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The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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The benchmark interest rate in Brazil was last recorded at 15 percent. This dataset provides - Brazil Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
In May 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 20 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.1 percent in May 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 9.9 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.
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This dataset supports the research exploring the impact of monetary policy instruments on the Colombian economy, focusing on the classical dichotomy and monetary neutrality. The analysis delves into how monetary policy, including instruments such as interest rates and money supply, influences both nominal and real variables in the economy. It also highlights the relationship between monetary policy and economic stability, particularly how central banks manage inflation and economic growth. Key sections explore the separation between nominal and real variables as explained by the classical dichotomy, and the principle of monetary neutrality, which argues that changes in money supply affect nominal variables without impacting real economic factors.
The dataset is structured around a combination of theoretical insights and simulations that analyze the effectiveness of monetary neutrality in the Colombian context, given both domestic and international economic challenges such as the war in Ukraine and agricultural sector disruptions. Through simulations, the dataset demonstrates the effects of monetary expansion on variables like inflation, production, and employment, providing a framework for understanding current economic trends and proposing solutions to socio-economic challenges in Colombia.
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Inflation Rate in the United States increased to 2.40 percent in May from 2.30 percent in April of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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The benchmark interest rate in Russia was last recorded at 20 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Russia Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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Graph and download economic data for Inflation, consumer prices for the United States (FPCPITOTLZGUSA) from 1960 to 2024 about consumer, CPI, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.
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The benchmark interest rate in Mexico was last recorded at 8 percent. This dataset provides - Mexico Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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We report average expected inflation rates over the next one through 30 years. Our estimates of expected inflation rates are calculated using a Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland model that combines financial data and survey-based measures. Released monthly.
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Analysis of ‘USA Key Economic Indicators’ provided by Analyst-2 (analyst-2.ai), based on source dataset retrieved from https://www.kaggle.com/calven22/usa-key-macroeconomic-indicators on 28 January 2022.
--- Dataset description provided by original source is as follows ---
Domino’s Pizza, like many other restaurant chains, is getting pinched by higher food costs. The company’s chief executive, Richard Allison, anticipates “unprecedented increases” in the company’s food costs, which could jump by 8-10%. He said that is three to four times what the pizza chain would normally expect in a year.
This leads to the paramount issue of inflation which affects every aspects of the economy, from consumer spending, business investment and employment rates to government programs, tax policies, and interest rates. The recent release of consumer inflation data showed prices rose at the fastest pace since 1982. Inflation forecasting is key in the conduct of monetary policy and can be used in many other ways such as preserving asset values. This dataset is a consolidated macroeconomic official statistics from 1981 to 2021, containing data available in month and quarterly format.
The Core Consumer Price Index (ccpi) measures the changes in the price of goods and services, excluding food and energy due to their volatility. It measures price change from the perspective of the consumer. It is a often used to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.
Do note there are some null values in the dataset.
All data belongs to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis official release, and are retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
What are some noticeable patterns or seasonality of the economy? What are the current trends of the economy? Which indicators has an effect on Core CPI or vice-versa based on predictive power or influence?
Quarterly data and monthly data can be merged with forward-fill or interpolation methods.
What is the forecast of Core CPI in 2022?
--- Original source retains full ownership of the source dataset ---
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EGPB - An Event-based Gold Price Benchmark Dataset
This benchmark dataset consists of 8030 rows and 36 variables sourced from multiple credible economic websites, covering a period from January 2001 to December 2022. This dataset can be utilized to predict gold prices specifically or to aid any economic field that is influenced by the variables in this dataset.
Key variables & Features include:
• Previous gold prices
• Future gold prices with predictions for one day, one week, and one month
• Oil prices
• Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500)
• Dow Jones Industrial (DJI)
• US dollar index
• US treasury
• Inflation rate
• Consumer price index (CPI)
• Federal funds rate
• Silver prices
• Copper prices
• Iron prices
• Platinum prices
• Palladium prices
Additionally, the dataset considers global events that may impact gold prices, which were categorized into groups and collected from three distinct sources: the Al-Jazeera website spanning from 2022 to 2019, the Investing website spanning from 2018 to 2016, and the Yahoo Finance website spanning from 2007 to 2001.
