In August 2024, the housing market in the UK saw a 20 percent increase in demand and 23 percent increase in the number of agreed sales. New inventory has also increased, with the stock of new homes for sale up by 14 percent and new supply, 12 percent. In 2023, house prices slightly declined, as the market cooled under the impact of soaring interest rates and worsened homebuyer sentiment.
North West England and the West Midlands had the largest mismatch between the supply and demand of housing in 2023. If the number of dwellings added to the housing stock continues being lower than the number of new households formed there would be a housing shortage. However, London showed some signs of having a housing shortage, as it had the largest difference between the homes built and the households formed between 2016 and 2023.
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The UK residential real estate market, valued at approximately £360.27 billion in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, driven by several key factors. Strong population growth, particularly in urban centers, fuels consistent demand for housing, while low interest rates and government initiatives aimed at boosting homeownership further stimulate market activity. The market is segmented into apartments and condominiums, and landed houses and villas, with each segment exhibiting unique growth trajectories. Apartments and condominiums, particularly in London and other major cities, are expected to see higher demand due to affordability concerns and lifestyle preferences, while landed houses and villas continue to appeal to those seeking more space and privacy, particularly in suburban or rural areas. Competition among major developers such as Berkeley Group, Barratt Developments, and others influences pricing and construction activity. While challenges exist, such as fluctuating economic conditions and rising construction costs, the overall outlook for the UK residential real estate market remains positive. The market's performance is also influenced by broader economic factors, such as inflation and employment rates, and is likely to see regional variations, with London and the South East generally commanding higher prices. The market's growth is expected to continue through 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.75%. This growth will likely be influenced by factors such as evolving demographic trends (including increasing urbanization and family sizes), government policies impacting the housing market, and technological advancements impacting the construction and sales processes. International investment continues to play a significant role, especially in prime London properties. However, the market is susceptible to external shocks, such as changes in interest rates or economic downturns. Understanding these factors is crucial for investors and stakeholders operating within the UK residential real estate sector. Market analysis suggests continued demand for sustainable and energy-efficient housing, influencing the development of future projects. This comprehensive report provides an in-depth analysis of the UK residential real estate market, covering the period from 2019 to 2033. With a base year of 2025 and a forecast period spanning 2025-2033, this research offers invaluable insights for investors, developers, and industry professionals seeking to navigate this dynamic market. The report leverages extensive data analysis, covering key segments, emerging trends, and major players, to provide a clear understanding of market dynamics and future growth potential. High-search-volume keywords like UK property market, UK house prices, London property market, UK residential real estate investment, build-to-rent UK, multifamily UK, and UK housing market forecast are integrated throughout to ensure maximum online visibility. Recent developments include: May 2023: A UAE-based investment manager, Rasmala Investment Bank, has launched a USD 2bn ( €1.8bn) UK multifamily strategy for a five-year period to build a USD 2bn portfolio of UK residential properties. The strategy is focused on the UK market for multifamily properties through a Shariah-compliant investment vehicle, initially targeting the serviced apartment (SAP) and BTR (build-to-rent) subsectors within and around London. Seeded by Rasmala Group, the strategy is backed by an active investment pipeline for the next 12 – 18 months., November 2022: ValuStrat, a Middle East consulting company, increased its foothold in the UK by acquiring an interest in Capital Value Surveyors, a real estate advisory services company with offices in London. The UK continues to be one of the most established real estate markets worldwide and attracts foreign investors regularly. They are excited to expand their presence there to better serve all of their clients, both in the UK and the Middle East.. Key drivers for this market are: Demand for New Dwellings Units, Government Initiatives are driving the market. Potential restraints include: Supply Chain Disruptions, Lack of Skilled Labour. Notable trends are: Increasing in the United Kingdom House Prices.
