House prices grew year-on-year in most states in the U.S. in the third quarter of 2024. The District of Columbia was the only exception, with a decline of three percent. The annual appreciation for single-family housing in the U.S. was 0.71 percent, while in Hawaii—the state where homes appreciated the most—the increase exceeded 10 percent. How have home prices developed in recent years? House price growth in the U.S. has been going strong for years. In 2024, the median sales price of a single-family home exceeded 413,000 U.S. dollars, up from 277,000 U.S. dollars five years ago. One of the factors driving house prices was the cost of credit. The record-low federal funds effective rate allowed mortgage lenders to set mortgage interest rates as low as 2.3 percent. With interest rates on the rise, home buying has also slowed, causing fluctuations in house prices. Why are house prices growing? Many markets in the U.S. are overheated because supply has not been able to keep up with demand. How many homes enter the housing market depends on the construction output, whereas the availability of existing homes for purchase depends on many other factors, such as the willingness of owners to sell. Furthermore, growing investor appetite in the housing sector means that prospective homebuyers have some extra competition to worry about. In certain metros, for example, the share of homes bought by investors exceeded 20 percent in 2024.
In the United States, interest rates for all mortgage types started to increase in 2021. This was due to the Federal Reserve introducing a series of hikes in the federal funds rate to contain the rising inflation. In the first quarter of 2024, the 30-year fixed rate declined slightly, to 6.75 percent. Despite the cut, this was about 3.9 percentage points higher than the same quarter in 2021. Why have U.S. home sales decreased? Cheaper mortgages normally encourage consumers to buy homes, while higher borrowing costs have the opposite effect. As interest rates increased in 2022, the number of existing homes sold plummeted. Soaring house prices over the past 10 years have further affected housing affordability. Between 2013 and 2023, the median price of an existing single-family home risen by about 88 percent. On the other hand, the median weekly earnings have risen much slower. Comparing mortgage terms and rates Between 2008 and 2023, the average rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage in the United States stood between 2.28 and 6.11 percent. Over the same period, a 30-year mortgage term averaged a fixed-rate of between 3.08 and 6.81 percent. Rates on 15-year loan terms are lower to encourage a quicker repayment, which helps to improve a homeowner’s equity.
Residential Real Estate Market Size 2024-2028
The residential real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 482.1 billion at a CAGR of 4.6% between 2023 and 2028.
The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing demand from a growing population and urbanization trends. This demand is further fueled by marketing initiatives from real estate developers and agents, who are leveraging digital platforms and creative campaigns to attract buyers. However, regulatory uncertainty poses a challenge to market growth, with varying regulations and policies in different regions impacting investment decisions. For companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities, it is essential to stay informed of regulatory changes and adapt strategies accordingly. Additionally, collaboration with local experts and partnerships with regulatory bodies can help navigate complex regulatory landscapes and ensure compliance. Overall, the market presents significant opportunities for growth, but requires a strategic approach to address regulatory challenges and effectively target demand. Companies that can navigate these challenges and adapt to local market conditions will be well-positioned to succeed in this dynamic market.
What will be the Size of the Residential Real Estate Market during the forecast period?
Request Free SampleThe market continues to exhibit activity, driven by strong economic fundamentals and population growth. In nominal terms, the market size reached an all-time high in the latest fiscal year, with discerning buyers demonstrating continued interest in spacious accommodations. However, macroeconomic headwinds, such as rising interest rates and inflation, pose challenges for some potential homebuyers. Economic factors, including GDP per capita and purchasing power, remain essential support for the housing market. Despite these conditions, property launches in the luxury residential sector have shown resilience, catering to the demand for high-end living spaces. Residential construction remains a critical component of the market, with new housing units being added to meet the growing demand for homes. Overall, the market is expected to remain a significant contributor to the economy, offering opportunities for both investors and homebuyers.
How is this Residential Real Estate Industry segmented?
The residential real estate industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2024-2028, as well as historical data from 2018-2022 for the following segments. Mode Of BookingSalesRental/LeaseTypeApartments and condominiumsLanded houses and villasGeographyAPACChinaJapanNorth AmericaUSEuropeGermanyUKSouth AmericaMiddle East and Africa
By Mode Of Booking Insights
The sales segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
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The Sales segment was valued at USD 896.60 billion in 2018 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.
Regional Analysis
APAC is estimated to contribute 54% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.Technavio’s analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.
