Vacancy rates across the office real estate sector in the U.S. increased in the second quarter of 2025. This was in line with a general trend of rising vacancies that started in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. In the second quarter of 2025, about **** percent of office space across the country was vacant. In some major U.S. markets, vacancies exceeded ***percent. With a considerable part of the workforce working from home or following a hybrid working model, businesses are cautious when it comes to upscaling or renewing leases. Workplaces may never be the same again The COVID-19 pandemic has changed the way that companies operate, with working from home becoming the new normal for many U.S. employees. The function of the office has evolved from the primary workplace to a space where employees collaborate, exchange ideas, and socialize. That has shifted occupiers’ attention toward spaces with modern designs that can accommodate the office of the future. Many businesses used the pandemic time to revisit their office guidelines, remodel, or do a full or partial fit-out. With so much focus on quality, older buildings with poorer design or energy performance are likely to suffer lower demand, resulting in a two-speed market. What do higher vacancy rates mean for investors? Simply put, if landlords do not have tenants, their income stream is disrupted, and they cannot service their debts. April 2023 data shows that several U.S. metros had a significantly high share of distressed office real estate debt. In Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC, more than one-third of the commercial mortgage-backed securities for offices were delinquent, in special servicing, or a combination of both. As of March 2025, offices had the highest delinquency rate in the commercial property sector.
The vacancy rate of office real estate in the United States was higher than of any other property type in 2025. In the first quarter of the year, approximately ** percent of office real estate was vacant, compared to **** percent of multifamily. Shopping centers and industrial property had the lowest vacancy rates, at *** percent and ***** percent, respectively.
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The Commercial Real Estate (CRE) industry is exhibiting significant variations across markets, with persistently high office vacancy rates juxtaposed against thriving prime office spaces. Hard hit by the widespread adoption of remote and hybrid work models, the overall office vacancy rate rose to 20.4% in Q4 2024 from the pre-pandemic rate of 16.8%. However, leasing volumes for prime office spaces are set to climb, providing opportunities for seasoned investors. On the other hand, the multifamily sector is gaining from a prominent move towards renting, primarily driven by housing affordability concerns and changing lifestyle preferences. This has increased demand for multifamily properties and opportunities to convert underutilized properties, such as offices, into residential rentals. The industrial real estate segment is also evolving, with the boom in e-commerce necessitating the development of strategically located warehouses for quick fulfillment and last-mile delivery. Industry revenue has gained at a CAGR of 0.8% to reach $1.4 trillion through the end of 2025, including a 0.4% climb in 2025 alone. The industry is grappling with multiple challenges, including high interest rates, wide buyer-seller expectation gaps and significant disparities in demand across different geographies and asset types. The Federal Reserve's persistent high-interest-rate environment creates refinancing hurdles for properties purchased during the low-rate period of 2020-2021. Because of remote working trends, office delinquency rates are predicted to climb from 11.0% in late 2024 to 14.0% by 2026, leading to a job market increasingly concentrated in certain urban centers. Through the end of 2030, the CRE industry is expected to stabilize as the construction pipeline shrinks, reducing new supply and, in turn, rebalancing supply and demand dynamics. With this adjustment, occupancy rates are likely to improve, and rents may observe gradual growth. The data center segment is set to witness accelerating demand propelled by the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence, cloud computing and the Internet of Things. Likewise, mixed-use properties are poised to gain popularity, driven by the growing appeal of flexible spaces that accommodate diverse businesses and residents. This new demand, coupled with the retiring baby boomer generation's preference for leisure-centric locales, is expected to push the transformation of traditional shopping plazas towards destination centers, offering continued opportunities for savvy CRE investors. Industry revenue will expand at a CAGR of 1.9% to reach $1.6 trillion in 2030.
The vacancy rates of shopping center real estate in the United States varied between different cities. Nashville, TN topped the list with the lowest vacancy rate of *** percent in the final quarter of 2024. At the same time, cities such as Montgomery, AL, Rochester, NY, New Haven, CT, saw vacancy rates above **** percent. Across different types of retail real estate, freestanding retail had the highest occupancy rate in 2024.
