EPILOGUE: https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-user-content/o/inbox%2F360751%2Fa5eefdb31428bd5ce99cdf76fa484a63%2Fmap.jpg?generation=1733007717460285&alt=media" alt="">

FINAL UPDATE: It's election night, and the results are coming in. The final update includes the latest poll data from 538, which is from two days ago. Thanks all for following the development of this dataset.

OCTOBER UPDATE: The past month has been typical of the final weeks before the election - rallies, interviews, and advertising. This update includes a transcript of the VP debate between Walz and Vance, and the latest poll summaries.

SEPTEMBER UPDATE: Trump and Harris had their first debate. This update includes the transcript and recent poll results. Also, there was a second attempt to kill former President Trump! No shots fired though on this one. You'll see aerial diagrams of both attempts in the dataset.

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Ftse4.mm.bing.net%2Fth%3Fid%3DOIF.edyLiGntLZbwC9fBkg8TsQ%26pid%3DApi&f=1&ipt=a1096b37cf3eced7dff70d362a2c76f8876422f53c47856cadf09f9fa18b367e&ipo=images" alt="debate">

https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-user-content/o/inbox%2F360751%2F0ecedf88421c303e0112734a30de9e29%2Frouth.jpg?generation=1726701011377683&alt=media">

LATE AUGUST UPDATE: The Democratic Party replaced President Biden with his VP, Kamala Harris. It's now Trump v Harris along with one nominee from each of the smaller factions.

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.cnn.com%2Fapi%2Fv1%2Fimages%2Fstellar%2Fprod%2F240122181719-trump-kamala-vpx-split-2.jpg%3Fc%3D16x9%26q%3Dw_850%2Cc_fill&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=984b6cf55cf55e1539003ca1c1beaa359625f6e5b08b511b3b018c9d2c959ae5&ipo=imagesg">

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e7/Chase_Oliver%2C_Jill_Stein_%26_Randall_Terry_%2853866448015%29.jpg/1280px-Chase_Oliver%2C_Jill_Stein_%26_Randall_Terry_%2853866448015%29.jpg">

AUGUST UPDATE: This election season just gets crazier and crazier. You'll see new data related to the assassination attempt on former President Trump. There are transcripts of Secret Service hearings and an annotated image of the rally area.

https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-user-content/o/inbox%2F360751%2F75dd20a00c2ac6d81c6d6e1f83cbd941%2Fdonald-trump-rally-shooting-2024-113.webp?generation=1722800392288670&alt=media">

JULY UPDATE: Added the transcript of the debate between Trump and Biden.

MAY UPDATE: Added some new polls and also a meta-poll assessing the quality of select pollsters.

APRIL UPDATE : The dataset now contains approval ratings for sitting presidents, which includes Biden and Trump.

MARCH UPDATE: As of last week, the presumptive nominees are Joe Biden(D) and Donald Trump(R). They also ran against each other in 2020. Robert F Kennedy Jr is running as an independent.

Presidential elections occur quadrennially in years evenly divisible by 4, on the first Tuesday after November 1. Presidential candidates from the major political parties usually declare their intentions to run as early as the spring of the previous calendar year before the election. The two major parties each nominate one candidate through a process of primary elections and nominating conventions during the election year. (source: Wikipedia)

This dataset contains data on candidates, primary/caucus results, polls, and debate transcripts. Updates and additional data will be added as the landscape develops.

Note: Version 3 of this dataset contains previous coverage of the 2022 Congressional Mid-term Elections.

THE POLL

As part of Cards Against Humanity Saves America, this poll is funded for one year of monthly public opinion polls. Cards Against Humanity is asking the American people about their social and political views, what they think of the president, and their pee-pee habits.

