Graph and download economic data for 15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE15US) from 1991-08-30 to 2025-08-28 about 15-year, mortgage, fixed, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The global Mortgage-Backed Security market is poised for robust growth, with its market size projected to reach XX million in 2033, driven by a CAGR of XX% during the forecast period 2025-2033. Key drivers fueling this growth include increasing demand for residential and commercial mortgages, government support for housing markets, and the ongoing trend of securitization. However, factors such as rising interest rates, economic uncertainties, and regulatory challenges may pose restraints to market expansion. The market is segmented into types (commercial MBS, residential MBS) and applications (commercial banks, real estate enterprises, trust plans). Residential MBS dominate the market due to the high demand for home loans. Prominent players in the market include Construction Bank, ICBC, and Bank of China, among others. North America and Asia Pacific are expected to be key regional markets, with the US, China, and India driving growth. The study period for this analysis is 2019-2033, with the base year being 2025 and the forecast period extending from 2025 to 2033. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) are financial instruments that are backed by a pool of mortgages. They are typically issued by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but can also be issued by private banks and investment firms. MBS offer investors a way to invest in the housing market without having to purchase a physical property.

Mortgage Backed Security Market Outlook

The global mortgage-backed security (MBS) market size was valued at approximately $2.1 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach $3.5 trillion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 5.5%. A key driver of this growth is the increasing demand for mortgage-backed securities due to their ability to provide liquidity and diversify investment portfolios. The growth is further stimulated by favorable government policies and increased homeownership rates, which collectively bolster the issuance of new MBS.

One of the primary growth factors for the MBS market is the low-interest-rate environment, which has persisted over recent years. This scenario has encouraged borrowing and refinancing activities, leading to a higher number of mortgages that can be securitized. Moreover, the stability and relatively lower risk associated with MBS compared to other investment vehicles make them an attractive option for institutional investors. Additionally, advancements in financial technology have streamlined the process of bundling and selling these securities, increasing market efficiency.

Another significant factor contributing to the expansion of the MBS market is the role of government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. These GSEs guarantee a significant portion of the residential MBS, providing a safety net that minimizes risk for investors. The support from these entities ensures a continuous and reliable flow of investment into the housing sector, which in turn stimulates further securitization of mortgages. Moreover, government policies aimed at bolstering housing finance systems in emerging markets are expected to create additional opportunities for growth.

The diversification of mortgage products, including the rise in demand for commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), is another driving force for the market. Commercial real estate has shown robust growth, and investors are increasingly looking towards CMBS as a way to gain exposure to this sector. The structured nature of these securities, offering tranches with varying risk and return profiles, allows investors to tailor their investment strategies according to their risk tolerance.

In the context of the MBS market, Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI) plays a crucial role in facilitating homeownership, especially for borrowers who are unable to provide a substantial down payment. LMI is a type of insurance that protects lenders against the risk of borrower default, allowing them to offer loans with lower down payment requirements. This insurance is particularly significant in markets where home prices are high, and saving for a large deposit is challenging for many potential homeowners. By mitigating the risk for lenders, LMI enables more individuals to enter the housing market, thereby supporting the overall growth of mortgage-backed securities. As a result, LMI not only aids in increasing homeownership rates but also contributes to the liquidity and stability of the housing finance system.

Type Analysis

The mortgage-backed security market is bifurcated into Residential MBS and Commercial MBS. Residential MBS (RMBS) dominate the market due to the larger volume of residential mortgages compared to commercial ones. RMBS are typically backed by residential loans, including home mortgages, and are considered less risky. They offer a steady income stream to investors through mortgage payments made by homeowners. The demand for RMBS is bolstered by the high rate of homeownership and the continuous flow of new mortgages.

On the other hand, Commercial MBS (CMBS) are seeing increased traction due to their attractive yields and the growth of the commercial real estate sector. CMBS are backed by loans on commercial properties such as office buildings, retail centers, and hotels. They offer investors exposure to the commercial property market, which is often less correlated with the residential real estate market, providing an additional layer of diversification. The complexity and higher risk associated with CMBS attract sophisticated investors looking for higher returns.

Within RMBS, the market is further segmented into agency RMBS and non-agency RMBS. Agency RMBS are guaranteed by GSEs, making them more secure and attractive to risk-averse investors. Non-agency RMBS, though not backed by GSEs, offer higher yields and are appealing to investors with a higher risk appetite. The interplay betw

The average sales price of new homes in the United States experienced a slight decrease in 2024, dropping to 512,2000 U.S. dollars from the peak of 521,500 U.S. dollars in 2022. This decline came after years of substantial price increases, with the average price surpassing 400,000 U.S. dollars for the first time in 2021. The recent cooling in the housing market reflects broader economic trends and changing consumer sentiment towards homeownership. Factors influencing home prices and affordability The rapid rise in home prices over the past few years has been driven by several factors, including historically low mortgage rates and increased demand during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the market has since slowed down, with the number of home sales declining by over two million between 2021 and 2023. This decline can be attributed to rising mortgage rates and decreased affordability. The Housing Affordability Index hit a record low of 98.1 in 2023, indicating that the median-income family could no longer afford a median-priced home. Future outlook for the housing market Despite the recent cooling, experts forecast a potential recovery in the coming years. The Freddie Mac House Price Index showed a growth of 6.5 percent in 2023, which is still above the long-term average of 4.4 percent since 1990. However, homebuyer sentiment remains low across all age groups, with people aged 45 to 64 expressing the most pessimistic outlook. The median sales price of existing homes is expected to increase slightly until 2025, suggesting that affordability challenges may persist in the near future.