In the United States, interest rates for all mortgage types started to increase in 2021. This was due to the Federal Reserve introducing a series of hikes in the federal funds rate to contain the rising inflation. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the 30-year fixed rate rose slightly, to **** percent. Despite the increase, the rate remained below the peak of **** percent in the same quarter a year ago. Why have U.S. home sales decreased? Cheaper mortgages normally encourage consumers to buy homes, while higher borrowing costs have the opposite effect. As interest rates increased in 2022, the number of existing homes sold plummeted. Soaring house prices over the past 10 years have further affected housing affordability. Between 2013 and 2023, the median price of an existing single-family home risen by about ** percent. On the other hand, the median weekly earnings have risen much slower. Comparing mortgage terms and rates Between 2008 and 2023, the average rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage in the United States stood between **** and **** percent. Over the same period, a 30-year mortgage term averaged a fixed-rate of between **** and **** percent. Rates on 15-year loan terms are lower to encourage a quicker repayment, which helps to improve a homeowner’s equity.

Mortgage interest rates in Europe soared in 2022 and remained elevated in the following two years. In many countries, this resulted in interest rates more than doubling. In the UK, the average mortgage interest rate rose from **** percent in 2020 to **** percent in 2023, before falling to **** in 2024. Why did mortgage interest rates increase? Mortgage rates have risen as a result of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate increase. The ECB increased its interest rates to tackle inflation. As inflation calms, the ECB is expected to cut rates, which allows mortgage lenders to reduce mortgage interest rates. What is the impact of interest rates on home buying? Lower interest rates make taking out a housing loan more affordable, and thus, encourage homebuying. That can be seen in many countries across Europe: In France, the number of residential properties sold rose in the years leading up to 2021, and fell as interest rates increased. The number of houses sold in the UK followed a similar trend.

CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Good Time: Rising Interest Rates data was reported at 13.000 % in May 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 16.000 % for Apr 2018. CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Good Time: Rising Interest Rates data is updated monthly, averaging 6.000 % from Feb 1978 (Median) to May 2018, with 467 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 26.000 % in Dec 1994 and a record low of 0.000 % in Nov 2012. CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Good Time: Rising Interest Rates data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H036: Consumer Sentiment Index: Home Buying and Selling Conditions. The question was: Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to buy a house? Responses to the query 'Why do you say so?'

House prices grew year-on-year in most states in the U.S. in the third quarter of 2024. The District of Columbia was the only exception, with a decline of ***** percent. The annual appreciation for single-family housing in the U.S. was **** percent, while in Hawaii—the state where homes appreciated the most—the increase exceeded ** percent. How have home prices developed in recent years? House price growth in the U.S. has been going strong for years. In 2024, the median sales price of a single-family home exceeded ******* U.S. dollars, up from ******* U.S. dollars five years ago. One of the factors driving house prices was the cost of credit. The record-low federal funds effective rate allowed mortgage lenders to set mortgage interest rates as low as *** percent. With interest rates on the rise, home buying has also slowed, causing fluctuations in house prices. Why are house prices growing? Many markets in the U.S. are overheated because supply has not been able to keep up with demand. How many homes enter the housing market depends on the construction output, whereas the availability of existing homes for purchase depends on many other factors, such as the willingness of owners to sell. Furthermore, growing investor appetite in the housing sector means that prospective homebuyers have some extra competition to worry about. In certain metros, for example, the share of homes bought by investors exceeded ** percent in 2024.

CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Bad Time: Interest Rates High data was reported at 1.000 % in May 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.000 % for Apr 2018. CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Bad Time: Interest Rates High data is updated monthly, averaging 5.000 % from Nov 1992 (Median) to May 2018, with 307 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 19.000 % in Oct 2008 and a record low of 1.000 % in May 2018. CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Bad Time: Interest Rates High data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H036: Consumer Sentiment Index: Home Buying and Selling Conditions. The question was: Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to sell a house? Responses to the query 'Why do you say so?'

