100+ datasets found
  1. The Great Moderation: inflation and real GDP growth in the U.S. 1985-2007

    • statista.com
    Updated Sep 2, 2024
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    Statista (2024). The Great Moderation: inflation and real GDP growth in the U.S. 1985-2007 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1345209/great-moderation-us-inflation-real-gdp/
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    Dataset updated
    Sep 2, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    1985 - 2007
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    During the period beginning roughly in the mid-1980s until the Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008), the U.S. economy experienced a time of relative economic calm, with low inflation and consistent GDP growth. Compared with the turbulent economic era which had preceded it in the 1970s and the early 1980s, the lack of extreme fluctuations in the business cycle led some commentators to suggest that macroeconomic issues such as high inflation, long-term unemployment and financial crises were a thing of the past. Indeed, the President of the American Economic Association, Professor Robert Lucas, famously proclaimed in 2003 that "central problem of depression prevention has been solved, for all practical purposes". Ben Bernanke, the future chairman of the Federal Reserve during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and 2022 Nobel Prize in Economics recipient, coined the term 'the Great Moderation' to describe this era of newfound economic confidence. The era came to an abrupt end with the outbreak of the GFC in the Summer of 2007, as the U.S. financial system began to crash due to a downturn in the real estate market.

    Causes of the Great Moderation, and its downfall

    A number of factors have been cited as contributing to the Great Moderation including central bank monetary policies, the shift from manufacturing to services in the economy, improvements in information technology and management practices, as well as reduced energy prices. The period coincided with the term of Fed chairman Alan Greenspan (1987-2006), famous for the 'Greenspan put', a policy which meant that the Fed would proactively address downturns in the stock market using its monetary policy tools. These economic factors came to prominence at the same time as the end of the Cold War (1947-1991), with the U.S. attaining a new level of hegemony in global politics, as its main geopolitical rival, the Soviet Union, no longer existed. During the Great Moderation, the U.S. experienced a recession twice, between July 1990 and March 1991, and again from March 2001 tom November 2001, however, these relatively short recessions did not knock the U.S. off its growth path. The build up of household and corporate debt over the early 2000s eventually led to the Global Financial Crisis, as the bursting of the U.S. housing bubble in 2007 reverberated across the financial system, with a subsequent credit freeze and mass defaults.

  2. M

    U.S. Inflation Rate 1960-2025

    • macrotrends.net
    csv
    Updated May 31, 2025
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    MACROTRENDS (2025). U.S. Inflation Rate 1960-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/usa/united-states/inflation-rate-cpi
    Explore at:
    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 31, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    MACROTRENDS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1960 - May 31, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description
    U.S. inflation rate for 2023 was 4.13%, a 3.88% decline from 2022.
    <ul style='margin-top:20px;'>
    
    <li>U.S. inflation rate for 2022 was <strong>8.00%</strong>, a <strong>3.3% increase</strong> from 2021.</li>
    <li>U.S. inflation rate for 2021 was <strong>4.70%</strong>, a <strong>3.46% increase</strong> from 2020.</li>
    <li>U.S. inflation rate for 2020 was <strong>1.23%</strong>, a <strong>0.58% decline</strong> from 2019.</li>
    </ul>Inflation as measured by the consumer price index reflects the annual percentage change in the cost to the average consumer of acquiring a basket of goods and services that may be fixed or changed at specified intervals, such as yearly. The Laspeyres formula is generally used.
    
  3. T

    United States Consumer Inflation Expectations

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • it.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 9, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). United States Consumer Inflation Expectations [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-expectations
    Explore at:
    json, excel, xml, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 9, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 30, 2013 - May 31, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Inflation Expectations in the United States decreased to 3.20 percent in May from 3.60 percent in April of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Consumer Inflation Expectations- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  4. World Happiness Index and Inflation Dataset

    • kaggle.com
    Updated Mar 26, 2025
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    Agra Fintech (2025). World Happiness Index and Inflation Dataset [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.34740/kaggle/dsv/11174951
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    CroissantCroissant is a format for machine-learning datasets. Learn more about this at mlcommons.org/croissant.
    Dataset updated
    Mar 26, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Kagglehttp://kaggle.com/
    Authors
    Agra Fintech
    License

    Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    World
    Description

    Context

    Happiness and well-being are essential indicators of societal progress, often influenced by economic conditions such as GDP and inflation. This dataset combines data from the World Happiness Index (WHI) and inflation metrics to explore the relationship between economic stability and happiness levels across 148 countries from 2015 to 2023. By analyzing key economic indicators alongside social well-being factors, this dataset provides insights into global prosperity trends.