During the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of house sales in the UK spiked, followed by a period of decline. In 2023, the housing market slowed notably, and in September 2024, transaction volumes fell below 50,000. House sales volumes are affected by a number of factors, including mortgage rates, house prices, supply, demand, as well as the overall health of the market. The economic uncertainty and rising unemployment rates has also affected the homebuyer sentiment of Brits. How have UK house prices developed over the past 10 years? House prices in the UK have increased year-on-year since 2015, except for a brief period of decline in the second half of 2023 and the beginning of 2024. That is based on the 12-month percentage change of the UK house price index. At the peak of the housing boom in 2022, prices soared by nearly 14 percent. The decline that followed was mild, at under three percent. The cooling in the market was more pronounced in England and Wales, where the average house price declined in 2023. Conversely, growth in Scotland and Northern Ireland continued. What is the impact of mortgage rates on house sales? For a long period, mortgage rates were at record-low, allowing prospective homebuyers to take out a 10-year loan at a mortgage rate of less than three percent. In the last quarter of 2021, this period came to an end as the Bank of England rose the bank lending rate to contain the spike in inflation. Naturally, the higher borrowing costs affected consumer sentiment, urging many homebuyers to place their plans on hold and leading to a drop in sales.
These tables are best understood in relation to the Affordable housing supply statistics bulletin. These tables always reflect the latest data and revisions, which may not be included in the bulletins. Headline figures are presented in live table 1000.
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FOCUSON**LONDON**2011: HOUSING:A**GROWING**CITY
With the highest average incomes in the country but the least space to grow, demand for housing in London has long outstripped supply, resulting in higher housing costs and rising levels of overcrowding. The pressures of housing demand in London have grown in recent years, in part due to fewer people leaving London to buy homes in other regions. But while new supply during the recession held up better in London than in other regions, it needs to increase significantly in order to meet housing needs and reduce housing costs to more affordable levels.
This edition of Focus on London authored by James Gleeson in the Housing Unit looks at housing trends in London, from the demand/supply imbalance to the consequences for affordability and housing need.
REPORT:
Read the report in PDF format.
https://londondatastore-upload.s3.amazonaws.com/fol/fol11-housing-cover-thumb.jpg" alt="">
PRESENTATION:
How much pressure is London’s popularity putting on housing provision in the capital? This interactive presentation looks at the effect on housing pressure of demographic changes, and recent new housing supply, shown by trends in overcrowding and house prices. Click on the start button at the bottom of the slide to access.
View Focus on London - Housing: A Growing City on Prezi
HISTOGRAM:
This histogram shows a selection of borough data and helps show areas that are similar to one another by each indicator.
MOTION CHART:
This motion chart shows how the relationship, between key housing related indicators at borough level, changes over time.
MAP:
These interactive borough maps help to geographically present a range of housing data within London, as well as presenting trend data where available.
DATA:
All the data contained within the Housing: A Growing City report as well as the data used to create the charts and maps can be accessed in this spreadsheet.
FACTS:
Some interesting facts from the data…
● Five boroughs with the highest proportion of households that have lived at their address for less than 12 months in 2009/10:
-31. Harrow – 6 per cent
-32. Havering – 5 per cent
● Five boroughs with the highest percentage point increase between 2004 and 2009 of households in the ‘private rented’ sector:
-32. Islington – 1 per cent
-33. Bexley – 1 per cent
● Five boroughs with the highest percentage difference in median house prices between 2007 Q4 and 2010 Q4:
-31. Newham – down 9 per cent
-32. Barking & D’ham – down 9 per cent
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The Report Covers UK Residential Real Estate Market Overview and Trends. The Market is Segmented by Type (Apartments and Condominiums and Landed Houses and Villas) and by Key Regions (England, Wales, Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Other Regions).
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The UK Manufactured Homes Market is segmented By Type (Single Family and Multi-Family). The report offers market size and forecasts for UK Manufactured Homes Market in Value (USD Billion).
Statistics on the availability and affordability of housing, homelessness, and homebuilding in rural and urban areas.