The USA home loan market is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2025 to 2033. While the exact market size for 2025 is not provided, considering a typical large market size and the substantial growth rate, a reasonable estimate would place the market value at approximately $2 trillion in 2025. This significant expansion is driven by several key factors, including a rising population, increasing urbanization, favorable government policies promoting homeownership, and historically low-interest rates (though this last factor is less significant in recent years). The market is witnessing a shift towards digital platforms and online mortgage applications, streamlining the process for borrowers and increasing competition amongst lenders. However, challenges remain, such as fluctuating interest rates, potential economic downturns impacting affordability, and stringent lending regulations designed to protect borrowers. The competitive landscape is dominated by major players like Rocket Mortgage, LoanDepot, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America, along with regional and independent mortgage lenders. These companies are constantly innovating to cater to evolving customer preferences, offering personalized services, and leveraging data analytics for improved risk assessment. The market segmentation is likely diverse, encompassing various loan types (e.g., fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, FHA, VA loans), loan amounts, and borrower demographics. Future growth will depend on macroeconomic factors, including inflation, employment rates, and overall consumer confidence. Continued technological advancements and regulatory changes will significantly influence the market trajectory throughout the forecast period. Key drivers for this market are: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Potential restraints include: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Notable trends are: Growth in Nonbank Lenders is Expected to Drive the Market.

United States CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Relative: Interest Rates data was reported at 20.000 % in May 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 21.000 % for Apr 2018. United States CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Relative: Interest Rates data is updated monthly, averaging 34.000 % from Feb 1978 (Median) to May 2018, with 467 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 76.000 % in Dec 1998 and a record low of -81.000 % in Nov 1981. United States CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Relative: Interest Rates data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H036: Consumer Sentiment Index: Home Buying and Selling Conditions. The question was: Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to buy a house? Responses to the query 'Why do you say so?'

30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States increased to 6.72 percent in July 10 from 6.67 percent in the previous week. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.

United States CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Good Time: Interest Rates Low data was reported at 30.000 % in May 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 32.000 % for Apr 2018. United States CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Good Time: Interest Rates Low data is updated monthly, averaging 43.000 % from Feb 1978 (Median) to May 2018, with 467 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 78.000 % in Jun 1986 and a record low of 1.000 % in Oct 1981. United States CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Good Time: Interest Rates Low data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H036: Consumer Sentiment Index: Home Buying and Selling Conditions. The question was: Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to buy a house? Responses to the query 'Why do you say so?'

United States CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Bad Time: Interest Rates High data was reported at 10.000 % in May 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 11.000 % for Apr 2018. United States CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Bad Time: Interest Rates High data is updated monthly, averaging 8.000 % from Feb 1978 (Median) to May 2018, with 467 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 83.000 % in Nov 1981 and a record low of 1.000 % in Jul 2003. United States CSI: Home Buying Conditions: Bad Time: Interest Rates High data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H036: Consumer Sentiment Index: Home Buying and Selling Conditions. The question was: Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to buy a house? Responses to the query 'Why do you say so?'

The US residential real estate market, a cornerstone of the American economy, is projected to experience steady growth over the next decade. While the provided CAGR of 2.04% is a modest figure, it reflects a market maturing after a period of significant expansion. This sustained growth is driven by several key factors. Firstly, population growth and urbanization continue to fuel demand for housing, particularly in densely populated areas and emerging suburban markets. Secondly, low interest rates (historically, though this can fluctuate) have made mortgages more accessible, stimulating buyer activity. Thirdly, a robust construction sector, though facing challenges in material costs and labor shortages, is gradually increasing the housing supply, mitigating some of the upward pressure on prices. However, challenges remain. Rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes pose a risk to affordability, potentially dampening demand. Furthermore, the ongoing evolution of remote work is reshaping residential preferences, with a shift toward larger homes in suburban or exurban locations. This trend impacts the relative demand for various property types, potentially increasing the appeal of landed houses and villas compared to apartments and condominiums in certain regions. The segmentation of the market into apartments/condominiums and landed houses/villas provides crucial insights into consumer preferences and investment strategies. High-density urban areas will continue to see strong demand for apartments and condos, while suburban and rural areas are likely to experience a greater increase in landed property sales. Major players like Simon Property Group, Mill Creek Residential, and others are strategically adapting to these trends, focusing on both development and management across various property types and geographic locations. Analyzing regional data within the US (e.g., comparing growth in the Northeast versus the Southwest) will highlight market nuances and potential investment opportunities. While the global data provided is valuable for understanding broader market forces, focusing the analysis on the US market allows for a more granular understanding of the specific drivers, trends, and challenges within this significant segment of the real estate sector. The forecast period (2025-2033) suggests continued, albeit measured, expansion. Recent developments include: May 2022: Resource REIT Inc. completed the sale of all of its outstanding shares of common stock to Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust Inc. for USD 14.75 per share in an all-cash deal valued at USD 3.7 billion, including the assumption of the REIT's debt., February 2022: The largest owner of commercial real estate in the world and private equity company Blackstone is growing its portfolio of residential rentals and commercial properties in the United States. The company revealed that it would shell out about USD 6 billion to buy Preferred Apartment Communities, an Atlanta-based real estate investment trust that owns 44 multifamily communities and roughly 12,000 homes in the Southeast, mostly in Atlanta, Nashville, Charlotte, North Carolina, and the Florida cities of Jacksonville, Orlando, and Tampa.. Key drivers for this market are: Investment Plan Towards Urban Rail Development. Potential restraints include: Italy’s Fragmented Approach to Tenders. Notable trends are: Existing Home Sales Witnessing Strong Growth.