    Content

    This dataset is provided in CSV format and includes 16 columns, covering both happiness-related features and economic indicators such as GDP per capita, inflation rates, and corruption perception. The main columns include:

    Happiness Score & Rank (World Happiness Index ranking per country) Economic Indicators (GDP per capita, inflation metrics) Social Factors (Freedom, Social Support, Generosity) Geographical Information (Country & Continent)

    Acknowledgements

    The dataset is created using publicly available data from World Happiness Report, Gallup World Poll, and the World Bank. It has been structured for research, machine learning, and policy analysis purposes.

    Inspiration

    How do economic factors like inflation, GDP, and corruption affect happiness? Can we predict a country's happiness score based on economic conditions? This dataset allows you to analyze these relationships and build models to predict well-being trends worldwide.

  5. U.S. projected annual inflation rate 2010-2029

    • statista.com
    Updated Aug 21, 2024
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    Statista (2024). U.S. projected annual inflation rate 2010-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/244983/projected-inflation-rate-in-the-united-states/
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    Dataset updated
    Aug 21, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The inflation rate in the United States is expected to decrease to 2.1 percent by 2029. 2022 saw a year of exceptionally high inflation, reaching eight percent for the year. The data represents U.S. city averages. The base period was 1982-84. In economics, the inflation rate is a measurement of inflation, the rate of increase of a price index (in this case: consumer price index). It is the percentage rate of change in prices level over time. The rate of decrease in the purchasing power of money is approximately equal. According to the forecast, prices will increase by 2.9 percent in 2024. The annual inflation rate for previous years can be found here and the consumer price index for all urban consumers here. The monthly inflation rate for the United States can also be accessed here. Inflation in the U.S.Inflation is a term used to describe a general rise in the price of goods and services in an economy over a given period of time. Inflation in the United States is calculated using the consumer price index (CPI). The consumer price index is a measure of change in the price level of a preselected market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. This forecast of U.S. inflation was prepared by the International Monetary Fund. They project that inflation will stay higher than average throughout 2023, followed by a decrease to around roughly two percent annual rise in the general level of prices until 2028. Considering the annual inflation rate in the United States in 2021, a two percent inflation rate is a very moderate projection. The 2022 spike in inflation in the United States and worldwide is due to a variety of factors that have put constraints on various aspects of the economy. These factors include COVID-19 pandemic spending and supply-chain constraints, disruptions due to the war in Ukraine, and pandemic related changes in the labor force. Although the moderate inflation of prices between two and three percent is considered normal in a modern economy, countries’ central banks try to prevent severe inflation and deflation to keep the growth of prices to a minimum. Severe inflation is considered dangerous to a country’s economy because it can rapidly diminish the population’s purchasing power and thus damage the GDP .

  6. Countries with the highest inflation rate 2023

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jul 4, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Countries with the highest inflation rate 2023 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/268225/countries-with-the-highest-inflation-rate/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 4, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Apr 2024
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    At the end of 2023, Zimbabwe had the highest inflation rate in the world, at 667.36 percent change compared to the previous year. Inflation in industrialized and in emerging countries Higher inflation rates are more present in less developed economies, as they often lack a sufficient central banking system, which in turn results in the manipulation of currency to achieve short term economic goals. Thus, interest rates increase while the general economic situation remains constant. In more developed economies and in the prime emerging markets, the inflation rate does not fluctuate as sporadically. Additionally, the majority of countries that maintained the lowest inflation rate compared to previous years are primarily oil producers or small island independent states. These countries experienced deflation, which occurs when the inflation rate falls below zero; this may happen for a variety of factors, such as a shift in supply or demand of goods and services, or an outflow of capital.

  7. Inflation Nowcasting

    • clevelandfed.org
    json
    Updated Mar 10, 2017
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    Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2017). Inflation Nowcasting [Dataset]. https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-nowcasting
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Mar 10, 2017
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelandhttps://www.clevelandfed.org/
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland provides daily “nowcasts” of inflation for two popular price indexes, the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). These nowcasts give a sense of where inflation is today. Released each business day.

