94 datasets found
  1. GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2029

    • statista.com
    Updated Apr 1, 2025
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    Statista Research Department (2025). GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/topics/6500/the-british-economy/
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 1, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Authors
    Statista Research Department
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    In 2024, the gross domestic product (GDP) of the United Kingdom grew by 0.9 percent and is expected to grow by just one percent in 2025 and by 1.9 percent in 2026. Growth is expected to slow down to 1.8 percent in 2027, and then grow by 1.7, and 1.8 percent in 2027 and 2028 respectively. The sudden emergence of COVID-19 in 2020 and subsequent closure of large parts of the economy were the cause of the huge 9.4 percent contraction in 2020, with the economy recovering somewhat in 2021, when the economy grew by 7.6 percent. UK growth downgraded in 2025 Although the economy is still expected to grow in 2025, the one percent growth anticipated in this forecast has been halved from two percent in October 2024. Increased geopolitical uncertainty as well as the impact of American tariffs on the global economy are some of the main reasons for this mark down. The UK's inflation rate for 2025 has also been revised, with an annual rate of 3.2 percent predicated, up from 2.6 percent in the last forecast. Unemployment is also anticipated to be higher than initially thought, with the annual unemployment rate likely to be 4.5 percent instead of 4.1 percent. Long-term growth problems In the last two quarters of 2023, the UK economy shrank by 0.1 percent in Q3 and by 0.3 percent in Q4, plunging the UK into recession for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic. Even before that last recession, however, the UK economy has been struggling with weak growth. Although growth since the pandemic has been noticeably sluggish, there has been a clear long-term trend of declining growth rates. The economy has consistently been seen as one of the most important issues to people in Britain, ahead of health, immigration and the environment. Achieving strong levels of economic growth is one of the main aims of the Labour government elected in 2024, although after almost one year in power it has so far proven elusive.

  2. UK Economic Accounts time series

    • ons.gov.uk
    • cy.ons.gov.uk
    csdb, csv, xlsx
    Updated Sep 30, 2025
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    Office for National Statistics (2025). UK Economic Accounts time series [Dataset]. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/datasets/unitedkingdomeconomicaccounts
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    xlsx, csv, csdbAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Sep 30, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Office for National Statisticshttp://www.ons.gov.uk/
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Quarterly estimates of national product, income and expenditure, sector accounts and balance of payments.

  3. Monthly GDP growth of the UK 2023-2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Jan 25, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Monthly GDP growth of the UK 2023-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/941233/monthly-gdp-growth-uk/
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    Dataset updated
    Jan 25, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Sep 2023 - Sep 2025
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The UK economy shrank by 0.1 percent in September 2025 after reporting zero growth in the previous month. Since a huge decline in GDP in April 2020, the UK economy has gradually recovered and is now slightly larger than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic. After the initial recovery from the pandemic, however, the UK economy has effectively flatlined, fluctuating between low growth and small contractions since 2022. Labour banking on growth to turn around fortunes in 2025 In February 2025, just over half a year after winning the last general election, the approval rating for the new Labour government fell to a low of -48 percent. Furthermore, the Prime Minister, Keir Starmer was not only less popular than the new Conservative leader, Kemi Badenoch, but also the leader of the Reform Party, Nigel Farage, whose party have surged in opinion polls recently. This remarkable decline in popularity for the new government is, in some part, due to a deliberate policy of making tough decisions early. Arguably, the most damaging of these policies was the withdrawal of the winter fuel allowance for some pensioners, although other factors such as a controversy about gifts and donations also hurt the government. While Labour aims to restore the UK's economic and political credibility in the long term, they will certainly hope for some good economic news sooner rather than later. Economy bounces back in 2024 after ending 2023 in recession Due to two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, in late 2023 the UK economy ended the year in recession. After not growing at all in the second quarter of 2023, UK GDP fell by 0.1 percent in the third quarter, and then by 0.3 percent in the last quarter. For the whole of 2023, the economy grew by 0.4 percent compared to 2022, and for 2024 is forecast to have grown by 1.1 percent. During the first two quarters of 2024, UK GDP grew by 0.7 percent, and 0.4 percent, with this relatively strong growth followed by zero percent growth in the third quarter of the year. Although the economy had started to grow again by the time of the 2024 general election, this was not enough to save the Conservative government at the time. Despite usually seen as the best party for handling the economy, the Conservative's economic competency was behind that of Labour on the eve of the 2024 election.