These events data were then divided into multiple groups:
• Economic data
• Politics
• logistics
• Oil
• OPEC
• Dollar currency
• Sterling pound currency
• Russian ruble currency
• Yen currency
• Euro currency
• US stocks
• Global stocks
• Inflation
• Job reports
• Unemployment rates
• CPI rate
• Interest rates
• Bonds
These events were encoded using a numeric value, where 0 represented no events, 1 represented low events, 2 represented high events, 3 represented stable events, 4 represented unstable events, and 5 represented events that were observed during the day but had no effect on the dataset.
Cite this dataset: Farah Mansour and Wael Etaiwi, "EGPBD: An Event-based Gold Price Benchmark Dataset," 2023 3rd International Conference on Electrical, Computer, Communications and Mechatronics Engineering (ICECCME), Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain, 2023, pp. 1-7, doi: 10.1109/ICECCME57830.2023.10252987.
@INPROCEEDINGS{10252987, author={Mansour, Farah and Etaiwi, Wael}, booktitle={2023 3rd International Conference on Electrical, Computer, Communications and Mechatronics Engineering (ICECCME)}, title={EGPBD: An Event-based Gold Price Benchmark Dataset}, year={2023}, volume={}, number={}, pages={1-7}, doi={10.1109/ICECCME57830.2023.10252987}}
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This dataset contains news headlines relevant to key forex pairs: AUDUSD, EURCHF, EURUSD, GBPUSD, and USDJPY. The data was extracted from reputable platforms Forex Live and FXstreet over a period of 86 days, from January to May 2023. The dataset comprises 2,291 unique news headlines. Each headline includes an associated forex pair, timestamp, source, author, URL, and the corresponding article text. Data was collected using web scraping techniques executed via a custom service on a virtual machine. This service periodically retrieves the latest news for a specified forex pair (ticker) from each platform, parsing all available information. The collected data is then processed to extract details such as the article's timestamp, author, and URL. The URL is further used to retrieve the full text of each article. This data acquisition process repeats approximately every 15 minutes.
To ensure the reliability of the dataset, we manually annotated each headline for sentiment. Instead of solely focusing on the textual content, we ascertained sentiment based on the potential short-term impact of the headline on its corresponding forex pair. This method recognizes the currency market's acute sensitivity to economic news, which significantly influences many trading strategies. As such, this dataset could serve as an invaluable resource for fine-tuning sentiment analysis models in the financial realm.
We used three categories for annotation: 'positive', 'negative', and 'neutral', which correspond to bullish, bearish, and hold sentiments, respectively, for the forex pair linked to each headline. The following Table provides examples of annotated headlines along with brief explanations of the assigned sentiment.
Examples of Annotated Headlines
Forex Pair
Headline
Sentiment
Explanation
GBPUSD
Diminishing bets for a move to 12400
Neutral
Lack of strong sentiment in either direction
GBPUSD
No reasons to dislike Cable in the very near term as long as the Dollar momentum remains soft
Positive
Positive sentiment towards GBPUSD (Cable) in the near term
GBPUSD
When are the UK jobs and how could they affect GBPUSD
Neutral
Poses a question and does not express a clear sentiment
JPYUSD
Appropriate to continue monetary easing to achieve 2% inflation target with wage growth
Positive
Monetary easing from Bank of Japan (BoJ) could lead to a weaker JPY in the short term due to increased money supply
USDJPY
Dollar rebounds despite US data. Yen gains amid lower yields
Neutral
Since both the USD and JPY are gaining, the effects on the USDJPY forex pair might offset each other
USDJPY
USDJPY to reach 124 by Q4 as the likelihood of a BoJ policy shift should accelerate Yen gains
Negative
USDJPY is expected to reach a lower value, with the USD losing value against the JPY
AUDUSD
RBA Governor Lowe’s Testimony High inflation is damaging and corrosive
Positive
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expresses concerns about inflation. Typically, central banks combat high inflation with higher interest rates, which could strengthen AUD.
