Since 2021, the large economies of Western Europe have been experiencing a surge in inflation, with inflation reaching as high as 11.84 percent in Italy during October 2022. During 2023 the rate of inflation in all these economies has fallen significantly, reaching as low as 0.67 percent in Italy and 3.17 percent in Germany. This inflationary episode is understood by economists to have been caused by several factors, notably the supply chain issues during the COVID-19 pandemic, pent-up consumer demand which was released after lockdowns ended, as well as policies of monetary and fiscal stimulus during the pandemic aimed at boosting economic activity.

As of December 2024, the inflation rate in the European Union was 2.7 percent, with prices rising fastest in Romania, which had an inflation rate of 5.5 percent. By contrast, both Ireland and Italy saw low inflation rates during the same period, with Ireland having the lowest inflation rate in the EU during this month. The rate of inflation in the EU in the October 2022 was higher than at any other time, with the peak prior to 2021 recorded in July 2008 when prices were growing by 4.4 percent year-on-year. Before the recent rises in inflation, price rises in the EU had been kept at relatively low levels, with the inflation rate remaining below three percent between January 2012 and August 2021. Rapid recovery and energy costs driving inflation The reopening of the European economy in 2021 following the sudden shock of COVID-19 in 2020 is behind many of the factors that have caused prices to rise so quickly in 2022. Global supply chains have not yet recovered from production issues, travel restrictions, and workforce problems brought about by the pandemic. Rising energy costs have only served to exacerbate supply problems, particularly with regard to the transport sector, which had the highest inflation rate of any sector in the EU in December 2021. High inflation rates mirrored in the U.S. The high inflation rates seen in Europe have been reflected in other parts of the world. In the United States, for example, the consumer price index reached a 40-year-high of seven percent in December 2021, influenced by many of the same factors driving European inflation. Nevertheless, it is hoped that once these supply chain issues ease, inflation levels will start to fall throughout the course of 2022.

This dataset provides values for INFLATION RATE reported in several countries. The data includes current values, previous releases, historical highs and record lows, release frequency, reported unit and currency.

This dataset provides values for FOOD INFLATION reported in several countries. The data includes current values, previous releases, historical highs and record lows, release frequency, reported unit and currency.

In December 2024, the inflation rate for food in the European Union (EU) reached 2.4 percent compared to the same month the year prior. Starting in the beginning of 2022, food prices started to rise rapidly. In March 2023, the food inflation rate in the EU reached its peak at 19.19 percent. Since April 2023, the rate started to decrease. Food inflation in Europe One of the main drivers of the increase in consumer prices was the rapid rise in energy prices. In the energy sector, the harmonized index of consumer prices inflation of the EU, a concept to measure and compare inflation internationally, was at 41.1 percent in June 2022, whereas the other categories were all below 10 percent. In Germany, the year-on-year consumer price index development for food and beverages was at 12.33 percent in the year 2023, just a slight dip from the all-time high of 12.51 percent in 2022. By 2024, this had dropped to 1.92 percent. There are a number of ways in which European consumers are trying to save on food costs due to rising prices. The most popular way to deal with the rising food prices is to reduce at-home food waste. An average of about half of consumers in selected European countries stated that this is how they responded to the price increases. Other popular ways were to buy only the essentials or to purchase mostly store brands. Food inflation worldwide In 2022, Europe and Central Asia were the regions with the highest food inflation rates worldwide. The rate of food inflation in those regions was about 18 percent in 2022, which is more than twice as high as it was in the previous year. In Latin America and the Caribbean, the food inflation rate rose from 5.4 to 11.9 percent during the same period. When categorized by income classification, low-income countries have significantly higher food price inflation, as compared to lower-middle-, upper-middle-, and high-income countries. On average, low-income countries had a food price inflation rate of about 30 percent in 2023. The world average rate was at 6.5 percent. Zimbabwe was the country with the highest level of real food inflation worldwide. The southern African country experienced a food inflation of approximately 46 percent in 2024. This was more than two times as high as in any other country in the world.

The inflation rate in the European Union was 2.7 percent in December 2024, a significant decline from the high-point reached in October 2022 of 11.5 percent, the highest rate of inflation recorded in the provided time period. Before 2021, the inflation rate in the EU peaked at 4.4 percent in July 2008 and was lowest in January 2015, when prices were shrinking by 0.5 percent. Currently, Romania has the highest inflation rate among EU member states at 5.5 percent, while Ireland has the lowest inflation rate, at 0.1 percent. What is causing high inflation? Many factors have come together at the same time to drive the rise in prices currently being felt across Europe. Although the demand side of the economy returned quite quickly after the COVID-19 restrictions of 2020, global supply chains are yet to catch up. In particular, energy and food prices have increased due to this bottleneck, especially after Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022. As of March 2022, the inflation rate for energy was 40.2 percent in the EU and was 5.9 percent for food.

