In the United States, interest rates for all mortgage types started to increase in 2021. This was due to the Federal Reserve introducing a series of hikes in the federal funds rate to contain the rising inflation. In the second quarter of 2025, the 30-year fixed rate dropped slightly, to **** percent. The rate remained below the peak of **** percent in the fourth quarter of 2023. Why have U.S. home sales decreased? Cheaper mortgages normally encourage consumers to buy homes, while higher borrowing costs have the opposite effect. As interest rates increased in 2022, the number of existing homes sold plummeted. Soaring house prices over the past 10 years have further affected housing affordability. Between 2014 and 2024, the median price of an existing single-family home risen by about ** percent. On the other hand, the median weekly earnings have risen much slower. Comparing mortgage terms and rates Between 2008 and 2024, the average rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage in the United States stood between **** and **** percent. Over the same period, a 30-year mortgage term averaged a fixed-rate of between **** and **** percent. Rates on 15-year loan terms are lower to encourage a quicker repayment, which helps to improve a homeowner’s equity.

Mortgage interest rates in Europe soared in 2022 and remained elevated in the following two years. In many countries, this resulted in mortgage interest rates across the region more than doubling. In the first quarter of 2025, the average mortgage interest rate in the UK stood at **** percent. Spain had the lowest rate, at **** percent, while Poland had the highest, at *** percent. Why did mortgage interest rates increase? Mortgage rates have risen as a result of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate increase. The ECB increased its interest rates to tackle inflation. As inflation calms, the ECB is expected to cut rates, which allows mortgage lenders to reduce mortgage interest rates. What is the impact of interest rates on home buying? Lower interest rates make taking out a housing loan more affordable, and thus, encourage home buying. That can be seen in many countries across Europe: In France, the number of residential properties sold rose in the years leading up to 2021, and fell as interest rates increased. The number of houses sold in the UK followed a similar trend.

Mortgage rates surged at an unprecedented pace in 2022, with the average 10-year fixed rate doubling between March and December of that year. In response to mounting inflation, the Bank of England implemented a series of rate hikes, pushing borrowing costs steadily higher. By October 2025, the average 10-year fixed mortgage rate stood at **** percent. As financing becomes more expensive, housing demand has cooled, weighing on market sentiment and slowing house price growth. How have the mortgage hikes affected the market? After surging in 2021, the number of residential properties sold fell significantly in 2023, dipping to just above *** million transactions. This contraction in activity also dampened mortgage lending. Between the first quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, the value of new mortgage loans declined year-on-year for five consecutive quarters. Even as rates eased modestly in 2024 and housing activity picked up slightly, volumes remained well below the highs recorded in 2021. How are higher mortgages impacting homebuyers? For homeowners, the impact is being felt most acutely as fixed-rate deals expire. Mortgage terms in the UK typically range from two to ten years, and many borrowers who locked in historically low rates are now facing significantly higher repayments when refinancing. By the end of 2026, an estimated five million homeowners will see their mortgage deals expire. Roughly two million of these loans are projected to experience a monthly payment increase of up to *** British pounds by 2026, putting additional pressure on household budgets and constraining affordability across the market.

30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States decreased to 6.23 percent in November 26 from 6.26 percent in the previous week. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.

The USA home loan market is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2025 to 2033. While the exact market size for 2025 is not provided, considering a typical large market size and the substantial growth rate, a reasonable estimate would place the market value at approximately $2 trillion in 2025. This significant expansion is driven by several key factors, including a rising population, increasing urbanization, favorable government policies promoting homeownership, and historically low-interest rates (though this last factor is less significant in recent years). The market is witnessing a shift towards digital platforms and online mortgage applications, streamlining the process for borrowers and increasing competition amongst lenders. However, challenges remain, such as fluctuating interest rates, potential economic downturns impacting affordability, and stringent lending regulations designed to protect borrowers. The competitive landscape is dominated by major players like Rocket Mortgage, LoanDepot, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America, along with regional and independent mortgage lenders. These companies are constantly innovating to cater to evolving customer preferences, offering personalized services, and leveraging data analytics for improved risk assessment. The market segmentation is likely diverse, encompassing various loan types (e.g., fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, FHA, VA loans), loan amounts, and borrower demographics. Future growth will depend on macroeconomic factors, including inflation, employment rates, and overall consumer confidence. Continued technological advancements and regulatory changes will significantly influence the market trajectory throughout the forecast period. Key drivers for this market are: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Potential restraints include: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Notable trends are: Growth in Nonbank Lenders is Expected to Drive the Market.

