India Population Projection: Single Year data was reported at 1,667,873,933.000 Person in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 1,658,330,351.000 Person for 2049. India Population Projection: Single Year data is updated yearly, averaging 1,394,461,787.000 Person from Mar 2001 (Median) to 2050, with 50 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1,667,873,933.000 Person in 2050 and a record low of 1,019,001,911.000 Person in 2001. India Population Projection: Single Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under India Premium Database’s Demographic – Table IN.GAI001: Population Projection: Single Year.

The share of projected population increase in Uttar Pradesh, India from 2011 until 2036 is expected to grow by nearly 20 percent. By contrast, the estimated population increase in Uttarakhand is expected to be less than one percent during the same time period.

Why project population?
Population projections for a country are becoming increasingly important now than ever before. They are used primarily by government policy makers and planners to better understand and gauge future demand for basic services that predominantly include water, food and energy. In addition, they also support in indicating major movements that may affect economic development and in turn, employment and labour productivity. Consequently, this leads to amending policies in order to better adapt to the needs of society and to various circumstances.

Demographic projections and health interventions Demographic figures serve the foremost purpose of improving health and health related services among the population. Some of the government interventions include antenatal and neonatal care with the aim of reducing maternal and neonatal mortality and morbidity rates. In addition, it also focuses on improving immunization coverage across the country. Further, demographic estimates help in better preempting the needs of growing populations, such as the geriatric population within a country.

The statistic shows the total population of India from 2019 to 2029. In 2023, the estimated total population in India amounted to approximately 1.43 billion people.

Total population in India

India currently has the second-largest population in the world and is projected to overtake top-ranking China within forty years. Its residents comprise more than one-seventh of the entire world’s population, and despite a slowly decreasing fertility rate (which still exceeds the replacement rate and keeps the median age of the population relatively low), an increasing life expectancy adds to an expanding population. In comparison with other countries whose populations are decreasing, such as Japan, India has a relatively small share of aged population, which indicates the probability of lower death rates and higher retention of the existing population.

With a land mass of less than half that of the United States and a population almost four times greater, India has recognized potential problems of its growing population. Government attempts to implement family planning programs have achieved varying degrees of success. Initiatives such as sterilization programs in the 1970s have been blamed for creating general antipathy to family planning, but the combined efforts of various family planning and contraception programs have helped halve fertility rates since the 1960s. The population growth rate has correspondingly shrunk as well, but has not yet reached less than one percent growth per year.

As home to thousands of ethnic groups, hundreds of languages, and numerous religions, a cohesive and broadly-supported effort to reduce population growth is difficult to create. Despite that, India is one country to watch in coming years. It is also a growing economic power; among other measures, its GDP per capita was expected to triple between 2003 and 2013 and was listed as the third-ranked country for its share of the global gross domestic product.

The dataset contains year-, month-, state- and gender-wise compiled data on population of India from the year 2011 to 2036. The figures of population given for different years are the projected figures, except for the census year of 2011.

India Projection: Population: 10 Years data was reported at 1,522,552,390.000 Person in 2031. This records an increase from the previous number of 1,372,535,298.000 Person for 2021. India Projection: Population: 10 Years data is updated yearly, averaging 1,447,543,844.000 Person from Mar 2021 (Median) to 2031, with 2 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1,522,552,390.000 Person in 2031 and a record low of 1,372,535,298.000 Person in 2021. India Projection: Population: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under India Premium Database’s Demographic – Table IN.GAI002: Population Projection: 10 Years: by Age Group.

From 2011 to 2036, the projected population among both, males and females in India is expected to see an increase. The percentage increase in the projected population for males was approximately 25 percent from 2011 to 2036 while the percentage increase for the female population was roughly 26 percent during the same time period.

The percentage distribution for population projections for the age groups 0 to 4 reflected a decrease in the year 2036 in comparison to 2011. This could be attributed to the projected declining fertility rates in the country. By contrast, the age groups from 40-44 to 80+ reflected an increase in the population projections in 2036 when compared with 2011. This projected increase in geriatric population within the country could be attributed to advancements made in the field of medical sciences, biotechnology and improved health care.

India Projection: Population: 10 Years: Age: 35-39 data was reported at 128,039,407.000 Person in 2031. This records an increase from the previous number of 103,858,670.000 Person for 2021. India Projection: Population: 10 Years: Age: 35-39 data is updated yearly, averaging 115,949,038.500 Person from Mar 2021 (Median) to 2031, with 2 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 128,039,407.000 Person in 2031 and a record low of 103,858,670.000 Person in 2021. India Projection: Population: 10 Years: Age: 35-39 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under India Premium Database’s Demographic – Table IN.GAI002: Population Projection: 10 Years: by Age Group.