Indicators:
Data source: Department for Levelling up, Housing and Communities & Ministry for Housing, Communities and Local Government
Coverage: England
Rural classification used: Local Authority Rural-Urban Classification
Next release date: tbc
Defra statistics: rural
Email mailto:rural.statistics@defra.gov.uk">rural.statistics@defra.gov.uk
<p class="govuk-body">You can also contact us via Twitter: <a href="https://twitter.com/DefraStats" class="govuk-link">https://twitter.com/DefraStats</a></p>
Just as in many other countries, the housing market in the UK grew substantially during the coronavirus pandemic, fueled by robust demand and low borrowing costs. Nevertheless, high inflation and the increase in mortgage rates has led to house price growth slowing down. According to the forecast, 2024 is expected to see house prices decrease by three percent. Between 2024 and 2028, the average house price growth is projected at 2.7 percent. A contraction after a period of continuous growth In June 2022, the UK's house price index exceeded 150 index points, meaning that since 2015 which was the base year for the index, house prices had increased by 50 percent. In just two years, between 2020 and 2022, the index surged by 30 index points. As the market stood in December 2023, the average price for a home stood at approximately 284,691 British pounds. Rents are expected to continue to grow According to another forecast, the prime residential market is also expected to see rental prices grow in the next years. Growth is forecast to be stronger in 2024 and slow down in the period between 2025 and 2028. The rental market in London is expected to follow a similar trend, with Central London slightly outperforming Greater London.
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The Residential Construction Market Report is Segmented by Type (Villas and Landed Houses and Condominiums and Apartments) and Key Cities (London, Birmingham, Glasgow, Liverpool, and the Rest of the UK). The Report Offers Market Size and Forecasts for UK Residential Construction Market in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.
Residential Real Estate Market Size 2024-2028
The residential real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 482.1 billion at a CAGR of 4.6% between 2023 and 2028.
The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing demand from a growing population and urbanization trends. This demand is further fueled by marketing initiatives from real estate developers and agents, who are leveraging digital platforms and creative campaigns to attract buyers. However, regulatory uncertainty poses a challenge to market growth, with varying regulations and policies in different regions impacting investment decisions. For companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities, it is essential to stay informed of regulatory changes and adapt strategies accordingly. Additionally, collaboration with local experts and partnerships with regulatory bodies can help navigate complex regulatory landscapes and ensure compliance. Overall, the market presents significant opportunities for growth, but requires a strategic approach to address regulatory challenges and effectively target demand. Companies that can navigate these challenges and adapt to local market conditions will be well-positioned to succeed in this dynamic market.
What will be the Size of the Residential Real Estate Market during the forecast period?
Request Free SampleThe market continues to exhibit activity, driven by strong economic fundamentals and population growth. In nominal terms, the market size reached an all-time high in the latest fiscal year, with discerning buyers demonstrating continued interest in spacious accommodations. However, macroeconomic headwinds, such as rising interest rates and inflation, pose challenges for some potential homebuyers. Economic factors, including GDP per capita and purchasing power, remain essential support for the housing market. Despite these conditions, property launches in the luxury residential sector have shown resilience, catering to the demand for high-end living spaces. Residential construction remains a critical component of the market, with new housing units being added to meet the growing demand for homes. Overall, the market is expected to remain a significant contributor to the economy, offering opportunities for both investors and homebuyers.
How is this Residential Real Estate Industry segmented?
The residential real estate industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2024-2028, as well as historical data from 2018-2022 for the following segments. Mode Of BookingSalesRental/LeaseTypeApartments and condominiumsLanded houses and villasGeographyAPACChinaJapanNorth AmericaUSEuropeGermanyUKSouth AmericaMiddle East and Africa
By Mode Of Booking Insights
The sales segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
Get a glance at the market report of share of various segments Request Free Sample
The Sales segment was valued at USD 896.60 billion in 2018 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.
Regional Analysis
APAC is estimated to contribute 54% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.Technavio’s analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.
For more insights on the market size of various regions, Request Free Sample
The market in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region held the largest market share in 2023 and is anticipated to continue leading the market growth during the forecast period. Key drivers of this expansion include population growth and increasing purchasing power, leading to a in demand for spacious accommodations. Rapid urbanization and economic fundamentals, such as GDP per capita, have fueled the construction of new housing units, particularly in countries like India and China. Furthermore, domestic demand and foreign homebuyers have contributed to the unsold inventory overhang, creating investment opportunities in underconstruction properties. Despite these positive indicators, challenges persist, including affordability concerns and critical input costs. In the context of the US housing market, the residential real estate sector offers investment opportunities through traditional options, such as home ownership and rental cash flow, as well as low-risk methods, like investment portfolios. Key economic factors, such as interest rates and supply metrics, impact residential property prices, which may vary in real and nominal terms. The market is also influenced by changing consumer preferences, regulatory reforms, and technological transformation, including home automation and cutting-edge strategies.