The UK inflation rate was three percent in January 2025, up from 2.5 percent in the previous month, and the fastest rate of inflation since March 2024. Between September 2022 and March 2023, the UK experienced seven months of double-digit inflation, which peaked at 11.1 percent in October 2022. Due to this long period of high inflation, UK consumer prices have increased by over 20 percent in the last three years. As of the most recent month, prices were rising fastest in the communications sector, at 6.1 percent, but were falling in both the furniture and transport sectors, at -0.3 percent and -0.6 percent respectively.
The Cost of Living Crisis High inflation is one of the main factors behind the ongoing Cost of Living Crisis in the UK, which, despite subsiding somewhat in 2024, is still impacting households going into 2025. In December 2024, for example, 56 percent of UK households reported their cost of living was increasing compared with the previous month, up from 45 percent in July, but far lower than at the height of the crisis in 2022. After global energy prices spiraled that year, the UK's energy price cap increased substantially. The cap, which limits what suppliers can charge consumers, reached 3,549 British pounds per year in October 2022, compared with 1,277 pounds a year earlier. Along with soaring food costs, high-energy bills have hit UK households hard, especially lower income ones that spend more of their earnings on housing costs. As a result of these factors, UK households experienced their biggest fall in living standards in decades in 2022/23. Global inflation crisis causes rapid surge in prices The UK's high inflation, and cost of living crisis in 2022 had its origins in the COVID-19 pandemic. Following the initial waves of the virus, global supply chains struggled to meet the renewed demand for goods and services. Food and energy prices, which were already high, increased further in 2022. Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 brought an end to the era of cheap gas flowing to European markets from Russia. The war also disrupted global food markets, as both Russia and Ukraine are major exporters of cereal crops. As a result of these factors, inflation surged across Europe and in other parts of the world, but typically declined in 2023, and approached more usual levels by 2024.

Inflation Rate in the United Kingdom decreased to 2.80 percent in February from 3 percent in January of 2025. This dataset provides - United Kingdom Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Average weekly earnings for the whole economy, for total and regular pay, in real terms (adjusted for consumer price inflation), UK, monthly, seasonally adjusted.

Key information about EU Consumer Price Index CPI growth

• EU Consumer Price Index (CPI) growth was measured at 2.7 % YoY in Feb 2025, compared with a rate of 2.8 % in the previous month.
• EU Consumer Price Index growth data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1997 to Feb 2025, with an averaged number of 2.4 % YoY.
• The data reached an all-time high of 11.5 % YoY in Oct 2022 and a record low of -0.6 % YoY in Jan 2015.

CEIC calculates Consumer Price Index Growth from monthly Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices. Eurostat provides Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices with base 2015=100. Consumer Price Index Growth prior to December 2000 is calculated from Consumer Price Index with base 2005=100 that includes United Kingdom. European Union stands for EU27 excluding UK. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Across the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the European Union, gross domestic products (GDP) decreased in 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, by 2021, growth rates were positive in all four areas again. The United Kingdom, Germany, and the European Union all experiencing slow economic growth in 2023 amid high inflation, with Germany even seeing an economic recession. GDP and its components GDP refers to the total market value of all goods and services that are produced within a country per year. It is composed of government spending, consumption, business investments and net exports. It is an important indicator to measure the economic strength of a country. Economists rely on a variety of factors when predicting future performance of the GDP. Inflation rate is one of the economic indicators providing insight into the future behavior of households, which make up a significant proportion of GDP. Projections are based on the past performance of such information. Future considerations Some factors can be more easily predicted than others. For example, projections of the annual inflation rate of the United States are easy to come by. However, the intensity and impact of something like Brexit is difficult to predict. Moreover, the occurrence and impact of events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia's war in Ukraine is difficult to foresee. Hence, actual GDP growth may be higher or lower than the original estimates.

There are a number of differences between the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) and Retail Prices Index (RPI), including their coverage, population base, commodity measurement and methods of construction. Combined, these differences have meant that, for most of its history, the CPI has been lower than the RPI. One of the main reasons to this difference is the method of construction at the lowest level, where different formulae are used in the CPI and RPI to combine individual prices. This difference is usually referred to as the formula effect. This article will investigate similar formula effects present in the inflation measures of other countries, and where necessary will attempt to explain why the magnitude of the formula effect experienced by other countries differs from that of the UK.

Source agency: Office for National Statistics

Designation: National Statistics

Language: English

Alternative title: International Comparison

This dataset provides values for WAGE GROWTH reported in several countries. The data includes current values, previous releases, historical highs and record lows, release frequency, reported unit and currency.