To conduct their polls in a scientifically rigorous manner, they partnered with Survey Sampling International — a professional research firm — to contact a nationally representative sample of the American public. For the first three polls, they interrupted people’s dinners on both their cell phones and landlines, and a total of about 3,000 adults didn’t hang up immediately. They examined the data for statistically significant correlations which can be found here: [https://thepulseofthenation.com/][1]

Content

• Polls are released each month (they are still polling so this will be updated each month)
  
• Row one is the header and contains the questions
  
• Each row is one respondent's answers
  

Questions in the Sep 2017 poll:

• Income
• Gender
• Age
• Age Range
• Political Affiliation
• Do you approve or disapprove of how Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
• What is your highest level of education?
• What is your race?
• What is your marital status?
• What would you say is the likelihood that your current job will be entirely performed by robots or computers within the next decade?
• Do you believe that climate change is real and caused by people, real but not caused by people, or not real at all?"
• How many Transformers movies have you seen?
• Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: scientists are generally honest and are serving the public good.
• Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: vaccines are safe and protect children from disease.
• "How many books, if any have you read in the past year?"
• Do you believe in ghosts?
• What percentage of the federal budget would you estimate is spent on scientific research?
• "Is federal funding of scientific research too high too low or about right?"
• True or false: the earth is always farther away from the sun in the winter than in the summer.
• "If you had to choose: would you rather be smart and sad or dumb and happy?"
• Do you think it is acceptable or unacceptable to urinate in the shower?

Questions from Oct 2017 poll

• Income
• Gender
• Age
• Age Range
• Political Affiliation
• Do you approve or disapprove of how Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
• What is your highest level of education?
• What is your race?
• From what you have heard or seen do you mostly agree or mostly disagree with the beliefs of White Nationalists?
• If you had to guess what percentage of Republicans would say that they mostly agree with the beliefs of White Nationalists?
• Would you say that you love America?
• If you had to guess, what percentage of Democrats would say that they love America?
• Do you think that government policies should help those who are poor and struggling in America?
• If you had to guess, what percentage of Republicans would say yes to that question?
• Do you think that most white people in America are racist?
• If you had to guess, what percentage of Democrats would say yes to that question?
• Have you lost any friendships or other relationships as a result of the 2016 presidential election?
• Do you think it is likely or unlikely that there will be a Civil War in the United States within the next decade?
• Have you ever gone hunting?
• Have you ever eaten a kale salad?
• If Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson ran for president as a candidate for your political party, would you vote for him?
• Who would you prefer as president of the United States, Darth Vader or Donald Trump?

Questions from Nov 2017 poll

• Income
• Gender
• Age
• Age Range
• In politics today, do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican or Independent?
• Would you say you are liberal, conservative, or moderate?
• What is your highest level of education? (High school or less, Some college, College degree, Graduate degree)
• What is your race? (white, black, latino, asian, other)
• Do you live in a city, suburb, or small town?
• Do you approve, disapprove, or neither approve nor disapprove of how Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
• Do you think federal funding for welfare programs in America should be increased, decreased, or kept the same?
• Do you think poor black people are more likely to benefit from welfare programs than poor white people?
• Do you think poor people in cities are more likely to benefit from welfare programs than poor people in small towns?
• If you had to choose, would you rather live in a more equal society or a more unequal society?

Acknowledgements

These polls are from Cards Against Humanity Saves America and the raw data can be found here: [https://thepulse...

Context

On the evening of Dec. 18, the House of Representatives took the historic step of impeaching President Trump for abuse of power and obstruction of Congress, kicking off a new chapter in the impeachment saga: a Senate trial. For those of us who monitor public opinion, that means the main question has now shifted from “Do Americans support impeaching Trump?” to “Do Americans support removing Trump from office?”

Content

Polls to quantify if americans support the impeachment of president Donald Trump.

Acknowledgements

Source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/impeachment-polls/

Inspiration

Will President Donald Trump get impeached? Based on impeachment polls can Donald Trump win the 2020 elections?

• all_musk_posts.csv - Elon Musk's tweets from his official account (@elonmusk) from the very beginning till April 13, 2025.
• musk_quote_tweets.csv - the original tweets that Elon Musk quote-tweeted to his official account (@elonmusk) from the very beginning till April 13, 2025.