Chart and table of India population from 1950 to 2025. United Nations projections are also included through the year 2100.

Whereas the population is expected to decrease somewhat until 2100 in Asia, Europe, and South America, it is predicted to grow significantly in Africa. While there were 1.5 billion inhabitants on the continent at the beginning of 2024, the number of inhabitants is expected to reach 3.8 billion by 2100. In total, the global population is expected to reach nearly 10.4 billion by 2100. Worldwide population In the United States, the total population is expected to steadily increase over the next couple of years. In 2024, Asia held over half of the global population and is expected to have the highest number of people living in urban areas in 2050. Asia is home to the two most populous countries, India and China, both with a population of over one billion people. However, the small country of Monaco had the highest population density worldwide in 2021. Effects of overpopulation Alongside the growing worldwide population, there are negative effects of overpopulation. The increasing population puts a higher pressure on existing resources and contributes to pollution. As the population grows, the demand for food grows, which requires more water, which in turn takes away from the freshwater available. Concurrently, food needs to be transported through different mechanisms, which contributes to air pollution. Not every resource is renewable, meaning the world is using up limited resources that will eventually run out. Furthermore, more species will become extinct which harms the ecosystem and food chain. Overpopulation was considered to be one of the most important environmental issues worldwide in 2020.

WorldPop produces different types of gridded population count datasets, depending on the methods used and end application. Please make sure you have read our Mapping Populations overview page before choosing and downloading a dataset.


Bespoke methods used to produce datasets for specific individual countries are available through the WorldPop Open Population Repository (WOPR) link below. These are 100m resolution gridded population estimates using customized methods ("bottom-up" and/or "top-down") developed for the latest data available from each country. They can also be visualised and explored through the woprVision App.
The remaining datasets in the links below are produced using the "top-down" method, with either the unconstrained or constrained top-down disaggregation method used. Please make sure you read the Top-down estimation modelling overview page to decide on which datasets best meet your needs. Datasets are available to download in Geotiff and ASCII XYZ format at a resolution of 3 and 30 arc-seconds (approximately 100m and 1km at the equator, respectively):

- Unconstrained individual countries 2000-2020 ( 1km resolution ): Consistent 1km resolution population count datasets created using unconstrained top-down methods for all countries of the World for each year 2000-2020.
- Unconstrained individual countries 2000-2020 ( 100m resolution ): Consistent 100m resolution population count datasets created using unconstrained top-down methods for all countries of the World for each year 2000-2020.
- Unconstrained individual countries 2000-2020 UN adjusted ( 100m resolution ): Consistent 100m resolution population count datasets created using unconstrained top-down methods for all countries of the World for each year 2000-2020 and adjusted to match United Nations national population estimates (UN 2019)
-Unconstrained individual countries 2000-2020 UN adjusted ( 1km resolution ): Consistent 1km resolution population count datasets created using unconstrained top-down methods for all countries of the World for each year 2000-2020 and adjusted to match United Nations national population estimates (UN 2019).
-Unconstrained global mosaics 2000-2020 ( 1km resolution ): Mosaiced 1km resolution versions of the "Unconstrained individual countries 2000-2020" datasets.
-Constrained individual countries 2020 ( 100m resolution ): Consistent 100m resolution population count datasets created using constrained top-down methods for all countries of the World for 2020.
-Constrained individual countries 2020 UN adjusted ( 100m resolution ): Consistent 100m resolution population count datasets created using constrained top-down methods for all countries of the World for 2020 and adjusted to match United Nations national population estimates (UN 2019).

Older datasets produced for specific individual countries and continents, using a set of tailored geospatial inputs and differing "top-down" methods and time periods are still available for download here: Individual countries and Whole Continent.

Data for earlier dates is available directly from WorldPop.

WorldPop (www.worldpop.org - School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton; Department of Geography and Geosciences, University of Louisville; Departement de Geographie, Universite de Namur) and Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University (2018). Global High Resolution Population Denominators Project - Funded by The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1134076). https://dx.doi.org/10.5258/SOTON/WP00645

The annual population growth in India increased by 0.1 percentage points (+14.71 percent) in 2023 in comparison to the previous year. This was the first time during the observed period that the population growth has increased in India. Population growth refers to the annual change in population, and is based on the balance between birth and death rates, as well as migration.Find more key insights for the annual population growth in countries like Nepal and Sri Lanka.