In January 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 21 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at 0.5 percent in January 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 9.9 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

The aim is to forecast the chief components of inflation (such as changes in fuel prices, food prices and prices of durable goods) for the USA, UK and South Africa, and to test whether the weighted sum of the component forecasts gives a more accurate overall forecast for inflation, than simply forecasting overall inflation itself. In the long run, the ratios of these prices to the overall consumer price index have altered because of technological changes and globalization, among other factors. For example, the prices of internationally traded consumer goods have fallen relative to prices of services. By building separate models for the components, the long-run information in the data and specific economic features likely to drive each component can be exploited. These models will test for asymmetries, such as the tendency of petrol prices to respond faster to rises than to falls in oil prices. The models should help better understand the causes of overall inflation through understanding the inflation trends of the underlying sectors. Modelling the components separately should also highlight where interest rate policy could be effective, and where other policies such as competition policy or price regulation might have complementary benefits.

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Europe Commercial Real Estate Market Size 2025-2029

The Europe commercial real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 91.4 billion at a CAGR of 5.7% between 2024 and 2029.

The European commercial real estate market is experiencing significant growth, with increasing private investment flowing into the region. This trend is driven by a number of factors, including the economic stability of European countries, attractive yields compared to other global markets, and the continued demand for urban space. However, this growth is not without challenges. 
One major concern is the rising interest rates, which have the potential to increase borrowing costs for investors and potentially dampen demand. Despite this, opportunities abound for companies seeking to capitalize on the market's dynamics. For instance, there is a growing demand for sustainable real estate, as well as a shift towards alternative asset classes such as student housing, healthcare real estate, and hospitality real estate.
To navigate this complex landscape effectively, companies must stay informed of the latest trends and challenges, and be prepared to adapt their strategies accordingly. Overall, the European commercial real estate market offers significant opportunities for growth, but also requires a strategic and agile approach to succeed.

What will be the Size of the Europe Commercial Real Estate Market during the forecast period?

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The European commercial real estate market encompasses a diverse landscape of travel-restriction resilient sectors, including warehouses and fulfillment centers catering to the in e-commerce spending. Urbanization continues to drive demand for adaptable office spaces in metro cities, with a growing emphasis on sustainable designs and technology-driven solutions. The commercial sector is undergoing digitalization, with brokers and managers leveraging media portals to streamline transactions and enhance client experiences. The hybrid work model is shaping office occupancy trends, as middle-class consumers and the working-age population adapt to flexible work arrangements. Foreign investments remain strong, particularly in sectors like logistics and data centers.
Vacancy rates, rental rates, absorption rates, and property valuations are closely monitored indicators of market health. Architects and engineers are tasked with designing spaces that accommodate the evolving needs of businesses, from flexible layouts to energy efficiency. Overall, the European commercial real estate market exhibits activity and growth, with trends leaning towards digitalization, sustainability, and adaptability.

How is this market segmented?

The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Type

  Rental
  Lease
  Sales


End-user

  Offices
  Retail
  Leisure
  Others


Geography

  Europe

    France
    Germany
    Italy
    UK

By Type Insights

The rental segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. The European commercial real estate market is experiencing a significant shift, with the rental segment leading the way in 2024. Office rental growth in Europe accelerated to 1.8% quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2022, resulting in an annual increase of over 5%. Notably, the UK, Benelux markets, and peripheral Europe experienced the highest growth rates. However, investment markets are showing caution, as buyers hesitate to pay earlier price levels due to economic uncertainties, inflation, and finance rates. Urbanization and social distancing measures continue to impact commercial real estate, driving the need for adaptable office spaces and sustainable designs. The commercial sector is also undergoing digitalization, with technology-driven solutions, smart building technology, and data analytics gaining popularity.

Additionally, e-commerce spending and changing customer behavior are leading to increased demand for warehouses, fulfillment centers, and logistics facilities. The Middle-class consumers and the working-age population's digitization of work further fuel the demand for managed office facilities, collaborative spaces, and digital infrastructure. Key trends include hybrid work patterns, energy-efficient features, green building certifications, and sustainable construction methods.