  8. Inflation Expectations

    • clevelandfed.org
    csv
    Updated Jun 11, 2025
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    Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2025). Inflation Expectations [Dataset]. https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations
    Explore at:
    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 11, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelandhttps://www.clevelandfed.org/
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    We report average expected inflation rates over the next one through 30 years. Our estimates of expected inflation rates are calculated using a Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland model that combines financial data and survey-based measures. Released monthly.

  9. F

    5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 30, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T5YIE
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 30, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (T5YIE) from 2003-01-02 to 2025-06-30 about spread, interest rate, interest, 5-year, inflation, rate, and USA.

  10. M

    India Inflation Rate (1960-2024)

    • macrotrends.net
    csv
    Updated May 31, 2025
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    MACROTRENDS (2025). India Inflation Rate (1960-2024) [Dataset]. https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/ind/india/inflation-rate-cpi
    Explore at:
    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 31, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    MACROTRENDS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    india
    Description
    India inflation rate for 2024 was 4.95%, a 0.7% decline from 2023.
    <ul style='margin-top:20px;'>
    
    <li>India inflation rate for 2023 was <strong>5.65%</strong>, a <strong>1.05% decline</strong> from 2022.</li>
    <li>India inflation rate for 2022 was <strong>6.70%</strong>, a <strong>1.57% increase</strong> from 2021.</li>
    <li>India inflation rate for 2021 was <strong>5.13%</strong>, a <strong>1.49% decline</strong> from 2020.</li>
    </ul>Inflation as measured by the consumer price index reflects the annual percentage change in the cost to the average consumer of acquiring a basket of goods and services that may be fixed or changed at specified intervals, such as yearly. The Laspeyres formula is generally used.
    
  11. T

    Iran Food Inflation

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • es.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Aug 21, 2015
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2015). Iran Food Inflation [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/iran/food-inflation
    Explore at:
    xml, excel, json, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 21, 2015
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 31, 2012 - May 31, 2025
    Area covered
    Iran
    Description

    Cost of food in Iran increased 41.50 percent in May of 2025 over the same month in the previous year. This dataset provides - Iran Food Inflation - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  12. J

    The global component of inflation volatility (replication data)

    • journaldata.zbw.eu
    • jda-test.zbw.eu
    txt, zip
    Updated Dec 7, 2022
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    Andrea Carriero; Francesco Corsello; Massimiliano Marcellino; Andrea Carriero; Francesco Corsello; Massimiliano Marcellino (2022). The global component of inflation volatility (replication data) [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.15456/jae.2022327.072333
    Explore at:
    txt(3439), zip(2270564)Available download formats
    Dataset updated
    Dec 7, 2022
    Dataset provided by
    ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
    Authors
    Andrea Carriero; Francesco Corsello; Massimiliano Marcellino; Andrea Carriero; Francesco Corsello; Massimiliano Marcellino
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Global developments play an important role for domestic inflation rates. Earlier literature has found that a substantial amount of the variation in a large set of national inflation rates can be explained by a single global factor. However, inflation volatility has been typically neglected, although it is clearly relevant both from a policy point of view and for structural analysis and forecasting. We study the evolution of inflation rates in several countries, using a novel model that allows for commonality in both levels and volatilities, in addition to country-specific components. We find that inflation volatility is indeed important, and a substantial fraction of it can be attributed to a global factor that is also driving inflation levels and their persistence. The extent of commonality among core inflation rates and volatilities is substantially smaller than for overall inflation, which leaves scope for national monetary policies. Finally, we show that the point and density forecasting performance of the model is good relative to standard benchmarks, which provides additional evidence on its reliability.

  13. Bureau of Labor Statistics Unemployment and Inflation

    • redivis.com
    application/jsonl +7
    Updated Dec 14, 2020
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    Columbia Data Platform Demo (2020). Bureau of Labor Statistics Unemployment and Inflation [Dataset]. https://redivis.com/datasets/ymdq-1a9mgdxff
    Explore at:
    arrow, avro, csv, parquet, spss, application/jsonl, stata, sasAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Dec 14, 2020
    Dataset provided by
    Redivis Inc.
    Authors
    Columbia Data Platform Demo
    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1939 - Dec 31, 2020
    Description

    Abstract

    This dataset includes economic statistics on inflation, prices, unemployment, and pay & benefits provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)

