This graph show how interest rates hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve affect gold's price. While gold underperforms during the period leading up to rate hikes, its performance improves during the year after the interest rates increase.

Gold fell to 4,110.63 USD/t.oz on October 24, 2025, down 0.38% from the previous day. Over the past month, Gold's price has risen 9.62%, and is up 49.61% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Gold - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on October of 2025.

Gold prices surged to a historic high as investors bet on Fed rate cuts, with analysts forecasting further gains driven by economic uncertainty and strong demand.

Explore the factors affecting gold prices, including inflation, interest rates, supply and demand dynamics, currency fluctuations, and geopolitical events, and learn how these elements influence gold's value in the global market.

Permutable AI’s Gold Intelligence dataset (XAU) tracks the drivers of gold prices, from Federal Reserve interest rate policy and inflation trends to central bank buying and geopolitical risk. Advanced story signal detection identifies new narratives, sentiment shifts, and sustained coverage that move gold markets. With structured historical data and real-time sentiment analytics, traders and institutions can forecast gold price movements and hedge risk effectively. Delivered through the Co-Pilot API, gold market intelligence is available with millisecond latency.

Gold Bullion Market Outlook

According to our latest research, the global gold bullion market size reached USD 248.5 billion in 2024, and it is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.7% during the forecast period, reaching approximately USD 373.4 billion by 2033. This healthy growth trajectory is primarily attributed to the increasing demand for safe-haven assets amid global economic uncertainties, rising geopolitical tensions, and a persistent appetite for portfolio diversification among both institutional and individual investors. The gold bullion market continues to benefit from its reputation as a reliable store of value, particularly during periods of inflation and currency depreciation, as per our comprehensive market analysis for 2025.

One of the most significant growth factors for the gold bullion market is the heightened volatility and uncertainty in global financial markets. Investors, both retail and institutional, are increasingly turning towards gold bullion as a hedge against inflation, currency fluctuations, and geopolitical risks. The persistent low-interest-rate environment, coupled with concerns over sovereign debt and fiscal imbalances in major economies, has further fueled the demand for physical gold. Central banks, especially in emerging markets, have been augmenting their gold reserves to diversify away from the US dollar and other fiat currencies, providing a strong and sustained impetus to the gold bullion market.

Another key driver propelling the gold bullion market is the growing accessibility and innovation in distribution channels. The proliferation of online platforms and digital gold investment products has democratized access to gold bullion, enabling a broader base of individual investors to participate in the market. This trend is further amplified by the introduction of fractional gold ownership, secure storage solutions, and transparent pricing mechanisms, which have collectively enhanced investor confidence and convenience. Additionally, the rise of gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other financial instruments has expanded the avenues for gold investment, reinforcing the market’s growth momentum.

Sustainability and ethical sourcing concerns are also shaping the gold bullion market landscape. Increasing awareness about responsible mining practices and the environmental and social impact of gold extraction has led to the emergence of certified, conflict-free bullion products. Regulatory initiatives and industry-led standards, such as the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) Responsible Gold Guidance, are driving transparency and traceability across the supply chain. These developments are not only addressing investor concerns but also attracting a new segment of environmentally and socially conscious buyers, further supporting market expansion.

From a regional perspective, the Asia Pacific region remains the dominant force in the gold bullion market, driven by robust demand in countries like China and India, where gold holds deep cultural and economic significance. North America and Europe also represent substantial market shares, supported by strong institutional investment and central bank activity. Meanwhile, the Middle East & Africa and Latin America are emerging as important markets, buoyed by rising wealth levels, favorable regulatory environments, and increasing financial inclusion. The regional diversity in demand drivers underscores the global appeal and resilience of the gold bullion market.

Product Type Analysis

The gold bullion market is segmented by product type into bars, coins, rounds, and others, each catering to distinct investor preferences and use cases. Gold bars, often regarded as the standard investment vehicle for institutional buyers and high-net-worth individuals, account for the largest share of the market. Their appeal lies in their high purity, lower premiums over spot prices, and ease of storage and transport, making them the preferred choice for those seeking to make substantial investments in physical

Gold Loan Market Outlook

The global gold loan market size was valued at approximately USD 140 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 260 billion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7%. This substantial growth is driven by factors such as increasing awareness and acceptance of gold loans, the rising price of gold, and the need for quick and easy financing solutions. Gold loans have become an increasingly popular financial instrument, especially in regions where gold holds cultural and economic significance.