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The rental segment was valued at USD billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Market Dynamics

The Europe commercial real estate market is diverse, encompassing a wide range of property types, from office space leasing to industrial warehouse sites. Retail property deals and urban retail units remain a signifi

Hotels and short-term accommodation providers in Europe enjoy strong demand due to the continent’s well-developed tourism sector and significant number of holiday destinations that cater to various consumer needs. European residents often holiday domestically or go on trips to other European countries due to how quick and easy it is to travel to them. Rising domestic and international tourism fuelled accommodation demand prior to the COVID-19 outbreak, but travel restrictions then decimated revenue. Revenue is slated to contract at a compound annual rate of 9.5% over the five years through 2024 to €187.9 billion, including an expected 3.2% drop in 2024. Despite the numerous popular holiday spots spread across Europe, including Spain, Italy and France, hotels and other holiday accommodation providers weren’t prepared for the catastrophic drop in tourism caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Strict restrictions on international travel decimated tourist numbers, with holiday accommodation sites forced to close for long periods in 2020. The easing of travel restrictions in 2021 and 2022 drove revenue back up, supported mostly by heightened domestic tourism due to heightened consumer confidence and a trend towards staycations. Since 2022, though, severe inflation and heightened economic and geopolitical uncertainty have squeezed consumers’ budgets and made them less confident of their financial prospects confidence, limiting spending on holidays. European hotels and short-term accommodation providers faces intense competition, putting pressure on prices and RevPAR. The growing popularity of online booking platforms like Airbnb has played a big part in increasing competitive pressures. To attract potential guests, accommodation providers are adopting dynamic pricing strategies and investing in enhancing the customer experience through innovation and differentiation. Revenue is forecast to swell at a compound annual rate of 2.9% over the five years through 2029 to €217 billion. A mounting number of international guests and strong demand for domestic holidays will drive growth. As consumer confidence improves and inflation edges back down to more normal levels, disposable income will climb, stimulating holiday spending. Hotels and short-term accommodation providers will continue to face competitive pressures as the popularity of short-term rental platforms grows, hindering revenue and profit.

Between January 2018 and February 2025, the United Kingdom's consumer price inflation rate showed notable volatility. The rate hit its lowest point at 0.5 percent in August 2020 and peaked at 9.6 percent in October 2022. By September 2024, inflation had moderated to 2.6 percent, but the following months saw inflation increase again. The Bank of England's interest rate policy closely tracked these inflationary trends. Rates remained low at 0.5-0.75 percent until April 2020, when they were reduced to 0.1 percent in response to economic challenges. A series of rate increases followed, reaching a peak of 5.25 percent from August 2023 to July 2024. The central bank then initiated rate cuts in August and November 2024, lowering the rate to 4.75 percent, signaling a potential shift in monetary policy. In February 2025, the Bank of England implemented another rate cut, setting the bank rate at 4.5 percent. Global context of inflation and interest rates The UK's experience reflects a broader international trend of rising inflation and subsequent central bank responses. From January 2022 to July 2024, advanced and emerging economies alike increased their policy rates to counter inflationary pressures. However, a shift began in late 2024, with many countries, including the UK, starting to lower rates. This change suggests a potential new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Comparison with other major economies The UK's monetary policy decisions align closely with those of other major economies. The United States, for instance, saw its federal funds rate peak at 5.33 percent in August 2023, mirroring the UK's rate trajectory. Similarly, central bank rates in the EU all increased drastically between 2022 and 2024. These synchronized movements reflect the global nature of inflationary pressures and the coordinated efforts of central banks to maintain economic stability. As with the UK, both the U.S. and EU began considering rate cuts in late 2024, signaling a potential shift in the global economic landscape.

From 2003 to 2025, the central banks of the United States, United Kingdom, and European Union exhibited remarkably similar interest rate patterns, reflecting shared global economic conditions. In the early 2000s, rates were initially low to stimulate growth, then increased as economies showed signs of overheating prior to 2008. The financial crisis that year prompted sharp rate cuts to near-zero levels, which persisted for an extended period to support economic recovery. The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 led to further rate reductions to historic lows, aiming to mitigate economic fallout. However, surging inflation in 2022 triggered a dramatic policy shift, with the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank significantly raising rates to curb price pressures. As inflation stabilized in late 2023 and early 2024, the ECB and Bank of England initiated rate cuts by mid-2024, and the Federal Reserve also implemented its first cut in three years, with forecasts suggesting a gradual decrease in all major interest rates between 2025 and 2026. Divergent approaches within the European Union While the ECB sets a benchmark rate for the Eurozone, individual EU countries have adopted diverse strategies to address their unique economic circumstances. For instance, Hungary set the highest rate in the EU at 13 percent in September 2023, gradually reducing it to 6.5 percent by October 2024. In contrast, Sweden implemented more aggressive cuts, lowering its rate to 2.25 percent by February 2025, the lowest among EU members. These variations highlight the complex economic landscape that European central banks must navigate, balancing inflation control with economic growth support. Global context and future outlook The interest rate changes in major economies have had far-reaching effects on global financial markets. Government bond yields, for example, reflect these policy shifts and investor sentiment. As of June 2024, the United States had the highest 10-year government bond yield among developed economies at 4.09 percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at 0.69 percent. These rates serve as important benchmarks for borrowing costs and economic expectations worldwide.