India Projection: Population: 10 Years: Age: 80-84 data was reported at 11,323,629.000 Person in 2031. This records an increase from the previous number of 8,383,141.000 Person for 2021. India Projection: Population: 10 Years: Age: 80-84 data is updated yearly, averaging 9,853,385.000 Person from Mar 2021 (Median) to 2031, with 2 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 11,323,629.000 Person in 2031 and a record low of 8,383,141.000 Person in 2021. India Projection: Population: 10 Years: Age: 80-84 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under India Premium Database’s Demographic – Table IN.GAI002: Population Projection: 10 Years: by Age Group.

The graph shows the trend in population growth and growth of gross domestic product in India until 2009, as well as a forecast until 2015. See annual figures on India's economic growth here.

POPULATION PROIECTIONS FOR INDIA AND STATES 2011 – 2036 (Downscaled to District, Sub-Districts and Villages/Towns by Esri India)REPORT OF THE TECHNICAL GROUP ON POPULATION PROIECTTONSJuly, 2020The projected population figures provided by the Registrar General of India forms the basis for planning and implementation of various health interventions including RMNCH+A, which are aimed at improving the overall health outcomes by ensuring quality service provision to all the health beneficiaries. These interventions focus on antenatal, intranatal and neonatal care aimed at reducing maternal and neonatal morbidity and mortality; improving coverage and quality of health care interventions and improving coverage for immunization against vaccine preventable diseases. Further, these estimates would also enable us to tackle the special health care needs of various population age groups, thus gearing the system for necessary preventive, promotive, curative, and rehabilitative services for the growing population to this report. PREETI SUDAN, IAS SecretaryThe Cohort Component Method is the universally accepted method of making population projections because of the fact that the growth of population is determined by fertility, mortality, and migration rates. In this exercise, 20 States and two UTs have been applied the Cohort Component method. These are Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Gujarat, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Punjab, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Uttarakhand, Jammu & Kashmir (UT) and NCT of Delhi. Based on the residual of the projected population of Jammu & Kashmir (State) and Jammu & Kashmir (UT), for which Cohort Component method has applied, projection of the Ladakh UT have been made. For the projections of Jammu & Kashmir (UT), SRS fertility and mortality estimates of Jammu & Kashmir (State) are used. The projection of the seven northeastern states (excluding Assam) has also been carried out as a whole using the Cohort Component Method. Separate projections for Andhra Pradesh and Telangana were done using the re-casted populations of these states. For the projections, for the years before 2014, combined SRS estimates of Andhra Pradesh and year 2014 onwards, separate SRS estimates of fertility and mortality of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana are used. For the remaining States and Union territories, Mathematical Method has been applied. The sources of data used are 2011 Census and Sample Registration System (SRS). SRS provides time series data of fertility and mortality, which has been used for predicting their future levelsEsri India Efforts:The Population Projections Report published by MoHFW contains output summary tables from series Table 8 to Table 14. Example: TABLE – 8: Projected total population by sex as on 1st March, 2011-2036: India, States and Union territories, TABLE – 9: Projected urban population by sex as on 1st March, 2011-2036: India, States and Union territories, etc. The parameters available with these census data tables are Census Year, Projected Total Persons with Gender categorization and Projected Urban Population from 2011 to 2036.By subtracting “Projected Urban Population” from “Projected Total Population”, a new data column has been added as “Projected Rural Population”. The data is available for all Union Territory and States for 25 years.A factor has been calculated by taking projected population and the base year population (2011). Subsequently, the factor is calculated for each year using the projected values provided by census of India. Projected Population by Sex as on 1st March - 2011 - 2036: India, States and Union Territories* ('000)YearGUJARAT GUJARAT URBANGUJARAT RURALPersonsMaleFemalePersonMaleFemalePersonMaleFemale2011 60,440 (A) 31,49128,94825,74513,69412,05134,69517,79716,8972012 61,383 (B)32,00729,37626,47214,08112,39134,91117,92616,985Factor has been applied below State level- Projected Population by Sex as on 1st March - 2011 - 2036: India, States and Union Territories* ('000)YearGUJARAT GUJARAT URBANGUJARAT RURALPersonsMaleFemalePersonMaleFemalePersonMaleFemale20121.01560225 (B/A)1.0163856341.0147851321.0282384931.0282605521.0282134261.0062256811.0072484131.005208025Esri India has access to SOI admin boundaries up-to district level and developed village, town and sub-district boundaries using census maps. The calculated factors have been applied to smallest geography at villages and towns and upscaled back to sub-district, district, state, and country. The derived values have been compared with the original values provided by census at state level and no deviation is confirmed.Data Variables: Year (2011-2036)Total Population MaleFemaleTotal Population UrbanMale UrbanFemale UrbanTotal Population RuralMale RuralFemale RuralData source: https://main.mohfw.gov.in/sites/default/files/Population Projection Report 2011-2036 - upload_compressed_0.pdfOther related contents are also available:Village Population Projections for India 2011-2036Sub-district Population Projections for India 2011-2036District Population Projections for India 2011-2036State Population Projections for India 2011-2036Country Population Projections for India 2011-2036This web layer is offered by Esri India, for ArcGIS Online subscribers. If you have any questions or comments, please let us know via content@esri.in.