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Commercial Real Estate Market Size 2025-2029
The commercial real estate market size is valued to increase USD 427.3 billion, at a CAGR of 4.6% from 2024 to 2029. Growing commercial sector globally will drive the commercial real estate market.
Major Market Trends & Insights
APAC dominated the market and accounted for a 42% growth during the forecast period.
By End-user - Offices segment was valued at USD 476.50 billion in 2023
By Channel - Rental segment accounted for the largest market revenue share in 2023
Market Size & Forecast
Market Opportunities: USD 43.44 billion
Market Future Opportunities: USD 427.30 billion
CAGR : 4.6%
APAC: Largest market in 2023
Market Summary
The market is a dynamic and ever-evolving sector that continues to shape the global business landscape. Core technologies and applications, such as Building Information Modeling (BIM) and Real Estate Information Systems (REIS), are increasingly being adopted to streamline operations and enhance efficiency. According to a recent report, the BIM market in the real estate sector is projected to grow at a steady pace, reaching a market share of 30% by 2025. Service types and product categories, including property management, brokerage, and construction services, are also experiencing significant changes. For instance, the growing trend of remote work and online shopping is driving demand for flexible and adaptable commercial spaces.
Additionally, regulations and policies are evolving to accommodate these changes, with many governments investing in smart city initiatives and green building standards. Despite these opportunities, the market faces challenges such as economic uncertainty, changing demographics, and increasing competition. However, these challenges also present new opportunities for innovation and growth. For instance, the adoption of proptech solutions and the integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning are transforming the way commercial real estate is bought, sold, and managed. Overall, the market is a complex and dynamic ecosystem that requires constant monitoring and adaptation to stay ahead of the curve.
What will be the Size of the Commercial Real Estate Market during the forecast period?
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How is the Commercial Real Estate Market Segmented and what are the key trends of market segmentation?
The commercial real estate industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
End-user
Offices
Retail
Leisure
Others
Channel
Rental
Lease
Sales
Transaction Type
Commercial Leasing
Property Sales
Property Management
Service Type
Brokerage Services
Property Development
Valuation Consulting
Facilities Management
Geography
North America
US
Canada
Europe
France
Germany
Italy
UK
Middle East and Africa
Egypt
KSA
Oman
UAE
APAC
China
India
Japan
South America
Argentina
Brazil
Rest of World (ROW)
By End-user Insights
The offices segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
In the ever-evolving market, the offices segment is experiencing significant growth, driven by shifting work trends and corporate demands. Flexible work arrangements, hybrid models, and technological integration are transforming the need for office space. Businesses prioritize contemporary, adaptable, and technologically advanced workspaces to attract and retain talent. Co-working spaces like Regus and WeWork, which offer flexible office solutions, are gaining popularity. Major corporations, such as Google and Amazon, invest in innovative office designs that foster collaboration and employee satisfaction. According to recent market data, the offices end-user segment is projected to expand by 15% between 2024 and 2028, underscoring the continuous adaptation of workspaces to modern business practices.
Meanwhile, tenant occupancy rates remain a critical concern for commercial property owners. Lease agreement terms, negotiation strategies, and rent collection efficiency are essential factors in maintaining a healthy portfolio. Building lifecycle costs, code compliance, and investment return metrics are other essential considerations for property managers. Environmental impact assessments, construction cost estimating, and property tax appeals are also crucial elements in the market. Property value depreciation, commercial property insurance, and portfolio risk management are essential aspects of property management. Property management software, energy efficiency upgrades, and property tax assessments are key tools for optimizing o
Germany, the UK, and France had the largest commercial real estate markets in Europe in 2024, amounting to almost **** of the European market. The market size is based on the value of high-quality real estate as a percentage of each country’s GDP. In Germany, the market size of commercial real estate was about *** trillion U.S. dollars. Investment in commercial real estate Although the United Kingdom had a smaller market size than Germany, it recorded a higher commercial real estate investment volume in 2023. Due to the unfavorable economic climate, transaction activity declined markedly that year, affecting the whole region. Many countries, such as Germany, Sweden, and Italy, saw investment plummet by approximately ** percent. Most popular European cities among real estate investors Industry experts consider a broad range of factors when allocating capital to real estate assets. Transport connectivity and a city’s economic performance, however, stood out as most important, according to a 2023 survey. Unsurprisingly, the capital cities of the UK, Spain, and France ranked as the European cities with the highest real estate prospects in 2025.