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The market in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region held the largest market share in 2023 and is anticipated to continue leading the market growth during the forecast period. Key drivers of this expansion include population growth and increasing purchasing power, leading to a in demand for spacious accommodations. Rapid urbanization and economic fundamentals, such as GDP per capita, have fueled the construction of new housing units, particularly in countries like India and China. Furthermore, domestic demand and foreign homebuyers have contributed to the unsold inventory overhang, creating investment opportunities in underconstruction properties. Despite these positive indicators, challenges persist, including affordability concerns and critical input costs. In the context of the US housing market, the residential real estate sector offers investment opportunities through traditional options, such as home ownership and rental cash flow, as well as low-risk methods, like investment portfolios. Key economic factors, such as interest rates and supply metrics, impact residential property prices, which may vary in real and nominal terms. The market is also influenced by changing consumer preferences, regulatory reforms, and technological transformation, including home automation and cutting-edge strategies.
Market Dynamics
Our researchers analyzed the data with 2023 as the base year, along with the key drivers, trends, and challenges. A holi
The Federal National Mortgage Association, commonly known as Fannie Mae, was created by the U.S. congress in 1938, in order to maintain liquidity and stability in the domestic mortgage market. The company is a government-sponsored enterprise (GSE), meaning that while it was a publicly traded company for most of its history, it was still supported by the federal government. While there is no legally binding guarantee of shares in GSEs or their securities, it is generally acknowledged that the U.S. government is highly unlikely to let these enterprises fail. Due to these implicit guarantees, GSEs are able to access financing at a reduced cost of interest. Fannie Mae's main activity is the purchasing of mortgage loans from their originators (banks, mortgage brokers etc.) and packaging them into mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in order to ease the access of U.S. homebuyers to housing credit. The early 2000s U.S. mortgage finance boom During the early 2000s, Fannie Mae was swept up in the U.S. housing boom which eventually led to the financial crisis of 2007-2008. The association's stated goal of increasing access of lower income families to housing finance coalesced with the interests of private mortgage lenders and Wall Street investment banks, who had become heavily reliant on the housing market to drive profits. Private lenders had begun to offer riskier mortgage loans in the early 2000s due to low interest rates in the wake of the "Dot Com" crash and their need to maintain profits through increasing the volume of loans on their books. The securitized products created by these private lenders did not maintain the standards which had traditionally been upheld by GSEs. Due to their market share being eaten into by private firms, however, the GSEs involved in the mortgage markets began to also lower their standards, resulting in a 'race to the bottom'. The fall of Fannie Mae The lowering of lending standards was a key factor in creating the housing bubble, as mortgages were now being offered to borrowers with little or no ability to repay the loans. Combined with fraudulent practices from credit ratings agencies, who rated the junk securities created from these mortgage loans as being of the highest standard, this led directly to the financial panic that erupted on Wall Street beginning in 2007. As the U.S. economy slowed down in 2006, mortgage delinquency rates began to spike. Fannie Mae's losses in the mortgage security market in 2006 and 2007, along with the losses of the related GSE 'Freddie Mac', had caused its share value to plummet, stoking fears that it may collapse. On September 7th 2008, Fannie Mae was taken into government conservatorship along with Freddie Mac, with their stocks being delisted from stock exchanges in 2010. This act was seen as an unprecedented direct intervention into the economy by the U.S. government, and a symbol of how far the U.S. housing market had fallen.
Just as in many other countries, the housing market in the UK grew substantially during the coronavirus pandemic, fueled by robust demand and low borrowing costs. Nevertheless, high inflation and the increase in mortgage rates has led to house price growth slowing down. According to the forecast, 2024 is expected to see house prices decrease by three percent. Between 2024 and 2028, the average house price growth is projected at 2.7 percent. A contraction after a period of continuous growth In June 2022, the UK's house price index exceeded 150 index points, meaning that since 2015 which was the base year for the index, house prices had increased by 50 percent. In just two years, between 2020 and 2022, the index surged by 30 index points. As the market stood in December 2023, the average price for a home stood at approximately 284,691 British pounds. Rents are expected to continue to grow According to another forecast, the prime residential market is also expected to see rental prices grow in the next years. Growth is forecast to be stronger in 2024 and slow down in the period between 2025 and 2028. The rental market in London is expected to follow a similar trend, with Central London slightly outperforming Greater London.
