29 datasets found
  1. Treasury yield curve in the U.S. 2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 22, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Treasury yield curve in the U.S. 2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1058454/yield-curve-usa/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 22, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Apr 16, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    As of July 22, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.38 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.88 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

  2. Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth

    • clevelandfed.org
    csv
    Updated Oct 5, 2020
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    Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2020). Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth [Dataset]. https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/yield-curve-and-predicted-gdp-growth
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    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 5, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelandhttps://www.clevelandfed.org/
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

  3. 10-year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025 with forecast 2026

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 22, 2025
    + more versions
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    Statista (2025). 10-year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025 with forecast 2026 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/247565/monthly-average-10-year-us-treasury-note-yield-2012-2013/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 22, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    In June 2025, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by February 2026. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

  4. F

    FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 18, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDTARMD
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    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 18, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

  5. T

    US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • it.tradingeconomics.com
    • +12more
    csv, excel, json, xml
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    TRADING ECONOMICS, US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/government-bond-yield
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    json, xml, excel, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 1, 1912 - Aug 1, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.22% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.15 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.06 points, though it remains 0.43 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

  6. 30-year fixed rate mortgage vs. 10-year treasury yield forecast in the U.S....

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated May 13, 2025
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    Statista (2025). 30-year fixed rate mortgage vs. 10-year treasury yield forecast in the U.S. 2024-2027 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/275190/ten-year-treasury-constant-maturity-rate-in-the-united-states-as-of-2009/
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    Dataset updated
    May 13, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    2024
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to increase by *** percentage points by 2027, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by *** percentage points. From *** percent in 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach *** percent in 2027.

  7. T

    Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • jp.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jul 16, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/canada/government-bond-yield
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    excel, csv, json, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 16, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1985 - Aug 1, 2025
    Area covered
    Canada
    Description

    The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield eased to 3.39% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.08 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.03 points and is 0.39 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

  8. T

    United States Fed Funds Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ko.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jul 30, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). United States Fed Funds Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/interest-rate
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    xml, excel, json, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 30, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Aug 4, 1971 - Jul 30, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  9. T

    Euro Area Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • zh.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jul 24, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Euro Area Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/euro-area/interest-rate
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    xml, json, csv, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 24, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 18, 1998 - Jul 24, 2025
    Area covered
    Euro Area
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate In the Euro Area was last recorded at 2.15 percent. This dataset provides - Euro Area Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  10. Ten-Year TIPS Yields versus Real Yields

    • clevelandfed.org
    Updated Feb 1, 2020
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    Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2020). Ten-Year TIPS Yields versus Real Yields [Dataset]. https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations
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    Dataset updated
    Feb 1, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelandhttps://www.clevelandfed.org/
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Ten-Year TIPS Yields versus Real Yields is a part of the Inflation Expectations indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

  11. T

    United States 20 Year bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Aug 25, 2021
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2021). United States 20 Year bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/20-year-bond-yield
    Explore at:
    json, xml, excel, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 25, 2021
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 4, 2012 - Aug 1, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 20 Year Bond Yield eased to 4.80% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.11 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.02 points, though it remains 0.61 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for US 20Y.

  12. f

    DataSheet1_Cost projection of combined cycle power plants equipped with...

    • frontiersin.figshare.com
    docx
    Updated Jun 5, 2023
    + more versions
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    Pablo R. Díaz-Herrera; Ascención Romero-Martínez; Gabriel Ascanio (2023). DataSheet1_Cost projection of combined cycle power plants equipped with post-combustion carbon capture.docx [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2022.987166.s001
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    docxAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 5, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    Frontiers
    Authors
    Pablo R. Díaz-Herrera; Ascención Romero-Martínez; Gabriel Ascanio
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    This work aims to analyze the cost projection of natural gas combined cycles (NGCC) with post-combustion carbon capture (PCC) technology for two promising power plant configurations, namely: conventional NGCC and exhaust gas recirculation (EGR). A thermo-economic analysis was performed considering the second-law efficiency for the CO2 separation process (η2nd) and the CO2 avoided cost (CAC) as main indicators. Several critical variables influencing the overall cost of the plant were considered, such as the work required for solvent regeneration (Wregen), technology maturity, learning rate, carbon tax credit, and carbon capture level (85%, 90%, and 95%). A hybrid method combining engineering-economic and experience-curve approaches was used to estimate the costs of Nth-of-a-kind (NOAK) plants. The results showed that NOAK plants could potentially decrease the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) by 10%–11%, and the CAC by 21%–23%, compared with first-of-a-kind (FOAK) plants. EGR at 85% capture level showed the best economic performance among the study cases evaluated, with a CAC equal to $102.5/tCO2. At an 85% capture level, the CAC for the conventional NOAK NGCC plant is $104.1/tCO2; maintaining this same CAC value, the carbon capture rate could increase from 85% to 90.8% if EGR configuration is implemented. Finally, from the findings of this research, it is concluded that the CAC for NOAK plants is expected to be, in the best scenario, as low as $69/tCO2. Therefore, these plants might need at least a similar carbon tax value to ensure their operation during their useful life.

