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The benchmark interest rate in Australia was last recorded at 4.10 percent. This dataset provides - Australia Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
A comparison of the Australian target cash rate and the overnight interbank lending rate shows that, after around a decade of being identical, the economic impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic led to the actual overnight lending rate being lower than the Reserve Bank of Australia's target rate. This means that banks are lending to each other at lower rates than the "official" interest rate. One reason for this is the that the Reserve bank has made money available to banks in several new ways over this period (such as repo agreements where banks can pledge assets for short term funds), increasing liquidity in the banking system. As of May 2024, the overnight interbank cash rate and the target cash rate stood at 4.32 and 4.35 percent, respectively.
In January 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 21 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at 0.5 percent in January 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 9.9 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.
In a survey conducted in November 2024, around 60 percent of homeowners with a mortgage stated that they are prepared for mortgage interest rates to remain at the current level into next year before potential rate cuts start. In contrast, approximately 28 percent of homeowners and 22 percent of investors claimed that they were not.
The house price-to-income ratio in Australia was 122.1 as of the third quarter of 2024. This ratio, calculated by dividing nominal house prices by nominal disposable income per head, increased from the previous quarter. The price-to-income ratio can be used to measure housing affordability in a specific area. Australia's property bubble There has been considerable debate over the past decade about whether Australia is in a property bubble or not. A property bubble refers to a sharp increase in the price of property that is disproportional to income and rental prices, followed by a decline. In Australia, rising house prices have undoubtedly been an issue for many potential homeowners, pricing them out of the market. Along with the average house price, high mortgage interest rates have exacerbated the issue. Is the homeownership dream out of reach? Housing affordability has varied across the different states and territories in Australia. In 2024, the median value of residential houses was the highest in Sydney compared to other major Australian cities, with Brisbane becoming an increasingly expensive city. Nonetheless, expected interest rate cuts in 2025, alongside the expansion of initiatives to improve Australia's dwelling stock, social housing supply, and first-time buyer accessibility to properties, may start to improve the situation. These encompass initiatives such as the Australian government's Help to Buy scheme and the Housing Australia Future Fund Facility (HAFFF) and National Housing Accord Facility (NHAF) programs.
The Debt Collection industry's performance tends to improve when economic conditions are weak, as these factors can elevate business bankruptcies and cause more households to default on loans. On the other hand, a strong economy and tight lending practices can dampen debt collection agencies' performance. Households and businesses pay down debts when the economy is performing well, while tighter lending practices leads to better loans that are less likely to default.While economic conditions weakened in the COVID-19 outbreak's aftermath, the government provided businesses with assistance via stimulus measures to ensure that they could remain in operation. This factor dampened business bankruptcies during the pandemic, dulling demand for debt collection services. Long-term drops in business bankruptcies, the household debt to assets ratio and the ratio of credit card debt to discretionary income have cut into industry profit margins. Despite these trends, debt collection agencies are starting to recover. Inflationary pressures have been ramping up, and the RBA has been raising the cash rate consistently to combat this climb. Resulting rises in interest rates and the cost of borrowing have made it more likely for households and businesses to accumulate bad debt. Revenue is expected to fall at an annualised 7.1% to an estimated $1.2 billion over the five years through 2023-24. However, this trend includes an expected rise of 9.4% in 2023-24, as recovering demand for debt collection services has sparked improved performance.Debt collection agencies' performance is set to keep recovering over the next few years. Climbing interest rates will lift the ratio of interest payments to disposable income, making it more likely that downstream markets will seek out debt collection services. Agencies are also likely to improve their profit margins; many debt collectors are implementing process automation via web portals, which can improve productivity and automate communications functions like sending emails and messages. Growth opportunities are also on track to arise for debt collectors, as more companies will be outsourcing receivables management to specialists in the industry – particularly companies in the finance, insurance, banking and telecommunications sectors. Overall, revenue is forecast to climb at an annualised 1.1% to an estimated $1.3 billion over the five years through 2028-29, reflecting the industry's improved operating conditions.
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Australia 10Y Bond Yield was 4.51 percent on Wednesday March 26, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.
