In the United States, interest rates for all mortgage types started to increase in 2021. This was due to the Federal Reserve introducing a series of hikes in the federal funds rate to contain the rising inflation. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the 30-year fixed rate rose slightly, to **** percent. Despite the increase, the rate remained below the peak of **** percent in the same quarter a year ago. Why have U.S. home sales decreased? Cheaper mortgages normally encourage consumers to buy homes, while higher borrowing costs have the opposite effect. As interest rates increased in 2022, the number of existing homes sold plummeted. Soaring house prices over the past 10 years have further affected housing affordability. Between 2013 and 2023, the median price of an existing single-family home risen by about ** percent. On the other hand, the median weekly earnings have risen much slower. Comparing mortgage terms and rates Between 2008 and 2023, the average rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage in the United States stood between **** and **** percent. Over the same period, a 30-year mortgage term averaged a fixed-rate of between **** and **** percent. Rates on 15-year loan terms are lower to encourage a quicker repayment, which helps to improve a homeowner’s equity.

Exploiting variation in the timing of resets of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), we find that a sizable decline in mortgage payments (up to 50 percent) induces a significant increase in car purchases (up to 35 percent). This effect is attenuated by voluntary deleveraging. Borrowers with lower incomes and housing wealth have significantly higher marginal propensity to consume. Areas with a larger share of ARMs were more responsive to lower interest rates and saw a relative decline in defaults and an increase in house prices, car purchases, and employment. Household balance sheets and mortgage contract rigidity are important for monetary policy pass-through.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates and Price Indexes; Multi-Family Real Estate Apartment Price Index, Level (BOGZ1FL075035403A) from 1985 to 2024 about multifamily, real estate, family, interest rate, interest, rate, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

House prices grew year-on-year in most states in the U.S. in the third quarter of 2024. The District of Columbia was the only exception, with a decline of ***** percent. The annual appreciation for single-family housing in the U.S. was **** percent, while in Hawaii—the state where homes appreciated the most—the increase exceeded ** percent. How have home prices developed in recent years? House price growth in the U.S. has been going strong for years. In 2024, the median sales price of a single-family home exceeded ******* U.S. dollars, up from ******* U.S. dollars five years ago. One of the factors driving house prices was the cost of credit. The record-low federal funds effective rate allowed mortgage lenders to set mortgage interest rates as low as *** percent. With interest rates on the rise, home buying has also slowed, causing fluctuations in house prices. Why are house prices growing? Many markets in the U.S. are overheated because supply has not been able to keep up with demand. How many homes enter the housing market depends on the construction output, whereas the availability of existing homes for purchase depends on many other factors, such as the willingness of owners to sell. Furthermore, growing investor appetite in the housing sector means that prospective homebuyers have some extra competition to worry about. In certain metros, for example, the share of homes bought by investors exceeded ** percent in 2024.

Soaring interest rates are filtering through to the housing market, with lenders raising mortgage rates and pulling deals. What effect is this having on the housing market?