One of the primary growth factors for the gold loan market is the rising price of gold. As gold prices increase, the value of collateral used in gold loans also rises, making it an attractive option for both lenders and borrowers. Additionally, economic uncertainties and volatile financial markets have led individuals and businesses to seek safer investment options, further enhancing the appeal of gold loans. This has driven significant growth in the market as more people turn to gold as a reliable asset for securing loans.

Another significant growth driver is the increasing awareness and acceptance of gold loans among various demographics. Traditionally, gold loans were more popular in rural areas, but over the past few years, there has been a noticeable shift in urban and semi-urban regions as well. Financial institutions and fintech companies have played a crucial role in educating consumers about the benefits of gold loans, including lower interest rates compared to other unsecured loans, quick disbursement, and minimal documentation requirements. This broader acceptance has contributed to the market's expansion.

Moreover, the technological advancements in the financial sector have streamlined the gold loan process, making it more accessible and convenient for borrowers. Online platforms and mobile applications have simplified the application and approval processes, reducing the time and effort required to obtain a gold loan. This technological integration has not only enhanced customer experience but also expanded the reach of gold loan services to a larger audience, including tech-savvy millennials and business owners seeking faster financing options.

Regionally, the Asia Pacific region dominates the gold loan market, largely due to the cultural significance of gold in countries like India and China. The region's market is expected to continue its dominance, driven by the increasing demand for gold loans from both individuals and businesses. In contrast, regions such as North America and Europe are witnessing moderate growth, primarily due to the rising acceptance and awareness of gold loans as viable financial instruments. The Middle East & Africa and Latin America regions are also showing promising potential, with increasing market penetration and strategic partnerships among financial institutions.

Type Analysis

The gold loan market can be segmented into two main types: short-term gold loans and long-term gold loans. Short-term gold loans are typically preferred by individuals and businesses seeking quick financing solutions to meet immediate financial needs. These loans usually have a repayment period ranging from a few days to a few months. The demand for short-term gold loans is driven by the need for fast cash flow, minimal documentation, and the ability to repay the loan within a short period. Moreover, the shorter repayment tenure reduces the risk for lenders, making it an attractive option for financial institutions.

On the other hand, long-term gold loans are aimed at borrowers who require a more extended repayment period, typically ranging from one year to several years. These loans are often used for more substantial financial requirements such as business expansion, higher education, or significant personal expenses. The longer repayment period allows borrowers to manage their finances more effectively and provides them with the flexibility to repay the loan in manageable installments. The increasing demand for long-term gold loans is also driven by the rising price of gold, which enhances the value of collateral and provides borrowers with higher loan amounts.

Both short-term and long-term gold loans have their unique advantages and cater to different financial needs. Short-term gold loans are favored for their quick approval process and minimal documentation requirements, making them ideal for immediate financial needs. In contrast, long-term gold loans offer the benefit of larger loan amounts and extended repayment periods, making them suitable for signi

Gold prices, recently at $3,057.31, may drop to $1,820 due to supply-demand dynamics, interest rates, and new mines, says Morningstar's David Sekera.

As of April 2024, WisdomTree Core Physical Gold was the leading gold back exchange-traded commodity (ETC) listed on the London stock exchange, providing a return of 13 percent on euro investments annually. Invesco Physical Gold A followed closely in second place, providing a return of 12.86 percent on investments made in euros. What is an exchange-traded commodity? An exchange-traded commodity (ETC) is a commodity such as silver, wheat, oats, and gold traded on the stock exchange. Unlike exchange-traded funds (ETFs) which allows investment in a basket of securities, ETCs allow investment in a single commodity. Gold-backed ETCs aim to track the spot price of gold. This results in the price of the ETC moving up and down in correlation with the underlying gold price. The annual return rate The return on investment (ROI) is a way to measure the performance of an investment. The ROI is calculated by dividing the amount gained or lost from an investment by the original invested amount. This number is then represented as a percentage. Different gains and losses can be generated on foreign investments due to changes in the value of the security in foreign markets. If the local home currency of an investor is rising in value, this leads to lower returns on foreign investments. Similarly, a decreasing home currency will increase the returns on foreign investments. The difference in currency performance, inflation levels in the home market or abroad, and interest rates are all factors that can lead to differing ROI rates.

