The benchmark interest rate in the United Kingdom was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides - United Kingdom Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Over 2021 the most commonly traded interest rate derivatives on the London Stock Exchange were three month futures for British pounds, of varying expiration dates. This was followed by futures on the euro interbank offered rate (Euribor), and then futures on the Sterling Overnight Interbank Average Rate (SONIA).

Interest rate futures are essentially a contact that fixes the interest rate on a loan or deposit for a period of time in the future, which (in the case of this statistic) is then tradable on a stock exchange. The type of future relates the underlying reference interest rate (LIBOR in the case of Sterling futures, or Eurobor, or SONIA).

Policy interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are forecasted to decrease gradually between 2024 and 2027, following exceptional increases triggered by soaring inflation between 2021 and 2023. The U.S. federal funds rate stood at **** percent at the end of 2023, the European Central Bank deposit rate at **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate at **** percent. With inflationary pressures stabilizing, policy interest rates are forecast to decrease in each observed region. The U.S. federal funds rate is expected to decrease to *** percent, the ECB refi rate to **** percent, the Bank of England bank rate to **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate to **** percent by 2025. An interesting aspect to note is the impact of these interest rate changes on various economic factors such as growth, employment, and inflation. The impact of central bank policy rates The U.S. federal funds effective rate, crucial in determining the interest rate paid by depository institutions, experienced drastic changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The subsequent slight changes in the effective rate reflected the efforts to stimulate the economy and manage economic factors such as inflation. Such fluctuations in the federal funds rate have had a significant impact on the overall economy. The European Central Bank's decision to cut its fixed interest rate in June 2024 for the first time since 2016 marked a significant shift in attitude towards economic conditions. The reasons behind the fluctuations in the ECB's interest rate reflect its mandate to ensure price stability and manage inflation, shedding light on the complex interplay between interest rates and economic factors. Inflation and real interest rates The relationship between inflation and interest rates is critical in understanding the actions of central banks. Central banks' efforts to manage inflation through interest rate adjustments reveal the intricate balance between economic growth and inflation. Additionally, the concept of real interest rates, adjusted for inflation, provides valuable insights into the impact of inflation on the economy.

These data accompany the publication "Trends, Reversion, and Critical Phenomena in Financial Markets".

They contain daily data from Jan 1992 to Dec 2019 on 24 financial markets, namely

• 6 equity indices: S&P 500, TSE 60, DAX 30, FTSE 100, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng
• 6 Interest rates for government bonds: US 10-year, Canada 10-year, Germany 10-year, UK 10-year, Japan 10-year, Australia 3-year
• 6 FX rates: CAD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, JPY/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD
• 6 Commodities: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Gold, Copper, Soybeans, Live Cattle

The data are provided in 13 columns:

• Column 1: date
• Column 2: market
• Column 3: daily log return of futures on that market, normalized to have mean 0 and standard deviation 1 over the 28-year time period
• Columns 4-13: trend strengths in that market over 10 different time horizons of (2,4,8,16,32,64,128,256,512,1024) business days.

The trend strengths are defined in the accompanying paper. They are cut off at plus/minus 2.5. The daily log returns were computed from daily futures prices, rolled 5 days prior to first notice, which were taken from Bloomberg. The following mean returns and volatilites were used to normalize the daily log returns in column 3:

Market Mean St. Dev.

S&P 500 2.217% 1.100% TSE 60 2.416% 1.067% DAX 30 1.199% 1.366% FTSE 100 1.053% 1.103% Nikkei 225 -0.483% 1.486% Hang Seng 0.768% 1.674% US 10-year 3.734% 0.366% Can. 10-year 3.637% 0.376% Ger. 10-year 4.141% 0.337% UK 10-year 2.983% 0.419% Jap. 10-year 4.453% 0.249% Aus. 3-year 3.029% 0.074% CAD/USD 0.048% 0.479% EUR/USD -0.222% 0.619% GBP/USD 0.316% 0.597% JPY/USD -0.761% 0.667% AUD/USD 0.851% 0.725% NZD/USD 1.563% 0.724% Crude Oil 0.093% 2.243% Natural Gas -2.649% 2.985% Gold 0.580% 0.987% Copper 0.936% 1.586% Soybeans 0.631% 1.360% Live Cattle 0.483% 0.894%

Index Time Series for iShares $ Corp Bond Interest Rate Hedged UCITS ETF USD (Dist). The frequency of the observation is daily. Moving average series are also typically included. The investment objective of the Fund is to provide investors with a total return, taking into account both capital and income returns, which reflects the return of the Markit iBoxx USD Liquid Investment Grade Interest Rate Hedged Index. In order to achieve this investment objective, the investment policy of the Fund is to invest in a portfolio of fixed income securities that, as far as possible and practicable, consist of the component securities of the Markit iBoxx USD Liquid Investment Grade Index and US treasury bond futures contracts that, as far as possible and practicable, track the hedging methodology of the Markit iBoxx USD Liquid Investment Grade Interest Rate Hedged Index, this Fund"s Benchmark Index. The hedging methodology consists of selling US Treasury bond futures contracts in order to hedge the underlying US treasury bond yield risk.