Market Dynamics
Our researchers analyzed the data with 2023 as the base year, along with the key drivers, trends, and challenges. A holi
The UK House Price Index is a National Statistic.
Download the full UK House Price Index data below, or use our tool to https://landregistry.data.gov.uk/app/ukhpi?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=tool&utm_term=9.30_23_03_22" class="govuk-link">create your own bespoke reports.
Datasets are available as CSV files. Find out about republishing and making use of the data.
Google Chrome is blocking downloads of our UK HPI data files (Chrome 88 onwards). Please use another internet browser while we resolve this issue. We apologise for any inconvenience caused.
This file includes a derived back series for the new UK HPI. Under the UK HPI, data is available from 1995 for England and Wales, 2004 for Scotland and 2005 for Northern Ireland. A longer back series has been derived by using the historic path of the Office for National Statistics HPI to construct a series back to 1968.
Download the full UK HPI background file:
If you are interested in a specific attribute, we have separated them into these CSV files:
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Average-prices-2022-01.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=average_price&utm_term=9.30_23_03_22" class="govuk-link">Average price (CSV, 9.3MB)
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Average-prices-Property-Type-2022-01.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=average_price_property_price&utm_term=9.30_23_03_22" class="govuk-link">Average price by property type (CSV, 28.2MB)
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Sales-2022-01.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=sales&utm_term=9.30_23_03_22" class="govuk-link">Sales (CSV, 4.7MB)
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Cash-mortgage-sales-2022-01.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=cash_mortgage-sales&utm_term=9.30_23_03_22" class="govuk-link">Cash mortgage sales (CSV, 6.4MB)
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/First-Time-Buyer-Former-Owner-Occupied-2022-01.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=FTNFOO&utm_term=9.30_23_03_22" class="govuk-link">First time buyer and former owner occupier (CSV, 6.1MB)
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/New-and-Old-2022-01.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=new_build&utm_term=9.30_23_03_22" class="govuk-link">New build and existing resold property (CSV, 17.1MB)
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Indices-2022-01.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=index&utm_term=9.30_23_03_22" class="govuk-link">Index (CSV, 5.9MB)
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Indices-seasonally-adjusted-2022-01.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=index_season_adjusted&utm_term=9.30_23_03_22" class="govuk-link">Index seasonally adjusted (CSV, 196KB)
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Average-price-seasonally-adjusted-2022-01.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=average-price_season_adjusted&utm_term=9.30_23_03_22" class="govuk-link">Average price seasonally adjus
Property Market Insights from Zoopla Live (Aggregated):
Discover valuable property market insights with our data product sourced from Zoopla Live, one of the UK's premier aggregators of property listings data. Gain access to a comprehensive dataset containing information on 27,000,000 homes, up to 1,000,000 property listings,.
The Urban Big Data Centre (UBDC) systematially collects daily property listings from Zoopla across the entire UK since 2017; and each year, we process and consolidate the collected data into yearly aggregated and harmonized 'analysis-ready' datasets.
Researchers can utilize this dataset to unlock meaningful insights into the property market.
Please note that additional daily data from Zoopla can be made available upon request if the provided aggregated product does not meet specific research requirements. Additionally, it's essential to be aware that each Zoopla year spans 18 months, from the 1st of Oct of the previous year until the 31st of March of the following year.
UBDC’s Zoopla data collection is a dataset that covers housing data since 2017, covering the area of Great Britain. UBDC has an agreement with Zoopla and has access to current property listings via Application Programming Interface (API). We have been collecting the listings since August 2016.
UBDC can provide Live Collected Aggregated Data: Aggregated (yearly) data made from Live Collected data. The Zoopla year is +/- 3 months for each year(= zoopla year 18 months) The collection requires unique property id in the API request.
We have also set up an email discussion list on housing data and related issues that you can join via the JISCMail website:
https://www.jiscmail.ac.uk/cgi-bin/webadmin?A0=UBDC-HOUSING-DATA
Note: In accessing this data, you agree that any downloading of content is for non-commercial reference only. No part of these materials may be used for any other purpose or reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without the prior consent of the University of Glasgow.