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The benchmark interest rate in Norway was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Norway Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
Mortgage interest rates in Europe soared in 2022 and remained elevated in 2023. In many countries, this resulted in interest rates more than doubling. In Denmark, the average mortgage interest rate rose from 0.67 percent in 2021 to 4.98 percent in 2023. Why did mortgage interest rates increase? Mortgage rates have risen as a result of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate increase. The ECB increased its interest rates to tackle inflation. As inflation calms, the ECB is expected to cut rates, which will allow mortgage lenders to reduce mortgage interest rates. What is the impact of interest rates on homebuying? Lower interest rates make taking out a housing loan more affordable, and thus, encourage homebuying. That can be seen in many countries across Europe: In France, the number of residential properties sold rose in the years leading up to 2021, and fell as interest rates increased. The number of houses sold in the UK followed a similar trend.
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Log Cabins Or Log Homes Market size was valued at USD 10.8 Billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 15.3 Billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 8.6% during the forecast period 2024-2031.
Global Log Cabins or Log Homes Market Drivers
The market drivers for the Log Cabins or Log Homes Market can be influenced by various factors. These may include:
Growing Demand for Eco-Friendly Housing: As people’s awareness of the environment and sustainability issues grows, so does their need for eco-friendly housing options like log cabins, which are built with wood and other naturally occurring materials.
Preference for Natural and Aesthetic Living Spaces: People looking for a simpler lifestyle and a connection to nature frequently choose log cabins because of their rustic charm, natural beauty, and cosy atmosphere.
Personalisation and Customisation: A large array of customisation choices provided by log home manufacturers enable customers to tailor their cabins to their tastes, way of life, and financial constraints, which in turn fuels demand in the market.
Growing Interest in Vacation Homes: The demand for log cabins as getaways or rental properties is being driven by the growing popularity of second homes and vacation homes, especially in picturesque or rural areas.
Construction Efficiency and Time Savings: Pre-cut and pre-fabricated kits, among other innovations in log cabin construction methods, cut down on labour expenses and construction time, making log cabins a desirable alternative for homeowners searching for economical and efficient dwelling solutions.
Durability and Longevity: Log homes are renowned for their resilience to wind, rain, and snow as well as their durability and longevity, offering homeowners a low-maintenance and structurally sound housing choice.
Energy Efficiency and Insulation Properties: Well-built log cabins have exceptional insulation qualities that help keep interior temperatures comfortable all year round and lower heating and cooling expenses, which is particularly desirable in colder climates.
Historical and Cultural relevance: The demand for log dwellings as a representation of heritage and tradition is driven by the log cabin’s rich historical and cultural relevance, especially in areas like North America and Scandinavia where building log cabins is a tradition.
Escape from Urban Life and Stress: The demand for log cabins, which provide a tranquil and quiet retreat in the middle of nature, is driven by the need for an escape from the stresses of modern living and from urban life.
Real estate market trends: The demand for distinctive and unusual dwelling options, a shift in lifestyle towards remote work and digital nomadism, and an increase in demand for rural properties are some of the factors driving the expansion of the log cabin market.
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Graph and download economic data for Delinquency Rate on Commercial Real Estate Loans (Excluding Farmland), Booked in Domestic Offices, All Commercial Banks (DRCRELEXFACBS) from Q1 1991 to Q4 2024 about farmland, domestic offices, delinquencies, real estate, commercial, domestic, loans, banks, depository institutions, rate, and USA.
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Lower Limit of First Home Mortgage Rate: above LPR: Beijing data was reported at -0.450 % Point in 25 Mar 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of -0.450 % Point for 24 Mar 2025. Lower Limit of First Home Mortgage Rate: above LPR: Beijing data is updated daily, averaging 0.550 % Point from Oct 2019 (Median) to 25 Mar 2025, with 1996 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.550 % Point in 25 Jun 2024 and a record low of -0.450 % Point in 25 Mar 2025. Lower Limit of First Home Mortgage Rate: above LPR: Beijing data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The People's Bank of China. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MA: Lower Limit of First Home Mortgage Rate: Prefecture Level City. After adjustment on December 15, 2023: the lower limits of the first and second sets of interest rate policies in the six districts of the city are respectively no less than the market quoted interest rate for loans of the corresponding period plus 10 basis points, and no less than the market quoted interest rate for loans of the corresponding period plus 60 basis points; The lower limits of the first and second sets of interest rate policies in the six non-urban districts are not lower than the market quoted interest rate for loans of the corresponding period, and not lower than the market quoted interest rate for loans of the corresponding period plus 55 basis points.