The Plumbing Goods Wholesaling industry's recent performance has been marked by significant volatility, largely influenced by fluctuations in the downstream residential market. Residential construction activity suffered during the pandemic owing to subdued net migration and lower dwelling commencements. The Federal Government's HomeBuilder stimulus and low interest rates temporarily buoyed trading conditions, boosting demand for plumbing goods across the home renovation market. However, capacity constraints and disrupted supply chains posed challenges, limiting the availability of these products. With the post-pandemic trading climate embroiled in inflation concerns and rising interest rates, demand for plumbing materials has softened considerably, compounded by elevated land costs and dwindling mortgage accessibility. Industry revenue is expected to shrink at an annualised 5.2% over the five years through 2024-25 to reach $6.0 billion. This includes an anticipated decline of 0.1% in the current year. Plumbing good wholesaling landscape has undergone significant shifts. Technological investments and automation have become pivotal to navigating rising wage and purchase costs, allowing major entities like Reece to sustain profit margins through enhanced operational efficiency and strategic acquisitions. However, smaller wholesalers have struggled with limited bargaining power, facing hurdles in securing attractive contracts and missing out on bulk purchase savings. Competitive pressures have intensified, manifesting in consolidation and strategic divestments, as highlighted by Fletcher Building's sale of Tradelink. Easy online price comparisons and direct sourcing from manufacturers have pushed traditional wholesalers to adapt, contributing to an increasingly homogeneous market where product differentiation becomes a critical survival strategy. Going forwards, a forecast resurgence in residential construction, lifted by potential interest rate cuts and stronger net migration, is set to drive demand for plumbing supplies. The National Housing Accord's target of building 1.2 million homes by 2028-29 could herald a construction boom, fostering increased activity for plumbing goods wholesalers. Government incentives promoting affordable housing, especially in high-density areas, are likely to amplify demand. Yet ongoing competitive pressures from wholesale bypass and retail giants expanding their reach pose threats to profit margins. Industry revenue is projected to hike at an annualised 2.3% over the five years through 2029-30, to $6.7 billion.
Retail property operators have endured highly volatile trading conditions in the past five years. Online shopping’s immense popularity has constrained demand for traditional bricks-and-mortar locations. This reduced demand for physical shopping has presented an issue for retail property operators despite a boost in overall demand for retail trade. With lower in-person sales, some retailers have reduced their instore presence and opted for an increased digital presence. This strategy minimises rent costs for these companies and minimises wage costs, as they no longer need to keep as many retail assistants on the books. Retailers have also had to contend with increasing interest rates, putting pressure on households and resulting in reduced spending on non-essential retailing. However, relief may be on the horizon as business confidence and consumer sentiment are forecast to recover. Some models imply that the worst inflation rates are behind us and that a rate cut may occur in early 2025. In the past, sustained periods of low interest rates have supported the development and supply of retail properties for operators to purchase and lease. However, these periods of affordable loans have given way to increased rates, stifling investment and reducing the number of new properties available. Compared to an abnormally low base year of 2019-20, industry revenue is expected to grow at an annualised 4.7% through the end of 2024-25 and total $42.7 billion, down by an anticipated 0.3% on the previous year. Profit margins have also declined alongside revenue. In the coming years, online shopping will continue to take market share from physical locations, reducing revenue for the Retail Property Operators industry by a forecast annualised 1.1% for the five years through 2029-30, leaving revenue at an estimated $40.4 billion. Retail property managers will be able to mitigate some of the impacts of online shopping growth by focusing on tenants that can’t sell their products or services online, like gyms, beauty salons or wine bars.
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Bank Bill Swap Rate in Australia remained unchanged at 4.11 percent on Wednesday March 26. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Australia Bank Bill Swap Rate.
In a survey conducted in 2022, 32 percent of homeowner mortgage holders stated that they felt that they would need to cut their living costs further in order to be able to afford higher interest rates in 2023. Conversely, 32 percent of investors with a mortgage felt that they were ahead on their loan repayments and had built a buffer, to be able to afford higher interest rates.
As of December 30, 2024, the major economy with the highest yield on 10-year government bonds was Turkey, with a yield of 27.38 percent. This is due to the risks investors take when investing in Turkey, notably due to high inflation rates potentially eradicating any profits made when using a foreign currency to investing in securities denominated in Turkish lira. Of the major developed economies, United States had one the highest yield on 10-year government bonds at this time with 4.59 percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at 0.27 percent. How does inflation influence the yields of government bonds? Inflation reduces purchasing power over time. Due to this, investors seek higher returns to offset the anticipated decrease in purchasing power resulting from rapid price rises. In countries with high inflation, government bond yields often incorporate investor expectations and risk premiums, resulting in comparatively higher rates offered by these bonds. Why are government bond rates significant? Government bond rates are an important indicator of financial markets, serving as a benchmark for borrowing costs, interest rates, and investor sentiment. They affect the cost of government borrowing, influence the price of various financial instruments, and serve as a reflection of expectations regarding inflation and economic growth. For instance, in financial analysis and investing, people often use the 10-year U.S. government bond rates as a proxy for the longer-term risk-free rate.
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Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The benchmark interest rate in Australia was last recorded at 4.10 percent. This dataset provides - Australia Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.