Snapshot img { margin: 10px !important; } About Housing Mortgage Mortgage is a debt instrument that the borrower is obliged to pay back with a fixed set of payments and is secured by the collateral of a specified real estate property. Mortgages enable individuals and businesses to make large real estate purchases without paying the entire value of the purchase in one go. Borrowers repay the loan along with interest over a period of many years until they eventually own the property free and clear. However, if borrowers stop paying the mortgage, the lender can foreclose and may evict the property’s owner and sell it, using the income from the sale to clear the mortgage debt. In a fixed-rate mortgage system, borrowers pay the same interest rate for the life of the loan. Most fixed-rate mortgages have a 15 or 30-year term. There is no influence on borrowers’ payment if market interest rates rise. However, if market interest rates decline significantly, borrowers may be able to secure that lower rate by means of refinancing the mortgage. TechNavio's analysts forecast the Housing Mortgage market in the US to grow at a CAGR of 1.75 percent over the period 2013-2018.Covered in this Report This report covers the present scenario and the growth prospects of the Housing Mortgage market in the US for the period 2014-2018. To calculate the market size, the report considers the loan volume of primary housing mortgage banks, credit unions, and financial institutions. It takes into consideration the various product segments such as Home Purchase, Home Improvement, and Refinancing. The report mentions the role played by Federal Government by the way of government-sponsored enterprises operating in the system. TechNavio's report, the Housing Mortgage Market in the US 2014-2018, has been prepared based on an in-depth market analysis with inputs from industry experts. The report covers the US; it also covers the landscape of the Housing Mortgage market in the US and its growth prospects in the coming years. The report also includes a discussion of the key vendors operating in this market.Key Regions • USKey Vendors • Bank of America • Citigroup • JPMorgan Chase • U.S. Bancorp • Wells FargoOther Prominent Vendors • Ally Financial • Capital One Financial • Fifth Third Bancorp • Flagstar Bank, FSB • SunTrust Banks • Quicken Loans • Regions FinancialMarket Driver • Improved Demand for Home Loans • For a full, detailed list, view our reportMarket Challenge • Shrinking Lending Capacity • For a full, detailed list, view our reportMarket Trend • Less Incidence of Foreclosures • For a full, detailed list, view our reportKey Questions Answered in this Report • What will the market size be in 2018 and what will the growth rate be? • What are the key market trends? • What is driving this market? • What are the challenges to market growth? • Who are the key vendors in this market space? • What are the market opportunities and threats faced by the key vendors? • What are the strengths and weaknesses of the key vendors?

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates and Price Indexes; Commercial Real Estate Price Index, Level (BOGZ1FL075035503A) from 1945 to 2024 about real estate, commercial, interest rate, interest, rate, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Mortgage interest rates in Czechia have experienced significant fluctuations over the past few years, reaching a peak of nearly *** percent in December 2022 before gradually declining. As of March 2025, the interest rate on new mortgages in the country amounted to **** percent, showing a slight decrease from the previous month. This trend in mortgage rates has occurred alongside substantial increases in housing prices. Housing market dynamics The changes in mortgage rates have gone hand in hand with notable shifts in the Czech housing market. Despite the high-interest rates, new mortgage lending reached over 18 million Czech koruna in December 2024, marking a significant increase from the same month in the previous year. This growth in lending has continued despite the steady rise in housing prices, with the house price index reaching ***** in the third quarter of 2024. This marks a significant increase from the 2015 baseline, reflecting the ongoing upward trend. The average purchase price per square meter for family houses increasing across the country. In 2023, Prague recorded the highest average price at ******* Czech koruna per square meter. Construction sector trends The construction sector in Czechia has shown its response to these market conditions. The index of multi-dwelling building construction fluctuated recently, with 2024 showing a slight decrease to **** index points compared to the previous year. However, regarding non-residential buildings, the construction has been continuously growing since 2018 with hotels and industrial buildings accounting for the majority of new non-residential constructions.

In May 29, 2019, FHFA published its final Monthly Interest Rate Survey (MIRS), due to dwindling participation by financial institutions. MIRS had provided information on a monthly basis on interest rates, loan terms, and house prices by property type (all, new, previously occupied); by loan type (fixed- or adjustable-rate), and by lender type (savings associations, mortgage companies, commercial banks and savings banks); as well as information on 15-year and 30-year, fixed-rate loans. Additionally, MIRS provided quarterly information on conventional loans by major metropolitan area and by Federal Home Loan Bank district, and was used to compile FHFA’s monthly adjustable-rate mortgage index entitled the “National Average Contract Mortgage Rate for the Purchase of Previously Occupied Homes by Combined Lenders,” also known as the ARM Index.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates and Price Indexes; Owner-Occupied Real Estate CoreLogic National Seasonally Adjusted by FRB Staff (SA), Level (BOGZ1FL075035243A) from 1975 to 2024 about real estate, interest rate, interest, rate, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Global house prices experienced a significant shift in 2022, with advanced economies seeing a notable decline after a prolonged period of growth. The real house price index (adjusted for inflation) for advanced economies peaked at nearly *** index points in early 2022 before falling to around ****** points by the fourth quarter of 2024. This represents a reversal of the upward trend that had characterized the housing market for roughly a decade. Conversely, real house prices in emerging economies resumed growing, after a brief correction in the second half of 2022. What is behind the slowdown? Inflation and slow economic growth have been the primary drivers for the cooling of the housing market. Secondly, the growing gap between incomes and house prices since 2012 has decreased the affordability of homeownership. Last but not least, homebuyers in 2024 faced dramatically higher mortgage interest rates, further contributing to worsening sentiment and declining transactions. Some markets continue to grow While many countries witnessed a deceleration in house price growth in 2022, some markets continued to see substantial increases. Turkey, in particular, stood out with a nominal increase in house prices of over ** percent in the first quarter of 2024. Other countries that recorded a two-digit growth include Russia and the United Arab Emirates. When accounting for inflation, the three countries with the fastest growing residential prices in early 2024 were the United Arab Emirates, Poland, and Bulgaria.

