House prices grew year-on-year in most states in the U.S. in the first quarter of 2025. Hawaii was the only exception, with a decline of **** percent. The annual appreciation for single-family housing in the U.S. was **** percent, while in Rhode Island—the state where homes appreciated the most—the increase was ******percent. How have home prices developed in recent years? House price growth in the U.S. has been going strong for years. In 2025, the median sales price of a single-family home exceeded ******* U.S. dollars, up from ******* U.S. dollars five years ago. One of the factors driving house prices was the cost of credit. The record-low federal funds effective rate allowed mortgage lenders to set mortgage interest rates as low as *** percent. With interest rates on the rise, home buying has also slowed, causing fluctuations in house prices. Why are house prices growing? Many markets in the U.S. are overheated because supply has not been able to keep up with demand. How many homes enter the housing market depends on the construction output, whereas the availability of existing homes for purchase depends on many other factors, such as the willingness of owners to sell. Furthermore, growing investor appetite in the housing sector means that prospective homebuyers have some extra competition to worry about. In certain metros, for example, the share of homes bought by investors exceeded ** percent in 2025.

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Description:

A simple yet challenging project, to predict the housing price based on certain factors like house area, bedrooms, furnished, nearness to mainroad, etc. The dataset is small yet, it's complexity arises due to the fact that it has strong multicollinearity. Can you overcome these obstacles & build a decent predictive model?

Acknowledgement:

Harrison, D. and Rubinfeld, D.L. (1978) Hedonic prices and the demand for clean air. J. Environ. Economics and Management 5, 81–102. Belsley D.A., Kuh, E. and Welsch, R.E. (1980) Regression Diagnostics. Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity. New York: Wiley.

Objective:

• Understand the Dataset & cleanup (if required).
• Build Regression models to predict the sales w.r.t a single & multiple feature.
• Also evaluate the models & compare thier respective scores like R2, RMSE, etc.

This dataset provides insights into the global housing market, covering various economic factors from 2015 to 2024. It includes details about property prices, rental yields, interest rates, and household income across multiple countries. This dataset is ideal for real estate analysis, financial forecasting, and market trend visualization.

📑 Column Descriptions

In the United States, interest rates for all mortgage types started to increase in 2021. This was due to the Federal Reserve introducing a series of hikes in the federal funds rate to contain the rising inflation. In the second quarter of 2025, the 30-year fixed rate dropped slightly, to **** percent. The rate remained below the peak of **** percent in the fourth quarter of 2023. Why have U.S. home sales decreased? Cheaper mortgages normally encourage consumers to buy homes, while higher borrowing costs have the opposite effect. As interest rates increased in 2022, the number of existing homes sold plummeted. Soaring house prices over the past 10 years have further affected housing affordability. Between 2014 and 2024, the median price of an existing single-family home risen by about ** percent. On the other hand, the median weekly earnings have risen much slower. Comparing mortgage terms and rates Between 2008 and 2024, the average rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage in the United States stood between **** and **** percent. Over the same period, a 30-year mortgage term averaged a fixed-rate of between **** and **** percent. Rates on 15-year loan terms are lower to encourage a quicker repayment, which helps to improve a homeowner’s equity.

House Price Prediction Dataset.

The dataset contains 2000 rows of house-related data, representing various features that could influence house prices. Below, we discuss key aspects of the dataset, which include its structure, the choice of features, and potential use cases for analysis.

1. Dataset Features

The dataset is designed to capture essential attributes for predicting house prices, including:

Area: Square footage of the house, which is generally one of the most important predictors of price. Bedrooms & Bathrooms: The number of rooms in a house significantly affects its value. Homes with more rooms tend to be priced higher. Floors: The number of floors in a house could indicate a larger, more luxurious home, potentially raising its price. Year Built: The age of the house can affect its condition and value. Newly built houses are generally more expensive than older ones. Location: Houses in desirable locations such as downtown or urban areas tend to be priced higher than those in suburban or rural areas. Condition: The current condition of the house is critical, as well-maintained houses (in 'Excellent' or 'Good' condition) will attract higher prices compared to houses in 'Fair' or 'Poor' condition. Garage: Availability of a garage can increase the price due to added convenience and space. Price: The target variable, representing the sale price of the house, used to train machine learning models to predict house prices based on the other features.

2. Feature Distributions

Area Distribution: The area of the houses in the dataset ranges from 500 to 5000 square feet, which allows analysis across different types of homes, from smaller apartments to larger luxury houses. Bedrooms and Bathrooms: The number of bedrooms varies from 1 to 5, and bathrooms from 1 to 4. This variance enables analysis of homes with different sizes and layouts. Floors: Houses in the dataset have between 1 and 3 floors. This feature could be useful for identifying the influence of multi-level homes on house prices. Year Built: The dataset contains houses built from 1900 to 2023, giving a wide range of house ages to analyze the effects of new vs. older construction. Location: There is a mix of urban, suburban, downtown, and rural locations. Urban and downtown homes may command higher prices due to proximity to amenities. Condition: Houses are labeled as 'Excellent', 'Good', 'Fair', or 'Poor'. This feature helps model the price differences based on the current state of the house. Price Distribution: Prices range between $50,000 and $1,000,000, offering a broad spectrum of property values. This range makes the dataset appropriate for predicting a wide variety of housing prices, from affordable homes to luxury properties.