The commercial real estate market in Scandinavian countries was valued at USD 52.74 Billion in 2022 and is likely to reach USD 459.43 Billion by 2031, expanding at a CAGR of 27.19% during 2023 – 2031. The growth of the market is attributed to low interest rate for business coupled with strong economy growth.
Scandinavia’s strong macroeconomic environment and political stability provide safe investment opportunities for investors in the region. The uncertainty over Brexit is one of the key factors shifting investors to these nations over Europe. Over the years, there have been significant increase in the number of international investors pouring capital into commercial real estate. Foreign net investments rose mainly in Sweden, while for Norway and Denmark, it is growing at a sluggish rate.
Denmark is the country with the lowest borrowing costs owing to its unique mortgage system. Copenhagen, a city in the Denmark, offers several new large urban development areas near the city. The country offers a high yield in various retail properties located in the capital. Overall, the Scandinavian market offers remunerative opportunities opportunities for real estate investments.
Rising investments into the logistics industry is expected to propel the market growth. This is owing to the rapid growth of the e-commerce activities, which in turn, has encouraged to lease warehouses.
The COVID-19 pandemic had disrupted the real estate industry across the globe. Government state bodies had announced lockdown of manufacturing facilities, retail stores, and corporates to mitigate the spread of virus. This, in turn, reduced the purchasing <a href="https://growthmarketreports.com/report/power
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The Latin American office real estate market, encompassing key nations like Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, and Chile, exhibits robust growth potential. Driven by expanding economies, increasing urbanization, and a burgeoning technology sector, the market is projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 5.5% from 2025 to 2033. Significant investments in infrastructure and a rise in foreign direct investment further fuel this expansion. However, economic volatility in certain regions and potential regulatory hurdles pose challenges. The market segmentation reveals Brazil and Mexico as leading contributors to overall market size, benefiting from robust economic activity and substantial corporate presence. Colombia and Chile also contribute significantly, with a growth trajectory closely linked to their respective economic performance and attractiveness to international businesses. While precise market sizing for 2025 is unavailable, leveraging the provided CAGR and assuming a 2024 market size of approximately $100 billion USD (a plausible estimate considering the scale of the economies involved), the market size for 2025 can be estimated to be around $105.5 billion USD. This growth is expected to continue, with further expansion fueled by the increasing demand for modern and sustainable office spaces, particularly in major metropolitan areas. Competition among major players like CBRE Group, Cushman & Wakefield, and local firms such as OAS S.A. and Andrade Gutierrez S.A., is intensifying, leading to innovation in design, technology integration, and sustainable building practices. The market is also witnessing increased adoption of flexible workspaces and co-working models, catering to evolving corporate needs. This demand for flexible solutions is likely to drive further investment and growth in specific segments of the market. Long-term prospects remain positive, though careful consideration of macroeconomic factors and localized market conditions is crucial for successful investment and strategic planning. The forecast period from 2025 to 2033 presents lucrative opportunities, particularly for companies offering innovative and sustainable solutions tailored to the specific needs of different markets within Latin America. Recent developments include: June 2022: Patria Investments ('Patria'), a global alternative asset manager, acquired VBI Real Estate ('VBI'), one of the top independent alternative real estate asset managers in Brazil, with approximately USD 75 Million in assets under management across both development and core real estate vehicles. The transaction is structured in two stages, the first of which entails the acquisition of 50% of VBI by Patria. The second stage, when closed, will lead to full ownership and integration of VBI to Patria's platform, January 2022: Brazilian real estate group SYN Prop e Tech has enlisted US firm Paul Hastings LLP and local firm Mattos Filho, Veiga Filho, Marrey Jr e Quiroga Advogados to sell its stake in a portfolio of office buildings in São Paulo to Canadian asset management fund Brookfield for 1.8 billion reais (USD 318 million).. Notable trends are: Demand for Grade-A Offices, Co-working Offices to Rise.