    Documentation

    Update frequency: Monthly Dataset source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Terms of use: This dataset is publicly available for anyone to use under the following terms provided by the Dataset Source - http://www.data.gov/privacy-policy#data_policy - and is provided "AS IS" without any warranty, express or implied, from Google. Google disclaims all liability for any damages, direct or indirect, resulting from the use of the dataset. See the GCP Marketplace listing for more details and sample queries: https://console.cloud.google.com/marketplace/details/bls-public-data/bureau-of-labor-statistics

  14. w

    Dataset of news about Inflation (Finance)-Germany-History

    • workwithdata.com
    Updated May 16, 2025
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    Work With Data (2025). Dataset of news about Inflation (Finance)-Germany-History [Dataset]. https://www.workwithdata.com/datasets/news?f=1&fcol0=page_name&fop0=%3D&fval0=Inflation+%28Finance%29-Germany-History
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    May 16, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Work With Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    Germany
    Description

    This dataset is about news. It has 34 rows and is filtered where the keywords includes Inflation (Finance)-Germany-History. It features 10 columns including source, publication date, section, and news link.

  15. M

    Italy Inflation Rate (1960-2024)

    • macrotrends.net
    csv
    Updated May 31, 2025
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    MACROTRENDS (2025). Italy Inflation Rate (1960-2024) [Dataset]. https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/ita/italy/inflation-rate-cpi
    Explore at:
    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 31, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    MACROTRENDS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    Italy
    Description
    Italy inflation rate for 2024 was 0.98%, a 4.64% decline from 2023.
    <ul style='margin-top:20px;'>
    
    <li>Italy inflation rate for 2023 was <strong>5.62%</strong>, a <strong>2.58% decline</strong> from 2022.</li>
    <li>Italy inflation rate for 2022 was <strong>8.20%</strong>, a <strong>6.33% increase</strong> from 2021.</li>
    <li>Italy inflation rate for 2021 was <strong>1.87%</strong>, a <strong>2.01% increase</strong> from 2020.</li>
    </ul>Inflation as measured by the consumer price index reflects the annual percentage change in the cost to the average consumer of acquiring a basket of goods and services that may be fixed or changed at specified intervals, such as yearly. The Laspeyres formula is generally used.
    
  16. N

    Good Hope, IL Median Household Income Trends (2010-2023, in 2023...

    • neilsberg.com
    csv, json
    Updated Mar 3, 2025
    + more versions
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    Neilsberg Research (2025). Good Hope, IL Median Household Income Trends (2010-2023, in 2023 inflation-adjusted dollars) [Dataset]. https://www.neilsberg.com/insights/good-hope-il-median-household-income/
    Explore at:
    csv, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Mar 3, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Neilsberg Research
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    Illinois, Good Hope
    Variables measured
    Median Household Income, Median Household Income Year on Year Change, Median Household Income Year on Year Percent Change
    Measurement technique
    The data presented in this dataset is derived from the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey (ACS) 2019-2023 5-Year Estimates. It presents the median household income from the years 2010 to 2023 following an initial analysis and categorization of the census data. Subsequently, we adjusted these figures for inflation using the Consumer Price Index retroactive series via current methods (R-CPI-U-RS). For additional information about these estimations, please contact us via email at research@neilsberg.com
    Dataset funded by
    Neilsberg Research
    Description
    About this dataset

    Context

    The dataset illustrates the median household income in Good Hope, spanning the years from 2010 to 2023, with all figures adjusted to 2023 inflation-adjusted dollars. Based on the latest 2019-2023 5-Year Estimates from the American Community Survey, it displays how income varied over the last decade. The dataset can be utilized to gain insights into median household income trends and explore income variations.

    Key observations:

    From 2010 to 2023, the median household income for Good Hope increased by $8,475 (13.99%), as per the American Community Survey estimates. In comparison, median household income for the United States increased by $5,602 (7.68%) between 2010 and 2023.

    Analyzing the trend in median household income between the years 2010 and 2023, spanning 13 annual cycles, we observed that median household income, when adjusted for 2023 inflation using the Consumer Price Index retroactive series (R-CPI-U-RS), experienced growth year by year for 8 years and declined for 5 years.

    Content

    When available, the data consists of estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey (ACS) 2019-2023 5-Year Estimates. All incomes have been adjusting for inflation and are presented in 2022-inflation-adjusted dollars.

