Until the 1800s, population growth was incredibly slow on a global level. The global population was estimated to have been around 188 million people in the year 1CE, and did not reach one billion until around 1803. However, since the 1800s, a phenomenon known as the demographic transition has seen population growth skyrocket, reaching eight billion people in 2023, and this is expected to peak at over 10 billion in the 2080s.
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Historical chart and dataset showing U.S. population growth rate by year from 1961 to 2023.
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this project graph is : ourworldindata
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For the vast majority of human existence, our global population remained a mere fraction of what it is today. However, the last few centuries have borne witness to an extraordinary transformation in human demography. In the year 1800, the global population stood at a modest one billion individuals. Fast forward to the present day, and we find ourselves amidst a staggering figure of over 8 billion people inhabiting our planet.
Yet, despite this exponential growth trajectory, demographers now project a fascinating shift on the horizon: the expectation that global population growth will plateau by the close of this century.
Within the vast repository of Our World in Data, we delve deeply into the intricacies of population dynamics, offering a comprehensive array of data, charts, and analyses elucidating the nuanced changes in population growth. From the geographical distribution of populations to temporal shifts and future projections, our platform serves as a rich tapestry of insights into this paramount aspect of human civilization.
One of the most illuminating tools at our disposal is the population cartogram—a unique visualization method that transcends traditional geographical maps to provide a more accurate depiction of global population distribution. Unlike conventional maps, which delineate territories based solely on landmass, population cartograms offer a perspective where countries are resized according to their respective populations.
In our exploration of the population cartogram for the year 2018, we uncover a myriad of revelations. Small nations characterized by high population densities manifest as enlarged entities, accentuating their significance on the global stage. Bangladesh, Taiwan, and the Netherlands emerge prominently, their amplified proportions underscoring their demographic density. Conversely, vast territories with comparatively sparse populations undergo a visual reduction in size. Countries like Canada, Mongolia, Australia, and Russia, despite their expansive landmasses, shrink in relative stature, highlighting the intriguing interplay between territory and population.
This innovative approach to mapping not only challenges conventional perceptions but also provides invaluable insights into the complex mosaic of human settlement patterns and demographic trends. By transcending the limitations of traditional cartography, population cartograms offer a nuanced lens through which to perceive the evolving dynamics of our global community.
To delve deeper into the nuances of this population cartogram and its implications, we invite you to explore our comprehensive article dedicated to this fascinating subject. Within its pages, you will find a detailed analysis, accompanied by captivating visuals and insightful commentary, elucidating the significance of population cartograms in understanding our world.
At Our World in Data, we remain committed to unraveling the complexities of global population dynamics, offering a platform that fosters informed discourse and deepens our understanding of the forces shaping our collective future. Join us on this illuminating journey as we navigate the ever-changing landscape of human demography, charting a course towards a more enlightened tomorrow.
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European countries are experiencing population decline and the tacit assumption in most analyses is that the decline may have detrimental welfare effects. In this paper we use a survey among the population in the Netherlands to discover whether population decline is always met with fear. A number of results stand out: population size preferences differ by geographic proximity: at a global level the majority of respondents favors a (global) population decline, but closer to home one supports a stationary population. Population decline is clearly not always met with fear: 31 percent would like the population to decline at the national level and they generally perceive decline to be accompanied by immaterial welfare gains (improvement environment) as well as material welfare losses (tax increases, economic stagnation). In addition to these driving forces it appears that the attitude towards immigrants is a very strong determinant at all geographical levels: immigrants seem to be a stronger fear factor than population decline.
The West Africa Coastal Vulnerability Mapping: Population Projections, 2030 and 2050 data set is based on an unreleased working version of the Gridded Population of the World (GPW), Version 4, year 2010 population count raster but at a coarser 5 arc-minute resolution. Bryan Jones of Baruch College produced country-level projections based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 4 (SSP4). SSP4 reflects a divided world where cities that have relatively high standards of living, are attractive to internal and international migrants. In low income countries, rapidly growing rural populations live on shrinking areas of arable land due to both high population pressure and expansion of large-scale mechanized farming by international agricultural firms. This pressure induces large migration flow to the cities, contributing to fast urbanization, although urban areas do not provide many opportUnities for the poor and there is a massive expansion of slums and squatter settlements. This scenario may not be the most likely for the West Africa region, but it has internal coherence and is at least plausible.