Freestanding retail real estate in the United States had the highest occupancy rate in the fourth quarter of 2024, at **** percent. This was *** percent higher than the average for the retail real estate sector. Malls, life centers and outlet centers had the highest vacancy, with **** percent of space occupied.
The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has led to major cyclical and structural changes in the office real estate sector. As a result of the economic downturn and rising unemployment, along with an increasing share of businesses that introduce the option to work from home, office real estate demand in certain regions worldwide is forecast see a short term decline. In 2022, office real estate vacancy rates are forecast to peak at **** percent in the United States, **** percent in Europe, and **** percent in Greater China. In the Asia Pacific region and in Canada, vacancies are expected to reach their highest point in 2022.
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The global commercial real estate market size was valued at approximately $10.3 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach $15.9 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.1%. This growth is primarily driven by increasing urbanization, favorable government policies, and technological advancements in the real estate sector.
One of the key growth factors in the commercial real estate market is the rapid urbanization occurring worldwide. As more people move to urban areas, there is an increasing demand for commercial spaces, including office buildings, retail outlets, and industrial facilities. This trend is particularly evident in emerging economies, where urban populations are expanding at unprecedented rates. Moreover, the development of smart cities is also contributing to this growth, as these projects often include significant commercial real estate components.
Favorable government policies and economic incentives are also boosting the commercial real estate market. Many governments are implementing measures to attract investments in real estate, such as tax breaks, grants, and relaxed regulations. These policies are designed to stimulate economic growth and create jobs, making commercial real estate a lucrative investment opportunity. Additionally, the availability of low-interest rates in many regions has made it easier for businesses to finance commercial properties, further driving market growth.
Technological advancements are another major factor propelling the commercial real estate market forward. Innovations such as Building Information Modeling (BIM), augmented reality (AR), and the Internet of Things (IoT) are revolutionizing the way commercial properties are designed, constructed, and managed. These technologies enhance operational efficiency, reduce costs, and improve tenant experiences, making commercial real estate investments more attractive. Furthermore, the rise of e-commerce has increased the demand for logistics and warehousing spaces, adding another layer of growth to the market.
Regionally, the commercial real estate market shows varied growth patterns. North America remains a dominant player due to its well-established infrastructure and strong economic fundamentals. However, the Asia Pacific region is expected to witness the fastest growth, driven by rapid urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and significant foreign investments. Europe also presents substantial opportunities, particularly in the office and industrial segments, as the region continues to recover from economic uncertainties. Meanwhile, Latin America and the Middle East & Africa are emerging markets with significant growth potential, though they face challenges such as political instability and economic volatility.
In the commercial real estate market, the property type is a critical segment that encompasses various categories such as office, retail, industrial, multifamily, and others. The office segment continues to be one of the most significant contributors to the market. Despite the rise of remote work, the demand for premium office spaces in prime locations remains high. Companies are increasingly focusing on creating collaborative work environments, which necessitates investment in modern office spaces with state-of-the-art amenities. Additionally, co-working spaces have emerged as a popular trend, further driving the demand in the office segment.
The retail segment is another vital component of the commercial real estate market. While traditional brick-and-mortar retail faces challenges from the rise of e-commerce, there is a growing trend towards experiential retail spaces. Retailers are increasingly focusing on creating unique, engaging shopping experiences that cannot be replicated online. This has led to the development of mixed-use properties that combine retail, dining, entertainment, and residential spaces, catering to the evolving preferences of consumers.