  13. T

    Sweden Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • fa.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 8, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Sweden Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/sweden/interest-rate
    Explore at:
    csv, excel, xml, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 8, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    May 26, 1994 - Jun 18, 2025
    Area covered
    Sweden
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Sweden was last recorded at 2 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Sweden Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  14. T

    Japan Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ru.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jul 31, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Japan Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/interest-rate
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    excel, xml, json, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 31, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Oct 2, 1972 - Jul 31, 2025
    Area covered
    Japan
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  15. Expected Inflation Term Structure

    • clevelandfed.org
    Updated Feb 1, 2020
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    Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2020). Expected Inflation Term Structure [Dataset]. https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations
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    Dataset updated
    Feb 1, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelandhttps://www.clevelandfed.org/
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Expected Inflation Term Structure is a part of the Inflation Expectations indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

  16. Inflation Expectations

    • clevelandfed.org
    csv
    Updated Feb 1, 2020
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    Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2020). Inflation Expectations [Dataset]. https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations
    Explore at:
    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 1, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelandhttps://www.clevelandfed.org/
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    We report average expected inflation rates over the next one through 30 years. Our estimates of expected inflation rates are calculated using a Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland model that combines financial data and survey-based measures. Released monthly.

  17. Ten-Year Expected Inflation and Real and Inflation Risk Premia

    • clevelandfed.org
    Updated Feb 1, 2020
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    Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2020). Ten-Year Expected Inflation and Real and Inflation Risk Premia [Dataset]. https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations
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    Dataset updated
    Feb 1, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelandhttps://www.clevelandfed.org/
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Ten-Year Expected Inflation and Real and Inflation Risk Premia is a part of the Inflation Expectations indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

  18. T

    Brazil Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • tr.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 7, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Brazil Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/brazil/interest-rate
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    xml, json, csv, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 7, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Mar 5, 1999 - Jul 30, 2025
    Area covered
    Brazil
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Brazil was last recorded at 15 percent. This dataset provides - Brazil Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  19. T

    India Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • pt.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 6, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). India Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/india/interest-rate
    Explore at:
    excel, xml, csv, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 6, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jul 10, 2000 - Jun 6, 2025
    Area covered
    India
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in India was last recorded at 5.50 percent. This dataset provides - India Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  20. Average mortgage interest rates in the UK 2000-2025, by month and type

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 24, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Average mortgage interest rates in the UK 2000-2025, by month and type [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/386301/uk-average-mortgage-interest-rates/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 24, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jan 2000 - May 2025
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Mortgage rates increased at a record pace in 2022, with the 10-year fixed mortgage rate doubling between March 2022 and December 2022. With inflation increasing, the Bank of England introduced several bank rate hikes, resulting in higher mortgage rates. In May 2025, the average 10-year fixed rate interest rate reached **** percent. As borrowing costs get higher, demand for housing is expected to decrease, leading to declining market sentiment and slower house price growth. How have the mortgage hikes affected the market? After surging in 2021, the number of residential properties sold declined in 2023, reaching just above *** million. Despite the number of transactions falling, this figure was higher than the period before the COVID-19 pandemic. The falling transaction volume also impacted mortgage borrowing. Between the first quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, the value of new mortgage loans fell year-on-year for five straight quarters in a row. How are higher mortgages affecting homebuyers? Homeowners with a mortgage loan usually lock in a fixed rate deal for two to ten years, meaning that after this period runs out, they need to renegotiate the terms of the loan. Many of the mortgages outstanding were taken out during the period of record-low mortgage rates and have since faced notable increases in their monthly repayment. About **** million homeowners are projected to see their deal expire by the end of 2026. About *** million of these loans are projected to experience a monthly payment increase of up to *** British pounds by 2026.

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Statista (2025). Treasury yield curve in the U.S. 2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1058454/yield-curve-usa/
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Treasury yield curve in the U.S. 2025

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7 scholarly articles cite this dataset (View in Google Scholar)
Dataset updated
Jul 22, 2025
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Time period covered
Apr 16, 2025
Area covered
United States
Description

As of July 22, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.38 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.88 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

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