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Existing Home Sales in the United States increased to 4260 Thousand in February from 4090 Thousand in January of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Existing Home Sales - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
Mortgage rates increased at a record pace in 2022, with the 10-year fixed mortgage rate doubling between March 2022 and December 2022. With inflation increasing, the Bank of England introduced several bank rate hikes, resulting in higher mortgage rates. In September 2023, the average 10-year fixed rate interest rate reached 5.1 percent. As borrowing costs get higher, demand for housing is expected to decrease, leading to declining market sentiment and slower house price growth. How have the mortgage hikes affected the market? After surging in 2021, the number of residential properties sold declined in 2022, reaching close to 1.3 million. Despite the number of transactions falling, this figure was higher than the period before the COVID-10 pandemic. The falling transaction volume also impacted mortgage borrowing. Between the first quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, the value of new mortgage loans fell year-on-year for fourth straight quarters in a row. How are higher mortgages affecting homebuyers? Homeowners with a mortgage loan usually lock in a fixed rate deal for two to ten years, meaning that after this period runs out, they need to renegotiate the terms of the loan. Many of the mortgages outstanding were taken out during the period of record-low mortgage rates and have since faced notable increases in their monthly repayment. About five million homeowners are projected to see their deal expire by the end of 2026. About two million of these loans are projected to experience a monthly payment increase of up to 199 British pounds by 2026.
The U.S. housing market continues to evolve, with the median home price forecast to reach 426,000 U.S. dollars by the second quarter of 2026. This projection comes after a period of significant growth and recent fluctuations, reflecting the complex interplay of economic factors affecting the real estate sector. The rising costs have not only impacted home prices, but also down payments, with the median down payment more than doubling since 2012. Regional variations in housing costs Home prices and down payments vary dramatically across the United States. While the national median down payment stood at approximately 26,700 U.S. dollars in early 2024, homebuyers in states like California, Massachusetts, and Hawaii faced down payments exceeding 74,000 U.S. dollars. This disparity highlights the challenges of homeownership in high-cost markets and underscores the importance of location in determining housing affordability. Market dynamics and future outlook The housing market has shown signs of cooling after years of rapid growth, with more modest price increases of 4.8 percent in 2022 and 6.5 percent in 2023. This slowdown can be attributed in part to rising mortgage rates, which have tempered demand. Despite these challenges, most states continued to see year-over-year price growth in the fourth quarter of 2023, with Rhode Island and Vermont leading the pack at over 13 percent appreciation. As the market adjusts to new economic realities, potential homebuyers and investors alike will be watching closely for signs of stabilization or renewed growth in the coming years.
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According to Cognitive Market Research, the global tiny home market size is USD 815.2 million in 2024 and will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.20% from 2024 to 2031.
North America held the major market of more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 326.08 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.4% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a share of over 30% of the global market size of USD 244.56 million.
Asia Pacific held the market of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 187.50 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23.2% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America market of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 40.76 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.6% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa held the major market of around 2% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 16.30 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.9% from 2024 to 2031.
The mobile tiny homes held the highest tiny home market revenue share in 2024.
Market Dynamics of Tiny Homes Market
Key Drivers of Tiny Homes Market
Rising Affordability to Increase the Demand Globally
For those looking for economical housing options, tiny homes are a compelling choice. They usually have a far cheaper price tag than regular homes, which makes them especially appealing to young people, those with student loan debt, and anyone looking to reduce their housing costs. Tiny homes' affordability creates opportunities for financial independence and flexibility, freeing up funds for other vital aspects of a person's life. For those who choose this alternative housing option, the lower financial load can also relieve stress and offer a sense of security, promoting a more meaningful and sustainable lifestyle.
Growing Sustainability to Propel Market Growth
The environmentally friendly attributes of tiny homes make them the perfect representation of sustainability. By incorporating features like solar panels and water-saving fixtures, they increase efficiency while reducing their negative effects on the environment. Tiny homes require less building materials due to their reduced footprint, which lowers resource consumption and waste production. Furthermore, because of their small size, they demand less energy for heating and cooling, which reduces the need for fossil fuels and reduces carbon emissions. Tiny homes provide a practical way to solve environmental issues by adopting sustainable techniques in every aspect of life, from building to daily living. In addition to helping the environment by lowering pollution and preserving resources, this eco-friendly strategy encourages people who are dedicated to sustainable living practices to lead more responsible and thoughtful lives.