The mortgage interest rate in Germany decreased notably between 2013 and 2022, falling below *** percent. This was part of an overall trend of falling mortgage interest rates in Europe. The mortgage interest rate in Germany has since increased to *** percent in the fourth quarter of 2024. The German mortgage market In Europe, Germany is the second-largest mortgage market, with a total value of mortgages outstanding amounting to nearly *** trillion euros. Mortgage loans are one of the oldest bank products. Among the factors that influence mortgage interest rates are inflation, economic growth, monetary policies, the bond market, the stability of lenders, and the overall conditions of the housing market. Mortgage loans The higher cost of borrowing has a significant effect on the market: While the interest rates were at their lowest, mortgage lending was on the rise. In 2023, when the rates reached a 10-year-high, the quarterly gross mortgage lending fell to the lowest value since 2014. Meanwhile, house prices have also increased substantially in recent years. According to the House Price Index in Germany, between 2015 and 2024, house prices increased by nearly ** percent.

The US residential real estate market, a cornerstone of the American economy, is projected to experience steady growth over the next decade. While the provided CAGR of 2.04% is a modest figure, it reflects a market maturing after a period of significant expansion. This sustained growth is driven by several key factors. Firstly, population growth and urbanization continue to fuel demand for housing, particularly in densely populated areas and emerging suburban markets. Secondly, low interest rates (historically, though this can fluctuate) have made mortgages more accessible, stimulating buyer activity. Thirdly, a robust construction sector, though facing challenges in material costs and labor shortages, is gradually increasing the housing supply, mitigating some of the upward pressure on prices. However, challenges remain. Rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes pose a risk to affordability, potentially dampening demand. Furthermore, the ongoing evolution of remote work is reshaping residential preferences, with a shift toward larger homes in suburban or exurban locations. This trend impacts the relative demand for various property types, potentially increasing the appeal of landed houses and villas compared to apartments and condominiums in certain regions. The segmentation of the market into apartments/condominiums and landed houses/villas provides crucial insights into consumer preferences and investment strategies. High-density urban areas will continue to see strong demand for apartments and condos, while suburban and rural areas are likely to experience a greater increase in landed property sales. Major players like Simon Property Group, Mill Creek Residential, and others are strategically adapting to these trends, focusing on both development and management across various property types and geographic locations. Analyzing regional data within the US (e.g., comparing growth in the Northeast versus the Southwest) will highlight market nuances and potential investment opportunities. While the global data provided is valuable for understanding broader market forces, focusing the analysis on the US market allows for a more granular understanding of the specific drivers, trends, and challenges within this significant segment of the real estate sector. The forecast period (2025-2033) suggests continued, albeit measured, expansion. Recent developments include: May 2022: Resource REIT Inc. completed the sale of all of its outstanding shares of common stock to Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust Inc. for USD 14.75 per share in an all-cash deal valued at USD 3.7 billion, including the assumption of the REIT's debt., February 2022: The largest owner of commercial real estate in the world and private equity company Blackstone is growing its portfolio of residential rentals and commercial properties in the United States. The company revealed that it would shell out about USD 6 billion to buy Preferred Apartment Communities, an Atlanta-based real estate investment trust that owns 44 multifamily communities and roughly 12,000 homes in the Southeast, mostly in Atlanta, Nashville, Charlotte, North Carolina, and the Florida cities of Jacksonville, Orlando, and Tampa.. Key drivers for this market are: Investment Plan Towards Urban Rail Development. Potential restraints include: Italy’s Fragmented Approach to Tenders. Notable trends are: Existing Home Sales Witnessing Strong Growth.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates and Price Indexes; Owner-Occupied Real Estate OFHEO Purchases Only Price Index (SA), Level (BOGZ1FL075035213A) from 1945 to 2024 about real estate, interest rate, interest, rate, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

House Price Index YoY in the United States decreased to 2.80 percent in May from 3.20 percent in April of 2025. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States FHFA House Price Index YoY.

