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Graph and download economic data for Inflation Risk Premium (TENEXPCHAINFRISPRE) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about premium, inflation, and USA.
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We report average expected inflation rates over the next one through 30 years. Our estimates of expected inflation rates are calculated using a Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland model that combines financial data and survey-based measures. Released monthly.
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The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate.
Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations.
For more information, please visit the "https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations#background">Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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Inflation Risk Premium: 43 years of historical data from 1982 to 2025.
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Graph and download economic data for Producer Price Index by Industry: Premiums for Property and Casualty Insurance: Premiums for Other Property and Casualty Insurance (PCU9241269241267) from Dec 2003 to May 2025 about property-casualty, premium, insurance, PPI, industry, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.
The average market yield on the United States Treasury's 10-year bond was **** percent during the second quarter of 2024. This rate was adjusted to reflect a constant maturity and also indexed to inflation, giving an idea of real returns for longer-term investments. The recent expected return was highest at the end of the end of the last quarter of 2024, and lowest in the second half of 2021, when it was negative.
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License information was derived automatically
The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate.
Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations.
For more information, please visit the "https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations#background">Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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Graph and download economic data for Producer Price Index by Industry: Premiums for Property and Casualty Insurance: Premiums for Worker's Compensation Insurance (PCU9241269241266) from Jun 1998 to May 2025 about property-casualty, premium, compensation, insurance, workers, PPI, industry, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.
The inflation rate in the United States declined significantly between June 2022 and May 2025, despite rising inflationary pressures towards the end of 2024. The peak inflation rate was recorded in June 2022, at *** percent. In August 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hit its highest level during the observed period, at **** percent, and remained unchanged until September 2024, when the Federal Reserve implemented its first rate cut since September 2021. By January 2025, the rate dropped to **** percent, signalling a shift in monetary policy. What is the Federal Reserve interest rate? The Federal Reserve interest rate, or the federal funds rate, is the rate at which banks and credit unions lend to and borrow from each other. It is one of the Federal Reserve's key tools for maintaining strong employment rates, stable prices, and reasonable interest rates. The rate is determined by the Federal Reserve and adjusted eight times a year, though it can be changed through emergency meetings during times of crisis. The Fed doesn't directly control the interest rate but sets a target rate. It then uses open market operations to influence rates toward this target. Ways of measuring inflation Inflation is typically measured using several methods, with the most common being the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI tracks the price of a fixed basket of goods and services over time, providing a measure of the price changes consumers face. At the end of 2023, the CPI in the United States was ****** percent, up from ****** a year earlier. A more business-focused measure is the producer price index (PPI), which represents the costs of firms.
D'Amico, Kim, and Wei use a no-arbitrage term structure model to decompose TIPS inflation compensation into three components: inflation expectation, inflation risk premium, and TIPS liquidity premium over the 1983-present period. The model is also used to decompose nominal yields or forward rates into four components: expected real short rate, expected inflation, inflation risk premium, and real term premium.
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Graph and download economic data for Producer Price Index by Industry: Premiums for Property and Casualty Insurance: Premiums for Product and Other Non-Auto Liability Insurance (PCU924126924126403) from Jun 1998 to May 2025 about property-casualty, premium, insurance, liabilities, PPI, industry, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.
In the United States, the annual price of health insurance declined by 33.6 percent in the last 12 months which ended in August 2023 after rising by 24.3 percent in the previous year. Over the provided time interval, health insurance prices increased at an average inflation rate of approximately five percent. This statistic shows the annual inflation rate of health insurance prices in the U.S. from 2007 to 2023.
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China Consumer Price Index (CPI): Expected Inflation data was reported at 3.000 % in 2019. This stayed constant from the previous number of 3.000 % for 2018. China Consumer Price Index (CPI): Expected Inflation data is updated yearly, averaging 3.000 % from Dec 2005 (Median) to 2019, with 15 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.800 % in 2008 and a record low of 3.000 % in 2019. China Consumer Price Index (CPI): Expected Inflation data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Central People's Government. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Inflation – Table CN.IA: Consumer Price Index.
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Russia Expected Inflation: Households with Savings data was reported at 12.400 % pa in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 11.000 % pa for Mar 2025. Russia Expected Inflation: Households with Savings data is updated monthly, averaging 9.850 % pa from Jul 2017 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 86 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 17.200 % pa in Mar 2022 and a record low of 6.900 % pa in Mar 2020. Russia Expected Inflation: Households with Savings data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Russia. The data is categorized under Russia Premium Database’s Household Survey – Table RU.HE006: Inflation Expectations: Central Bank of Russian Federation. [COVID-19-IMPACT]
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Russia Inflation Expectation Index data was reported at 78.710 % Point in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 76.941 % Point for Feb 2025. Russia Inflation Expectation Index data is updated monthly, averaging 78.900 % Point from Jun 2012 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 97 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 84.500 % Point in Dec 2021 and a record low of 67.190 % Point in May 2022. Russia Inflation Expectation Index data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Russian Public Opinion Research Center. The data is categorized under Russia Premium Database’s Household Survey – Table RU.HE007: Inflation Expectations and Perception: Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM). [COVID-19-IMPACT]
According to a survey conducted in South Korea in January 2025, the expected inflation rate of consumer prices for the coming year was *** percent. Inflation expectations have shown a declining trend over the past several months.
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The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate.
Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations.
For more information, please visit the "https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations#background">Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate.
Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations.
For more information, please visit the "https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations#background">Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate.
Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations.
For more information, please visit the "https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations#background">Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
Expected Inflation: Median Value data was reported at 10.236 % pa in Dec 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 9.831 % pa for Nov 2018. Expected Inflation: Median Value data is updated monthly, averaging 12.895 % pa from Apr 2010 (Median) to Dec 2018, with 73 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.701 % pa in Dec 2010 and a record low of 7.814 % pa in Apr 2018. Expected Inflation: Median Value data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Central Bank of the Russian Federation. The data is categorized under Russia Premium Database’s Household Survey – Table RU.HE005: Inflation Expectations.
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Graph and download economic data for Inflation Risk Premium (TENEXPCHAINFRISPRE) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about premium, inflation, and USA.