  4. GDP – data tables

    • ons.gov.uk
    • cy.ons.gov.uk
    xlsx
    Updated Nov 13, 2025
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    Office for National Statistics (2025). GDP – data tables [Dataset]. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/datasets/uksecondestimateofgdpdatatables
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    xlsxAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Nov 13, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Office for National Statisticshttp://www.ons.gov.uk/
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Annual and quarterly data for UK gross domestic product (GDP) estimates, in chained volume measures and current market prices.

  5. Database of forecasts for the UK economy

    • gov.uk
    • s3.amazonaws.com
    Updated Apr 17, 2024
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    HM Treasury (2024). Database of forecasts for the UK economy [Dataset]. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/database-of-forecasts-for-the-uk-economy
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 17, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    GOV.UKhttp://gov.uk/
    Authors
    HM Treasury
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Each month we publish independent forecasts of key economic and fiscal indicators for the UK economy. Forecasts before 2010 are hosted by The National Archives.

    We began publishing comparisons of independent forecasts in 1986. The first database brings together selected variables from those publications, averaged across forecasters. It includes series for Gross Domestic Product, the Consumer Prices Index, the Retail Prices Index, the Retail Prices Index excluding mortgage interest payments, Public Sector Net Borrowing and the Claimant Count. Our second database contains time series of independent forecasts for GDP growth, private consumption, government consumption, fixed investment, domestic demand and net trade, for 26 forecasters with at least 10 years’ worth of submissions since 2010.

    We’d welcome feedback on how you find the database and any extra information that you’d like to see included. Email your comments to Carter.Adams@hmtreasury.gov.uk.

  6. Annual GDP growth in the UK 1949-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Oct 15, 2022
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    Statista (2022). Annual GDP growth in the UK 1949-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/281734/gdp-growth-in-the-united-kingdom-uk/
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    Dataset updated
    Oct 15, 2022
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The United Kingdom's economy grew by 1.1 percent in 2024, after a growth rate of 0.3 percent in 2023, 5.1 percent in 2022, 8.5 percent in 2021, and a record ten percent fall in 2020. During the provided time period, the biggest annual fall in gross domestic product before 2020 occurred in 2009, when the UK economy contracted by 4.6 percent at the height of the global financial crisis of the late 2000s. Before 2021, the year with the highest annual GDP growth rate was 1973, when the UK economy grew by 6.5 percent. UK economy growing but GDP per capita falling In 2022, the UK's GDP per capita amounted to approximately 37,371 pounds, with this falling to 37,028 pounds in 2023, and 36,977 pounds in 2024. While the UK economy as a whole grew during this time, the UK's population grew at a faster rate, resulting in the negative growth in GDP per capita. This suggests the UK economy's struggles with productivity are not only stagnating, but getting worse. The relatively poor economic performance of the UK in recent years has not gone unnoticed by the electorate, with the economy consistently seen as the most important issue for voters since 2022. Recent shocks to UK economy In the second quarter of 2020, the UK economy shrank by a record 20.3 percent at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. Although there was a relatively swift economic recovery initially, the economy has struggled to grow much beyond its pre-pandemic size, and was only around 3.1 percent larger in December 2024, when compared with December 2019. Although the labor market has generally been quite resilient during this time, a long twenty-month period between 2021 and 2023 saw prices rise faster than wages, and inflation surge to a high of 11.1 percent in October 2022.

  7. Forecasts for the UK economy: March 2025

    • gov.uk
    Updated Mar 19, 2025
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    HM Treasury (2025). Forecasts for the UK economy: March 2025 [Dataset]. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/forecasts-for-the-uk-economy-march-2025
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    Dataset updated
    Mar 19, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    GOV.UKhttp://gov.uk/
    Authors
    HM Treasury
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Forecasts for the UK economy is a monthly comparison of independent forecasts.

    Please note that this is a summary of published material reflecting the views of the forecasting organisations themselves and does not in any way provide new information on the Treasury’s own views. It contains only a selection of forecasters, which is subject to review.

    No significance should be attached to the inclusion or exclusion of any particular forecasting organisation. HM Treasury accepts no responsibility for the accuracy of material published in this comparison.

    This month’s edition of the forecast comparison contains short-term forecasts for 2025 and 2026.