Extreme weather, geopolitical conflicts, supply chain disruptions, and rising interest rates all directly affect U.S. agriculture, which may in turn affect banks that make agricultural loans. Demand for loans from ag banks could rise following events that reduce net farm income or increase banks’ ability to reprice loans, such as supply chain disruptions or higher interest rates. But competition with other banks and nonbank financial institutions may offset some of these benefits.

Graph and download economic data for Bank Prime Loan Rate Changes: Historical Dates of Changes and Rates (PRIME) from 1955-08-04 to 2025-10-30 about prime, loans, interest rate, banks, depository institutions, interest, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for 15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE15US) from 1991-08-30 to 2025-11-26 about 15-year, mortgage, fixed, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Month Jan 2022 Feb 2022 Mar 2022 Apr 2022 May 2022 Jun 2022 Jul 2022 Aug 2022 Sep 2022 Oct 2022 Nov 2022 Dec 2022 Jan 2023 Feb 2023 Mar 2023 Apr 2023 May 2023 Jun 2023 Jul 2023 Aug 2023 Sep 2023 Oct 2023 Nov 2023 Dec 2023 Jan 2024 Feb 2024 Mar 2024 Apr 2024 May 2024 Jun 2024 Jul 2024 Aug 2024 Sep 2024 Oct 2024 Nov 2024 Dec 2024 Jan 2025 Feb 2025 Mar 2025 Apr 2025 May 2025 Jun 2025 Jul 2025 Aug 2025 Sep 2025 Oct 2025 Avg Rate 3.20% 3.50% 3.86% 4.31% 4.91% 5.23% 5.46% 5.42% 5.45% 5.99% 6.52% 6.43% 6.25% 6.08% 6.28% 6.30% 6.27% 6.42% 6.57% 6.71% 6.90% 7.08% 7.29% 7.02% 6.58% 6.46% 6.61% 6.67% 6.85% 6.79% 6.70% 6.47% 6.15% 5.98% 6.27% 6.44% 6.53% 6.61% 6.48% 6.40% 6.48% 6.57% 6.53% 6.43% 6.23% 6.14%

The mortgage interest rate in Germany decreased notably between 2013 and 2022, falling below *** percent. This was part of an overall trend of falling mortgage interest rates in Europe. The mortgage interest rate in Germany has since increased to *** percent in the first quarter of 2025. The German mortgage market In Europe, Germany is the second-largest mortgage market, with a total value of mortgages outstanding amounting to nearly *** trillion euros. Mortgage loans are one of the oldest bank products. Among the factors that influence mortgage interest rates are inflation, economic growth, monetary policies, the bond market, the stability of lenders, and the overall conditions of the housing market. Mortgage loans The higher cost of borrowing has a significant effect on the market: While the interest rates were at their lowest, mortgage lending was on the rise. In 2023, when the rates reached a 10-year-high, the quarterly gross mortgage lending fell to the lowest value since 2014. Meanwhile, house prices have also increased substantially in recent years. According to the House Price Index in Germany, between 2015 and 2024, house prices increased by nearly ** percent.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Snapshot img { margin: 10px !important; } About Housing Mortgage Mortgage is a debt instrument that the borrower is obliged to pay back with a fixed set of payments and is secured by the collateral of a specified real estate property. Mortgages enable individuals and businesses to make large real estate purchases without paying the entire value of the purchase in one go. Borrowers repay the loan along with interest over a period of many years until they eventually own the property free and clear. However, if borrowers stop paying the mortgage, the lender can foreclose and may evict the property’s owner and sell it, using the income from the sale to clear the mortgage debt. In a fixed-rate mortgage system, borrowers pay the same interest rate for the life of the loan. Most fixed-rate mortgages have a 15 or 30-year term. There is no influence on borrowers’ payment if market interest rates rise. However, if market interest rates decline significantly, borrowers may be able to secure that lower rate by means of refinancing the mortgage. TechNavio's analysts forecast the Housing Mortgage market in the US to grow at a CAGR of 1.75 percent over the period 2013-2018.Covered in this Report This report covers the present scenario and the growth prospects of the Housing Mortgage market in the US for the period 2014-2018. To calculate the market size, the report considers the loan volume of primary housing mortgage banks, credit unions, and financial institutions. It takes into consideration the various product segments such as Home Purchase, Home Improvement, and Refinancing. The report mentions the role played by Federal Government by the way of government-sponsored enterprises operating in the system. TechNavio's report, the Housing Mortgage Market in the US 2014-2018, has been prepared based on an in-depth market analysis with inputs from industry experts. The report covers the US; it also covers the landscape of the Housing Mortgage market in the US and its growth prospects in the coming years. The report also includes a discussion of the key vendors operating in this market.Key Regions • USKey Vendors • Bank of America • Citigroup • JPMorgan Chase • U.S. Bancorp • Wells FargoOther Prominent Vendors • Ally Financial • Capital One Financial • Fifth Third Bancorp • Flagstar Bank, FSB • SunTrust Banks • Quicken Loans • Regions FinancialMarket Driver • Improved Demand for Home Loans • For a full, detailed list, view our reportMarket Challenge • Shrinking Lending Capacity • For a full, detailed list, view our reportMarket Trend • Less Incidence of Foreclosures • For a full, detailed list, view our reportKey Questions Answered in this Report • What will the market size be in 2018 and what will the growth rate be? • What are the key market trends? • What is driving this market? • What are the challenges to market growth? • Who are the key vendors in this market space? • What are the market opportunities and threats faced by the key vendors? • What are the strengths and weaknesses of the key vendors?