Population density per pixel at 100 metre resolution. WorldPop provides estimates of numbers of people residing in each 100x100m grid cell for every low and middle income country. Through ingegrating cencus, survey, satellite and GIS datasets in a flexible machine-learning framework, high resolution maps of population counts and densities for 2000-2020 are produced, along with accompanying metadata. DATASET: Alpha version 2010 and 2015 estimates of numbers of people per grid square, with national totals adjusted to match UN population division estimates (http://esa.un.org/wpp/) and remaining unadjusted. REGION: Africa SPATIAL RESOLUTION: 0.000833333 decimal degrees (approx 100m at the equator) PROJECTION: Geographic, WGS84 UNITS: Estimated persons per grid square MAPPING APPROACH: Land cover based, as described in: Linard, C., Gilbert, M., Snow, R.W., Noor, A.M. and Tatem, A.J., 2012, Population distribution, settlement patterns and accessibility across Africa in 2010, PLoS ONE, 7(2): e31743. FORMAT: Geotiff (zipped using 7-zip (open access tool): www.7-zip.org) FILENAMES: Example - AGO10adjv4.tif = Angola (AGO) population count map for 2010 (10) adjusted to match UN national estimates (adj), version 4 (v4). Population maps are updated to new versions when improved census or other input data become available. India data available from WorldPop here.

From now until 2100, India and China will remain the most populous countries in the world, however China's population decline has already started, and it is on course to fall by around 50 percent in the 2090s; while India's population decline is projected to begin in the 2060s. Of the 10 most populous countries in the world in 2100, five will be located in Asia, four in Africa, as well as the United States. Rapid growth in Africa Rapid population growth across Africa will see the continent's population grow from around 1.5 billion people in 2024 to 3.8 billion in 2100. Additionally, unlike China or India, population growth in many of these countries is not expected to go into decline, and instead is expected to continue well into the 2100s. Previous estimates had projected these countries' populations would be much higher by 2100 (the 2019 report estimated Nigeria's population would exceed 650 million), yet the increased threat of the climate crisis and persistent instability is delaying demographic development and extending population growth. The U.S. as an outlier Compared to the nine other largest populations in 2100, the United States stands out as it is more demographically advanced, politically stable, and economically stronger. However, while most other so-called "advanced countries" are projected to see their population decline drastically in the coming decades, the U.S. population is projected to continue growing into the 2100s. This will largely be driven by high rates of immigration into the U.S., which will drive growth despite fertility rates being around 1.6 births per woman (below the replacement level of 2.1 births per woman), and the slowing rate of life expectancy. Current projections estimate the U.S. will have a net migration rate over 1.2 million people per year for the remainder of the century.

It was estimated that by 2050, India's Muslim population would grow by 76 percent compared to 2010. For followers of the Hindu faith, this change stood at 33 percent. According to this projection, the south Asian country would be home not just to the world's majority of Hindus, but also Muslims by this time period. Regardless, the latter would continue to remain a minority within the country at 18 percent, with 77 percent or 1.3 billion Hindus at the forefront by 2050.

India Projection: Population: 10 Years: Female: Age: 55-59 data was reported at 32,152,607.000 Person in 2031. This records an increase from the previous number of 25,683,419.000 Person for 2021. India Projection: Population: 10 Years: Female: Age: 55-59 data is updated yearly, averaging 28,918,013.000 Person from Mar 2021 (Median) to 2031, with 2 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 32,152,607.000 Person in 2031 and a record low of 25,683,419.000 Person in 2021. India Projection: Population: 10 Years: Female: Age: 55-59 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under India Premium Database’s Demographic – Table IN.GAI002: Population Projection: 10 Years: by Age Group.

Before 2025, the world's total population is expected to reach eight billion. Furthermore, it is predicted to reach over 10 billion in 2060, before slowing again as global birth rates are expected to decrease. Moreover, it is still unclear to what extent global warming will have an impact on population development. A high share of the population increase is expected to happen on the African continent.