View data of the Effective Federal Funds Rate, or the interest rate depository institutions charge each other for overnight loans of funds.

Analysis of ‘USA Key Economic Indicators’ provided by Analyst-2 (analyst-2.ai), based on source dataset retrieved from https://www.kaggle.com/calven22/usa-key-macroeconomic-indicators on 28 January 2022.

--- Dataset description provided by original source is as follows ---

Context

Domino’s Pizza, like many other restaurant chains, is getting pinched by higher food costs. The company’s chief executive, Richard Allison, anticipates “unprecedented increases” in the company’s food costs, which could jump by 8-10%. He said that is three to four times what the pizza chain would normally expect in a year.

This leads to the paramount issue of inflation which affects every aspects of the economy, from consumer spending, business investment and employment rates to government programs, tax policies, and interest rates. The recent release of consumer inflation data showed prices rose at the fastest pace since 1982. Inflation forecasting is key in the conduct of monetary policy and can be used in many other ways such as preserving asset values. This dataset is a consolidated macroeconomic official statistics from 1981 to 2021, containing data available in month and quarterly format.

Content

The Core Consumer Price Index (ccpi) measures the changes in the price of goods and services, excluding food and energy due to their volatility. It measures price change from the perspective of the consumer. It is a often used to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.

Do note there are some null values in the dataset.

Acknowledgements

All data belongs to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis official release, and are retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Inspiration

What are some noticeable patterns or seasonality of the economy? What are the current trends of the economy? Which indicators has an effect on Core CPI or vice-versa based on predictive power or influence?

Quarterly data and monthly data can be merged with forward-fill or interpolation methods.

What is the forecast of Core CPI in 2022?

--- Original source retains full ownership of the source dataset ---

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US Adult COVID-19 Impact Survey Data

Regional, Socio-Economic, and Health Effects

By Meghan Hoyer [source]

About this dataset

The Associated Press is proud to present the COVID Impact Survey, a statistical survey providing data on how the coronavirus pandemic has affected people in the United States. Conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago with sponsorship from the Data Foundation and Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, this probability-based survey offers valuable insight into three core areas related to physical health, economic and financial security, and social and mental health.

Through this vital survey data, we can gain a better understanding of how individuals are dealing with symptoms related to COVID-19, their financial situation during this time period as well as changes in employment or government assistance policies, food security ization (in both nationwide & regional scope), communication with friends and family members, anxiety levels & if people are volunteering more during pandemic restrictions; furthermore gaining an overall comprehensive snapshot into what factors are impacting public perception regarding COVID-19’s effect on US citizens.

Using these insights it's possible to track metrics over time - Observing which issues Americans face everyday but also long-term effects such as mental distress or self sacrificing volunteer activities that appear due to underlying stress factors. It’s imperative that we properly weight our analysis when using this data & never report raw numbers; instead we must apply queries using statistical software such R/SPSS - thus being able to find results nationally as well as within 10 states + metropolitan areas across America whilst utilising margin of error for detecting statistically significant differences between each researched segment!

Let’s open our minds today – digging beneath surface level information so data tells us stories about humanity & our social behavior patterns during these uncertain times!

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How to use the dataset

This dataset contains survey data related to the impact of COVID-19 on US adult residents. The survey covers physical health, mental health, economic security, and social dynamics that have been affected by the pandemic. It is important to remember that this is survey data and must be properly weighted when analyzing it. Raw or aggregated numbers should not be used to generate insights. In order to weight the data appropriately, we recommend using statistical software such as R or SPSS or our provided queries (linked in this guide).

To generate a table relating to a specific topic covered in the survey, use the survey questionnaire and code book to match a question (the variable label) with its corresponding variable name. For instance “How often have you felt lonely in the past 7 days?” is variable “soc5c”. After entering a variable name into one of our provided queries, a sentence summarizing national results can be written out such as “People in some states are less likely to report loneliness than others… nationally 60% of people said they hadn't felt lonely”

When making comparisons for numerical statistics between different regions it is important to consider the margin of error associated with each set of surveys for national and regional figures provided within this document; it will help determine if differences between groups are statistically significant. If differences are: at least twice as large as margin of error then there is clear difference; at least as large as margin then there is slight/apparent difference; less than/equal margin no real difference can be determined

Survey results are generally posted under embargo on Tuesday evenings with data release taking place at 1 pm ET Thursdays afterward under an appropriate title including month & year ie 01_April_30_covid_impact_survey). Data will come in comma-delimited & statistical formats containing necessary inferences regarding sample collection etc outlined within this guide

When citing survey results these should always attributed with qualification— The Covid Impact Survey conducted by NORC at University Chicago for The Data Foundation sponsored by Federal Reserve Bank Minneapolis & Packard Foundation .
Lastly more resources regarding AP’s data journalism& distributions capabilities can found via link here or contact kromanoap.org

Research Ideas

• Comparing mental health outcomes of the pandemic in different states and metropolitan areas, such as rates of anxiety or lonelines...

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Over 44.7 million Americans carry student loan debt, with the total amount valued at approximately $1.31 trillion (Quarterly Report, 2019). Ergo, consumer spending, a factor of GDP, is stifled and negatively impacts the economy (Frizell, 2014, p. 22). This study examined the relationship between student loan debt and the probability of a recession in the near future, as well as the effects of proposed student loan forgiveness policies through the use of a created model. The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis’s website (FRED) was used to extract data regarding total GDP per quarter and student loan debt per quarter ("Federal Reserve Economic Data," 2019). Through the combination of the student loan debt per quarter and total GDP per quarter datasets, the percentage of total GDP composed of student loan debt per quarter was calculated and fitted to a logistic curve. Future quarterly values for total GDP and the percentage of total GDP composed by student loan debt per quarter were found through Long Short Term Models and Euler’s Method, respectively. Through the creation of a probability of recession index, the probability of recession per quarter was compared to the percentage of total GDP composed by student loan debt per quarter to construct an exponential regression model. Utilizing a primarily quantitative method of analysis, the percentage of total GDP composed by student loan debt per quarter was found to be strongly associated[p < 1.26696* 10-8]with the probability of recession per quarter(p(R)), with the p(R) tending to peak as the percentage of total GDP composed of student loan debt per quarter strayed away from the carrying capacity of the logistic curve. Inputting the student loan debt forgiveness policies of potential congressional bills proposed by lawmakers found that eliminating 49.7 % and 36.7% of student loan debt would reduce the recession probabilities to be 1.73545*10-29% and 9.74474*10-25%, respectively.

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