Soaring interest rates are filtering through to the housing market, with lenders raising mortgage rates and pulling deals. What effect is this having on the housing market?

After a period of record-low mortgage interest rates, the cost of mortgage borrowing in Germany surged in 2022. In 2019, mortgage rates declined notably, falling as low as **** percent in December 2020. This downward trend reversed in 2021, as mortgage rates started to gradually pick up. Five-to-ten-year mortgage loans had the lowest rates in March 2025 at **** percent, while floating rate mortgages up to one year were the most expensive at **** percent. Mortgages with over **-year fixed period – the most popular loan type among homebuyers — had an interest rate of **** percent. Why did mortgage rates in Germany increase? In 2022, the annual inflation rate in Germany experienced a swift rise, prompting the central bank to raise interest rates to counter this surge. The European Central Bank (ECB) is responsible for determining Germany's central bank interest rate. In July 2022, following a prolonged period of stability, the average interest rates in Germany began a steady rise, which persisted consistently thereafter.  This increase is intended to stabilize prices, but it also means higher borrowing costs for those seeking mortgages. Downturn in Germany's home loan borrowing From 2022 onward, the gross residential mortgage lending in Germany fell dramatically. Besides the higher interest rates, the downturn can be explained by the slowed pace of economic growth, which makes individuals and businesses more cautious about big investments such as buying a home. Additionally, the German housing market suffers a chronic undersupply, meaning that homebuyers often struggle to find an affordable home to purchase.

In May 29, 2019, FHFA published its final Monthly Interest Rate Survey (MIRS), due to dwindling participation by financial institutions. MIRS had provided information on a monthly basis on interest rates, loan terms, and house prices by property type (all, new, previously occupied); by loan type (fixed- or adjustable-rate), and by lender type (savings associations, mortgage companies, commercial banks and savings banks); as well as information on 15-year and 30-year, fixed-rate loans. Additionally, MIRS provided quarterly information on conventional loans by major metropolitan area and by Federal Home Loan Bank district, and was used to compile FHFA’s monthly adjustable-rate mortgage index entitled the “National Average Contract Mortgage Rate for the Purchase of Previously Occupied Homes by Combined Lenders,” also known as the ARM Index.

United States CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Relative: Interest Rates data was reported at 9.000 % in May 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 10.000 % for Apr 2018. United States CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Relative: Interest Rates data is updated monthly, averaging 11.000 % from Nov 1992 (Median) to May 2018, with 307 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 34.000 % in May 2003 and a record low of -18.000 % in Oct 2008. United States CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Relative: Interest Rates data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H036: Consumer Sentiment Index: Home Buying and Selling Conditions. The question was: Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to sell a house? Responses to the query 'Why do you say so?'

United States CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Good Time: Interest Rates Low data was reported at 10.000 % in May 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 13.000 % for Apr 2018. United States CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Good Time: Interest Rates Low data is updated monthly, averaging 15.000 % from Nov 1992 (Median) to May 2018, with 307 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 37.000 % in May 2003 and a record low of 0.000 % in Sep 2009. United States CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Good Time: Interest Rates Low data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H036: Consumer Sentiment Index: Home Buying and Selling Conditions. The question was: Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to sell a house? Responses to the query 'Why do you say so?'