Industrial real estate is experiencing robust growth, primarily driven by the expansion of e-commerce and the need for efficient supply chain solutions. Warehousing and logistics facilities are in high demand as companies strive to optimize their distribution networks. The rise of technologies like automated warehouses and smart logistics systems is also contributing to the growth of the industrial segment. Furthermore, the increasing focus on sustainability is driving the development of green industrial buildings, which are designed to minimize environmental impact.<
In 2023, the average vacancy rate for industrial and logistics real estate in the United States started to rise, marking the first increase since early 2020. As of the first quarter of 2025, approximately *** percent of industrial and logistics real estate was vacant - an increase of **** percentage points since the fourth quarter of 2022. Despite vacancies rising, in many of the major industrial markets, the vacancy rate stood below five percent. Why has the vacancy rate increased? High-quality warehousing and fulfillment centers are crucial to the e-commerce sector because they allow retailers to establish efficient processes, reduce costs, and meet consumer expectations. During the COVID-19 pandemic, e-commerce sales grew rapidly, driving demand for industrial and logistics real estate. Rising leasing activity led to the share of available space dropping notably. As development increased to meet this demand, 2023 experienced the highest amount of new completions and vacancies rising. Which are the largest U.S. industrial and logistics markets? Home to the largest port complex in North America and a gateway for the trade between Asia and North America, Greater Los Angeles is the market with the most industrial and logistics real estate stock. Nevertheless, when considering demand, Phoenix and Houston topped the ranking with the most industrial and logistics real estate absorbed in 2024. Both markets possess a strategic location, proximity to the Gulf of Mexico, and a convenient connection to major East and West Coast markets.
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The US Commercial Real Estate Market Report is Segmented by Property Type (Offices, Retail, Logistics, Others), by Business Model (Sales, Rental), by End-User (Individuals/Households, Corporates & SMEs, Others), and by Geography (Texas, California, Florida, New York, Illinois, Rest of US). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
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North America Commercial Real Estate Market was valued at USD 1.31 Billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1.68 Billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 4.23%.
Pages | 120 |
Market Size | 2024: USD 1.31 Billion |
Forecast Market Size | 2030: USD 1.68 Billion |
CAGR | 2025-2030: 4.23% |
Fastest Growing Segment | Rental |
Largest Market | United States |
Key Players | 1. CBRE Group, Inc. 2. Jones Lang Lasalle Incorporated 3. Cushman & Wakefield plc 4. Colliers International Group Inc. 5. Brookfield Properties LLC 6. Keller Williams Realty, Inc. 7. Marcus & Millichap, Inc. 8. Prologis, Inc. |
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The global real estate market size was valued at approximately USD 10 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 15 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5%. The primary growth factor driving this market is the increasing urbanization and the growing need for residential and commercial spaces. Rapid urbanization, economic development, and increasing investments in infrastructure are contributing to this growth.
Urbanization is a key driver for the real estate market. As urban areas expand, there is a heightened demand for residential, commercial, and industrial properties. This trend is particularly noticeable in emerging economies where migration from rural to urban areas is accelerating. In addition to providing housing, urbanization necessitates the development of commercial and industrial spaces to support economic activities and provide employment opportunities. This cycle of development and demand continues to fuel the real estate market globally.
Furthermore, economic development plays a crucial role in the growth of the real estate market. As countries develop economically, there is an increase in disposable incomes, which in turn drives demand for better housing and commercial facilities. This economic growth often leads to increased investments from both domestic and international investors, further boosting the real estate market. The development of infrastructure such as roads, bridges, and public facilities also supports the growth of the real estate sector by making locations more accessible and attractive for development.
The growth of the real estate market is also supported by government initiatives and policies aimed at promoting housing and infrastructure development. Many governments around the world offer incentives such as tax benefits, subsidies, and relaxed regulations to encourage investment in the real estate sector. These policies not only stimulate the construction of new properties but also help in the renovation and improvement of existing structures. Additionally, the introduction of smart cities and sustainable development projects is creating new opportunities within the real estate market.
Real Estate Services play a pivotal role in the expansion and management of the real estate market. These services encompass a wide range of activities including property management, brokerage, appraisal, and consulting. They are essential for facilitating transactions, ensuring compliance with regulations, and maximizing the value of real estate assets. As the market grows, the demand for specialized real estate services increases, providing opportunities for companies to offer tailored solutions that meet the diverse needs of property owners, investors, and tenants. The integration of technology into real estate services is also transforming the industry, enabling more efficient and transparent processes.