Exploiting variation in the timing of resets of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), we find that a sizable decline in mortgage payments (up to 50 percent) induces a significant increase in car purchases (up to 35 percent). This effect is attenuated by voluntary deleveraging. Borrowers with lower incomes and housing wealth have significantly higher marginal propensity to consume. Areas with a larger share of ARMs were more responsive to lower interest rates and saw a relative decline in defaults and an increase in house prices, car purchases, and employment. Household balance sheets and mortgage contract rigidity are important for monetary policy pass-through.

The Japan Mortgage/Loan Brokers Market, valued at ¥5.20 billion in 2025, is projected to experience steady growth with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.92% from 2025 to 2033. This growth is driven primarily by increasing urbanization, a rising young population entering the housing market, and government initiatives aimed at boosting homeownership. Low interest rates in recent years have also stimulated mortgage demand. However, fluctuating economic conditions and potential regulatory changes pose challenges. The market is segmented by mortgage loan type (conventional, jumbo, government-insured, and others), loan terms (15, 20, and 30-year mortgages, and others), interest rates (fixed and adjustable), and provider (primary and secondary lenders). Major players include prominent Japanese financial institutions like the Bank of Japan, Bank of China (with significant operations in Japan), Suruga Bank, SMBC Trust Bank, Shinsei Bank, and several international banks with a presence in the Japanese market. The market's future trajectory will likely depend on the effectiveness of government policies supporting homeownership, the stability of the Japanese economy, and the adaptability of brokers to evolving technological advancements in financial services. Competition among brokers is expected to intensify, pushing for innovation in services and digital platforms to attract customers. The dominance of established financial institutions in the market highlights the need for smaller brokers to establish strong partnerships or differentiate themselves through specialized services. While the 30-year mortgage remains a significant segment, growing awareness of financial prudence and shorter-term financial goals could lead to increased demand for 15 and 20-year mortgage options. The increasing adoption of online platforms and fintech solutions is also anticipated to transform how mortgage brokerage services are delivered, potentially impacting the operational models of traditional players. Analyzing trends in interest rates and their correlation with overall market growth will be crucial for predicting future market performance. The impact of macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and unemployment, will also play a significant role in influencing mortgage demand and consequently, the growth of the brokerage market. Recent developments include: In March 2024, Leading Japanese online stocks broker Matsui Stocks Co., Ltd. established a partnership with global fintech firm Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. to boost its stock lending business via Broadridge's cloud-based SaaS post-trade processing technology., In July 2023, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group and Morgan Stanley expanded their 15-year-old partnership. At their joint brokerage operations, the Japanese and American institutions have decided to work together more closely on forex trading, as well as on researching and selling Japanese stocks to institutional investors.. Key drivers for this market are: Increase in demand for Financial Home Loan Solutions, Increased Accessibility to Loan Broker Services. Potential restraints include: Increase in demand for Financial Home Loan Solutions, Increased Accessibility to Loan Broker Services. Notable trends are: Consistent level of interest rate and Increasing Real Estate price affecting Japan's Mortgage/Loan Broker Market..

