The world's population first reached one billion people in 1805, and reached eight billion in 2022, and will peak at almost 10.2 billion by the end of the century. Although it took thousands of years to reach one billion people, it did so at the beginning of a phenomenon known as the demographic transition; from this point onwards, population growth has skyrocketed, and since the 1960s the population has increased by one billion people every 12 to 15 years. The demographic transition sees a sharp drop in mortality due to factors such as vaccination, sanitation, and improved food supply; the population boom that follows is due to increased survival rates among children and higher life expectancy among the general population; and fertility then drops in response to this population growth. Regional differences The demographic transition is a global phenomenon, but it has taken place at different times across the world. The industrialized countries of Europe and North America were the first to go through this process, followed by some states in the Western Pacific. Latin America's population then began growing at the turn of the 20th century, but the most significant period of global population growth occurred as Asia progressed in the late-1900s. As of the early 21st century, almost two-thirds of the world's population lives in Asia, although this is set to change significantly in the coming decades. Future growth The growth of Africa's population, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa, will have the largest impact on global demographics in this century. From 2000 to 2100, it is expected that Africa's population will have increased by a factor of almost five. It overtook Europe in size in the late 1990s, and overtook the Americas a few years later. In contrast to Africa, Europe's population is now in decline, as birth rates are consistently below death rates in many countries, especially in the south and east, resulting in natural population decline. Similarly, the population of the Americas and Asia are expected to go into decline in the second half of this century, and only Oceania's population will still be growing alongside Africa. By 2100, the world's population will have over three billion more than today, with the vast majority of this concentrated in Africa. Demographers predict that climate change is exacerbating many of the challenges that currently hinder progress in Africa, such as political and food instability; if Africa's transition is prolonged, then it may result in further population growth that would place a strain on the region's resources, however, curbing this growth earlier would alleviate some of the pressure created by climate change.

This statistic shows the 20 countries with the highest population growth rate in 2024. In SouthSudan, the population grew by about 4.65 percent compared to the previous year, making it the country with the highest population growth rate in 2024. The global population Today, the global population amounts to around 7 billion people, i.e. the total number of living humans on Earth. More than half of the global population is living in Asia, while one quarter of the global population resides in Africa. High fertility rates in Africa and Asia, a decline in the mortality rates and an increase in the median age of the world population all contribute to the global population growth. Statistics show that the global population is subject to increase by almost 4 billion people by 2100. The global population growth is a direct result of people living longer because of better living conditions and a healthier nutrition. Three out of five of the most populous countries in the world are located in Asia. Ultimately the highest population growth rate is also found there, the country with the highest population growth rate is Syria. This could be due to a low infant mortality rate in Syria or the ever -expanding tourism sector.

The statistic shows the development of the world population from 1950 to 2050. The world population was around 7.38 billion people in 2015.

The global population

As shown above, the total number of people living on Earth has more than doubled since the 1950s, and continues to increase. A look at the development of the world population since the beginning of the Common Era shows that such a surge in numbers is unprecedented. The first significant rise in population occurred during the 14th century, after the Black Death had killed approximately 25 million people worldwide. Subsequently, the global population increased slowly but steadily until it reached record numbers between 1950 and 2000.

The majority of the global population lives on the Asian continent, as a statistic of the world population by continent shows. In around 100 years, it is estimated that population levels on the African continent will have reached similar levels to those we see in Asia today. As for a forecast of the development of the world population, the figures are estimated to have reached more than 10 billion by the 22nd century.

Growing population numbers pose an increasing risk to the planet, since rocketing numbers equal increased consumption of food and resources. Scientists worry that natural resources, such as oil, and food resources will become scarce, endangering the human race and, even more so, the world’s ecosystem. Nowadays, the number of undernourished / starving people worldwide has decreased slightly, but forecasts paint a darker picture.

Population growth (annual %) in World was reported at 0.9512 % in 2024, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. World - Population growth (annual %) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on September of 2025.