    Years for which data is available:

    • 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 0223

    Variables / Data Columns

    • Year: This column presents the data year from 2010 to 2023
    • Median Household Income: Median household income, in 2023 inflation-adjusted dollars for the specific year
    • YOY Change($): Change in median household income between the current and the previous year, in 2023 inflation-adjusted dollars
    • YOY Change(%): Percent change in median household income between current and the previous year

    Good to know

    Margin of Error

    Data in the dataset are based on the estimates and are subject to sampling variability and thus a margin of error. Neilsberg Research recommends using caution when presening these estimates in your research.

    Custom data

    If you do need custom data for any of your research project, report or presentation, you can contact our research staff at research@neilsberg.com for a feasibility of a custom tabulation on a fee-for-service basis.

    Inspiration

    Neilsberg Research Team curates, analyze and publishes demographics and economic data from a variety of public and proprietary sources, each of which often includes multiple surveys and programs. The large majority of Neilsberg Research aggregated datasets and insights is made available for free download at https://www.neilsberg.com/research/.

    Recommended for further research

    This dataset is a part of the main dataset for Good Hope median household income. You can refer the same here

  17. U

    Inflation Data

    • dataverse-staging.rdmc.unc.edu
    • dataverse.unc.edu
    Updated Oct 9, 2022
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    Linda Wang; Linda Wang (2022). Inflation Data [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.15139/S3/QA4MPU
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Oct 9, 2022
    Dataset provided by
    UNC Dataverse
    Authors
    Linda Wang; Linda Wang
    License

    CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedicationhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    This is not going to be an article or Op-Ed about Michael Jordan. Since 2009 we've been in the longest bull-market in history, that's 11 years and counting. However a few metrics like the stock market P/E, the call to put ratio and of course the Shiller P/E suggest a great crash is coming in-between the levels of 1929 and the dot.com bubble. Mean reversion historically is inevitable and the Fed's printing money experiment could end in disaster for the stock market in late 2021 or 2022. You can read Jeremy Grantham's Last Dance article here. You are likely well aware of Michael Burry's predicament as well. It's easier for you just to skim through two related videos on this topic of a stock market crash. Michael Burry's Warning see this YouTube. Jeremy Grantham's Warning See this YouTube. Typically when there is a major event in the world, there is a crash and then a bear market and a recovery that takes many many months. In March, 2020 that's not what we saw since the Fed did some astonishing things that means a liquidity sloth and the risk of a major inflation event. The pandemic represented the quickest decline of at least 30% in the history of the benchmark S&P 500, but the recovery was not correlated to anything but Fed intervention. Since the pandemic clearly isn't disappearing and many sectors such as travel, business travel, tourism and supply chain disruptions appear significantly disrupted - the so-called economic recovery isn't so great. And there's this little problem at the heart of global capitalism today, the stock market just keeps going up. Crashes and corrections typically occur frequently in a normal market. But the Fed liquidity and irresponsible printing of money is creating a scenario where normal behavior isn't occurring on the markets. According to data provided by market analytics firm Yardeni Research, the benchmark index has undergone 38 declines of at least 10% since the beginning of 1950. Since March, 2020 we've barely seen a down month. September, 2020 was flat-ish. The S&P 500 has more than doubled since those lows. Look at the angle of the curve: The S&P 500 was 735 at the low in 2009, so in this bull market alone it has gone up 6x in valuation. That's not a normal cycle and it could mean we are due for an epic correction. I have to agree with the analysts who claim that the long, long bull market since 2009 has finally matured into a fully-fledged epic bubble. There is a complacency, buy-the dip frenzy and general meme environment to what BigTech can do in such an environment. The weight of Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Facebook, Nvidia and Tesla together in the S&P and Nasdaq is approach a ridiculous weighting. When these stocks are seen both as growth, value and companies with unbeatable moats the entire dynamics of the stock market begin to break down. Check out FANG during the pandemic. BigTech is Seen as Bullet-Proof me valuations and a hysterical speculative behavior leads to even higher highs, even as 2020 offered many younger people an on-ramp into investing for the first time. Some analysts at JP Morgan are even saying that until retail investors stop charging into stocks, markets probably don’t have too much to worry about. Hedge funds with payment for order flows can predict exactly how these retail investors are behaving and monetize them. PFOF might even have to be banned by the SEC. The risk-on market theoretically just keeps going up until the Fed raises interest rates, which could be in 2023! For some context, we're more than 1.4 years removed from the bear-market bottom of the coronavirus crash and haven't had even a 5% correction in nine months. This is the most over-priced the market has likely ever been. At the night of the dot-com bubble the S&P 500 was only 1,400. Today it is 4,500, not so many years after. Clearly something is not quite right if you look at history and the P/E ratios. A market pumped with liquidity produces higher earnings with historically low interest rates, it's an environment where dangerous things can occur. In late 1997, as the S&P 500 passed its previous 1929 peak of 21x earnings, that seemed like a lot, but nothing compared to today. For some context, the S&P 500 Shiller P/E closed last week at 38.58, which is nearly a two-decade high. It's also well over double the average Shiller P/E of 16.84, dating back 151 years. So the stock market is likely around 2x over-valued. Try to think rationally about what this means for valuations today and your favorite stock prices, what should they be in historical terms? The S&P 500 is up 31% in the past year. It will likely hit 5,000 before a correction given the amount of added liquidity to the system and the QE the Fed is using that's like a huge abuse of MMT, or Modern Monetary Theory. This has also lent to bubbles in the housing market, crypto and even commodities like Gold with long-term global GDP meeting many headwinds in the years ahead due to a...