Context

The Federal Reserve sets interest rates to promote conditions that achieve the mandate set by the Congress — high employment, low and stable inflation, sustainable economic growth, and moderate long-term interest rates. Interest rates set by the Fed directly influence the cost of borrowing money. Lower interest rates encourage more people to obtain a mortgage for a new home or to borrow money for an automobile or for home improvement. Lower rates encourage businesses to borrow funds to invest in expansion such as purchasing new equipment, updating plants, or hiring more workers. Higher interest rates restrain such borrowing by consumers and businesses.

Content

This dataset includes data on the economic conditions in the United States on a monthly basis since 1954. The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds (balances held at Federal Reserve Banks) with each other overnight. The rate that the borrowing institution pays to the lending institution is determined between the two banks; the weighted average rate for all of these types of negotiations is called the effective federal funds rate. The effective federal funds rate is determined by the market but is influenced by the Federal Reserve through open market operations to reach the federal funds rate target. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year to determine the federal funds target rate; the target rate transitioned to a target range with an upper and lower limit in December 2008. The real gross domestic product is calculated as the seasonally adjusted quarterly rate of change in the gross domestic product based on chained 2009 dollars. The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a seasonally adjusted percentage of the labor force. The inflation rate reflects the monthly change in the Consumer Price Index of products excluding food and energy.

Acknowledgements

The interest rate data was published by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' economic data portal. The gross domestic product data was provided by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis; the unemployment and consumer price index data was provided by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Inspiration

How does economic growth, unemployment, and inflation impact the Federal Reserve's interest rates decisions? How has the interest rate policy changed over time? Can you predict the Federal Reserve's next decision? Will the target range set in March 2017 be increased, decreased, or remain the same?

The housing market has been booming, with mortgage lending growing, but the recent hike interest rate rise threatens to stop the residential property market in its tracks.

Fixed 30-year mortgage rates in the United States averaged 6.40 percent in the week ending November 21 of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The global home loan market is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 7% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is driven by several key factors. Firstly, a consistently increasing global population, coupled with urbanization trends, fuels a persistent demand for housing. Secondly, favorable government policies in many regions, including subsidized interest rates and tax incentives for homebuyers, stimulate market activity. Furthermore, the rising disposable incomes in several developing economies are empowering more individuals to access home loans, contributing to market expansion. Innovative financial products, such as online loan applications and flexible repayment options offered by both traditional banks and fintech companies, are further accelerating market growth. Competition among providers, including banks, housing finance companies, and other financial institutions, is also driving innovation and affordability. However, the market faces certain restraints. Fluctuations in interest rates represent a significant challenge, impacting borrowing costs and consequently consumer demand. Economic downturns and periods of high inflation can also dampen market sentiment and reduce borrowing activity. Regulatory changes and stringent lending criteria in certain jurisdictions might restrict access to credit for some potential borrowers. Geopolitical instability and regional economic disparities also influence market growth, with some regions experiencing faster growth than others. The segmentation of the market by provider (banks dominating, followed by housing finance companies and others), interest rate type (fixed vs. floating), and loan tenure (with longer-term loans exhibiting higher demand) reveals opportunities for targeted marketing and product development. The leading companies, including Bank of America, Goldman Sachs (Marcus), and several international and regional players, are leveraging these trends to expand their market share. The geographical distribution of the market, with significant regional variations reflecting varying economic conditions and housing markets, presents diverse investment and growth opportunities. Recent developments include: September 2022: Citigroup Inc said it has slightly trimmed its mortgage workforce, due to an internal streamlining of functions.Less than 100 positions were affected.September 2022: Bank of America is launching a new mortgage product that would allow first-time homebuyers to purchase a home with no down payment, no mortgage insurance and zero closing costs.It will not require a minimum credit score and will instead consider other factors for eligibility.. Key drivers for this market are: Real Estate Market Trends, Government Policies. Potential restraints include: Real Estate Market Trends, Government Policies. Notable trends are: Turkey has the Highest Mortgage Interest Rate.

The benchmark interest rate in Sweden was last recorded at 1.75 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Sweden Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Rates have been trending downward in Canada for the last five years. The ebbs and flows are caused by changes in Canada’s bond yields (driven by Canadians economic developments and international rate movements, particularly U.S. rate fluctuations) and the overnight rate (which is set by the Bank of Canada). As of August 2022, there has been a 225 bps increase in the prime rate, since beginning of year 2022, from 2.45% to 4.70% as of Aug 24th 2022. The following are the historical conventional mortgage rates offered by the 6 major chartered banks in Canada in the past 20 years.