Regionally, the real estate market is experiencing varied growth patterns. For instance, Asia Pacific is witnessing rapid growth due to its expanding population and increasing urbanization. North America and Europe, on the other hand, are seeing steady growth driven by economic stability and significant investments in technology and sustainability. Meanwhile, regions like Latin America and the Middle East & Africa are slowly catching up, with increasing investments in infrastructure and real estate developments. These regional dynamics play a crucial role in shaping the overall growth trajectory of the global real estate market.
The real estate market is segmented by property type into residential, commercial, industrial, and land. The residential segment is one of the most significant contributors to the market, driven by the increasing population and the growing need for housing. With urbanization on the rise, there is a continuous demand for new residential properties. This segment includes single-family homes, multi-family units, condominiums, and apartments. The trend towards nuclear families and the demand for better living standards are also contributing to the growth of the residential real estate segment.
Commercial real estate is another critical segment within the market, encompassing office spaces, retail centers, hotels, and other commercial establishments. The growth of the commercial real estate segment is closely linked to economic development, as businesses requir
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The current commercial real estate market is witnessing significant shifts because of various factors, including housing shortages and changes in office demand. An estimated shortfall of 6.5 million housing units in 14 major countries has increased demand for multifamily housing, pushing households towards renting rather than ownership. This trend is particularly prevalent in younger demographics and new immigrants. This reduction in owner-occupied properties is encouraging demand in certain markets such as Dallas-Fort Worth, New York and Toronto, while others like US Sun Belt cities and select Canadian markets are experiencing softer trends or rent declines. Through the end of 2026, industry revenue has climbed at a CAGR of 3.2% to reach $5.8 trillion, including a gain of 1.0% in 2025 alone. Office demand continues to recover but remains below pre-pandemic levels because of ongoing adjustments in work patterns and companies reassessing their space requirements. While leasing activity is beginning to stabilize, the overall market feels the pressure from the lingering effects of remote and hybrid work. However, prime, amenity-rich buildings in major urban centres are outperforming, in stark contrast to older or less adaptable spaces facing persistent vacancy and diminished appeal. Investors primarily focus on high-quality, well-located office buildings with features conducive to sustainability, wellness and flexible design. Meanwhile, PropTech started asserting its utility, with the US, Singapore and Dubai leading in innovative applications ranging from intelligent property management systems to data-driven market forecasting. Profit has climbed with the incorporation of technology helping commercial real estate companies operate more efficiently. Looking ahead, the global commercial real estate industry will experience transformative trends. The gain of data centers and increased urbanization are two significant factors shaping the market's growth and future potential. Northern Europe, the UK and Asia-Pacific are particularly favorable for data center expansion because of conditions supporting robust power and internet infrastructure. The urban population is projected to reach 80.0% by 2050, increasing demand for housing and commercial spaces, primarily in Global South cities. Incorporation of technological advancements such as AI, IoT, big data and blockchain into commercial real estate operations will add value by improving efficiency, tenant satisfaction and risk management and by opening new business models and revenue streams. Through the end of 2030, industry revenue will expand at a CAGR of 1.3% to reach $6.2 trillion.
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The global commercial real estate market size was valued at approximately $33 trillion in 2023 and is expected to reach around $53 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2%. This growth is driven by various factors including urbanization, economic development, and the increasing need for commercial spaces to accommodate expanding businesses. The demand for flexible office spaces and the rapid growth of e-commerce are also contributing significantly to this upward trend.
One of the primary growth drivers for the commercial real estate market is the increasing urbanization and economic development across many regions, particularly in Asia and Africa. As more people move to urban areas in search of better opportunities, the demand for commercial spaces such as offices, retail outlets, and industrial facilities rises. This urban migration fuels the need for infrastructure development, which in turn drives the growth of the commercial real estate market. Additionally, the expansion of multinational corporations into new markets increases the demand for commercial properties globally.
Another key factor contributing to the market's growth is the evolution of workspaces. The COVID-19 pandemic has revolutionized the way businesses operate, with remote working becoming more prevalent. However, there is still a significant demand for office spaces, albeit with a shift towards more flexible and collaborative environments. Companies are increasingly seeking office spaces that can adapt to their changing needs, including co-working spaces and serviced offices, which offer greater flexibility compared to traditional office leases. This trend is expected to continue, driving the demand for innovative commercial real estate solutions.