The world population surpassed eight billion people in 2022, having doubled from its figure less than 50 years previously. Looking forward, it is projected that the world population will reach nine billion in 2038, and 10 billion in 2060, but it will peak around 10.3 billion in the 2080s before it then goes into decline. Regional variations The global population has seen rapid growth since the early 1800s, due to advances in areas such as food production, healthcare, water safety, education, and infrastructure, however, these changes did not occur at a uniform time or pace across the world. Broadly speaking, the first regions to undergo their demographic transitions were Europe, North America, and Oceania, followed by Latin America and Asia (although Asia's development saw the greatest variation due to its size), while Africa was the last continent to undergo this transformation. Because of these differences, many so-called "advanced" countries are now experiencing population decline, particularly in Europe and East Asia, while the fastest population growth rates are found in Sub-Saharan Africa. In fact, the roughly two billion difference in population between now and the 2080s' peak will be found in Sub-Saharan Africa, which will rise from 1.2 billion to 3.2 billion in this time (although populations in other continents will also fluctuate). Changing projections The United Nations releases their World Population Prospects report every 1-2 years, and this is widely considered the foremost demographic dataset in the world. However, recent years have seen a notable decline in projections when the global population will peak, and at what number. Previous reports in the 2010s had suggested a peak of over 11 billion people, and that population growth would continue into the 2100s, however a sooner and shorter peak is now projected. Reasons for this include a more rapid population decline in East Asia and Europe, particularly China, as well as a prolonged development arc in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Until the 1800s, population growth was incredibly slow on a global level. The global population was estimated to have been around 188 million people in the year 1CE, and did not reach one billion until around 1803. However, since the 1800s, a phenomenon known as the demographic transition has seen population growth skyrocket, reaching eight billion people in 2023, and this is expected to peak at over 10 billion in the 2080s.

About this dataset

Context

The dataset tabulates the White Earth population over the last 20 plus years. It lists the population for each year, along with the year on year change in population, as well as the change in percentage terms for each year. The dataset can be utilized to understand the population change of White Earth across the last two decades. For example, using this dataset, we can identify if the population is declining or increasing. If there is a change, when the population peaked, or if it is still growing and has not reached its peak. We can also compare the trend with the overall trend of United States population over the same period of time.

Key observations

In 2023, the population of White Earth was 93, a 0% decrease year-by-year from 2022. Previously, in 2022, White Earth population was 93, a decline of 4.12% compared to a population of 97 in 2021. Over the last 20 plus years, between 2000 and 2023, population of White Earth increased by 28. In this period, the peak population was 99 in the year 2020. The numbers suggest that the population has already reached its peak and is showing a trend of decline. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program (PEP).

Content

When available, the data consists of estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program (PEP).

Data Coverage:

• From 2000 to 2023

Variables / Data Columns

• Year: This column displays the data year (Measured annually and for years 2000 to 2023)
• Population: The population for the specific year for the White Earth is shown in this column.
• Year on Year Change: This column displays the change in White Earth population for each year compared to the previous year.
• Change in Percent: This column displays the year on year change as a percentage. Please note that the sum of all percentages may not equal one due to rounding of values.

Good to know

Margin of Error

Data in the dataset are based on the estimates and are subject to sampling variability and thus a margin of error. Neilsberg Research recommends using caution when presening these estimates in your research.

Custom data

If you do need custom data for any of your research project, report or presentation, you can contact our research staff at research@neilsberg.com for a feasibility of a custom tabulation on a fee-for-service basis.

Inspiration

Neilsberg Research Team curates, analyze and publishes demographics and economic data from a variety of public and proprietary sources, each of which often includes multiple surveys and programs. The large majority of Neilsberg Research aggregated datasets and insights is made available for free download at https://www.neilsberg.com/research/.

Recommended for further research

This dataset is a part of the main dataset for White Earth Population by Year. You can refer the same here

Before 2025, the world's total population is expected to reach eight billion. Furthermore, it is predicted to reach over 10 billion in 2060, before slowing again as global birth rates are expected to decrease. Moreover, it is still unclear to what extent global warming will have an impact on population development. A high share of the population increase is expected to happen on the African continent.

Population, female (% of total population) in World was reported at 49.72 % in 2024, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. World - Population, female (% of total) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on September of 2025.

China Population: Natural Growth Rate data was reported at -0.060 % in 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.034 % for 2021. China Population: Natural Growth Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 1.203 % from Dec 1949 (Median) to 2022, with 74 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.333 % in 1963 and a record low of -0.457 % in 1960. China Population: Natural Growth Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Bureau of Statistics. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Socio-Demographic – Table CN.GA: Population: Natural Growth Rate: By Region.