  18. T

    Dominican Republic Inflation Expectations

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • fa.tradingeconomics.com
    • +11more
    csv, excel, json, xml
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    TRADING ECONOMICS, Dominican Republic Inflation Expectations [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/dominican-republic/inflation-expectations
    Explore at:
    xml, excel, json, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 31, 2008 - May 31, 2025
    Area covered
    Dominican Republic
    Description

    Inflation Expectations in Dominican Republic decreased to 3.86 percent in May from 3.98 percent in April of 2025. This dataset provides - Dominican Republic Inflation Expectations- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  19. Inflation rate in the ASEAN countries 2030

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Inflation rate in the ASEAN countries 2030 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/804325/inflation-rate-in-the-asean-countries/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Laos, Cambodia, Philippines, Myanmar [Burma], Singapore, Vietnam, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, Brunei
    Description

    Inflation rates in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) ranged from ** percent inflation in Myanmar to **** percent inflation in Thailand in 2025. Only a few countries are in the 2 to 6 percent range that many economists view as optimal for emerging economies. Effects of high inflation High inflation is generally detrimental to the economy. Prices tend to rise faster than wages, meaning that people and firms have less purchasing power. This in turn leads to slower growth in the gross domestic product (GDP). It also leads to a weaker currency. For countries with a positive trade balance this can be beneficial, because exports are relatively cheaper to foreign buyers. Through the same mechanism, net importers suffer from a weaker currency. Additionally, inflation makes a country’s national debt less expensive if the debt is denominated in the local currency. However, most of this debt is in U.S. dollars, so inflation makes the debt more difficult to service and repay. Risks of deflation With deflation, consumers and firms delay investments because they expect prices to be lower in the future. This slows consumption and investment, two major components of GDP growth. The most common example of this is Japan, where the GDP growth rate has been low for a long time due, in large part, to deflation. For this reason, countries like Brunei would rather see low and stable inflation than slight deflation.

  20. N

    Good Hope, AL Median Household Income Trends (2010-2021, in 2022...

    • neilsberg.com
    csv, json
    Updated Jan 11, 2024
    + more versions
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    Neilsberg Research (2024). Good Hope, AL Median Household Income Trends (2010-2021, in 2022 inflation-adjusted dollars) [Dataset]. https://www.neilsberg.com/research/datasets/90d9fe4a-73f0-11ee-949f-3860777c1fe6/
    Explore at:
    csv, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jan 11, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Neilsberg Research
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    Good Hope, Alabama
    Variables measured
    Median Household Income, Median Household Income Year on Year Change, Median Household Income Year on Year Percent Change
    Measurement technique
    The data presented in this dataset is derived from the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey (ACS) 2017-2021 5-Year Estimates. It presents the median household income from the years 2010 to 2021 following an initial analysis and categorization of the census data. Subsequently, we adjusted these figures for inflation using the Consumer Price Index retroactive series via current methods (R-CPI-U-RS). For additional information about these estimations, please contact us via email at research@neilsberg.com
    Dataset funded by
    Neilsberg Research
    Description
    About this dataset

    Context

    The dataset illustrates the median household income in Good Hope, spanning the years from 2010 to 2021, with all figures adjusted to 2022 inflation-adjusted dollars. Based on the latest 2017-2021 5-Year Estimates from the American Community Survey, it displays how income varied over the last decade. The dataset can be utilized to gain insights into median household income trends and explore income variations.