3. Correlation Between Features

A key area of interest is the relationship between various features and house price: Area and Price: Typically, a strong positive correlation is expected between the size of the house (Area) and its price. Larger homes are likely to be more expensive. Location and Price: Location is another major factor. Houses in urban or downtown areas may show a higher price on average compared to suburban and rural locations. Condition and Price: The condition of the house should show a positive correlation with price. Houses in better condition should be priced higher, as they require less maintenance and repair. Year Built and Price: Newer houses might command a higher price due to better construction standards, modern amenities, and less wear-and-tear, but some older homes in good condition may retain historical value. Garage and Price: A house with a garage may be more expensive than one without, as it provides extra storage or parking space.

4. Potential Use Cases

The dataset is well-suited for various machine learning and data analysis applications, including:

House Price Prediction: Using regression techniques, this dataset can be used to build a model to predict house prices based on the available features. Feature Importance Analysis: By using techniques such as feature importance ranking, data scientists can determine which features (e.g., location, area, or condition) have the greatest impact on house prices. Clustering: Clustering techniques like k-means could help identify patterns in the data, such as grouping houses into segments based on their characteristics (e.g., luxury homes, affordable homes). Market Segmentation: The dataset can be used to perform segmentation by location, price range, or house type to analyze trends in specific sub-markets, like luxury vs. affordable housing. Time-Based Analysis: By studying how house prices vary with the year built or the age of the house, analysts can derive insights into the trends of older vs. newer homes.

5. Limitations and ...

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates and Price Indexes; Multi-Family Real Estate Apartment Price Index, Level (BOGZ1FL075035403A) from 1985 to 2024 about multifamily, real estate, family, interest rate, interest, rate, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Compare UK interest rates and mortgage rates alongside house prices. Interactive charts showing the Bank of England base rate versus 2-year, 5-year, and SVR mortgage rates, with historical HPI trends.

House Price Index YoY in the United States decreased to 1.70 percent in September from 2.40 percent in August of 2025. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States FHFA House Price Index YoY.

Graph and download economic data for All-Transactions House Price Index for the United States (USSTHPI) from Q1 1975 to Q3 2025 about appraisers, HPI, housing, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Global house prices experienced a significant shift in 2022, with advanced economies seeing a notable decline after a prolonged period of growth. The real house price index (adjusted for inflation) for advanced economies peaked at nearly *** index points in early 2022 before falling to around ***** points by the second quarter of 2023. In the second quarter of 2025, the index reached ***** points. This represents a reversal of the upward trend that had characterized the housing market for roughly a decade. Likewise, real house prices in emerging economies declined after reaching a high of ***** points in the third quarter of 2021. What is behind the slowdown? Inflation and slow economic growth have been the primary drivers for the cooling of the housing market. Secondly, the growing gap between incomes and house prices since 2012 has decreased the affordability of homeownership. Last but not least, homebuyers in 2024 faced dramatically higher mortgage interest rates, further contributing to worsening sentiment and declining transactions. Some markets continue to grow While many countries witnessed a deceleration in house price growth in 2022, some markets continued to see substantial increases. Turkey, in particular, stood out with a nominal increase in house prices of over ** percent in the first quarter of 2025. Other countries that recorded a two-digit growth include North Macedonia and Russia. When accounting for inflation, the three countries with the fastest growing residential prices in early 2025 were North Macedonia, Portugal, and Bulgaria.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates and Price Indexes; Multi-Family Real Estate Apartment Price Index, Level (BOGZ1FL075035403Q) from Q4 1985 to Q2 2025 about multifamily, real estate, family, interest rate, interest, rate, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Mortgage interest rates in Czechia have experienced significant fluctuations over the past few years, reaching a peak of nearly *** percent in December 2022 before gradually declining. As of March 2025, the interest rate on new mortgages in the country amounted to **** percent, showing a slight decrease from the previous month. This trend in mortgage rates has occurred alongside substantial increases in housing prices. Housing market dynamics The changes in mortgage rates have gone hand in hand with notable shifts in the Czech housing market. Despite the high-interest rates, new mortgage lending reached over 18 million Czech koruna in December 2024, marking a significant increase from the same month in the previous year. This growth in lending has continued despite the steady rise in housing prices, with the house price index reaching ***** in the third quarter of 2024. This marks a significant increase from the 2015 baseline, reflecting the ongoing upward trend. The average purchase price per square meter for family houses increasing across the country. In 2023, Prague recorded the highest average price at ******* Czech koruna per square meter. Construction sector trends The construction sector in Czechia has shown its response to these market conditions. The index of multi-dwelling building construction fluctuated recently, with 2024 showing a slight decrease to **** index points compared to the previous year. However, regarding non-residential buildings, the construction has been continuously growing since 2018 with hotels and industrial buildings accounting for the majority of new non-residential constructions.