Globally, about 25 percent of the population is under 15 years of age and 10 percent is over 65 years of age. Africa has the youngest population worldwide. In Sub-Saharan Africa, more than 40 percent of the population is below 15 years, and only three percent are above 65, indicating the low life expectancy in several of the countries. In Europe, on the other hand, a higher share of the population is above 65 years than the population under 15 years. Fertility rates The high share of children and youth in Africa is connected to the high fertility rates on the continent. For instance, South Sudan and Niger have the highest population growth rates globally. However, about 50 percent of the world’s population live in countries with low fertility, where women have less than 2.1 children. Some countries in Europe, like Latvia and Lithuania, have experienced a population decline of one percent, and in the Cook Islands, it is even above two percent. In Europe, the majority of the population was previously working-aged adults with few dependents, but this trend is expected to reverse soon, and it is predicted that by 2050, the older population will outnumber the young in many developed countries. Growing global population As of 2025, there are 8.1 billion people living on the planet, and this is expected to reach more than nine billion before 2040. Moreover, the global population is expected to reach 10 billions around 2060, before slowing and then even falling slightly by 2100. As the population growth rates indicate, a significant share of the population increase will happen in Africa.

CN: Population: Natural Growth Rate: Shaanxi data was reported at -0.028 % in 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.051 % for 2021. CN: Population: Natural Growth Rate: Shaanxi data is updated yearly, averaging 0.403 % from Dec 2001 (Median) to 2022, with 22 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.487 % in 2017 and a record low of -0.028 % in 2022. CN: Population: Natural Growth Rate: Shaanxi data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Bureau of Statistics. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Socio-Demographic – Table CN.GA: Population: Natural Growth Rate: By Region.

Finland Vital Statistics: Population Increase data was reported at 9,833.000 Person in 2017. This records a decrease from the previous number of 15,989.000 Person for 2016. Finland Vital Statistics: Population Increase data is updated yearly, averaging 18,033.000 Person from Dec 1750 (Median) to 2017, with 268 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 190,073.000 Person in 1811 and a record low of -96,660.000 Person in 1868. Finland Vital Statistics: Population Increase data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Statistics Finland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Finland – Table FI.G003: Vital Statistics.

The Report Covers Global Population Health Management Solutions Market Growth and is Segmented by Component (Software, Services, and Hardware), Solution Type (Population Health Analytics, Patient Engagement Solutions, and More), Delivery Mode (On-Premise, Cloud-Based / Web-Based, and Hybrid), End User (Healthcare Providers, and Payers), and Geography