I scraped Elon Musk's tweets and combined it with other datasets published on Kaggle in different years: - All Elon Musk's Tweets - tweets from Bill Gates, Elon Musk and Ed Lee - Elon Musk Tweets, 2010 to 2017 - Elon Musk Tweets (2021-2023)

The business magnate Elon Musk initiated an acquisition of the American social media company Twitter, Inc. on April 14, 2022, and concluded it on October 27, 2022. Musk had begun buying shares of the company in January 2022, becoming its largest shareholder by April with a 9.1 percent ownership stake. (Wikipedia)

By early 2024, Musk had become a vocal and financial supporter of Donald Trump. (Washington Post)

The data was collected and combined for the publication Poster boy: Six instances of Kremlin disinformation amplified through Elon Musk’s social network (The Insider, 2025-03-12). Below are two visualisations based of this data.

https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-user-content/o/inbox%2F4728018%2F698e901a8dec9a84d7d5d5799427da42%2Ffile-efae4a0f8b8c46becfa2a845a8b6ac17.jpg?generation=1742660891320296&alt=media" alt="">

https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-user-content/o/inbox%2F4728018%2Ff98f3e2b42d9201cee3a37d1d3b5fa24%2Ffile-e0d66dd19064cc2c1ff91eeb34ee8157.jpg?generation=1742660914839024&alt=media" alt="">

Content of the dataset all_musk_posts.csv:

id - ID of the tweet by elonmusk

url - link to a tweet (on x.com)

twitterUrl - link to a tweet (on twitter.com)

fullText - text of the tweet

retweetCount - number of retweets

replyCount - number of replies

likeCount - number of likes

quoteCount - number of quotes

viewCount - number of views

createdAt - timestamp, UTC

bookmarkCount - number of bookmarks

isReply - boolean, True if the post is a reply

inReplyToId - ID of the original tweet if that's a reply

conversationId - conversation ID

inReplyToUserId - ID of the user that received a reply

inReplyToUsername - current username of the user that received a reply

isPinned - boolean, True if the post was pinned

isRetweet - boolean, True if the post is a retweet

isQuote - boolean, True if the post is a quote

isConversationControlled - conversation marked as "controlled", only selected users can reply

possiblySensitive - conversation marked as "sensitive"

Content of the dataset musk_quote_tweets.csv:

orig_tweet_id - ID of the original tweet by that @elonmusk quote-tweeted

orig_tweet_created_at - timestamp of the original tweet, UTC

orig_tweet_text - text of the original tweet, UTC

orig_tweet_url - link to the original tweet (on x.com)

orig_tweet_twitter_url - link to the original tweet (on twitter.com)

orig_tweet_username - current (March 2025) username of the account that posted the original tweet

orig_tweet_retweet_count - number of retweets for the original tweet

orig_tweet_reply_count - number of replies for the original tweet

orig_tweet_like_count - number of likes for the original tweet

orig_tweet_quote_count - number of quotes for the original tweet

orig_tweet_view_count - number of views for the original tweet

orig_tweet_bookmark_count - number of bookmarks for the original tweet

musk_tweet_id - ID of the quote-tweet by elonmusk

musk_quote_tweet - text of the quote-tweet by elonmusk

musk_quote_retweet_count - number of retweets for the quote-tweet by elonmusk

musk_quote_reply_count - number of replies for the quote-tweet by elonmusk

musk_quote_like_count- number of likes for the quote-tweet by elonmusk

musk_quote_quote_count- number of quotes for the quote-tweet by elonmusk

musk_quote_view_count - number of views for the quote-tweet by elonmusk

musk_quote_bookmark_count - number of bookmarks for the quote-tweet by elonmusk

musk_quote_created_at - timestamp of the quote-tweet by elonmusk, UTC

Acknowledgements

I do not own this data however I scraped this data for educational purposes ONLY. Please do not violate any...

Since late January, when the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported the first known case of COVID-19 in the U.S., pollsters have been busy fielding surveys to measure just how concerned Americans are and what they think about the government’s response to the outbreak. We at FiveThirtyEight are now collecting those polls to give you a better understanding of how Americans are reacting. So if you’re concerned that you or someone you’re close to will be infected with the coronavirus, the data shows that you are not alone.

How worried are Americans about infection? How concerned Americans say they are that they, someone in their family or someone else they know will become infected with the coronavirus

Data taken from: https://data.fivethirtyeight.com/