Restraint Factors Of Tiny Homes Market
Lack of Awareness to Limit the Sales
The idea of compact homes is still not widely known in many developing nations. This lack of familiarity is a result of various factors, including housing policies, cultural norms, and prevailing economic realities. Conventional house models frequently predominate, and there might be an idea that larger dwellings are a symbol of success or prestige. A further barrier to knowledge is the lack of tools and information regarding alternate housing possibilities. To overcome this obstacle, focused education campaigns that emphasize the cost, sustainability, and adaptability of tiny homes are needed. Tiny homes may become more widely accepted as a practical housing choice in developing nations by including local communities, legislators, and stakeholders in conversations about creative housing solutions.
Impact of Covid-19 on the Tiny home Market
The market for tiny dwellings has been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic in a variety of ways. On the one hand, people looking for financial stability and flexibility are becoming more interested in affordable housing options as a result of the economic slump, which is increasing the market for tiny homes. Demand has also increased as a result of some people being inspired to look into movable or smaller living arrangements by the shift towards remote employment. The availability of labor and supplies has been limited due to supply chain interruptions and construction d...
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The benchmark interest rate in Australia was last recorded at 4.10 percent. This dataset provides - Australia Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
The recent performance of concrete contractors paints a varied picture. On one hand, they've faced some headwinds because of rising material and labor costs and supply chain issues. On the other hand, some markets, such as the construction of warehouses and residential single-family homes, have provided robust growth. Because of the Inflation Reduction Act and the CHIPS and Science, there has been a resurgence in industrial construction activity. Overall, revenue has been inching up at a CAGR of 0.1% over the past five years to total an estimated $77.5 billion through the end of 2024, including an estimated drop of 1.5% in 2024. Contractors faced ups and downs in both the residential and commercial markets. Low interest rates following the outbreak of COVID-19 bolstered new single-family home-building, benefiting concrete contractors. This growth slowed in 2022 and 2023 as interest rates climbed, but low housing stock and rate cuts in 2024 have led to an uptick in new single-family construction. The struggling office construction market has also been a bone of contention. Still, warehouse and hotel construction activity has been a boon to contractors. Continued interest rate cuts will spur growth in the residential market. While labor shortages and rising cement prices are likely to persist, the ongoing allocation of federal funds towards infrastructure projects is expected to boost contractors. Still, office building construction will continue to lag, threatening performance. The future also heralds the advent of new technologies, which may strengthen efficiency and quality of work. Overall, revenue is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 1.6% over the next five years to total an estimated $84.1 billion through the end of 2029.
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According to Cognitive Market Research, the global Real Estate Property Software market size will be USD 10654.2 million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.30% from 2024 to 2031.
North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 4261.68 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.5% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 3196.26 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.8% from 2024 to 2031.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 2450.47 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.3% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 532.71 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.7% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD 213.08 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.0% from 2024 to 2031.
Customer Relationship Management Software held the highest Real Estate Property Software market revenue share in 2024.
Market Dynamics of Real Estate Property Software Market
Key Drivers for Real Estate Property Software Market
Booming real estate industry and increasing industry complexity to propel market growth
The constantly growing real estate business worldwide is expected to fuel growth in the global real estate software market. There is an urgent demand for solutions to assist real estate companies, brokers, and agents in managing the intricate network of the real estate industry due to the expanding population index and the changing environment around commercial hubs. Globally, there are more residential buildings than ever before. Furthermore, as corporate offices and the amount of land needed to develop new business hubs grow, the commercial space is changing quickly. Real estate software is made to assist market participants in making the most out of their resources and developing knowledgeable and astute expansion plans. One of the main benefits of using real estate software, for example, is that you may access the most updated statutory legislation and government regulations pertaining to residential or commercial structures. Since the corresponding real estate application allows for the immediate acquisition of extensive yet condensed information, agents and brokers can access these details without having to perform any manual labor.
Growing demand for SaaS-based software to propel market growth
The real estate property software market is expanding due in large part to the growing demand for SaaS-based software. Many benefits are available with SaaS systems, including rapid scalability, reduced initial costs, and frequent upgrades without requiring human installations. These advantages are especially tempting to small and medium-sized real estate companies who need reliable, adaptable software but need more money to invest. Furthermore, SaaS-based software also facilitates remote access, which is essential in today's mobile-centric environment because it allows real estate professionals to manage properties, interact with clients, and analyze data from any location. Users always have access to the newest features and security improvements thanks to SaaS providers' automated upgrades and maintenance, which promotes user acceptance and market expansion.