    Key observations:

    From 2010 to 2021, the median household income for Good Hope increased by $957 (1.55%), as per the American Community Survey estimates. In comparison, median household income for the United States increased by $4,559 (6.51%) between 2010 and 2021.

    Analyzing the trend in median household income between the years 2010 and 2021, spanning 11 annual cycles, we observed that median household income, when adjusted for 2022 inflation using the Consumer Price Index retroactive series (R-CPI-U-RS), experienced growth year by year for 6 years and declined for 5 years.

    https://i.neilsberg.com/ch/good-hope-al-median-household-income-trend.jpeg" alt="Good Hope, AL median household income trend (2010-2021, in 2022 inflation-adjusted dollars)">

    Content

    When available, the data consists of estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey (ACS) 2017-2021 5-Year Estimates. All incomes have been adjusting for inflation and are presented in 2022-inflation-adjusted dollars.

    Years for which data is available:

    • 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

    Variables / Data Columns

    • Year: This column presents the data year from 2010 to 2021
    • Median Household Income: Median household income, in 2022 inflation-adjusted dollars for the specific year
    • YOY Change($): Change in median household income between the current and the previous year, in 2022 inflation-adjusted dollars
    • YOY Change(%): Percent change in median household income between current and the previous year

    Good to know

    Margin of Error

    Data in the dataset are based on the estimates and are subject to sampling variability and thus a margin of error. Neilsberg Research recommends using caution when presening these estimates in your research.

    Custom data

    If you do need custom data for any of your research project, report or presentation, you can contact our research staff at research@neilsberg.com for a feasibility of a custom tabulation on a fee-for-service basis.

    Inspiration

    Neilsberg Research Team curates, analyze and publishes demographics and economic data from a variety of public and proprietary sources, each of which often includes multiple surveys and programs. The large majority of Neilsberg Research aggregated datasets and insights is made available for free download at https://www.neilsberg.com/research/.

    Recommended for further research

    This dataset is a part of the main dataset for Good Hope median household income. You can refer the same here

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Statista (2024). The Great Moderation: inflation and real GDP growth in the U.S. 1985-2007 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1345209/great-moderation-us-inflation-real-gdp/
Organization logo

The Great Moderation: inflation and real GDP growth in the U.S. 1985-2007

Explore at:
Dataset updated
Sep 2, 2024
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Time period covered
1985 - 2007
Area covered
United States
Description

During the period beginning roughly in the mid-1980s until the Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008), the U.S. economy experienced a time of relative economic calm, with low inflation and consistent GDP growth. Compared with the turbulent economic era which had preceded it in the 1970s and the early 1980s, the lack of extreme fluctuations in the business cycle led some commentators to suggest that macroeconomic issues such as high inflation, long-term unemployment and financial crises were a thing of the past. Indeed, the President of the American Economic Association, Professor Robert Lucas, famously proclaimed in 2003 that "central problem of depression prevention has been solved, for all practical purposes". Ben Bernanke, the future chairman of the Federal Reserve during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and 2022 Nobel Prize in Economics recipient, coined the term 'the Great Moderation' to describe this era of newfound economic confidence. The era came to an abrupt end with the outbreak of the GFC in the Summer of 2007, as the U.S. financial system began to crash due to a downturn in the real estate market.

Causes of the Great Moderation, and its downfall

A number of factors have been cited as contributing to the Great Moderation including central bank monetary policies, the shift from manufacturing to services in the economy, improvements in information technology and management practices, as well as reduced energy prices. The period coincided with the term of Fed chairman Alan Greenspan (1987-2006), famous for the 'Greenspan put', a policy which meant that the Fed would proactively address downturns in the stock market using its monetary policy tools. These economic factors came to prominence at the same time as the end of the Cold War (1947-1991), with the U.S. attaining a new level of hegemony in global politics, as its main geopolitical rival, the Soviet Union, no longer existed. During the Great Moderation, the U.S. experienced a recession twice, between July 1990 and March 1991, and again from March 2001 tom November 2001, however, these relatively short recessions did not knock the U.S. off its growth path. The build up of household and corporate debt over the early 2000s eventually led to the Global Financial Crisis, as the bursting of the U.S. housing bubble in 2007 reverberated across the financial system, with a subsequent credit freeze and mass defaults.

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