Ten-Year TIPS Yields versus Real Yields is a part of the Inflation Expectations indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

As of July 18, 2025, the major economy with the highest yield on 10-year government bonds was Turkey, with a yield of ** percent. This is due to the risks investors take when investing in Turkey, notably due to high inflation rates potentially eradicating any profits made when using a foreign currency to investing in securities denominated in Turkish lira. Of the major developed economies, United Kingdom had one the highest yield on 10-year government bonds at this time with **** percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at **** percent. How does inflation influence the yields of government bonds? Inflation reduces purchasing power over time. Due to this, investors seek higher returns to offset the anticipated decrease in purchasing power resulting from rapid price rises. In countries with high inflation, government bond yields often incorporate investor expectations and risk premiums, resulting in comparatively higher rates offered by these bonds. Why are government bond rates significant? Government bond rates are an important indicator of financial markets, serving as a benchmark for borrowing costs, interest rates, and investor sentiment. They affect the cost of government borrowing, influence the price of various financial instruments, and serve as a reflection of expectations regarding inflation and economic growth. For instance, in financial analysis and investing, people often use the 10-year U.S. government bond rates as a proxy for the longer-term risk-free rate.

We report average expected inflation rates over the next one through 30 years. Our estimates of expected inflation rates are calculated using a Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland model that combines financial data and survey-based measures. Released monthly.

The average market yield on the United States Treasury's 10-year bond was **** percent during the second quarter of 2024. This rate was adjusted to reflect a constant maturity and also indexed to inflation, giving an idea of real returns for longer-term investments. The recent expected return was highest at the end of the end of the last quarter of 2024, and lowest in the second half of 2021, when it was negative.

Graph and download economic data for 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (T5YIE) from 2003-01-02 to 2025-09-12 about spread, 5-year, interest rate, interest, inflation, rate, and USA.

Expected Inflation Term Structure is a part of the Inflation Expectations indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: Indexed data was reported at 2.232 % pa in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.214 % pa for Mar 2025. Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: Indexed data is updated monthly, averaging 2.829 % pa from Jul 1985 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 478 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5.830 % pa in Jan 1987 and a record low of -0.809 % pa in Aug 2021. Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: Indexed data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M007: Government Bond Yield. This series is an inflation-indexed bond yield with a maturity of 10 years.

The yield on Germany 10Y Bond Yield rose to 2.71% on September 12, 2025, marking a 0.05 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.02 points and is 0.56 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Germany 10-Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on September of 2025.

Ten-Year Expected Inflation and Real and Inflation Risk Premia is a part of the Inflation Expectations indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

At the end of 2024, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond was **** percent. Despite the increase in recent years, the highest yields could be observed in the early 1990s. What affects bond prices? The factors that play a big role in valuation and interest in government bonds are interest rate and inflation. If inflation is expected to be high, investors will demand a higher return on bonds. Country credit ratings indicate how stable the economy is and thus also influence the government bond prices. Risk and bonds Finally, when investors are worried about the bond issuer’s ability to pay at the end of the term, they demand a higher interest rate. For the U.S. Treasury, the vast majority of investors consider the investment to be perfectly safe. Ten-year government bonds from other countries show that countries seen as more risky have a higher bond return. On the other hand, countries in which investors do not expect economic growth have a lower yield.

The yield on Japan 10Y Bond Yield rose to 1.60% on September 12, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.08 points and is 0.76 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Japan 10 Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on September of 2025.

The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.80% on September 12, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.07 points, though it remains 0.28 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on September of 2025.

This paper presents an equilibrium bond-pricing model that jointly explains the upward-sloping nominal and real yield curves and the violation of the expectations hypothesis. Instead of relying on the inflation risk premium, the ambiguity-averse agent faces different amounts of Knightian uncertainty in the long run versus the short run; hence the model-implied nominal and real short rate expectations are upward-sloping under the agent's worst-case equilibrium beliefs. The expectations hypothesis roughly holds under investors' worst-case beliefs. The difference between the worst-case scenario and the true distribution makes realized excess returns on long-term bonds predictable.

The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield rose to 3.19% on September 12, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.22 points, though it remains 0.28 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on September of 2025.

In 2024, the average yearly yield of UK 10-year government bonds was **** percent. The UK 10-year gilt has shown a significant downward trend from 1990 to 2024. Starting at nearly ** percent in 1990, yields steadily declined, with slight fluctuations, reaching a low of **** percent in 2020. After 2020, yields began to rise again, reflecting recent increases in interest rates and inflation expectations. This long-term decline indicates decreasing inflation and interest rates in Australia over the past decades, with recent economic conditions prompting a reversal in bond yields.

The yield on India 10Y Bond Yield eased to 6.46% on September 12, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0 points, though it remains 0.33 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. India 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on September of 2025.

View market daily updates and historical trends for 5 Year TIPS/Treasury Breakeven Rate. from United States. Source: Federal Reserve. Track economic data …

The average yearly yield of French 10-year government bonds has shown a significant downward trend from 1990 to 2024. Starting at nearly *** percent in 1990, yields steadily declined, with slight fluctuations, reaching a low of ***** percent in 2020. After 2020, yields began to rise again, reflecting recent increases in interest rates and inflation expectations. This long-term decline indicates decreasing inflation and interest rates in Australia over the past decades, with recent economic conditions prompting a reversal in bond yields.

Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data was reported at 2.160 % in Mar 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.320 % for Dec 2024. Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.620 % from Dec 1985 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 157 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.370 % in Mar 1989 and a record low of 0.660 % in Mar 2020. Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.I067: Breakeven Inflation Rate. The Breakeven 10 Year Inflation Rate is measured by the Reserve Bank of Australia using Commonwealth government securities. For data since 1996, the RBA uses interpolation and projection of the yield curve to estimate both nominal and inflation-indexed bond yields with an exact 10-year maturity. Prior to 1996, these adjustments are not made and the nominal and inflation-indexed bond yields used to derive the series may not reflect ideal 10-year maturities. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

The yield on France 10Y Bond Yield rose to 3.50% on September 12, 2025, marking a 0.06 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.17 points and is 0.66 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. France 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on September of 2025.