sequencing capabilities with the potential for ultra-long reads. This technology allows for the direct sequencing of native DNA or RNA molecules without the need for amplification, preserving the integrity of the original sample. Nanopore sequencing's portability, fast turnaround time, and ability to sequence large genomes make it an attractive option for various research and clinical applications. The ongoing improvements in nanopore technology, including enhanced accuracy and data quality, are anticipated to fuel its growth in the coming years.
Both SMRT and nanopore sequencing technologies have unique strengths and applications, contributing to their growing adoption in the genomics field. The choice of technology often depends on specific research or clinical needs, such as the requirement for high accuracy, long read lengths, or rapid sequencing. As these technologies continue to evolve and im
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India Corporate Debt Securities: Maturiry more than 1 Year: Rating: AA: High Safety: Number of Issues data was reported at 25.000 Unit in Oct 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 34.000 Unit for Sep 2018. India Corporate Debt Securities: Maturiry more than 1 Year: Rating: AA: High Safety: Number of Issues data is updated monthly, averaging 40.000 Unit from Apr 2017 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 19 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 72.000 Unit in Sep 2017 and a record low of 22.000 Unit in May 2018. India Corporate Debt Securities: Maturiry more than 1 Year: Rating: AA: High Safety: Number of Issues data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Securities and Exchange Board of India. The data is categorized under India Premium Database’s Financial Market – Table IN.ZD046: Corporate Debt: Long Term Securities: by Ratings.
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The global market size for batteries used in child toys was valued at approximately $1.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $2.1 billion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.2% during the forecast period. The growth of this market is driven by increasing demand for electronic toys, advancements in battery technology, and rising disposable incomes. As parents become more inclined towards purchasing interactive and educational toys for their children, the need for reliable, long-lasting batteries has surged, further propelling the market growth.
One of the key factors contributing to the growth of the battery for child toys market is the rapid technological advancements in battery technology. Innovations in battery chemistry and design have resulted in longer-lasting, safer, and more efficient batteries, catering to the growing demand for high-performance batteries in various child toys. This has significantly boosted the adoption of advanced battery types such as lithium-ion and nickel-metal hydride in electronic and remote-controlled toys. Additionally, the declining costs of these batteries due to economies of scale and improvements in manufacturing processes have made them more accessible to a wider consumer base.
Another crucial growth factor is the increasing popularity of electronic and interactive toys, which require reliable power sources. The rising trend of educational toys, which are designed to enhance cognitive skills and provide interactive learning experiences, has further fueled the demand for high-quality batteries. Parents are increasingly willing to invest in toys that offer educational value, leading to a surge in demand for batteries that can support the advanced functionalities of these toys. Moreover, the growing trend of remote-controlled toys, which provide entertainment and engagement for children, has also contributed to the rising demand for robust and long-lasting batteries.
The rising disposable incomes and changing lifestyles of consumers, particularly in emerging economies, have also played a significant role in driving the growth of the battery for child toys market. As families have more disposable income to spend on non-essential goods, the demand for high-quality, durable toys has increased. This, in turn, has created a substantial market for batteries that can support the power requirements of these toys. Furthermore, the increasing awareness among parents about the importance of choosing safe and reliable batteries for their children's toys has led to a higher demand for branded and certified battery products.
From a regional perspective, the Asia Pacific region is expected to witness the highest growth rate during the forecast period, driven by the large population base, rising disposable incomes, and increasing urbanization. Countries like China and India are experiencing rapid economic growth, leading to higher consumer spending on children's toys and related accessories. Additionally, the presence of a large number of toy manufacturers in the region has further fueled the demand for batteries. North America and Europe are also significant markets for batteries used in child toys, owing to the high adoption of advanced toys and the presence of well-established toy manufacturers in these regions.
The battery for child toys market is segmented by battery type into alkaline, lithium-ion, nickel-cadmium, nickel-metal hydride, and others. Alkaline batteries are one of the most commonly used types in child toys due to their affordability and widespread availability. They are known for their reliable performance and longer shelf life, making them a popular choice among consumers. However, alkaline batteries have been facing stiff competition from more advanced battery types, such as lithium-ion and nickel-metal hydride, which offer superior performance and longer operational life.
Lithium-ion batteries have been gaining significant traction in the market owing to their high energy density, lightweight nature, and longer lifespan compared to traditional alkaline batteries. These batteries are particularly favored for electronic and remote-controlled toys, as they can provide consistent power output without frequent replacements. The growing awareness of the environmental impact of disposable batteries has also led to an increased preference for rechargeable lithium-ion batteries, which contribute to reducing electronic waste.