Data is Zoopla Property Group PLC, © 2023, processed by Urban Big Data Centre, University of Glasgow
Details of the data available via Zoopla’s Application Programming Interface (API) can be found at
Base Year 2023 Forecast Period 2024-2028 Market Growth X.XX%*
These National Statistics provide monthly estimates of the number of residential and non-residential property transactions in the UK and its constituent countries. National Statistics are https://osr.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/accredited-official-statistics/" class="govuk-link">accredited official statistics.
England and Northern Ireland statistics are based on information submitted to the HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) database by taxpayers on SDLT returns.
Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT) replaced SDLT in Scotland from 1 April 2015 and this data is provided to HMRC by https://www.revenue.scot/" class="govuk-link">Revenue Scotland to continue the time series.
Land Transaction Tax (LTT) replaced SDLT in Wales from 1 April 2018. To continue the time series, the https://gov.wales/welsh-revenue-authority" class="govuk-link">Welsh Revenue Authority (WRA) have provided HMRC with a monthly data feed of LTT transactions since July 2021.
LTT figures for the latest month are estimated using a grossing factor based on data for the most recent and complete financial year. Until June 2021, LTT transactions for the latest month were estimated by HMRC based upon year on year growth in line with other UK nations.
LTT transactions up to the penultimate month are aligned with LTT statistics.
Go to Stamp Duty Land Tax guidance for the latest rates and information.
Go to Stamp Duty Land Tax rates from 1 December 2003 to 22 September 2022 and Stamp Duty: rates on land transfers before December 2003 for historic rates.
Further details for this statistical release, including data suitability and coverage, are included within the ‘Monthly property transactions completed in the UK with value of £40,000 or above’ quality report.
The latest release was published 09:30 28 February 2025 and was updated with provisional data from completed transactions during January 2025.
The next release will be published 09:30 28 February 2025 and will be updated with provisional data from completed transactions during January 2025.
https://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ukgwa/20240320184933/https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/monthly-property-transactions-completed-in-the-uk-with-value-40000-or-above" class="govuk-link">Archive versions of the Monthly property transactions completed in the UK with value of £40,000 or above are available via the UK Government Web Archive, from the National Archives.
Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
License information was derived automatically
Social housing demand and supply Source: Communities and Local Government (CLG) Publisher: Neighbourhood Statistics Geographies: Local Authority District (LAD), Government Office Region (GOR), National Geographic coverage: England Time coverage: 2000/01 to 2007/08 Type of data: Administrative data (based on sample of housing stock recorded by Local Authorities as part of the Housing Investment Programme (HIP), 'Housing Strategy Statistical Appendix' (HSSA) Notes: The data provide details about households on LA Housing Registers and are taken from the Housing Investment Programme (HIP) 'Housing Strategy Statistical Appendix' (HSSA). The household counts are also detailed as a percentage of the relevant totals.
UK house price, regional house prices, rents and yields
The UK residential rental market is poised for significant growth, with forecasts indicating a cumulative increase of nearly 18 percent by 2029. This surge is expected to be front-loaded, with a robust eight percent rise anticipated in 2024. Rental growth has accelerated notably since 2021, with August 2024 experiencing a decade-high annual percentage growth. The trend reflects the complex interplay between housing affordability, mortgage rates, and supply of rental homes, as the UK housing market navigates a period of transition.
The Nationwide average UK house price increased during the period under observation, reaching a value of over 265,000 British pounds as of the fourth quarter of 2022. The final quarter of 2022 saw the first quarterly decrease, after a three-year period of significant house price growth. The smallest house price for all houses in the UK during this period was found in the first quarter of 2011, when an average house price of approximately 162,400 British pounds was recorded.
In August 2024, the housing market in the UK saw a 20 percent increase in demand and 23 percent increase in the number of agreed sales. New inventory has also increased, with the stock of new homes for sale up by 14 percent and new supply, 12 percent. In 2023, house prices slightly declined, as the market cooled under the impact of soaring interest rates and worsened homebuyer sentiment.