The rise of e-commerce is also a significant growth factor for the commercial real estate market. As online shopping continues to grow, there is an increasing need for industrial and logistics spaces to support the supply chain. Warehouses and fulfillment centers have become essential components of the e-commerce ecosystem, leading to a surge in demand for industrial real estate. Furthermore, the retail sector is also undergoing transformation, with a shift towards experiential retail spaces that offer unique customer experiences. This evolution in the retail landscape is creating new opportunities for commercial real estate developers and investors.
Regionally, the commercial real estate market is experiencing varied growth rates. North America and Europe are witnessing steady growth, driven by robust economic conditions and high levels of investment in commercial properties. On the other hand, the Asia Pacific region is expected to see the highest growth rate, fueled by rapid urbanization, economic development, and increasing foreign investments. Countries like China and India are at the forefront of this growth, with significant infrastructure development projects underway. Latin America and the Middle East & Africa regions are also witnessing growing interest from investors, although they face unique challenges such as political instability and economic fluctuations.
In the realm of commercial real estate, the role of a Company is pivotal in shaping the landscape of urban development. Companies, both large and small, are the primary drivers of demand for commercial spaces, as they seek locations that align with their strategic goals and operational needs. The decision-making process for companies involves evaluating factors such as location, accessibility, and the availability of amenities that enhance employee satisfaction and productivity. As companies expand, they often look for spaces that can accommodate future growth, leading to a dynamic interaction with real estate developers and investors. This symbiotic relationship helps in creating vibrant business districts that cater to the diverse needs of modern enterprises.
The commercial real estate market encompasses various property types, each catering to different needs and sectors. The primary property types include office, retail, industrial, multifamily, and others. Each segment has unique growth drivers and trends that influence its performance in the market. For instance, the office segment is driven by the demand for flexible and innovative workspaces, while the retail segment is evolving to meet the changing consumer preferences towards experiential shopping.
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Commercial leasing providers serve as lessors of buildings for nonresidential purposes. Industry participants include owner-lessors of nonresidential buildings, establishments that rent real estate and then act as lessors in subleasing it and establishments that provide full-service office space. Through the end of 2025, lessors have experienced mixed demand from critical downstream market segments. Since the onset of COVID-19, demand for office space has been volatile amid work-from-home and hybrid work arrangements. However, demand for industrial and retail spaces has climbed, bolstered by gaining e-commerce sales and resilient consumer spending, buoying industry revenue. Over the past five years, industry revenue has climbed at a CAGR of 1.2% to reach $265.2 billion, including an estimated 0.2% gain in 2025. From 2020 to 2022, commercial leasing companies benefited from low interest rates, stimulating business expansion. However, in response to surging inflation, the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022 and continued into 2023. Rising interest rates translated into higher borrowing costs for tenants seeking new leases for their business operations. This can make expanding or relocating to a larger space more expensive. The industry benefited from three interest rate cuts in 2024 and one additional cut in 2025. Industry profit remains high, reaching 51.4% of industry revenue in 2025. Industry revenue will climb at a CAGR of 2.7% to $302.8 billion through the end of 2030. Demand for office space will remain subdued over the next five years. However, a shortage of prime office spaces will elevate rent for Class A office buildings, benefiting lessors with those in their portfolio. Per capita disposable income growth and a continuation of climbing consumer spending will bolster demand for retail spaces, especially in suburban and Sun Belt markets. E-commerce sales will continue to power demand for industrial space as the percentage of e-commerce sales to total retail sales will mount.
In the first quarter of 2025, offices yielded the highest rent in the U.S. commercial real estate market. The average effective rent for office space amounted to ***** U.S. dollars per square foot, which was approximately *** U.S. dollars below the asking rent.