  8. Regional gross domestic product: all ITL regions

    • ons.gov.uk
    • cy.ons.gov.uk
    xlsx
    Updated Apr 17, 2025
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    Office for National Statistics (2025). Regional gross domestic product: all ITL regions [Dataset]. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/datasets/regionalgrossdomesticproductallnutslevelregions
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    xlsxAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Apr 17, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Office for National Statisticshttp://www.ons.gov.uk/
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Annual estimates of balanced UK regional gross domestic product (GDP). Current price estimates and chained volume measures for UK countries, ITL1, ITL2 and ITL3 regions.

  9. GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2030

    • statista.com
    Updated Nov 28, 2025
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    Statista (2025). GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2030 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/375195/gdp-growth-forecast-uk/
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    Dataset updated
    Nov 28, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    In 2024, the gross domestic product (GDP) of the United Kingdom grew by *** percent and is expected to grow by *** percent in 2025 and by *** percent in 2026. Between 2027 and 2030, the economy is forecast to grow by ****percent every year. The sudden emergence of COVID-19 in 2020 and subsequent closure of large parts of the economy were the cause of the huge *** percent contraction in 2020, with the economy recovering somewhat in 2021, when the economy grew by *** percent. Long-term growth downgraded Although the UK economy will grow faster than expected in 2025, long-term economic growth is predicted to be slower. Increased geopolitical uncertainty as well as lower than expected productivity growth were some of the main reasons cited for this downgrade. In addition, the UK's inflation rate for 2025 was also revised, with an annual rate of *** percent predicated, up from *** percent in the last forecast. Unemployment has also been higher than initially thought, with the annual unemployment rate likely to be *** percent instead of *** percent. Long-term growth problems In the last two quarters of 2023, the UK economy shrank by *** percent in Q3 and by *** percent in Q4, plunging the UK into recession for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic. Even before that last recession, however, the UK economy has been struggling with weak growth. Although growth since the pandemic has been noticeably sluggish, there has been a clear long-term trend of declining growth rates. The economy has consistently been seen as one of the most important issues to people in Britain, ahead of health, immigration and the environment. Achieving strong levels of economic growth is one of the main aims of the current government elected, although after one and a half years in power it has so far proven elusive.

  10. GDP at current prices – real-time database (YBHA)

    • ons.gov.uk
    • cy.ons.gov.uk
    xlsx
    Updated Nov 13, 2025
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    Office for National Statistics (2025). GDP at current prices – real-time database (YBHA) [Dataset]. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/datasets/realtimedatabaseforukgdpybha
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    xlsxAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Nov 13, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Office for National Statisticshttp://www.ons.gov.uk/
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Quarterly levels for UK gross domestic product (GDP) at current market prices.

  11. Quarterly GDP growth of the UK 2021-2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Nov 28, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Quarterly GDP growth of the UK 2021-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/970941/quarterly-gdp-growth-uk/
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    Dataset updated
    Nov 28, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The UK economy grew by 0.1 percent in the third quarter of 2025, compared with 0.3 percent growth in the previous quarter. After ending 2023 in recession, the UK economy grew strongly in the first half of 2024, growing by 0.8 percent in Q1, and 0.6 percent in Q2, with growth slowing in the second half of the year. In the third quarter of 2020 the UK experienced record setting growth of 16.8 percent, which itself followed the record 20.3 percent contraction in Q2 2020. Growing economy key to Labour's plans Since winning the 2024 general election, the UK's Labour Party have seen their popularity fall substantially. In February 2025, the government's approval rating fell to a low of -54 percent, making them almost as disliked as the Conservatives just before the last election. A string of unpopular policies since taking office have taken a heavy toll on support for the government. Labour hope they can reverse their declining popularity by growing the economy, which has underperformed for several years, and when measured in GDP per capita, fell in 2023, and 2024. Steady labor market trends set to continue? After a robust 2022, the UK labor market remained resilient throughout 2023 and 2024. The unemployment rate at the end of 2024 was 4.4 percent, up from four percent at the start of the year, but still one of the lowest rates on record. While the average number of job vacancies has been falling since a May 2022 peak, there was a slight increase in January 2025 when compared with the previous month. The more concerning aspect of the labor market, from the government's perspective, are the high levels of economic inactivity due to long-term sickness, which reached a peak of 2.84 million in late 2023, and remained at high levels throughout 2024.