From the AfriPop website..."High resolution, contemporary data on human population distributions are a prerequisite for the accurate measurement of the impacts of population growth, for monitoring changes and for planning interventions. The AfriPop project was initiated in July 2009 with an aim of producing detailed and freely-available population distribution maps for the whole of Africa. Based on the approaches outlined in detail here and here, and summarized on the methods page, fine resolution satellite imagery-derived settlement maps are combined with land cover maps to reallocate contemporary census-based spatial population count data. Assessments have shown that the resultant maps are more accurate than existing population map products, as well as the simple gridding of census data. Moreover, the 100m spatial resolution represents a finer mapping detail than has ever before been produced at national extents. The approaches used in AfriPop dataset production are designed with operational application in mind, using simple and semi-automated methods to produce easily updatable maps. Given the speed with which population growth and urbanisation are occurring across much of Africa, and the impacts these are having on the economies, environments and health of nations, such features are a necessity for both research and operational applications."Data Source: AfriPop.org
The growing human population and a changing environment have raised significant concern for global food security, with the current improvement rate of several important crops inadequate to meet future demand1. This slow improvement rate is attributed partly to the long generation times of crop plants. Here, we present a method called ‘speed breeding’, which greatly shortens generation time and accelerates breeding and research programmes. Speed breeding can be used to achieve up to 6 generations per year for spring wheat (Triticum aestivum), durum wheat (T. durum), barley (Hordeum vulgare), chickpea (Cicer arietinum) and pea (Pisum sativum), and 4 generations for canola (Brassica napus), instead of 2–3 under normal glasshouse conditions. We demonstrate that speed breeding in fully enclosed, controlled-environment growth chambers can accelerate plant development for research purposes, including phenotyping of adult plant traits, mutant studies and transformation. The use of supplemental lighting in a glasshouse environment allows rapid generation cycling through single seed descent (SSD) and potential for adaptation to larger-scale crop improvement programs. Cost saving through light-emitting diode (LED) supplemental lighting is also outlined. We envisage great potential for integrating speed breeding with other modern crop breeding technologies, including high-throughput genotyping, genome editing and genomic selection, accelerating the rate of crop improvement.
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Human-induced environmental changes have a direct impact on species populations, with some species experiencing declines while others display population growth. Understanding why and how species populations respond differently to environmental changes is fundamental to mitigate and predict future biodiversity changes. Theoretically, species life-history strategies are key determinants shaping the response of populations to environmental impacts. Despite this, the association between species' life-histories and the response of populations to environmental changes has not been tested. In this study, we analysed the effects of recent land-cover and temperature changes on rates of population change of 1,072 populations recorded in the Living Planet Database. We selected populations with at least 5 yearly consecutive records (after imputation of missing population estimates) between 1992 and 2016, and for which we achieved high population imputation accuracy (in the cases where missing values had to be imputed). These populations were distributed across 553 different locations and included 461 terrestrial amniote vertebrate species (273 birds, 137 mammals, and 51 reptiles) with different life-history strategies. We showed that populations of fast-lived species inhabiting areas that have experienced recent expansion of cropland or bare soil present positive population trends on average, whereas slow-lived species display negative population trends. Although these findings support previous hypotheses that fast-lived species are better adapted to recover their populations after an environmental perturbation, the sensitivity analysis revealed that model outcomes are strongly influenced by the addition or exclusion of populations with extreme rates of change. Therefore, the results should be interpreted with caution. With climate and land-use changes likely to increase in the future, establishing clear links between species characteristics and responses to these threats is fundamental for designing and conducting conservation actions. The results of this study can aid in evaluating population sensitivity, assessing the likely conservation status of species with poor data coverage, and predicting future scenarios of biodiversity change.