Historical dataset of the 12 month LIBOR rate back to 1986. The London Interbank Offered Rate is the average interest rate at which leading banks borrow funds from other banks in the London market. LIBOR is the most widely used global "benchmark" or reference rate for short term interest rates.

Context:

The dataset is a detailed collection of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) price information, spanning two decades from 2004 to 2024. It’s designed to give a full picture of gold price movements, from quick changes every 5 minutes to broader shifts seen in monthly trends. Each entry tells a story, showing the highs, lows, opening, and closing prices of gold, plus the volume of trades at that time. By including data across various intervals—like 5-minute, 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, daily, weekly, and monthly—it captures both the subtle ripples and the big waves in the market. This makes it not just numbers on a spreadsheet but a look into how gold's value has danced through global economic events, investor moods, and market shifts over these years. It's perfect for anyone who wants to dig deep into gold's journey, understand its patterns, and maybe even find clues for what might come next. The volume data adds another layer, revealing how much interest and activity there was behind each price move, making it a rich resource for traders and enthusiasts alike.

Gold prices surged to their highest in a year amid global market volatility and a weakened US dollar, influenced by Trump's new import tariffs affecting major trading partners.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Gold Price Outlook: S&P GSCI Gold index Faces Volatility Amidst Economic Uncertainties

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Gold Loan Market Market size is growing at a moderate pace with substantial growth rates over the last few years and is estimated that the market will grow significantly in the forecasted period i.e. 2024 to 2030.

Global Gold Loan Market Drivers

The market drivers for the Gold Loan Market can be influenced by various factors. These may include:

Easy Access to Credit: Gold loans provide quick access to funds without extensive credit checks, making them attractive for individuals with limited credit history or poor credit scores. Liquidity Solution: Gold loans offer a liquid asset (gold) as collateral, providing lenders with security and borrowers with immediate cash flow solutions. Flexible Loan Terms: Borrowers can typically choose flexible repayment terms and loan amounts based on the value of the gold pledged as collateral. Lower Interest Rates: Compared to unsecured loans, gold loans often have lower interest rates due to the collateralization of the loan, making them a cost-effective borrowing option. Minimal Documentation: The documentation requirements for gold loans are generally simpler and less stringent compared to other types of loans, reducing processing time and hassle for borrowers. Financial Inclusion: Gold loans cater to a wide range of borrowers, including those in rural and semi-urban areas who may not have access to traditional banking services. Emergency Funding: Gold loans are often used for emergencies, such as medical expenses, business needs, or sudden financial crises, providing a quick source of funds. Stable Asset Value: Gold is considered a stable and valuable asset, providing assurance to lenders and reducing the risk associated with loan defaults. Cultural and Social Factors: In many cultures, gold is considered a valuable asset and holds sentimental value, encouraging its use as collateral for loans. Regulatory Support: Favorable regulatory frameworks and government policies supporting gold-backed lending practices can stimulate growth in the gold loan market.

According to Cognitive Market Research, the Global Gold Bullion Market size was USD 53154.2 million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.60% from 2024 to 2031.

North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 21261.68 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.4%from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 15946.26 million.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 12225.47 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.6% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 2657.71 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.6%from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD 1063.08 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.3% from 2024 to 2031.
The gold bars category is the fastest growing segment of the Gold Bullion industry

Market Dynamics of Gold Bullion Market

Key Drivers for Gold Bullion Market

Growing Interest In Safe-Haven Investments To Boost Market Growth

Concerns about inflation, geopolitical unrest, and economic instability are the main causes of the increased interest in safe-haven investments in the gold bullion market. Gold is seen as a trustworthy store of value by investors who are looking for stability during market turbulence. This tendency is further supported by central banks' growing gold reserves, which demonstrate their faith in gold as a hedge against exchange rate swings. Furthermore, it has become more accessible and appealing to a wider spectrum of investors due to the growth of digital gold and gold-backed investment products. This change emphasizes gold's continued allure as a hedge against volatile financial markets. For Instance, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited ("Agnico Eagle" or the "Company") and Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd. ("Kirkland Lake Gold") announced that they have entered into an agreement (the "Merger Agreement") to merge in a merger of equals (the "Merger"), with the combined company to continue under the name "Agnico Eagle Mines Limited" (the "Merger"). The merger will establish the new Agnico Eagle as the gold industry's highest-quality senior producer, with the lowest unit costs, largest profits, most favorable risk profile, and industry-leading best practices in key environmental, social, and governance ("ESG") categories.