Bumble bees (Bombus) are vitally important pollinators of wild plants and agricultural crops worldwide. Fragmentary observations, however, have suggested population declines in several North American species. Despite rising concern over these observations in the United States, highlighted in a recent National Academy of Sciences report, a national assessment of the geographic scope and possible causal factors of bumble bee decline is lacking. Here, we report results of a 3-y interdisciplinary study of changing distributions, population genetic structure, and levels of pathogen infection in bumble bee populations across the United States. We compare current and historical distributions of eight species, compiling a database of >73,000 museum records for comparison with data from intensive nationwide surveys of >16,000 specimens. We show that the relative abundances of four species have declined by up to 96% and that their surveyed geographic ranges have contracted by 23–87%, some within the last 20 y. We also show that declining populations have significantly higher infection levels of the microsporidian pathogen Nosema bombi and lower genetic diversity compared with co-occurring populations of the stable (nondeclining) species. Higher pathogen prevalence and reduced genetic diversity are, thus, realistic predictors of these alarming patterns of decline in North America, although cause and effect remain uncertain. Bumble bees (Bombus) are integral wild pollinators within native plant communities throughout temperate ecosystems, and recent domestication has boosted their economic importance in crop pollination to a level surpassed only by the honey bee. Their robust size, long tongues, and buzz-pollination behavior (high-frequency buzzing to release pollen from flowers) significantly increase the efficiency of pollen transfer in multibillion dollar crops such as tomatoes and berries. Disturbing reports of bumble bee population declines in Europe have recently spilled over into North America, fueling environmental and economic concerns of global decline. However, the evidence for large-scale range reductions across North America is lacking. Many reports of decline are unpublished, and the few published studies are limited to independent local surveys in northern California/southern Oregon, Ontario, Canada, and Illinois. Furthermore, causal factors leading to the alleged decline of bumble bee populations in North America remain speculative. One compelling but untested hypothesis for the cause of decline in the United States entails the spread of a putatively introduced pathogen, Nosema bombi, which is an obligate intracellular microsporidian parasite found commonly in bumble bees throughout Europe but largely unstudied in North America. Pathogenic effects of N. bombi may vary depending on the host species and reproductive caste and include reductions in colony growth and individual life span and fitness. Population genetic factors could also play a role in Bombus population decline. For instance, small effective population sizes and reduced gene flow among fragmented habitats can result in losses of genetic diversity with negative consequences, and the detrimental impacts of these genetic factors can be especially intensified in bees. Population genetic studies of Bombus are rare worldwide. A single study in the United States identified lower genetic diversity and elevated genetic differentiation (FST) among Illinois populations of the putatively declining B. pensylvanicus relative to those of a codistributed stable species. Similar patterns have been observed in comparative studies of some European species, but most investigations have been geographically restricted and based on limited sampling within and among populations. Although the investigations to date have provided important information on the increasing rarity of some bumble bee species in local populations, the different survey protocols and limited geographic scope of these studies cannot fully capture the general patterns necessary to evaluate the underlying processes or overall gravity of declines. Furthermore, valid tests of the N. bombi hypothesis and its risk to populations across North America call for data on its geographic distribution and infection prevalence among species. Likewise, testing the general importance of population genetic factors in bumble bee decline requires genetic comparisons derived from sampling of multiple stable and declining populations on a large geographic scale. From such range-wide comparisons, we provide incontrovertible evidence that multiple Bombus species have experienced sharp population declines at the national level. We also show that declining populations are associated with both high N. bombi infection levels and low genetic diversity. This data was used in the paper "Patterns of widespread decline in North American bumble bees" published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of United States of America. For more information about this dataset contact: Sydney A. Cameron: scameron@life.illinois.edu James Strange: James.Strange@ars.usda.gov Resources in this dataset:Resource Title: Data from: Patterns of Widespread Decline in North American Bumble Bees (Data Dictionary). File Name: meta.xmlResource Description: This is an XML data dictionary for Data from: Patterns of Widespread Decline in North American Bumble Bees.Resource Title: Patterns of Widespread Decline in North American Bumble Bees (DWC Archive). File Name: occurrence.csvResource Description: File modified to remove fields with no recorded values.Resource Title: Patterns of Widespread Decline in North American Bumble Bees (DWC Archive). File Name: dwca-usda-ars-patternsofwidespreaddecline-bumblebees-v1.1.zipResource Description: Data from: Patterns of Widespread Decline in North American Bumble Bees -- this is a Darwin Core Archive file. The Darwin Core Archive is a zip file that contains three documents.

The occurrence data is stored in the occurrence.txt file. The metadata that describes the columns of this document is called meta.xml. This document is also the data dictionary for this dataset. The metadata that describes the dataset, including author and contact information for this dataset is called eml.xml.

Find the data files at https://bison.usgs.gov/ipt/resource?r=usda-ars-patternsofwidespreaddecline-bumblebees

Until 2100, the world's population is expected to be ageing. Whereas people over 60 years made up less than 13 percent of the world's population in 2024, this share is estimated to reach 28.8 percent in 2100. On the other hand, the share of people between zero and 14 years was expected to decrease by almost ten percentage points over the same period.

Population Screening Market Outlook

The global population screening market size was valued at approximately USD 22 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 42 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7.5% during the forecast period. The market's growth is primarily driven by increasing awareness about early disease detection, advancements in screening technologies, and a growing emphasis on preventive healthcare.

One of the key growth factors in the population screening market is the rising prevalence of chronic diseases. With an aging global population and lifestyle changes, there is an increasing incidence of diseases such as cancer, cardiovascular conditions, and diabetes. Early detection through screening programs can significantly improve treatment outcomes and reduce healthcare costs. Governments and healthcare organizations are thus investing heavily in screening programs to manage and mitigate these diseases effectively.

Technological advancements in screening methods are also playing a vital role in market expansion. Innovations in genetic testing, imaging technologies, and biomarker identification have made screenings more accurate, less invasive, and more accessible. These advancements not only enhance the early detection of diseases but also expand the range of conditions that can be screened. For instance, liquid biopsy and next-generation sequencing (NGS) are revolutionizing cancer screening by enabling the detection of genetic mutations and biomarkers from a simple blood sample.