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The global commercial real estate (CRE) market is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 4% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Strong economic growth in many regions, particularly in Asia-Pacific, is boosting demand for office spaces, retail properties, and industrial/logistics facilities. The rise of e-commerce continues to fuel the need for advanced logistics infrastructure, while urbanization and population growth are driving demand in the multi-family and hospitality sectors. Technological advancements, such as smart building technologies and proptech solutions, are enhancing operational efficiency and attracting investment. However, the market faces some constraints, including rising interest rates which can impact financing costs, fluctuating energy prices, and geopolitical uncertainties that can create economic instability in certain regions. The market is segmented across various property types: offices, retail, industrial/logistics, multi-family residential, and hospitality, each exhibiting unique growth trajectories depending on regional factors and economic conditions. Major players like DLF Ltd, Prologis Inc, and Brookfield Asset Management Inc are shaping the market through strategic acquisitions, developments, and technological innovations. Regional variations exist, with Asia-Pacific and North America expected to dominate the market share due to robust economic activity and significant infrastructure development. The forecast for the CRE market reveals a dynamic landscape influenced by both macro-economic trends and sector-specific factors. While growth is anticipated across all segments, the industrial/logistics sector is expected to experience particularly strong expansion due to the ongoing e-commerce boom and the need for efficient supply chains. The office sector, however, faces potential challenges from evolving work models and the increasing adoption of remote work practices. The retail sector will see a shift towards experiential retail and the integration of technology to enhance the customer experience. Sustained growth in the multi-family and hospitality sectors will depend on population growth, tourism trends, and economic conditions. Effective risk management strategies, focusing on interest rate sensitivity, energy efficiency, and geopolitical factors, will be crucial for investors and developers to navigate the market effectively over the forecast period. This in-depth report provides a comprehensive analysis of the global commercial real estate market, offering invaluable insights into market trends, key players, and future growth prospects. Covering the historical period (2019-2024), base year (2025), and forecast period (2025-2033), this report is an essential resource for investors, developers, and industry professionals seeking to navigate the complexities of this dynamic sector. The study encompasses key segments including offices, retail, industrial/logistics, multi-family, and hospitality, with a detailed examination of market concentration, trends, and regional variations. Recent developments include: November 2022 - Colliers CAAC, a regional holding company, currently holding exclusive sublicenses for Central America, the Caribbean, and certain Andean countries from Colliers International announced the acquisition of a Costa Rican real estate consultancy., October 2022 - M&G Plc's real estate division acquired a prime office building in Yokohama for more than USD 700 million as the company continues to expand its portfolio in Japan. M&G Real Estate purchased the 21-story Minato Mirai Center Building on behalf of the company's M&G Asia Property Fund.. Key drivers for this market are: 4., Increase in Aging Population Driving the Market4.; Healthcare and Long-term Care Needs Driving the Market. Potential restraints include: 4., High Affordability and Cost of Care Affecting the Market4.; Staffing and Workforce Challenges Affecting the Market. Notable trends are: Office Markets to Witness Increased Growth.
Vacancy rates across the office real estate sector in the U.S. increased in the second quarter of 2025. This was in line with a general trend of rising vacancies that started in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. In the second quarter of 2025, about **** percent of office space across the country was vacant. In some major U.S. markets, vacancies exceeded ***percent. With a considerable part of the workforce working from home or following a hybrid working model, businesses are cautious when it comes to upscaling or renewing leases. Workplaces may never be the same again The COVID-19 pandemic has changed the way that companies operate, with working from home becoming the new normal for many U.S. employees. The function of the office has evolved from the primary workplace to a space where employees collaborate, exchange ideas, and socialize. That has shifted occupiers’ attention toward spaces with modern designs that can accommodate the office of the future. Many businesses used the pandemic time to revisit their office guidelines, remodel, or do a full or partial fit-out. With so much focus on quality, older buildings with poorer design or energy performance are likely to suffer lower demand, resulting in a two-speed market. What do higher vacancy rates mean for investors? Simply put, if landlords do not have tenants, their income stream is disrupted, and they cannot service their debts. April 2023 data shows that several U.S. metros had a significantly high share of distressed office real estate debt. In Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC, more than one-third of the commercial mortgage-backed securities for offices were delinquent, in special servicing, or a combination of both. As of March 2025, offices had the highest delinquency rate in the commercial property sector.