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Wheat ranks third among cereal crops in terms of global production, and its demand is expected to increase as the human population grows. Plant breeding can increase crop production without burdening natural resources, and one way to accelerate genetic gain is through shortening breeding cycles with speed breeding. Speed breeding protocols for winter wheat have been adapted by adding a vernalization phase to existing spring wheat protocols. Although a protocol for the vernalization phase was previously developed, it was not tested for genotypes grown in the Midwest US that may have higher vernalization requirements. The transition from vegetative to reproductive stages in winter wheat depends mainly on the vernalization temperature, length of exposure and photoperiod, which determines the time needed to reach flowering. Optimizing vernalization under SB in a greenhouse setting is important for applications in breeding programs. Our objective was to develop a speed breeding protocol for winter wheat that meets the vernalization requirements of all genotypes and to evaluate the effects of vernalization temperature combined with sowing depth under both speed breeding and normal greenhouse growing conditions. A significant reduction in the time to flowering via speed breeding was achieved. Compared with normal vernalization, high-throughput vernalization adds ten days to the time to reach harvest. A shallow planting depth results in maturity five days earlier than a deep planting depth. A combination of speed breeding, shallow planting, and high-throughput vernalization will shorten the breeding cycle to 36 days per year under greenhouse conditions compared to normal growth condition, deep planting and normal vernalization.This system is suitable for genotypes with high vernalization requirements and can be combined with high-throughput systems.
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Historical chart and dataset showing U.K. population growth rate by year from 1961 to 2023.
Notice of data discontinuation: Since the start of the pandemic, AP has reported case and death counts from data provided by Johns Hopkins University. Johns Hopkins University has announced that they will stop their daily data collection efforts after March 10. As Johns Hopkins stops providing data, the AP will also stop collecting daily numbers for COVID cases and deaths. The HHS and CDC now collect and visualize key metrics for the pandemic. AP advises using those resources when reporting on the pandemic going forward.
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new_deaths
column.February 16, 2021
The AP is using data collected by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering as our source for outbreak caseloads and death counts for the United States and globally.
The Hopkins data is available at the county level in the United States. The AP has paired this data with population figures and county rural/urban designations, and has calculated caseload and death rates per 100,000 people. Be aware that caseloads may reflect the availability of tests -- and the ability to turn around test results quickly -- rather than actual disease spread or true infection rates.
This data is from the Hopkins dashboard that is updated regularly throughout the day. Like all organizations dealing with data, Hopkins is constantly refining and cleaning up their feed, so there may be brief moments where data does not appear correctly. At this link, you’ll find the Hopkins daily data reports, and a clean version of their feed.
The AP is updating this dataset hourly at 45 minutes past the hour.
To learn more about AP's data journalism capabilities for publishers, corporations and financial institutions, go here or email kromano@ap.org.
Use AP's queries to filter the data or to join to other datasets we've made available to help cover the coronavirus pandemic
Filter cases by state here
Rank states by their status as current hotspots. Calculates the 7-day rolling average of new cases per capita in each state: https://data.world/associatedpress/johns-hopkins-coronavirus-case-tracker/workspace/query?queryid=481e82a4-1b2f-41c2-9ea1-d91aa4b3b1ac
Find recent hotspots within your state by running a query to calculate the 7-day rolling average of new cases by capita in each county: https://data.world/associatedpress/johns-hopkins-coronavirus-case-tracker/workspace/query?queryid=b566f1db-3231-40fe-8099-311909b7b687&showTemplatePreview=true
Join county-level case data to an earlier dataset released by AP on local hospital capacity here. To find out more about the hospital capacity dataset, see the full details.
Pull the 100 counties with the highest per-capita confirmed cases here
Rank all the counties by the highest per-capita rate of new cases in the past 7 days here. Be aware that because this ranks per-capita caseloads, very small counties may rise to the very top, so take into account raw caseload figures as well.
The AP has designed an interactive map to track COVID-19 cases reported by Johns Hopkins.
