In the first quarter of 2024, the United Arab Emirates, Poland, and Bulgaria registered the highest house price increase in real terms (adjusted for inflation). In the United Arab Emirates, house prices outgrew inflation by 16.17 percent. When comparing the nominal price change, which does not take inflation into consideration, the average house price growth was even higher. Nevertheless, many countries experienced declining prices, with Luxembourg recording the biggest decline, at nearly 14 percent. That has to do with a broader trend of a slowing global housing market.

Graph and download economic data for Real Residential Property Prices for United States (QUSR628BIS) from Q1 1970 to Q3 2024 about residential, HPI, housing, real, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

In 2024, the Mexico exhibited the highest inflation-adjusted increase in house prices among the countries under observation. In the first quarter of the year, house prices in Mexico grew by nearly five percent in real terms, whereas globally, prices declined by one percent. These figures are based on the development of the real house price index, with 2010 chosen as a baseline year. When looking at the long-term index development, Chile observed the biggest increase in prices in the region.

Graph and download economic data for Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Housing in U.S. City Average (CPIHOSSL) from Jan 1967 to Feb 2025 about urban, consumer, CPI, housing, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

In 2024, Poland, Bulgaria, and Russia exhibited the highest inflation-adjusted increase in house prices among the countries under observation. In the first quarter of the year, house prices in all three countries grew by over 10 percent in real terms, whereas globally, prices declined by one percent. The country with the highest price drop was Luxembourg, at almost 14 percent. France and Germany also experienced a notable decline in prices, at seven and eight percent, respectively. These figures are based on the development of the real house price index, with 2010 chosen as a baseline year. When looking at the long-term index development, Turkey observed the biggest increase in prices in the region. When looking at the average house price in the major European markets, Norway emerged as the country with the most expensive residential property. Meanwhile, cities such as Geneva, Zurich, and London had the highest average apartment prices.

Graph and download economic data for Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States (MSPUS) from Q1 1963 to Q4 2024 about sales, median, housing, and USA.

In 2024, the Australia exhibited the highest inflation-adjusted increase in house prices among the Asia-Pacific countries under observation. In the first quarter of the year, house prices in Australia grew by 5.7 percent in real terms, whereas globally, prices declined by one percent. These figures are based on the development of the real house price index, with 2010 chosen as a baseline year. When looking at the long-term index development, New Zealand observed the biggest increase in prices in the region.

VITAL SIGNS INDICATOR Home Prices (EC7)

FULL MEASURE NAME Home Prices

LAST UPDATED August 2019

DESCRIPTION Home prices refer to the cost of purchasing one’s own house or condominium. While a significant share of residents may choose to rent, home prices represent a primary driver of housing affordability in a given region, county or city.

DATA SOURCE Zillow Median Sale Price (1997-2018) http://www.zillow.com/research/data/

Bureau of Labor Statistics: Consumer Price Index All Urban Consumers Data Table (1997-2018; specific to each metro area) http://data.bls.gov

CONTACT INFORMATION vitalsigns.info@bayareametro.gov

METHODOLOGY NOTES (across all datasets for this indicator) Median housing price estimates for the region, counties, cities, and zip code come from analysis of individual home sales by Zillow. The median sale price is the price separating the higher half of the sales from the lower half. In other words, 50 percent of home sales are below or above the median value. Zillow defines all homes as single-family residential, condominium, and co-operative homes with a county record. Single-family residences are detached, which means the home is an individual structure with its own lot. Condominiums are units that you own in a multi-unit complex, such as an apartment building. Co-operative homes are slightly different from condominiums where the homeowners own shares in the corporation that owns the building, not the actual units themselves.

For metropolitan area comparison values, the Bay Area metro area’s median home sale price is the population-weighted average of the nine counties’ median home prices. Home sales prices are not reliably available for Houston, because Texas is a non-disclosure state. For more information on non-disclosure states, see: http://www.zillow.com/blog/chronicles-of-data-collection-ii-non-disclosure-states-3783/

Inflation-adjusted data are presented to illustrate how home prices have grown relative to overall price increases; that said, the use of the Consumer Price Index does create some challenges given the fact that housing represents a major chunk of consumer goods bundle used to calculate CPI. This reflects a methodological tradeoff between precision and accuracy and is a common concern when working with any commodity that is a major component of CPI itself.

