Inflation Nowcasting Quarterly is a part of the Inflation Nowcasting indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

Inflation Rate in the United States increased to 2.70 percent in June from 2.40 percent in May of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The inflation rate in the United States is expected to decrease to 2.1 percent by 2029. 2022 saw a year of exceptionally high inflation, reaching eight percent for the year. The data represents U.S. city averages. The base period was 1982-84. In economics, the inflation rate is a measurement of inflation, the rate of increase of a price index (in this case: consumer price index). It is the percentage rate of change in prices level over time. The rate of decrease in the purchasing power of money is approximately equal. According to the forecast, prices will increase by 2.9 percent in 2024. The annual inflation rate for previous years can be found here and the consumer price index for all urban consumers here. The monthly inflation rate for the United States can also be accessed here. Inflation in the U.S.Inflation is a term used to describe a general rise in the price of goods and services in an economy over a given period of time. Inflation in the United States is calculated using the consumer price index (CPI). The consumer price index is a measure of change in the price level of a preselected market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. This forecast of U.S. inflation was prepared by the International Monetary Fund. They project that inflation will stay higher than average throughout 2023, followed by a decrease to around roughly two percent annual rise in the general level of prices until 2028. Considering the annual inflation rate in the United States in 2021, a two percent inflation rate is a very moderate projection. The 2022 spike in inflation in the United States and worldwide is due to a variety of factors that have put constraints on various aspects of the economy. These factors include COVID-19 pandemic spending and supply-chain constraints, disruptions due to the war in Ukraine, and pandemic related changes in the labor force. Although the moderate inflation of prices between two and three percent is considered normal in a modern economy, countries’ central banks try to prevent severe inflation and deflation to keep the growth of prices to a minimum. Severe inflation is considered dangerous to a country’s economy because it can rapidly diminish the population’s purchasing power and thus damage the GDP .

Inflation Expectations in the United States decreased to 3 percent in June from 3.20 percent in May of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Consumer Inflation Expectations- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland provides daily “nowcasts” of inflation for two popular price indexes, the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). These nowcasts give a sense of where inflation is today. Released each business day.

The average for 2025 based on 184 countries was 7.08 percent. The highest value was in Venezuela: 254.35 percent and the lowest value was in Switzerland: 0.24 percent. The indicator is available from 1980 to 2030. Below is a chart for all countries where data are available.

2022 and 2023 saw inflation rates rise all over the world, especially spurred by effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine. With its hyperinflation, ********* was predicted to have the highest inflation rate of the countries included here both in 2023, 2024, and 2025. On the other hand, ******* inflation rate was estimated to only reach *** percent in 2024.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) projections are important because they provide information for evaluating current monetary policy intentions and because they indicate what FOMC members think will be the likely consequence of their policies. Knowing the Fed's objectives, their forecasts, and recent deviations of the economy from the forecasts should be sufficient to understand how the Fed is making monetary policy. Results here show that the Blue Chip consensus forecasts are a good proxy for the FOMC views. For example, they match the policymakers' views as closely as do the Board staff forecasts presented at FOMC meetings. Using alternative forms of the Taylor rule, the authors show that the Blue Chip consensus and the Fed policymakers' forecasts have almost identical implications for the monetary policy process.

Brazil: Inflation forecast: The latest value from 2030 is 2.96 percent, unchanged from 2.96 percent in 2029. In comparison, the world average is 3.65 percent, based on data from 182 countries. Historically, the average for Brazil from 1981 to 2030 is 220.97 percent. The minimum value, 1.66 percent, was reached in 1998 while the maximum of 2477.15 percent was recorded in 1993.

Germany: Inflation forecast: The latest value from 2030 is 2.18 percent, unchanged from 2.18 percent in 2029. In comparison, the world average is 3.65 percent, based on data from 182 countries. Historically, the average for Germany from 1992 to 2030 is 2.06 percent. The minimum value, -0.6 percent, was reached in 2020 while the maximum of 10.81 percent was recorded in 2022.

2022 and 2023 were characterized by leaping inflation rates. These were caused by a multiple of factors, but post-corona (COVID-19) challenges and the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February that year had a major impact. However, the inflation rates in all countries included were forecast to stabilize through 2022 and 2023. More information about global inflation can be found here.

United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data was reported at 2.123 % in Dec 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.199 % for Nov 2018. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data is updated monthly, averaging 1.861 % from Aug 2013 (Median) to Dec 2018, with 65 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.322 % in Aug 2018 and a record low of 1.583 % in Jan 2015. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I003: Consumer Price Index: Urban: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

Mexico: Inflation forecast: The latest value from 2030 is 3 percent, unchanged from 3 percent in 2029. In comparison, the world average is 3.65 percent, based on data from 182 countries. Historically, the average for Mexico from 1981 to 2030 is 20.06 percent. The minimum value, 2.13 percent, was reached in 2015 while the maximum of 159.17 percent was recorded in 1987.

Turkey: Inflation forecast: The latest value from 2030 is 15 percent, unchanged from 15 percent in 2029. In comparison, the world average is 3.65 percent, based on data from 182 countries. Historically, the average for Turkey from 1986 to 2030 is 36.36 percent. The minimum value, 6.16 percent, was reached in 2012 while the maximum of 115.7 percent was recorded in 1994.

Abstract This study evaluates the inflation forecasts produced by Phillips curve models with and without ARMA modeling of their errors, considering a sample that contains developed and developing countries. The aim of this study is to provide empirical evidence that this simple reformulation of the Phillips curve can serve as a benchmark for studies that propose econometric or time series models more elaborated to predict the rate of inflation. The results show that the use of ARMA components in the Phillips curve decrease considerably its mean square error of forecast for all countries in the sample.

This dataset provides values for INFLATION RATES reported in several countries. The data includes current values, previous releases, historical highs and record lows, release frequency, reported unit and currency.

Inflation Rate in Japan decreased to 3.30 percent in June from 3.50 percent in May of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Japan Inflation Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Inflation rates were high in several countries around the world in 2022, so also in the Nordic countries, where inflation rates were estimated to be between *** percent (Norway) and *** percent (Denmark). While inflation rates decreased somewhat in Denmark, Norway, Sweden, and Finland in 2023 and 2024, they were estimated to remain high in Iceland.

There has been a resurgence of interest in dynamic factor models for use by policy advisors. Dynamic factor methods can be used to incorporate a wide range of economic information when forecasting or measuring economic shocks. This article introduces dynamic factor models that underlie the data-rich methods and also tests whether the data-rich models can help a benchmark autoregressive model forecast alternative measures of inflation and real economic activity at horizons of 3, 12, and 24 months ahead. The authors find that, over the past decade, the data-rich models significantly improve the forecasts for a variety of real output and inflation indicators. For all the series that they examine, the authors find that the data-rich models become more useful when forecasting over longer horizons. The exception is the unemployment rate, where the principal components provide significant forecasting information at all horizons.

Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Expected Inflation (EXPINF10YR) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about projection, 10-year, inflation, and USA.