The mortgage credit interest rate is the average interest rate on mortgage loan products offered to individuals and households by the commercial banks in the country. The mortgage credit is a loan used to finance the purchase of real estate. The table shows the latest available data from the national authorities as well as the values from three months ago and one year ago. The data are updated continuously.

Mortgage Rate in Sweden decreased to 3.03 percent in May from 3.13 percent in April of 2025. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Sweden Average Interest Rate on New Agreements for Mortgages to Households.

Spain Housing Market Indicators: Interest Rate for Loans to Households for House Purchase data was reported at 2.180 % pa in May 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.210 % pa for Apr 2018. Spain Housing Market Indicators: Interest Rate for Loans to Households for House Purchase data is updated monthly, averaging 4.920 % pa from Jan 1989 (Median) to May 2018, with 353 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 17.050 % pa in Jan 1991 and a record low of 2.050 % pa in Dec 2017. Spain Housing Market Indicators: Interest Rate for Loans to Households for House Purchase data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Spain. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Spain – Table ES.EB003: Housing Market Indicators.

Mortgage Loan Service Market Outlook

The global mortgage loan service market size was valued at approximately $10.5 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $18.2 trillion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.1% during the forecast period. The growth of this market is driven by the increasing urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and favorable government policies aimed at promoting homeownership across various regions. Additionally, the proliferation of digital banking and fintech solutions has made mortgage services more accessible, further contributing to the market's expansion.

One of the primary growth factors for the mortgage loan service market is the significant rise in housing demand globally. As urban populations swell and economic conditions improve, more individuals and families are seeking to purchase homes, driving the need for mortgage loans. This trend is particularly evident in emerging markets, where urbanization is occurring at an unprecedented rate. Governments are also playing a crucial role by implementing policies and grants to make housing more affordable, thereby boosting mortgage adoption.

Technological advancements are another significant factor propelling the mortgage loan service market. The integration of AI, big data analytics, and blockchain technology has revolutionized the way mortgage services are delivered. These technologies streamline application processes, enhance risk assessment, and improve customer service, making it easier and faster for consumers to secure loans. Fintech companies, in particular, are leveraging these technologies to offer more competitive rates and personalized loan products, thereby attracting a broader customer base.

Furthermore, the increasing participation of non-banking financial institutions (NBFIs) and credit unions has diversified the mortgage loan service market. These entities often provide more flexible and innovative loan products compared to traditional banks, meeting the needs of a more varied clientele. NBFIs and credit unions also tend to have more lenient approval processes, making them an attractive option for individuals with non-traditional income sources or lower credit scores. This diversification is contributing significantly to the market's growth.

Mortgage Loans Software is playing an increasingly pivotal role in the evolution of the mortgage loan service market. As the industry embraces digital transformation, software solutions are being developed to streamline the entire mortgage process, from application to approval. These software platforms facilitate better data management, enhance customer experience, and improve operational efficiency for service providers. By automating routine tasks and providing real-time analytics, Mortgage Loans Software helps lenders make more informed decisions, reduce processing times, and minimize errors. This technological advancement is not only beneficial for lenders but also empowers borrowers by offering them greater transparency and control over their mortgage journey.

Regionally, North America continues to dominate the mortgage loan service market due to its well-established financial infrastructure and high homeownership rates. However, the Asia Pacific region is expected to register the fastest growth during the forecast period, driven by rapid urbanization, rising incomes, and government initiatives aimed at affordable housing. Countries like China and India are particularly noteworthy due to their large and growing middle-class populations.

Type Analysis

The mortgage loan service market is segmented by type into fixed-rate mortgages, adjustable-rate mortgages, interest-only mortgages, reverse mortgages, and others. Fixed-rate mortgages are the most popular type, offering borrowers the stability of a constant interest rate over the life of the loan. This makes them particularly attractive in times of low-interest rates, as borrowers can lock in favorable terms for the long term. The predictability of monthly payments also makes fixed-rate mortgages a preferred choice for many homeowners.

Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) offer lower initial interest rates compared to fixed-rate mortgages, making them an attractive option for borrowers who anticipate an increase in their income or plan to sell their property before the rate adjusts. However, the fluctuating interest rates can pose a risk, especially in volatile economic conditions. Despite this, the flexibility