Global house prices experienced a significant shift in 2022, with advanced economies seeing a notable decline after a prolonged period of growth. The real house price index (adjusted for inflation) for advanced economies peaked at nearly 140 index points in early 2022 before falling to around 132 points by the first quarter of 2024. This represents a reversal of the upward trend that had characterized the housing market for roughly a decade. Conversely, real house prices in emerging economies resumed growing, after a brief correction in the second half of 2022. What is behind the slowdown? Inflation and slow economic growth have been the primary drivers for the cooling of the housing market. Secondly, the growing gap between incomes and house prices since 2012 has decreased the affordability of homeownership. Last but not least, homebuyers in 2024 faced dramatically higher mortgage interest rates, further contributing to worsening sentiment and declining transactions. Some markets continue to grow While many countries witnessed a deceleration in house price growth in 2022, some markets continued to see substantial increases. Turkey, in particular, stood out with a nominal increase in house prices of over 55 percent in the 1st quarter of 2024. Other countries that recorded a two-digit growth include Russia and the United Arab Emirates. When accounting for inflation, the three countries with the fastest growing residential prices in early 2024 were the United Arab Emirates, Poland, and Bulgaria.

The year-end value of the S&P Case Shiller National Home Price Index amounted to 310.76 in December 2023. The index value was equal to 100 as of January 2000, so if the index value is equal to 130 in a given year, for example, it means that the house prices increased by 30 percent since 2000. S&P/Case Shiller U.S. home indices – additional informationThe S&P Case Shiller National Home Price Index is calculated on a monthly basis and is based on the prices of single-family homes in nine U.S. Census divisions: New England, Middle Atlantic, East North Central, West North Central, South Atlantic, East South Central, West South Central, Mountain and Pacific. The index is the leading indicator of the American housing market and one of the indicators of the state of the broader economy. The index illustrates the trend of home prices and can be helpful during house purchase decisions. When house prices are rising, a house buyer might want to speed up the house purchase decision as the transaction costs can be much higher in the future. The S&P Case Shiller National Home Price Index has been on the rise since 2011.The S&P Case Shiller National Home Price Index is one of the indices included in the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index Series. Other indices are the S&P/Case Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index, the S&P/Case Shiller 10-City Composite Home Price Index and twenty city composite indices.

In 2024, Chile was the country with the highest inflation-adjusted increase in house prices since 2010 among the countries under observation. In the first quarter of the year, the real house price index in Chile exceeded 195 index points. This means that, adjusted for inflation, house prices grew by more than 95 percent since 2010, the baseline year when the index value was set to 100. According to the nominal house price index, which does not adjust for the effects of inflation, the price increase was higher.

Graph and download economic data for S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller CA-San Diego Home Price Index (SDXRSA) from Jan 1987 to Jan 2025 about San Diego, CA, HPI, housing, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Inflation-adjusted house prices in the United Kingdom (UK), continued to decline in the second quarter of 2023 - a trend that started in the fourth quarter of 2022. The nominal house price grew by 1.77 percent in the second quarter of 2023, but when adjusted for inflation, there was a decline of 6.15 percent.

Graph and download economic data for All-Transactions House Price Index for California (CASTHPI) from Q1 1975 to Q4 2024 about appraisers, CA, HPI, housing, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

United Kingdom House Price: Qtr: UK: Adjusted for Inflation data was reported at 214,578.383 GBP in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 211,792.212 GBP for Mar 2018. United Kingdom House Price: Qtr: UK: Adjusted for Inflation data is updated quarterly, averaging 60,170.285 GBP from Mar 1975 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 174 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 214,578.383 GBP in Jun 2018 and a record low of 10,387.877 GBP in Mar 1975. United Kingdom House Price: Qtr: UK: Adjusted for Inflation data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Nationwide. The data is categorized under Global Database’s UK – Table UK.P001: House Price: Nationwide.

VITAL SIGNS INDICATOR
Home Prices (EC7)

FULL MEASURE NAME
Home Prices

LAST UPDATED
December 2022

DESCRIPTION
Home prices refer to the cost of purchasing one’s own house or condominium. While a significant share of residents may choose to rent, home prices represent a primary driver of housing affordability in a given region, county or city.