  12. T

    United Kingdom GDP

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • jp.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
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    TRADING ECONOMICS, United Kingdom GDP [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/gdp
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    xml, excel, csv, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 31, 1960 - Dec 31, 2024
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United Kingdom was worth 3643.83 billion US dollars in 2024, according to official data from the World Bank. The GDP value of the United Kingdom represents 3.43 percent of the world economy. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom GDP - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  13. UK Economic Accounts: balance of payments - current account

    • ons.gov.uk
    • cy.ons.gov.uk
    xls
    Updated Dec 22, 2021
    + more versions
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    Office for National Statistics (2021). UK Economic Accounts: balance of payments - current account [Dataset]. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/uksectoraccounts/datasets/unitedkingdomeconomicaccountsbalanceofpaymentscurrentaccount
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    xlsAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Dec 22, 2021
    Dataset provided by
    Office for National Statisticshttp://www.ons.gov.uk/
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Quarterly transactions in trade in goods and services, primary, secondary and investment income, transactions with EU and non-EU countries and capital account.

  14. Government spending as a percentage of GDP in the UK 1900-2030

    • statista.com
    Updated Apr 1, 2025
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    Statista Research Department (2025). Government spending as a percentage of GDP in the UK 1900-2030 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/topics/6500/the-british-economy/
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 1, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Authors
    Statista Research Department
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Government spending in the United Kingdom was approximately 44.7 percent of GDP in 2024/25, compared with 39.6 percent in 2019/20.

  15. GDP of the UK 1948-2024

    • statista.com
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    Statista, GDP of the UK 1948-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/281744/gdp-of-the-united-kingdom/
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    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The gross domestic product of the United Kingdom in 2024 was around 2.78 trillion British pounds, an increase when compared to the previous year, when UK GDP amounted to about 2.75 trillion pounds. The significant drop in GDP visible in 2020 was due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with the smaller declines in 2008 and 2009 because of the global financial crisis of the late 2000s. Low growth problem in the UK Despite growing by 0.9 percent in 2024, and 0.4 percent in 2023 the UK economy is not that much larger than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic. Since recovering from a huge fall in GDP in the second quarter of 2020, the UK economy has alternated between periods of contraction and low growth, with the UK even in a recession at the end of 2023. While economic growth picked up somewhat in 2024, GDP per capita is lower than it was in 2022, following two years of negative growth. UK's global share of GDP falling As of 2024, the UK had the sixth-largest economy in the world, behind the United States, China, Japan, Germany, and India. Among European nations, this meant that the UK currently has the second-largest economy in Europe, although the economy of France, Europe's third-largest economy, is of a similar size. The UK's global economic ranking will likely fall in the coming years, however, with the UK's share of global GDP expected to fall from 2.16 percent in 2025 to 2.02 percent by 2029.  

  16. Government borrowing as a percentage of GDP in the UK 1900-2030

    • statista.com
    Updated Apr 1, 2025
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    Statista Research Department (2025). Government borrowing as a percentage of GDP in the UK 1900-2030 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/topics/6500/the-british-economy/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Apr 1, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Authors
    Statista Research Department
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The government of the United Kingdom borrowed approximately 2.6 percent worth of its GDP in the 2024/25 financial year, compared with 2.3 percent in 2023/24. In 2020/21, government borrowing reached 11.6 percent of GDP, due to increased financial support to public services during the COVID-19 pandemic, combined with reduced revenue because of societal lockdowns.

  17. T

    United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • de.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Nov 13, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/gdp-growth
    Explore at:
    excel, json, csv, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Nov 13, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 30, 1955 - Sep 30, 2025
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United Kingdom expanded 0.10 percent in the third quarter of 2025 over the previous quarter. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  18. Regional gross domestic product: local authorities

    • ons.gov.uk
    • cy.ons.gov.uk
    xlsx
    Updated Apr 17, 2025
    + more versions
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    Office for National Statistics (2025). Regional gross domestic product: local authorities [Dataset]. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/datasets/regionalgrossdomesticproductlocalauthorities
    Explore at:
    xlsxAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Apr 17, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Office for National Statisticshttp://www.ons.gov.uk/
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Annual estimates of balanced UK regional gross domestic product (GDP). Current price estimates and chained volume measures for local authority districts, London boroughs, unitary authorities and Scottish Council areas.