Restraint Factor for the Real Estate Property Software Market
The high cost of real estate software is expected to limit the growth pace of the global real estate software market. For example, research indicates that depending on the specific features of the tool, the cost of developing an application for building management might range from USD 45,000 to USD 275,000. However, when other considerations are taken into account, such as training staff members to use the software to its fullest potential and potential integration costs in the event that an existing system or other programs used by real estate agents are involved, the cost goes up even further. Real estate software's entire user base may be restricted by smaller players who serve a smaller...
Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in 2024, from less than four percent in many European countries, to as high as 44 percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increase in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2023, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.
Mortgage interest rates in Spain soared in 2022, after falling below 1.5 percent at the end of 2021. In the second quarter of 2024, the average weighted interest rate stood at 3.46 percent. That was lower than the rate in the same period the previous year. Despite the increase, Spain had a considerably lower mortgage interest rate than many other European countries.The aftermath of the property bubble Before the bursting of the real estate bubble, the housing market experienced a period of intense activity. A context marked by economic growth, high employment rate, low interest rates, skyrocketing house prices and land speculation, among others, encourage massive lending for the acquisition of property; in 2005 alone, more than 1.3 million home mortgages were granted in Spain. When the bubble burst and the financial crisis hit the country, residential real estate transactions plummeted and households’ non-performing loans jumped to nearly 50 billion euros as countless families were not able to cope with their debts. Over a decade after the onset of the crisis, and despite falling mortgage rates, the volume of mortgage loans keeps decreasing every year. A homeowner country Traditionally, Spain has been a country of homeowners; in 2021, the homeownership rate was roughly 76 percent. While nearly half of Spanish households own their property with no outstanding payment, the percentage of households that have loan or mortgage pending has been decreasing in recent years. Despite ownership remaining as the preferred tenure option, cultural changes, job insecurity and mounting house prices are prompting Spaniards to opt more and more to become tenants instead of owners, as shown in the changing dynamics of the Spanish residential rental market.
The house price-to-income ratio in Australia was 122.1 as of the third quarter of 2024. This ratio, calculated by dividing nominal house prices by nominal disposable income per head, increased from the previous quarter. The price-to-income ratio can be used to measure housing affordability in a specific area. Australia's property bubble There has been considerable debate over the past decade about whether Australia is in a property bubble or not. A property bubble refers to a sharp increase in the price of property that is disproportional to income and rental prices, followed by a decline. In Australia, rising house prices have undoubtedly been an issue for many potential homeowners, pricing them out of the market. Along with the average house price, high mortgage interest rates have exacerbated the issue. Is the homeownership dream out of reach? Housing affordability has varied across the different states and territories in Australia. In 2024, the median value of residential houses was the highest in Sydney compared to other major Australian cities, with Brisbane becoming an increasingly expensive city. Nonetheless, expected interest rate cuts in 2025, alongside the expansion of initiatives to improve Australia's dwelling stock, social housing supply, and first-time buyer accessibility to properties, may start to improve the situation. These encompass initiatives such as the Australian government's Help to Buy scheme and the Housing Australia Future Fund Facility (HAFFF) and National Housing Accord Facility (NHAF) programs.
House prices grew year-on-year in most states in the U.S. in the third quarter of 2024. The District of Columbia was the only exception, with a decline of three percent. The annual appreciation for single-family housing in the U.S. was 0.71 percent, while in Hawaii—the state where homes appreciated the most—the increase exceeded 10 percent. How have home prices developed in recent years? House price growth in the U.S. has been going strong for years. In 2024, the median sales price of a single-family home exceeded 413,000 U.S. dollars, up from 277,000 U.S. dollars five years ago. One of the factors driving house prices was the cost of credit. The record-low federal funds effective rate allowed mortgage lenders to set mortgage interest rates as low as 2.3 percent. With interest rates on the rise, home buying has also slowed, causing fluctuations in house prices. Why are house prices growing? Many markets in the U.S. are overheated because supply has not been able to keep up with demand. How many homes enter the housing market depends on the construction output, whereas the availability of existing homes for purchase depends on many other factors, such as the willingness of owners to sell. Furthermore, growing investor appetite in the housing sector means that prospective homebuyers have some extra competition to worry about. In certain metros, for example, the share of homes bought by investors exceeded 20 percent in 2024.