@(https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/nRyaf/15/)
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Johns Hopkins timeseries data - Johns Hopkins pulls data regularly to update their dashboard. Once a day, around 8pm EDT, Johns Hopkins adds the counts for all areas they cover to the timeseries file. These counts are snapshots of the latest cumulative counts provided by the source on that day. This can lead to inconsistencies if a source updates their historical data for accuracy, either increasing or decreasing the latest cumulative count. - Johns Hopkins periodically edits their historical timeseries data for accuracy. They provide a file documenting all errors in their timeseries files that they have identified and fixed here
This data should be credited to Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 tracking project
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This starter data kit collects extracts from global, open datasets relating to climate hazards and infrastructure systems.
These extracts are derived from global datasets which have been clipped to the national scale (or subnational, in cases where national boundaries have been split, generally to separate outlying islands or non-contiguous regions), using Natural Earth (2023) boundaries, and is not meant to express an opinion about borders, territory or sovereignty.
Human-induced climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of climate and weather extremes. This is causing widespread, adverse impacts to societies, economies and infrastructures. Climate risk analysis is essential to inform policy decisions aimed at reducing risk. Yet, access to data is often a barrier, particularly in low and middle-income countries. Data are often scattered, hard to find, in formats that are difficult to use or requiring considerable technical expertise. Nevertheless, there are global, open datasets which provide some information about climate hazards, society, infrastructure and the economy. This "data starter kit" aims to kickstart the process and act as a starting point for further model development and scenario analysis.
Hazards:
Exposure:
The spatial intersection of hazard and exposure datasets is a first step to analyse vulnerability and risk to infrastructure and people.
To learn more about related concepts, there is a free short course available through the Open University on Infrastructure and Climate Resilience. This overview of the course has more details.
These Python libraries may be a useful place to start analysis of the data in the packages produced by this workflow:
snkit
helps clean network data
nismod-snail
is designed to help implement infrastructure
exposure, damage and risk calculations
The open-gira
repository contains a larger workflow for global-scale open-data infrastructure risk and resilience analysis.
For a more developed example, some of these datasets were key inputs to a regional climate risk assessment of current and future flooding risks to transport networks in East Africa, which has a related online visualisation tool at https://east-africa.infrastructureresilience.org/ and is described in detail in Hickford et al (2023).
References
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Heatwaves are a global issue that threaten microbial populations and deteriorate ecosystems. However, how river microbial communities respond to heatwaves and whether and how high temperatures exceed microbial adaptation remain unclear. In this study, we proposed four types of pulse temperature-induced microbial responses and predicted the possibility of microbial adaptation to high temperature in global rivers using ensemble machine learning models. Our findings suggest that microbial communities in parts of South American (e.g., Brazil and Chile) and Southeast Asian (e.g., Vietnam) countries are likely to change due to heatwave disturbance from 25 °C to 37 °C for consecutive days. Furthermore, the microbial communities in approximately 48.4% of the global river gauge stations are prone to fast stress inadaptation, with approximately 76.9% of these stations expected to exceed microbial adaptation after heatwave disturbances. If emissions of particulate matter with sizes not more than 2.5 μm (PM2.5, an indicator of human activities) increase by 2-fold, the number of global rivers associated with the fast stress adaptation type will decrease by ~13.7% after heatwave disturbances. Understanding microbial responses is crucially important for effective ecosystem management, especially for fragile and sensitive rivers facing heatwave events. All data and code aim to repeat the above findings.Other public data sourceFor global prediction, the physical and chemical properties of global rivers from the “GEMStat” website (https://gemstat.org/) were analyzed. A total of 6101 stations were extracted, including all physical and chemical river parameters mentioned in Table S3. Due to the scarcity of the data, their high resolution and the large extent of population shifts, human parameters were extracted at the national scale. The extracted human-related information and river parameters are provided in Table S3. Information from the nearest station calculated by the spherical distance was used to replenish the missing data. Net growth rates (number of rivers=5308) were obtained for global rivers.Population of the countries of the world: https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Standard/Population/(Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Dynamics)Per capita GDP: http://data.worldbank.org.cn (World Bank Database)Forest cover and education index (HDI): http://hdr.undp.org/en/data (United Nations Development Programme Human Development Reports)Carbon emissions: https://stats.oecd.org/The average annual PM2.5 concentration: healtheffects.org/https://www.stateofglobalair.org/data/#/health/mapGlobal emissions of polluting gases: https://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/dataset_ap50 (Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR))Population density: http://data.un.org/Total number of tourists: https://www.unwto.org/(World Tourism Organization (UNWTO))Total in-use vehicles: https://www.oica.net/production-statistics/(World Automobile Organization)Coal consumption: https://www.iea.org/(World Energy Organization)https://unstats.un.org/unsd/mbs/app/DataSearchTable.aspxhttps://data.wto.org/(World Trade Organization)Total amount of goods transported by road: https://d.qianzhan.com/xdata/list/x2HvyF-3.html (Qianzhan website; data from China's National Bureau of Statistics)UN Environment: https://wesr.unep.org/downloaderSocioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC): https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/gpw-v3-population-density-futureestimates/data-download
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Historical chart and dataset showing Egypt population growth rate by year from 1961 to 2023.