Nickel-cadmium (NiCd) batteries, although less prevalent in recent
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In recent years, beauty product manufacturers have faced significant losses due to unfavorable economic conditions, including high inflation and increasing economic uncertainty. Many cosmetics and beauty products are considered discretionary, causing sales to weaken when disposable income drops. Heightened inflationary pressures in recent years pushed consumers to postpone purchases to downgrade to more affordable products, contributing to revenue losses between 2020 and 2022. Although domestic manufacturers have begun to recover, recent gains are largely driven by higher selling prices despite the smaller basket sizes. Since 2020, revenue has weakened by an estimated CAGR of 1.2% to reach $45.3 billion in 2025, including a 2.4% gain that year alone. During such times, consumers tend to opt for more affordable options, leading to a surge in imports to meet domestic demand. Imported beauty products have gained a larger share of the domestic market, especially those from countries like France, Italy and South Korea, which are perceived to offer higher quality. The growing demand for innovative, inclusive, sustainable and technical products—especially anti-aging and luxury items—creates growth opportunities for domestic manufacturers. Also, companies like Glossier, which leverages social media marketing and the heightened demand for US-made products, have successfully reached international consumers, driving an increase in exports. The ongoing economic recovery is expected to benefit domestic beauty product manufacturers. As consumer confidence and disposable income climb, spending on discretionary items like beauty products will likely increase, supporting manufacturers' performance. The anticipated decline in the world price of zinc, a key material for manufacturers, due to resolved international conflicts, will boost producers' profit. Similarly, the expected depreciation of the US dollar will enhance the performance of domestic producers both domestically and internationally. These factors are set to cause revenue to accelerate at an annualized 2.5% to $51.3 billion through the end of 2025.
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The battery-powered nutrunner market size is set to experience significant growth, with global numbers expected to rise from $1.5 billion in 2023 to approximately $2.8 billion by 2032, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.5%. Key growth factors propelling this market include the rising demand for efficient and reliable fastening solutions, the advancement in battery technologies, and the increasing adoption of automation in various industries.
The growth of the battery-powered nutrunner market is largely driven by the increasing need for enhanced efficiency and precision in industrial operations. Traditional pneumatic and hydraulic tools often fall short in terms of flexibility and ease of use compared to their battery-powered counterparts. As industries strive for higher productivity and tighter quality control, the demand for advanced battery-powered nutrunners has surged. Additionally, the integration of smart technologies, such as torque sensors and data analytics, into these tools further enhances their appeal, enabling users to monitor and adjust operations in real-time.
Another significant growth factor is the advancement in battery technology, which has led to the development of more powerful and longer-lasting battery-powered nutrunners. The advent of lithium-ion batteries has revolutionized the tool industry, offering higher energy densities, longer life cycles, and shorter charging times. These advancements make battery-powered nutrunners more reliable and efficient, reducing downtime and maintenance costs. As a result, industries are increasingly replacing their old pneumatic and hydraulic tools with modern battery-powered alternatives.
Electric Screwdrivers and Nutrunners are increasingly becoming integral components in the toolkit of modern industries. These tools offer unparalleled precision and efficiency, making them ideal for applications that demand exact torque settings and consistent performance. The versatility of electric screwdrivers and nutrunners allows them to be used across various sectors, including automotive, aerospace, and electronics, where the need for reliable fastening solutions is paramount. As industries continue to evolve, the demand for tools that can seamlessly integrate with automated systems is on the rise, further driving the adoption of electric screwdrivers and nutrunners. Their ability to provide real-time data and analytics enhances operational efficiency, making them indispensable in today's fast-paced industrial environment.
The increasing trend of industrial automation is also a major driver for the growth of the battery-powered nutrunner market. Automated manufacturing processes require precise and consistent torque application, which battery-powered nutrunners can deliver. The ability to integrate these tools with automated systems further enhances their utility, providing seamless operation and reducing the risk of human error. Moreover, the rising adoption of Industry 4.0 and smart factory initiatives is expected to boost the demand for battery-powered nutrunners in the coming years.
In terms of regional outlook, Asia Pacific is anticipated to be the fastest-growing market for battery-powered nutrunners, driven by rapid industrialization and the expansion of the manufacturing sector in countries like China, India, and Japan. North America and Europe are also significant markets, due to the high adoption rate of advanced tools and automation technologies. The presence of established industries, such as automotive and aerospace, in these regions further supports market growth. Meanwhile, Latin America and the Middle East & Africa are expected to witness steady growth, fueled by increasing investments in infrastructure and industrial development.
The battery-powered nutrunner market is segmented into various types, including pistol grip, angle, and straight nutrunners. Pistol grip nutrunners are characterized by their ergonomic design, which allows for easy handling and operation. These tools are particularly popular in applications where space is limited and precision is crucial, such as in automotive and aerospace manufacturing. The pistol grip design helps reduce operator fatigue, making it a preferred choice for long-duration tasks. Additionally, advancements in design and materials have made these tools lighter and more durable, further enhancing their appeal.
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This represents the percentage of households in the US earning an annual income of more than $100,000. Data is inflation-adjusted and sourced from the US Census Bureau.
