As of December 30, 2024, the major economy with the highest yield on 10-year government bonds was Turkey, with a yield of ***** percent. This is due to the risks investors take when investing in Turkey, notably due to high inflation rates potentially eradicating any profits made when using a foreign currency to investing in securities denominated in Turkish lira. Of the major developed economies, United States had one the highest yield on 10-year government bonds at this time with **** percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at **** percent. How does inflation influence the yields of government bonds? Inflation reduces purchasing power over time. Due to this, investors seek higher returns to offset the anticipated decrease in purchasing power resulting from rapid price rises. In countries with high inflation, government bond yields often incorporate investor expectations and risk premiums, resulting in comparatively higher rates offered by these bonds. Why are government bond rates significant? Government bond rates are an important indicator of financial markets, serving as a benchmark for borrowing costs, interest rates, and investor sentiment. They affect the cost of government borrowing, influence the price of various financial instruments, and serve as a reflection of expectations regarding inflation and economic growth. For instance, in financial analysis and investing, people often use the 10-year U.S. government bond rates as a proxy for the longer-term risk-free rate.

At the end of 2024, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond was **** percent. Despite the increase in recent years, the highest yields could be observed in the early 1990s. What affects bond prices? The factors that play a big role in valuation and interest in government bonds are interest rate and inflation. If inflation is expected to be high, investors will demand a higher return on bonds. Country credit ratings indicate how stable the economy is and thus also influence the government bond prices. Risk and bonds Finally, when investors are worried about the bond issuer’s ability to pay at the end of the term, they demand a higher interest rate. For the U.S. Treasury, the vast majority of investors consider the investment to be perfectly safe. Ten-year government bonds from other countries show that countries seen as more risky have a higher bond return. On the other hand, countries in which investors do not expect economic growth have a lower yield.

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.22% on July 1, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.23 points and is 0.22 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The yield on Japan 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.40% on July 1, 2025, marking a 0.04 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.11 points, though it remains 0.31 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Japan 10 Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Germany (IRLTLT01DEM156N) from May 1956 to May 2025 about long-term, Germany, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, and rate.

Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data was reported at 2.160 % in Mar 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.320 % for Dec 2024. Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.620 % from Dec 1985 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 157 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.370 % in Mar 1989 and a record low of 0.660 % in Mar 2020. Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.I067: Breakeven Inflation Rate. The Breakeven 10 Year Inflation Rate is measured by the Reserve Bank of Australia using Commonwealth government securities. For data since 1996, the RBA uses interpolation and projection of the yield curve to estimate both nominal and inflation-indexed bond yields with an exact 10-year maturity. Prior to 1996, these adjustments are not made and the nominal and inflation-indexed bond yields used to derive the series may not reflect ideal 10-year maturities. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS30) from 1977-02-15 to 2025-06-26 about 30-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The yield on Brazil 10Y Bond Yield eased to 13.59% on June 30, 2025, marking a 0.34 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.42 points, though it remains 1.16 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Brazil 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

In 2024, the average yearly yield of UK 10-year government bonds was **** percent. The UK 10-year gilt has shown a significant downward trend from 1990 to 2024. Starting at nearly ** percent in 1990, yields steadily declined, with slight fluctuations, reaching a low of **** percent in 2020. After 2020, yields began to rise again, reflecting recent increases in interest rates and inflation expectations. This long-term decline indicates decreasing inflation and interest rates in Australia over the past decades, with recent economic conditions prompting a reversal in bond yields.

Russia Domestic Government Bonds: Inflation Linked: 52002RMFS: Yield at Weighted Average Price data was reported at 2.600 % pa in 22 Jul 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.490 % pa for 17 Jun 2020. Russia Domestic Government Bonds: Inflation Linked: 52002RMFS: Yield at Weighted Average Price data is updated weekly, averaging 3.050 % pa from Apr 2018 (Median) to 22 Jul 2020, with 23 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.580 % pa in 19 Jun 2019 and a record low of 2.470 % pa in 20 May 2020. Russia Domestic Government Bonds: Inflation Linked: 52002RMFS: Yield at Weighted Average Price data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation. The data is categorized under Russia Premium Database’s Government and Public Finance – Table RU.FH009: OFZ Auctions' Results. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield eased to 3.32% on June 27, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.07 points, though it remains 0.19 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

The aim of this study is to investigate the effects of monetary policy on financial asset prices in Poland. Following Gürkaynak et al. (2005) I test how many factors adequately explain the variability of short-term interest rates around MPC meetings, finding that there are two such factors. The first one has a structural interpretation as a “current interest rate change” factor, and the second one as a “future interest rate changes” factor, with the latter related to MPC communication. Regression analysis shows that, controlling for foreign interest rates and global risk aversion, both MPC actions and communication matter for government bond yields, and that communication is more important for stock prices. Furthermore, the foreign exchange rate used to depreciate (appreciate) after MPC statements signalling tighter (easier) future monetary policy. However, the effect disappeared at the end of the sample. For most of the sample the exchange rate would appreciate (depreciate) or would not change in a statistically significant manner after an increase (a decrease) of the current interest rate. The results indicate that not only changes of the current interest rate but also MPC communication matters for financial asset prices in Poland. It has important implications for the conduct of monetary policy, especially in a low inflation and low interest rate environment.