Another significant driver is the increase in government initiatives and public health campaigns promoting preventive healthcare. Many countries have implemented nationwide screening programs for diseases such as breast cancer, cervical cancer, and colorectal cancer. These initiatives are often supported by substantial funding and public awareness campaigns, which have led to higher participation rates and, consequently, a larger market for screening services. The integration of screening programs into routine healthcare check-ups has also contributed to market growth.

Medical Screen procedures are becoming increasingly integral to the healthcare landscape, offering a proactive approach to identifying potential health issues before they manifest into serious conditions. These screenings encompass a variety of tests and assessments designed to detect early signs of diseases, enabling timely intervention and management. The growing emphasis on preventive healthcare has led to the widespread adoption of medical screens, as they provide valuable insights into an individual's health status. With advancements in technology, medical screens have become more sophisticated, offering greater accuracy and reliability. This evolution in screening techniques is crucial for improving patient outcomes and reducing the burden on healthcare systems.

Regionally, North America holds the largest share in the population screening market, driven by advanced healthcare infrastructure, high healthcare expenditure, and robust government initiatives. Europe follows closely, with many countries implementing comprehensive screening programs. However, the Asia Pacific region is expected to exhibit the highest growth rate due to increasing healthcare investments, a growing middle-class population, and rising awareness about preventive healthcare. Countries like China and India are rapidly expanding their screening capabilities to manage their large and diverse populations.

Test Type Analysis

The population screening market by test type can be segmented into genetic screening, blood tests, imaging, and others. Genetic screening is gaining significant traction due to its ability to identify individuals at high risk for certain genetic disorders and cancers. Technological advancements in genetic testing, such as next-generation sequencing (NGS) and CRISPR, have made these tests more accurate and cost-effective. These advancements have also expanded the scope of genetic screening to include a wider range of conditions, thereby driving market growth.

Blood tests remain a cornerstone of population screening due to their non-invasive nature and ability to detect a variety of conditions, from metabolic disorders to infectious diseases. Innovations in biomarker discovery have enhanced the sensitivity and specificity of blood tests, making them more reliable for early disease detection. The adoption of liquid biopsy for cancer screenin

In 2025, India overtook China as the world's most populous country and now has almost 1.46 billion people. China now has the second-largest population in the world, still with just over 1.4 billion inhabitants, however, its population went into decline in 2023. Global population As of 2025, the world's population stands at almost 8.2 billion people and is expected to reach around 10.3 billion people in the 2080s, when it will then go into decline. Due to improved healthcare, sanitation, and general living conditions, the global population continues to increase; mortality rates (particularly among infants and children) are decreasing and the median age of the world population has steadily increased for decades. As for the average life expectancy in industrial and developing countries, the gap has narrowed significantly since the mid-20th century. Asia is the most populous continent on Earth; 11 of the 20 largest countries are located there. It leads the ranking of the global population by continent by far, reporting four times as many inhabitants as Africa. The Demographic Transition The population explosion over the past two centuries is part of a phenomenon known as the demographic transition. Simply put, this transition results from a drastic reduction in mortality, which then leads to a reduction in fertility, and increase in life expectancy; this interim period where death rates are low and birth rates are high is where this population explosion occurs, and population growth can remain high as the population ages. In today's most-developed countries, the transition generally began with industrialization in the 1800s, and growth has now stabilized as birth and mortality rates have re-balanced. Across less-developed countries, the stage of this transition varies; for example, China is at a later stage than India, which accounts for the change in which country is more populous - understanding the demographic transition can help understand the reason why China's population is now going into decline. The least-developed region is Sub-Saharan Africa, where fertility rates remain close to pre-industrial levels in some countries. As these countries transition, they will undergo significant rates of population growth.

Robots for Seniors Market Outlook

As of 2023, the global market size for robots designed for seniors is estimated to be valued at approximately USD 2.5 billion, with projections indicating a meteoric rise to USD 7.6 billion by 2032, reflecting an impressive compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.8%. This growth is driven by an array of factors including the burgeoning elderly population, technological advancements in robotics, and increased demand for enhanced senior care solutions. The aging global population, accompanied by a shortage of caregivers, has pushed the need for robotic solutions, which offer not just physical assistance but also emotional support, thereby enriching the quality of life for seniors worldwide.