DATA SOURCE
Zillow: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) - http://www.zillow.com/research/data/
2000-2021

California Department of Finance: E-4 Historical Population Estimates for Cities, Counties, and the State - https://dof.ca.gov/forecasting/demographics/estimates/
2000-2021

US Census Population and Housing Unit Estimates - https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest.html
2000-2021

Bureau of Labor Statistics: Consumer Price Index - http://data.bls.gov
2000-2021

US Census ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTAs) - https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/geography/guidance/geo-areas/zctas.html
2020 Census Blocks

CONTACT INFORMATION
vitalsigns.info@bayareametro.gov

METHODOLOGY NOTES (across all datasets for this indicator)
Housing price estimates at the regional-, county-, city- and zip code-level come from analysis of individual home sales by Zillow based upon transaction records. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) is a smoothed, seasonally adjusted measure of the typical home value and market changes across a given region and housing type. It reflects the typical value for homes in the 35th to 65th percentile range. ZHVI is computed from public record transaction data as reported by counties. All standard real estate transactions are included in this metric, including REO sales and auctions. Zillow makes a substantial effort to remove transactions not typically considered a standard sale. Examples of these include bank takeovers of foreclosed properties, title transfers after a death or divorce and non arms-length transactions. Zillow defines all homes as single-family residential, condominium and co-operative homes with a county record. Single-family residences are detached, which means the home is an individual structure with its own lot. Condominiums are units that can be owned in a multi-unit complex, such as an apartment building. Co-operative homes are slightly different from condominiums in that the homeowners own shares in the corporation that owns the building, not the actual units themselves.

For metropolitan area comparison values, the Bay Area metro area’s median home sale price is the population-weighted average of the nine counties’ median home prices. Data is adjusted for inflation using Bureau of Labor Statistics metropolitan statistical area (MSA)-specific series. Inflation-adjusted data are presented to illustrate how home prices have grown relative to overall price increases; that said, the use of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) does create some challenges given the fact that housing represents a major chunk of consumer goods bundle used to calculate CPI. This reflects a methodological tradeoff between precision and accuracy and is a common concern when working with any commodity that is a major component of the CPI itself.

Key information about House Prices Growth

• US house prices grew 5.2% YoY in Sep 2024, following an increase of 6.2% YoY in the previous quarter.
• YoY growth data is updated quarterly, available from Mar 1992 to Sep 2024, with an average growth rate of 5.5%.
• House price data reached an all-time high of 17.7% in Sep 2021 and a record low of -12.4% in Dec 2008.

Housing Index in Canada increased to 124.50 points in February from 124.40 points in January of 2025. This dataset provides - Canada New Housing Price Index - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

VITAL SIGNS INDICATOR Rent Payments (EC8)

FULL MEASURE NAME Median rent payment

LAST UPDATED September 2016

DESCRIPTION Rent payments refer to the cost of leasing an apartment or home and serves as a measure of housing costs for individuals who do not own a home. The data reflect the median monthly rent paid by Bay Area households across apartments and homes of various sizes and various levels of quality. This differs from advertised rents for available apartments, which usually are higher. Note that rent can be presented using nominal or real (inflation-adjusted) dollar values; data are presented inflation-adjusted to reflect changes in household purchasing power over time.

DATA SOURCE U.S. Census Bureau: Decennial Census 1970-2000 https://nhgis.org Note: Count 1 and Count 2; Form STF1; Form SF3a

U.S. Census Bureau: American Community Survey 2005-2015 http://api.census.gov Note: Form B25058; 1-YR

Bureau of Labor Statistics: Consumer Price Index 1970-2015 http://data.bls.gov Note: All Urban Consumers Data Table (by metro)

CONTACT INFORMATION vitalsigns.info@mtc.ca.gov

METHODOLOGY NOTES (across all datasets for this indicator) Rent data reflects median rent payments rather than list rents (refer to measure definition above). Larger geographies (metro and county) rely upon ACS 1-year data, while smaller geographies rely upon ACS 5-year rolling average data. 1970 Census data for median rent payments has been imputed by ABAG staff as the source data only provided the mean, rather than the median, monthly rent. Metro area boundaries reflects today’s metro area definitions by county for consistency, rather than historical metro area boundaries.

Inflation-adjusted data are presented to illustrate how rent payments have grown relative to overall price increases; that said, the use of the Consumer Price Index does create some challenges given the fact that housing represents a major chunk of consumer goods bundle used to calculate CPI. This reflects a methodological tradeoff between precision and accuracy and is a common concern when working with any commodity that is a major component of CPI itself.

In 2024, the United Arab Emirates exhibited the highest inflation-adjusted increase in house prices among the Middle Eastern and African countries under observation. In the first quarter of the year, house prices in the United Arab Emirates grew by over 16 percent in real terms, whereas globally, prices declined by one percent. These figures are based on the development of the real house price index, with 2010 chosen as a baseline year. When looking at the long-term index development, Israel observed the biggest increase in prices in the region throughout the period.