Moreover, the dataset includes two columns with the predicted sentiment class and score as predicted by the FinBERT model. Specifically, the FinBERT model outputs a set of probabilities for each sentiment class (positive, negative, and neutral), representing the model's confidence in associating the input headline with each sentiment category. These probabilities are used to determine the predicted class and a sentiment score for each headline. The sentiment score is computed by subtracting the negative class probability from the positive one.
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Inflation Rate in Brazil increased to 5.35 percent in June from 5.32 percent in May of 2025. This dataset provides - Brazil Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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Historical chart and dataset showing Japan inflation rate by year from 1960 to 2024.
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The benchmark interest rate In the Euro Area was last recorded at 2.15 percent. This dataset provides - Euro Area Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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This dataset facilitates an analysis of the impact of the recent Israel-Hamas conflict on the stock market performance of U.S. defense companies, as measured by the returns of defense-sector Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The conflict is quantified using variables such as a binary "attack" indicator, casualty counts, and the intensity of Google search activity related to the war. Additionally, the dataset incorporates a comprehensive set of control variables, including interest rates, exchange rates, oil prices, inflation rates, and factors related to the Ukraine conflict, ensuring a robust framework for evaluating the effects of this geopolitical event.
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In this paper, we propose a hierarchical shrinkage approach for multi-country VAR models. In implementation, we consider three different scale mixtures Normals priors and provide new theoretical results. Empirically, we examine how model specifications and prior choices affect the forecasting performance for GDP growth, inflation, and a short-term interest rate for the G7 economies. We find that hierarchical shrinkage, particularly as implemented with the Horseshoe prior, is very useful in forecasting inflation. It also has the best density forecast performance for output growth and the interest rate. Multi-country models generally improve on the forecast accuracy of single-country models.
A series for the GDP deflator in index form is produced by the Treasury from data provided by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). The GDP deflator set is updated after every ONS Quarterly National Accounts release (at the end of each quarter) and whenever the OBR updates its GDP deflator forecasts (usually twice a year).
Outturn data are the latest Quarterly National Accounts figures from the ONS, 20 December 2013. GDP deflators from 1955-56 to 2012-13 (1955 to 2012) have been taken directly from ONS Quarterly National Accounts implied deflator at market prices series http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/datasets-and-tables/data-selector.html?cdid=L8GG&dataset=qna&table-id=N" class="govuk-link">L8GG.
Forecast data are consistent with the Autumn Statement, 05 December 2013.
The detail below aims to provide background information on the GDP deflator series and the concepts and methods underlying it.
GDP deflators can be used by anyone who has an interest in deflating current price nominal data into a “real terms” prices basis. This guide has been written with casual as well as professional users of the data in mind, using language and concepts aimed at as wide an audience as possible.
The GDP deflator can be viewed as a measure of general inflation in the domestic economy. Inflation can be described as a measure of price changes over time. The deflator is usually expressed in terms of an index, i.e. a time series of index numbers. Percentage changes on the previous year are also shown. The GDP deflator reflects movements of hundreds of separate deflators for the individual expenditure components of GDP. These components include expenditure on such items as bread, investment in computers, imports of aircraft, and exports of consultancy services.
The series allows for the effects of changes in price (inflation) to be removed from a time series, i.e. it allows the change in the volume of goods and services to be measured. The resultant series can be used to express a given time series or data set in real terms, i.e. by removing price changes.
A series for the GDP deflator in index form is produced by the Treasury from data provided by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Forecasts are produced by the Office for Budgetary Responsibility (OBR) and are usually updated around the time of major policy announcements, namely; the Chancellor’s Autumn Statement, and the Budget.
GDP deflators for earlier years (up to and including the most recent year for which full quarterly data have been published) are presented to 3 decimal places. The index for future years has been removed as the forecasts were not as accurate as this detail would suggest. Percentage year-on-year changes are given to two decimal places for earlier years, forecast years are presented to 1 decimal place as published in the Autumn Statement and the Budget.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a measure of the total domestic economic activity. It is the sum of all incomes earned by the production of goods and services within the UK economic territory. It is worth noting that where the earner of the income resides is irrelevant, so long as the goods or services themselves are produced within the UK. GDP is equivalent to the value added to the economy by this activity. Value added can be defined as income
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The benchmark interest rate in Thailand was last recorded at 1.75 percent. This dataset provides - Thailand Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.