The global number of internet users in was forecast to continuously increase between 2024 and 2029 by in total 1.3 billion users (+23.66 percent). After the fifteenth consecutive increasing year, the number of users is estimated to reach 7 billion users and therefore a new peak in 2029. Notably, the number of internet users of was continuously increasing over the past years.Depicted is the estimated number of individuals in the country or region at hand, that use the internet. As the datasource clarifies, connection quality and usage frequency are distinct aspects, not taken into account here.The shown data are an excerpt of Statista's Key Market Indicators (KMI). The KMI are a collection of primary and secondary indicators on the macro-economic, demographic and technological environment in up to 150 countries and regions worldwide. All indicators are sourced from international and national statistical offices, trade associations and the trade press and they are processed to generate comparable data sets (see supplementary notes under details for more information).Find more key insights for the number of internet users in countries like the Americas and Asia.
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Global biodiversity is facing a crisis, which must be solved through effective policies and on-the-ground conservation. But governments, NGOs, and scientists need reliable indicators to guide research, conservation actions, and policy decisions. Developing reliable indicators is challenging because the data underlying those tools is incomplete and biased. For example, the Living Planet Index tracks the changing status of global vertebrate biodiversity, but taxonomic, geographic and temporal gaps and biases are present in the aggregated data used to calculate trends. But without a basis for real-world comparison, there is no way to directly assess an indicator’s accuracy or reliability. Instead, a modelling approach can be used. We developed a model of trend reliability, using simulated datasets as stand-ins for the "real world", degraded samples as stand-ins for indicator datasets (e.g. the Living Planet Database), and a distance measure to quantify reliability by comparing sampled to unsampled trends. The model revealed that the proportion of species represented in the database is not always indicative of trend reliability. Important factors are the number and length of time series, as well as their mean growth rates and variance in their growth rates, both within and between time series. We found that many trends in the Living Planet Index need more data to be considered reliable, particularly trends across the global south. In general, bird trends are the most reliable, while reptile and amphibian trends are most in need of additional data. We simulated three different solutions for reducing data deficiency, and found that collating existing data (where available) is the most efficient way to improve trend reliability, and that revisiting previously-studied populations is a quick and efficient way to improve trend reliability until new long-term studies can be completed and made available. Methods These data are entirely simulated. We used R code to generate simulated population time series. We added observation error to the simulated time series, degraded them by randomly removing observations, then sampled repeatedly and calculated both the partially and fully sampled trends using the method of the Living Planet Index. The partially sampled trends were then compared with the fully sampled trends using a distance metric. We generated thousands of time series datasets with different underlying properties and tested to see which parameters affected the distance values. We then used the responsible parameters to build a model of trend accuracy and applied that model to regional taxonomic groups in the Living Planet Database. The simulated time series in both raw and degraded form as well as the trends and distance values are included here, divided into archives which are further described in the README file.
