The United Kingdom's economy grew by 1.1 percent in 2024, after a growth rate of 0.3 percent in 2023, 5.1 percent in 2022, 8.5 percent in 2021, and a record ten percent fall in 2020. During the provided time period, the biggest annual fall in gross domestic product before 2020 occurred in 2009, when the UK economy contracted by 4.6 percent at the height of the global financial crisis of the late 2000s. Before 2021, the year with the highest annual GDP growth rate was 1973, when the UK economy grew by 6.5 percent. UK economy growing but GDP per capita falling In 2022, the UK's GDP per capita amounted to approximately 37,371 pounds, with this falling to 37,028 pounds in 2023, and 36,977 pounds in 2024. While the UK economy as a whole grew during this time, the UK's population grew at a faster rate, resulting in the negative growth in GDP per capita. This suggests the UK economy's struggles with productivity are not only stagnating, but getting worse. The relatively poor economic performance of the UK in recent years has not gone unnoticed by the electorate, with the economy consistently seen as the most important issue for voters since 2022. Recent shocks to UK economy In the second quarter of 2020, the UK economy shrank by a record 20.3 percent at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. Although there was a relatively swift economic recovery initially, the economy has struggled to grow much beyond its pre-pandemic size, and was only around 3.1 percent larger in December 2024, when compared with December 2019. Although the labor market has generally been quite resilient during this time, a long twenty-month period between 2021 and 2023 saw prices rise faster than wages, and inflation surge to a high of 11.1 percent in October 2022.

Good health is viewed as essential to enable citizens to live fulfilling lives, shape communities, and drive economic growth. However, health is socially patterned. Low socioeconomic status is associated with an increased risk of non-communicable diseases, where poor dietary patterns and diet-related obesity are likely contributors. Food purchasing can be influenced by many factors, including cost and income. Most food purchased to be consumed at home is acquired from supermarkets, and any increase in food prices disproportionately impacts low-income households, contributing to food insecurity. This study explored the factors that helped and hindered people living with obesity and food insecurity in purchasing healthy, environmentally sustainable food from supermarkets. Semi-structured interviews (n = 25) and focus groups (n = 7) were conducted between June and December 2023 with adults living in Scotland and England who self-identified as living with obesity and food insecurity. Using thematic analysis, six main themes were identified: (1) Supermarket deals: perceptions surrounding the good, the bad, and the ugly side of supermarket offers and promotions; (2) Skepticism about supermarkets and the wider food system: questioning supermarket pricing motives but recognizing the role of the wider food system in food pricing; (3) Other peoples’ role in enhancing or undermining healthy diet intentions: the impact of others in shaping food purchases; (4) Financial restrictions facing non-UK nationals: additional challenges faced by those with no recourse to public funds; (5) The overwhelming in-store supermarket experience: sensory overload and attempts to prevent unintended, impulse purchases; (6) Unconscious, environmentally sustainable shopping practices: cost saving practices that lead to environmentally sustainable purchasing patterns and behaviors as a unintentionally created outcome of budget maximizing strategies. However, such strategies, that is, limiting food waste and purchasing less meat, although beneficial for environmental sustainability, do not necessarily indicate that a healthier diet is being purchased or consumed. While views on some factors believed to help or hinder healthy, environmentally sustainable food purchases varied, there was general agreement amongst participants on the need for upstream changes, including having access to adequate benefits and wages.

A recent analysis on the impact of Brexit suggests that in 2023, the United Kingdom's economy was *** percent smaller than it would have been in a base scenario where the UK never left the EU. The estimated hit to the UK's gross domestic product (GDP) increases to ***** percent in 2024, and to *** percent by 2025 in this forecast. UK growth cut at start of turbulent 2025 After growing by *** percent in 2024, the UK economy is expected to grow by *** percent in 2025, down from an earlier forecast of *** percent. As of 2025, the UK economy is approximately *** percent larger than it was just before the COVID-19 pandemic five years earlier, which delivered a sudden and severe economic shock to the country. While the initial bounce back from this collapse was robust, the recovery slowed by the end of 2020, and it wasn't until late 2021 that the economy returned to its pre-pandemic size. Throughout 2022 and 2023, the economy continued to struggle, and even experienced a recession at the end of 2023. How voters feel about Brexit in 2025 Since the middle of 2021, a growing majority of voters in Britain have advised that they think Brexit was the wrong decision. As of January 2025, around ** percent thought it was wrong to leave the EU, compared with just ** percent in April 2021. By comparison, the share of Britons who think Brexit was the right decision has fallen from ** percent to ** percent in the same time period. Voters are, however, still quite divided on what relationship they want with the EU, with only ** percent supporting rejoining completely. Furthermore, Brexit has fallen behind other issues for voters such as the economy, the NHS, and immigration and the issue played a much smaller role in the 2024 election than it did in 2019.

Immigration was seen by 55 percent of people in the UK as one of the top three issues facing the country in November 2025. The economy was the second-most important issue for voters this month, ahead of health as a distant third. These three issues have consistently been identified as the most important issues for voters. Labour's popularity continues to sink in 2025 Despite winning the 2024 general election with a strong majority, the new Labour government has had its share of struggles since coming to power. Shortly after taking office, the approval rating for Labour stood at -2 percent, but this fell throughout the second half of 2024, and by January 2025 had sunk to a new low of -47 percent. Although this was still higher than the previous government's last approval rating of -56 percent, it is nevertheless a severe review from the electorate. Among several decisions from the government, arguably the least popular was the government withdrawing winter fuel payments. This state benefit, previously paid to all pensioners, is now only paid to those on low incomes, with millions of pensioners not receiving this payment in winter 2024. Sunak's pledges fail to prevent defeat in 2024 With an election on the horizon, and the Labour Party consistently ahead in the polls, addressing voter concerns directly was one of the best chances the Conservatives had of staying in power in 2023. At the start of that year, Rishi Sunak attempted to do this by setting out his five pledges for the next twelve months; halve inflation, grow the economy, reduce national debt, cut NHS waiting times, and stop small boats. A year later, Sunak had at best only partial success in these aims. Although the inflation rate fell, economic growth was weak and even declined in the last two quarters of 2023, although it did return to growth in early 2024. National debt was only expected to fall in the mid to late 2020s, while the trend of increasing NHS waiting times did not reverse. Small boat crossings were down from 2022, but still higher than in 2021 or 2020. .