Graph and download economic data for Moody's Seasoned Baa Corporate Bond Yield (BAA) from Jan 1919 to May 2025 about Baa, bonds, yield, corporate, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

Russia Domestic Government Bonds: Inflation Linked: 52002RMFS: Yield at Cut Off Price data was reported at 2.630 % pa in 22 Jul 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.500 % pa for 17 Jun 2020. Russia Domestic Government Bonds: Inflation Linked: 52002RMFS: Yield at Cut Off Price data is updated weekly, averaging 3.060 % pa from Apr 2018 (Median) to 22 Jul 2020, with 23 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.580 % pa in 19 Jun 2019 and a record low of 2.480 % pa in 20 May 2020. Russia Domestic Government Bonds: Inflation Linked: 52002RMFS: Yield at Cut Off Price data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation. The data is categorized under Russia Premium Database’s Government and Public Finance – Table RU.FH009: OFZ Auctions' Results. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus Federal Funds Rate (T10YFF) from 1962-01-02 to 2025-06-26 about yield curve, spread, 10-year, maturity, Treasury, federal, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Fixed Income Asset Management Market Outlook

The global fixed income asset management market size was valued at approximately USD 5.7 trillion in 2023 and is projected to grow to USD 9.3 trillion by 2032, expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% over the forecast period. The growth of this market is primarily driven by the increasing demand for stable and predictable returns in an uncertain economic environment.

One of the significant growth factors for the fixed income asset management market is the aging global population. As more individuals approach retirement age, the demand for fixed income investments that offer stable returns and lower risk compared to equities is increasing. Retirees and near-retirees often prioritize capital preservation and income generation, which fixed income products are well-suited to provide. This demographic trend is particularly prominent in developed countries but is also becoming more relevant in emerging markets as their populations age and accumulate wealth.

Another crucial growth driver is the rising interest rate environment. As central banks around the world shift towards tightening monetary policies to combat inflation, interest rates are gradually increasing. Higher interest rates make newly issued bonds more attractive to investors due to their higher yields. This situation creates opportunities for fixed income asset managers to attract new investments and cater to clients looking for better returns in a higher interest rate environment. Additionally, higher yields can enhance the overall performance of fixed income portfolios, making them more appealing to both institutional and retail investors.

The increasing complexity and diversity of fixed income products is also contributing to market growth. The fixed income market has evolved to include a wide range of instruments beyond traditional government and corporate bonds. Products such as mortgage-backed securities, municipal bonds, and various structured financial instruments offer different risk-return profiles and investment opportunities. This diversification allows asset managers to tailor portfolios to meet specific client needs and preferences, thereby attracting a broader investor base. The development of innovative fixed income products continues to drive growth in this market by expanding the range of investment options available.

In the realm of private equity, the PE Fund Management Fee plays a crucial role in shaping the investment landscape. These fees are typically charged by fund managers to cover the operational costs of managing the fund, including research, administration, and portfolio management. The structure of these fees can vary, often comprising a management fee based on the committed capital and a performance fee tied to the fund's returns. Understanding the intricacies of these fees is essential for investors, as they can significantly impact the net returns on their investments. As private equity continues to grow as an asset class, the transparency and justification of management fees are becoming increasingly important to investors seeking to maximize their returns while ensuring alignment of interests with fund managers.

From a regional perspective, North America remains the largest market for fixed income asset management, driven by the presence of a well-established financial industry, a large pool of institutional investors, and a high level of individual wealth. However, the Asia Pacific region is expected to exhibit the highest growth rate during the forecast period. Rapid economic growth, increasing financial literacy, and a burgeoning middle class are driving demand for fixed income investments in countries such as China and India. Additionally, regulatory reforms aimed at developing local bond markets and attracting foreign investment are further propelling the market in this region.

Asset Type Analysis

The fixed income asset management market can be categorized by asset type into government bonds, corporate bonds, municipal bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and others. Each of these asset types offers unique characteristics and appeals to different segments of investors, contributing to the overall growth and diversification of the market.

Government bonds are one of the most significant segments in the fixed income market. Issued by national governments, these bonds are considered low-risk investments due to the backing of the issuing g

Graph and download economic data for 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (T5YIE) from 2003-01-02 to 2025-06-30 about spread, interest rate, interest, 5-year, inflation, rate, and USA.

The yield on 10 Year TIPS Yield rose to 1.96% on June 27, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.17 points and is 0.10 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 10 Year TIPS Yield.

This paper uses extreme value theory to study the implications of skewness risk for nominal loan contracts in a production economy. Productivity and inflation innovations are drawn from generalized extreme value distributions. The model is solved using a third-order perturbation and estimated by the simulated method of moments. Results show that the data reject the hypothesis that innovations are drawn from normal distributions and favor instead the alternative that they are drawn from asymmetric distributions. Estimates indicate that skewness risk accounts for 12% of the risk premia and reduces bond yields by approximately 55 basis points. For a bond that pays 1 dollar at maturity, the adjustment factor associated with skewness risk ranges from 0.15 cents for a 3?month bond to 2.05 cents for a 5?year bond.