Growing Demand In Emerging Markets For Gold To Drive Market Growth

An expanding middle class, rising wealth, and rising disposable incomes are driving the increased demand for gold in emerging nations. The consumption of jewellery and investments in gold bullion is rising significantly in nations with strong cultural ties to gold, such as China and India. Furthermore, these markets see gold as a safe-haven asset due to inflation worries and economic uncertainty. Participation in the gold market is further improved by the growth of financial literacy and the availability of gold investment products like ETFs and internet platforms. This pattern emphasizes how significant gold is in emerging economies as a representation of security and riches.

Restraint Factor for the Gold Bullion Market

Expenses for security and storage

Investors are quite concerned about the rising costs of storage and security in the gold bullion market. The price of securely storing and safeguarding actual gold rises in tandem with the demand for it. To protect their funds from loss or theft, investors need to account for costs associated with safe deposit boxes, insurance, and monitoring services. Regulations may also call for more stringent security measures, which would raise expenses even further. Potential investors may be put off by these costs, especially those with tighter budgets. They may instead choose alternative investment vehicles such as gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which don't need to be physically stored.

Limited Liquidity in Large Transactions

While gold is generally considered a liquid asse...

Statistics on annual transaction volume of commodities - Interest rate type (futures exchange)

As of September 2023, NBFCs dominated the gold loan market with a 61 percent market share. Banks, on the other hand, held only 39 percent of market share. Indian population has traditionally relied on gold as a means of investment. The country is the second-largest importer of gold in the world. Banks and non-banking financial companies are currently the major players in offering secured loans with gold as collateral. Process of taking a gold loan To apply for a gold loan, a borrower usually approaches these institutions, which is followed by a purity check of gold to evaluate its market value. A borrower usually keeps their gold ranging from 18 to 24 carats with the lender for getting credit. The interest rates on gold loans can range between 7.35 percent to 29 percent per annum, depending on the bank. Gold’s present market value called the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, usually fixed by the Reserve bank of India determines the amount a consumer is eligible to get against gold. New digital players Online gold loan options are increasingly being offered; however, a customer is still required to visit the bank or NBFC branch for depositing the gold and its purity check. But a large part of the gold loan market is still unorganized, leaving customers exposed to high-interest rates. Certain fintech startups are now entering the market space offering services with lower interest, flexible EMIs, and door-to-door delivery and pickup. The entry of new players in this traditional marketplace is expected to increase the penetration rate of the gold loan market.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index: A Beacon of Precious Metal Value?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Gold Bullion Market Outlook 2032

The global gold bullion market size was USD 50 Billion in 2023 and is likely to reach USD 133 Billion by 2032, expanding at a CAGR of 10.6% during 2024–2032. The market growth is attributed to the relative stability of gold investments.



Increasing economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions are fueling the market. Investors are turning to gold as an asset, due to its inherent value and stability. The growing interest of central banks are leading them to expand their gold reserves. This allows them to diversify their holdings and reduce their dependence on the US dollar.

The growing popularity of gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is propelling the market. These investments provide investors with exposure to the price movements of gold without the need to physically store the precious metal. The convenience and ease of investing in gold ETFs are attracting a new generation of investors, spurring the market.

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  According to a January 2024 report published by the World Gold Council, the total value of global gold ETFs rose by 6% to USD 2.4 Billion. This rise was due to a 15% hike in gold prices during 2023.

  
  

Impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Gold Bullion Market

The use of artificial intelligence (AI) is likely to provide substantial propulsion to the gold bullion market. It is enhancing the efficiency and accuracy of gold trading with algorithms. These algorithms rapidly analyze vast amounts of data to make real-time trading decisions. This leads to increasingly profitable trades and reduces the risk of human error.


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This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

IAU:TSX i-80 Gold Corp.

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data