In 2023, **** percent of Black people living in the United States were living below the poverty line, compared to *** percent of white people. That year, the total poverty rate in the U.S. across all races and ethnicities was **** percent. Poverty in the United States Single people in the United States making less than ****** U.S. dollars a year and families of four making less than ****** U.S. dollars a year are considered to be below the poverty line. Women and children are more likely to suffer from poverty, due to women staying home more often than men to take care of children, and women suffering from the gender wage gap. Not only are women and children more likely to be affected, racial minorities are as well due to the discrimination they face. Poverty data Despite being one of the wealthiest nations in the world, the United States had the third highest poverty rate out of all OECD countries in 2019. However, the United States' poverty rate has been fluctuating since 1990, but has been decreasing since 2014. The average median household income in the U.S. has remained somewhat consistent since 1990, but has recently increased since 2014 until a slight decrease in 2020, potentially due to the pandemic. The state that had the highest number of people living below the poverty line in 2020 was California.
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The global floor scrubber battery market size was estimated to be USD 2.8 billion in 2023 and is forecasted to reach approximately USD 5.4 billion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.5%. This impressive growth is largely fueled by the increasing demand for automated and efficient cleaning solutions in various sectors, including commercial, industrial, and residential areas. Factors such as rapid urbanization, technological advancements, and heightened awareness of hygiene standards are propelling the market forward.
The growth of the floor scrubber battery market is significantly influenced by the rising adoption of automated cleaning equipment. As urbanization continues to expand globally, the necessity for maintaining clean and hygienic environments in public and private spaces has become more critical. This is particularly true in commercial and industrial sectors where large floor areas must be maintained efficiently. Automated floor scrubbers, powered by advanced battery technologies, offer a practical solution to this growing need, promoting market growth.
Another vital growth factor is the technological advancements in battery technologies. Traditional lead-acid batteries are increasingly being replaced by more efficient and longer-lasting lithium-ion batteries. Lithium-ion batteries offer several advantages, including shorter charging times, longer operational periods, and reduced maintenance requirements. These benefits are highly appealing to end-users looking to optimize their cleaning operations' efficiency and reliability. As a result, the demand for lithium-ion batteries in floor scrubbers is surging, driving overall market growth.
Moreover, the increasing awareness of the importance of maintaining high hygiene standards, especially in healthcare and hospitality sectors, is a significant driver of market growth. The COVID-19 pandemic has accentuated the necessity for stringent cleaning protocols to mitigate infection risks. Floor scrubbers equipped with advanced batteries provide an effective solution for thorough and frequent cleaning, ensuring high hygiene standards are met consistently. This heightened focus on cleanliness is expected to sustain the demand for floor scrubber batteries in the foreseeable future.
Regionally, the floor scrubber battery market is experiencing robust growth across multiple regions, each contributing significantly to the market's expansion. North America and Europe, with their advanced commercial infrastructure and high standards of hygiene, are leading markets. Meanwhile, the Asia Pacific region is emerging as a lucrative market, driven by rapid industrialization and urbanization. Latin America and the Middle East & Africa are also witnessing growing adoption of automated cleaning solutions, supported by improving economic conditions and increasing awareness of hygiene practices.
The floor scrubber battery market can be segmented into lead-acid, lithium-ion, and other battery types. Lead-acid batteries have long been the standard in floor scrubbers due to their reliability and cost-effectiveness. Despite their bulkiness and longer charging times, they remain popular due to their low initial costs and established infrastructure for recycling and disposal. However, the environmental concerns associated with lead and the need for regular maintenance are driving users to explore alternative battery technologies.
Lithium-ion batteries are rapidly gaining traction in the floor scrubber battery market. These batteries offer several advantages over traditional lead-acid batteries, including higher energy density, faster charging times, and longer lifespan. The reduced maintenance requirements and lower total cost of ownership over the battery's life cycle make lithium-ion batteries an attractive choice for commercial and industrial applications. The growing adoption of lithium-ion batteries is expected to significantly impact the market landscape, with many manufacturers investing in this technology to meet evolving customer demands.
Other battery types, including nickel-cadmium and nickel-metal hydride, are also present in the market, though their adoption is relatively limited. These batteries offer specific advantages, such as higher tolerance to extreme temperatures and better performance in certain applications. However, their higher costs and environmental concerns, particularly regarding nickel-cadmium batteries, have restricted their widespread use in floor scrubbers. As the
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Population in urban agglomerations of more than 1 million in Colombia was reported at 23552427 in 2024, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Colombia - Population in urban agglomerations of more than 1 million - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on June of 2025.
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The 2020 recession did not follow the trend of previous recessions in the United States because only six months elapsed between the yield curve inversion and the 2020 recession. Over the last five decades, 12 months, on average, has elapsed between the initial yield curve inversion and the beginning of a recession in the United States. For instance, the yield curve inverted initially in January 2006, which was 22 months before the start of the 2008 recession. A yield curve inversion refers to the event where short-term Treasury bonds, such as one or three month bonds, have higher yields than longer term bonds, such as three or five year bonds. This is unusual, because long-term investments typically have higher yields than short-term ones in order to reward investors for taking on the extra risk of longer term investments. Monthly updates on the Treasury yield curve can be seen here.