  19. Gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate in the United Kingdom 2030

    • statista.com
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    Statista, Gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate in the United Kingdom 2030 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/263613/gross-domestic-product-gdp-growth-rate-in-the-united-kingdom/
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    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The statistic shows the growth rate in the real GDP in the United Kingdom from 2020 to 2024, with projections up until 2030. In 2024, the rate of GDP growth in the United Kingdom was at around 1.1 percent compared to the previous year.The economy of the United KingdomGDP is used an indicator as to the shape of a national economy. It is one of the most regularly called upon measurements regarding the economic fitness of a country. GDP is the total market value of all final goods and services that have been produced in a country within a given period of time, usually a year. Inflation adjusted real GDP figures serve as an even more telling indication of a country’s economic state in that they act as a more reliable and clear tool as to a nation’s economic health. The gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate in the United Kingdom has started to level in recent years after taking a huge body blow in the financial collapse of 2008. The UK managed to rise from the state of dark desperation it was in between 2009 and 2010, from -3.97 to 1.8 percent. The country suffered acutely from the collapse of the banking industry, raising a number of questions within the UK with regards to the country’s heavy reliance on revenues coming from London's financial sector, arguably the most important in the world and one of the globe’s financial command centers. Since the collapse of the post-war consensus and the rise of Thatcherism, the United Kingdom has been swept along in a wave of individualism - collective ideals have been abandoned and the mass privatisation of the heavy industries was unveiled - opening them up to market competition and shifting the economic focus to that of service.The Big Bang policy, one of the cornerstones of the Thatcher government programs of reform, involved mass and sudden deregulation of financial markets. This led to huge changes in the way the financial markets in London work, and saw the many old firms being absorbed by big banks. This, one could argue, strengthened the UK financial sector greatly and while frivolous and dangerous practices brought the sector into great disrepute, the city of London alone brings in around one fifth of the countries national income making it a very prominent contributor to wealth in the UK.

  20. Data from: UK Economic Accounts

    • ons.gov.uk
    • cy.ons.gov.uk
    xlsx
    Updated Sep 30, 2025
    + more versions
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    Office for National Statistics (2025). UK Economic Accounts [Dataset]. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/uksectoraccounts/datasets/ukeconomicaccounts
    Explore at:
    xlsxAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Sep 30, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Office for National Statisticshttp://www.ons.gov.uk/
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Quarterly estimates of national product, income and expenditure, sector accounts and balance of payments.

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Statista Research Department (2025). GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/topics/6500/the-british-economy/
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GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2029

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Dataset updated
Apr 1, 2025
Dataset provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Authors
Statista Research Department
Area covered
United Kingdom
Description

In 2024, the gross domestic product (GDP) of the United Kingdom grew by 0.9 percent and is expected to grow by just one percent in 2025 and by 1.9 percent in 2026. Growth is expected to slow down to 1.8 percent in 2027, and then grow by 1.7, and 1.8 percent in 2027 and 2028 respectively. The sudden emergence of COVID-19 in 2020 and subsequent closure of large parts of the economy were the cause of the huge 9.4 percent contraction in 2020, with the economy recovering somewhat in 2021, when the economy grew by 7.6 percent. UK growth downgraded in 2025 Although the economy is still expected to grow in 2025, the one percent growth anticipated in this forecast has been halved from two percent in October 2024. Increased geopolitical uncertainty as well as the impact of American tariffs on the global economy are some of the main reasons for this mark down. The UK's inflation rate for 2025 has also been revised, with an annual rate of 3.2 percent predicated, up from 2.6 percent in the last forecast. Unemployment is also anticipated to be higher than initially thought, with the annual unemployment rate likely to be 4.5 percent instead of 4.1 percent. Long-term growth problems In the last two quarters of 2023, the UK economy shrank by 0.1 percent in Q3 and by 0.3 percent in Q4, plunging the UK into recession for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic. Even before that last recession, however, the UK economy has been struggling with weak growth. Although growth since the pandemic has been noticeably sluggish, there has been a clear long-term trend of declining growth rates. The economy has consistently been seen as one of the most important issues to people in Britain, ahead of health, immigration and the environment. Achieving strong levels of economic growth is one of the main aims of the Labour government elected in 2024, although after almost one year in power it has so far proven elusive.

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