This repository contains data, code, and model output associated with the global-scale analysis of Emperor penguin population dynamics described in LaRue et al. (2024), based on integrating raw data from aerial surveys with time series of circumpolar satellite surveys of known emperor penguin colonies.
The model is used to estimate an annual index of abundance at every known Emperor penguin colony in Antarctica (as of 2018), for every year between 2008 and 2018. Regional and global population indices are then calculated by summing colony-level estimates, according to regional colony membership.
Simulations are also performed to evaluate the ability of the model to accurately detect population trends, if they exist.
The population share with mobile internet access in North America was forecast to increase between 2024 and 2029 by in total 2.9 percentage points. This overall increase does not happen continuously, notably not in 2028 and 2029. The mobile internet penetration is estimated to amount to 84.21 percent in 2029. Notably, the population share with mobile internet access of was continuously increasing over the past years.The penetration rate refers to the share of the total population having access to the internet via a mobile broadband connection.The shown data are an excerpt of Statista's Key Market Indicators (KMI). The KMI are a collection of primary and secondary indicators on the macro-economic, demographic and technological environment in up to 150 countries and regions worldwide. All indicators are sourced from international and national statistical offices, trade associations and the trade press and they are processed to generate comparable data sets (see supplementary notes under details for more information).Find more key insights for the population share with mobile internet access in countries like Caribbean and Europe.
https://borealisdata.ca/api/datasets/:persistentId/versions/2.1/customlicense?persistentId=doi:10.5683/SP3/SZALJRhttps://borealisdata.ca/api/datasets/:persistentId/versions/2.1/customlicense?persistentId=doi:10.5683/SP3/SZALJR
AbstractRates of hybridization are predicted to increase due to climate change and human activity that cause redistribution of species and bring previously isolated populations into contact. At the same time, climate change leads to rapid changes in the environment, requiring populations to adapt rapidly in order to survive. A few empirical cases suggest hybridization can facilitate adaptation despite its potential for incompatibilities and deleterious fitness consequences. Here we use simulations and Fisher’s Geometric model to evaluate the conditions and time frame of adaptation via hybridization in both diploids and haplodiploids. We find that hybrids adapt faster to new environments compared to parental populations in nearly all simulated scenarios, generating a fitness advantage that can offset intrinsic incompatibilities and last for tens of generations, regardless of whether the population was diploid or haplodiploid. Our results highlight the creative role of hybridization and suggest that hybridization may help contemporary populations adapt to the changing climate. However, adaptation by hybrids may well happen at the cost of reduced biodiversity, if previously isolated lineages collapse into one. MethodsThis dataset contains a collection of SLiM 3.6 (Haller & Messer, 2019) simulation scripts used for the paper "Kulmuni, Wiley, Otto. 2023. On the fast track: hybrids adapt more rapidly than parental populations in a novel environment". Usage notesSLiM 3.6 (Haller & Messer, 2019)
As of April 2024, around 16.5 percent of global active Instagram users were men between the ages of 18 and 24 years. More than half of the global Instagram population worldwide was aged 34 years or younger.
Teens and social media
As one of the biggest social networks worldwide, Instagram is especially popular with teenagers. As of fall 2020, the photo-sharing app ranked third in terms of preferred social network among teenagers in the United States, second to Snapchat and TikTok. Instagram was one of the most influential advertising channels among female Gen Z users when making purchasing decisions. Teens report feeling more confident, popular, and better about themselves when using social media, and less lonely, depressed and anxious.
Social media can have negative effects on teens, which is also much more pronounced on those with low emotional well-being. It was found that 35 percent of teenagers with low social-emotional well-being reported to have experienced cyber bullying when using social media, while in comparison only five percent of teenagers with high social-emotional well-being stated the same. As such, social media can have a big impact on already fragile states of mind.
Until the 1800s, population growth was incredibly slow on a global level. The global population was estimated to have been around 188 million people in the year 1CE, and did not reach one billion until around 1803. However, since the 1800s, a phenomenon known as the demographic transition has seen population growth skyrocket, reaching eight billion people in 2023, and this is expected to peak at over 10 billion in the 2080s.