The increasing life expectancy and declining birth rates in many parts of the world are leading to a demographic shift, resulting in a larger proportion of elderly in the population. This demographic transition has become a critical factor propelling the growth of the robots for seniors market. As the number of seniors continues to surge, there is an amplified demand for technologies that can ensure their safety, independence, and well-being. Robotics emerges as a promising solution to address these needs, offering functionalities ranging from companionship to health monitoring, thus playing a pivotal role in supporting the aging populace. The integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning within these robots enhances their ability to learn and adapt to the specific needs of individual users, making these technologies not just innovative, but essential.

Technological innovation forms the backbone of the market's growth, with continuous advancements in AI, machine learning, and sensor technologies driving the development of more sophisticated and user-friendly robotic solutions. These technologies enable robots to perform an array of tasks such as detecting falls, monitoring vital signs, offering medication reminders, and even engaging in conversation, thus reducing the burden on human caregivers. Additionally, the miniaturization of sensors and improvements in battery life have further contributed to the feasibility and appeal of robots for seniors, making them more accessible and affordable. The convergence of robotics with the Internet of Things (IoT) also offers new opportunities for enhanced connectivity and remote monitoring, further boosting the market potential.

Another significant driver is the evolving perception and acceptance of robotic solutions among seniors and their families. As these technologies become more prevalent and their benefits more widely recognized, there is a growing willingness to adopt robotic solutions as part of senior care strategies. Educational efforts and positive user experiences have helped to overcome initial resistance and skepticism, leading to broader adoption across various care settings. Furthermore, governments and healthcare organizations are increasingly recognizing the potential of robotic technologies to alleviate caregiver shortages and reduce healthcare costs, thereby encouraging investment and adoption in this sector. These factors collectively create a robust framework for market growth in the coming years.

Patient Monitoring and Assistance Robots are becoming increasingly integral in the landscape of senior care, offering a blend of safety and support that is crucial for the elderly. These robots are equipped with advanced monitoring systems that can track vital signs, detect falls, and alert caregivers in real-time, thereby ensuring timely interventions. The integration of AI and sensor technologies in these robots allows them to provide personalized care, adapting to the unique health needs of each individual. As the demand for efficient healthcare solutions rises, these robots are positioned to play a pivotal role in reducing the burden on healthcare systems and enhancing the quality of life for seniors. Their ability to operate autonomously or under minimal supervision makes them an invaluable asset in both home and institutional care settings.

Regionally, the Asia Pacific is poised to dominate the market, with a significant share attributed to its large aging population, particularly in countries like Japan and China. North America and Europe also represent substantial markets due to high healthcare expenditures and a growing awareness of technological solutions for elder care. Latin America and the Middle East & Africa, although currently smaller markets, are anticipated to witness accelerated growth fueled by i

Background Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has been becoming a great public health concern worldwide. However, few studies employed retrospective and predictive approaches to assess the global burden of COPD. Thus, this study aimed to estimate the global burden of COPD by age, gender and socioeconomic status in the past decades of this century, and then make a prediction to 2030.Methods The data analyzed in this study were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021. The outcome variables, the disease burden of COPD, referred to absolute numbers of COPD case and age-standardized rates (ASRs) per 100,000 individuals per year. The temporal trends from 2000 to 2021 were examined using Joinpoint models. And, Bayesian age-period-cohort models were introduced to project the burden of COPD to 2030. Finally, a decomposition analysis was conducted to reveal the contributions of aging, population growth and epidemiological changes to trends in COPD burden.Results From 2000 to 2021, absolute numbers of incident cases, prevalent cases, deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for COPD continued to increase at the global level. However, ASRs of incidence, prevalence, deaths and DALYs decreased, and, moreover, such a declining trend would continue to 2030. Additionally, in 2021, the ASR of COPD burden was higher in males than females, and the rate increased with age among global population. Interestingly, the disease burden varied significantly across different regions, with a comparatively high burden in low socio-demographic index region. Decomposition analysis revealed that the increasing burden of COPD was primarily driven by rapid aging and population growth.Conclusions The global ASRs of COPD burden would continue to decline, but the crude burden would remain increasing to 2030, which was mainly attributed to population aging and growth. This study has significant public health implications that precision intervention strategies shall be initiated for population-based campaigns against COPD with consideration of residents’ age, gender and area as well as economic development.