Dataset Overview

This dataset provides historical housing price indices for the United States, covering a span of 20 years from January 2000 onwards. The data includes housing price trends at the national level, as well as for major metropolitan areas such as San Francisco, Los Angeles, New York, and more. It is ideal for understanding how housing prices have evolved over time and exploring regional differences in the housing market.

Why This Dataset?

The U.S. housing market has experienced significant shifts over the last two decades, influenced by economic booms, recessions, and post-pandemic recovery. This dataset allows data enthusiasts, economists, and real estate professionals to analyze long-term trends, make forecasts, and derive insights into regional housing markets.

What’s Included?

Time Period: January 2000 to the latest available data (specific end date depends on the dataset). Frequency: Monthly data. Regions Covered: 20+ U.S. cities, states, and aggregates.

Columns Description

Each column represents the housing price index for a specific region or aggregate, starting with a date column:

Date: Represents the date of the housing price index measurement, recorded with a monthly frequency. U.S. National: The national-level housing price index for the United States. 20-City Composite: The aggregate housing price index for the top 20 metropolitan areas in the U.S. CA-San Francisco: The housing price index for San Francisco, California. CA-Los Angeles: The housing price index for Los Angeles, California. WA-Seattle: The housing price index for Seattle, Washington. NY-New York: The housing price index for New York City, New York. Additional Columns: The dataset includes more columns with housing price indices for various U.S. cities, which can be viewed in the full dataset preview.

Potential Use Cases

Time-Series Analysis: Investigate long-term trends and patterns in housing prices. Forecasting: Build predictive models to forecast future housing prices using historical data. Regional Comparisons: Analyze how housing prices have grown in different cities over time. Economic Insights: Correlate housing prices with economic factors like interest rates, GDP, and inflation.

Who Can Use This Dataset?

This dataset is perfect for:

Data scientists and machine learning practitioners looking to build forecasting models. Economists and policymakers analyzing housing market dynamics. Real estate investors and analysts studying regional trends in housing prices.

Example Questions to Explore

Which cities have experienced the highest housing price growth over the last 20 years? How do housing price trends in coastal cities (e.g., Los Angeles, Miami) compare to midwestern cities (e.g., Chicago, Detroit)? Can we predict future housing prices using time-series models like ARIMA or Prophet?

The house price index (HPI) shows changes in the value of residential properties in England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. With the HPI set at a base of 100 in January 2023, a value of over 100 would mark an increase in the average dwelling price. A value of under 100 points, on the other hand, would indicate that the average price has dropped. In April 2025, the index measured 101.7 index points, showing an increase of 1.7 percent since January 2023. UK house prices grew rapidly during the COVID-19 pandemic House prices in the UK grew steadily between 2015 and 2020, fueled by stable economic growth and low borrowing costs. In the following two years, a combination of factors exacerbated this trend. These factors included a stamp duty holiday, low interest rates, a shortage of new homes supplied, and a high housing demand. As a result, house price growth soared, hitting a record 13.6 percent in July 2022. This trend in the index, and therefore the value of UK residential properties, has also been observed by the Halifax house price index. What is the average house price in the UK? Average house prices are affected by several factors. Economic growth, unemployment, interest rates and mortgage availability can all drive them up or down. A shortage of supply means that the need for housing and the competitive market created will push house prices up. An excess of housing, on the other hand, means prices fall to stimulate buyers.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Interest Rates, High Prices, and Inventory Shortage to Slow Down Housing Market

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates and Price Indexes; Multi-Family Real Estate Apartment Price Index, Level (BOGZ1FL075035403Q) from Q4 1985 to Q1 2025 about multifamily, real estate, family, interest rate, interest, rate, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Annual house price inflation, simple and mix-adjusted average house prices, by dwelling, type of buyer, number of transactions, mortgage advances, distribution of borrowers' ages/incomes, interest rates, land prices, average valuations, Land Registry data