Based on panel error correction models for a sample of up to 21 countries this paper analyses the macroeconomic determinants of house prices and rents. In accordance with the existing literature I find significantly positive effects of per capita income and bank lending on house prices, whereas the housing stock per capita and interest rates have negative effects. For rents the results are somewhat more remarkable, indicating that both the housing stock and interest rates have a negative effect. While contradicting conventional economic theory the latter finding might be explained by real estate investors exploiting their pricing power with varying degree depending on the level of real interest rates. Moreover, the estimated impact of interest rates on both house prices and rents varies with structural housing market characteristics. For instance, while interest rates have a more pronounced effect on house prices in countries with more developed mortgage markets, the same does not hold for the effect of interest rates on rents.

House prices in the UK rose dramatically during the coronavirus pandemic, with growth slowing down in 2022 and turning negative in 2023. The year-on-year annual house price change peaked at 14 percent in July 2022. In April 2025, house prices increased by 3.5 percent. As of late 2024, the average house price was close to 290,000 British pounds. Correction in housing prices: a European phenomenon The trend of a growing residential real estate market was not exclusive to the UK during the pandemic. Likewise, many European countries experienced falling prices in 2023. When comparing residential property RHPI (price index in real terms, e.g. corrected for inflation), countries such as Germany, France, Italy, and Spain also saw prices decline. Sweden, one of the countries with the fastest growing residential markets, saw one of the largest declines in prices. How has demand for UK housing changed since the outbreak of the coronavirus? The easing of the lockdown was followed by a dramatic increase in home sales. In November 2020, the number of mortgage approvals reached an all-time high of over 107,000. One of the reasons for the housing boom were the low mortgage rates, allowing home buyers to take out a loan with an interest rate as low as 2.5 percent. That changed as the Bank of England started to raise the base lending rate, resulting in higher borrowing costs and a decline in homebuyer sentiment.

Factors Affecting USA National Home Prices:

Overview:

This dataset contains a comprehensive collection of indicators which dictate the housing prices in the United States.

1. US Mortgage Rates:

• The average interest rates on mortgage loans in the United States.
• Used to track the cost of borrowing for housing and its impact on the real estate market.

2. Gross Domestic Product (GDP):

• The total monetary value of all goods and services produced within the United States during a specified period.
• A fundamental measure of economic performance, reflecting the overall economic health and growth trends of the country.

3. Unemployment Rates:

• The percentage of the labor force that is currently unemployed and actively seeking employment.
• A crucial indicator of labor market health and economic stability, influencing government policies and social welfare programs.

4. FED Funds Rate:

• The interest rate at which depository institutions lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight, as set by the Federal Reserve.
• This rate is a primary tool for monetary policy, influencing borrowing costs and, subsequently, overall economic activity.

5. Population Growth:

• The annual rate at which the U.S. population is changing, reflecting births, deaths, and migration.
• Offers insights into demographic trends, which have implications for labor force, consumer markets, and social services planning.

6. Consumer Price Index (CPI):

• A measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
• A key indicator for assessing inflation or deflation, influencing consumer spending behavior and economic policy decisions.

S&P Case-Shiller Housing Price Index (USA):

• Measures changes in the prices of residential real estate properties over time, offering insight into the health and trends of the housing market in the United States.
• Crucial for assessing the state of the housing market, including property values, trends, and their impact on the broader economy.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates and Price Indexes; Owner-Occupied Real Estate CoreLogic National Seasonally Adjusted by FRB Staff (SA), Level (BOGZ1FL075035243A) from 1975 to 2024 about real estate, interest rate, interest, price index, rate, indexes, price, and USA.

In May 29, 2019, FHFA published its final Monthly Interest Rate Survey (MIRS), due to dwindling participation by financial institutions. MIRS had provided information on a monthly basis on interest rates, loan terms, and house prices by property type (all, new, previously occupied); by loan type (fixed- or adjustable-rate), and by lender type (savings associations, mortgage companies, commercial banks and savings banks); as well as information on 15-year and 30-year, fixed-rate loans. Additionally, MIRS provided quarterly information on conventional loans by major metropolitan area and by Federal Home Loan Bank district, and was used to compile FHFA’s monthly adjustable-rate mortgage index entitled the “National Average Contract Mortgage Rate for the Purchase of Previously Occupied Homes by Combined Lenders,” also known as the ARM Index.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates and Price Indexes; Commercial Real Estate Price Index, Level (BOGZ1FL075035503A) from 1945 to 2024 about real estate, commercial, interest rate, interest, price index, rate, indexes, price, and USA.

The housing market has been booming, with mortgage lending growing, but the recent hike interest rate rise threatens to stop the residential property market in its tracks.

Graph and download economic data for All-Transactions House Price Index for Colorado (COSTHPI) from Q1 1975 to Q3 2025 about CO, appraisers, HPI, housing, price index, indexes, price, and USA.