Leading Economic Index the United States increased to 99 in May of 2025 over the same month in the previous year. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Coincident Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Graph and download economic data for Composite Leading Indicators: Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) Normalized for United States (USALOLITONOSTSAM) from Jan 1955 to Jan 2024 about leading indicator and USA.

In September 2024, the Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) of the United States stood at ******. The CLI is an economic indicator developed by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) to predict potential future economic fluctuations. A BCI value above 100 indicates an positive fluctuation in the upcoming business cycle. A value below 100 indicates a negative economic fluctuation in the near future.

Composite Leading Indicator in the United States increased to 100.43 points in June from 100.34 points in May of 2025. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States Composite Leading Indicator.

United States Leading Economic Index data was reported at 101.100 2016=100 in Feb 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 101.400 2016=100 for Jan 2025. United States Leading Economic Index data is updated monthly, averaging 59.950 2016=100 from Jan 1959 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 794 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 120.200 2016=100 in Dec 2021 and a record low of 22.200 2016=100 in Jan 1959. United States Leading Economic Index data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Conference Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.The Conference Board: Leading Economic Index. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Graph and download economic data for Leading Indicators OECD: Leading Indicators: Composite Leading Indicator: Amplitude Adjusted for United States (USALOLITOAASTSAM) from Jan 1955 to May 2025 about leading indicator and adjusted.

Leading Index for the United States was 1.72% in February of 2020, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Leading Index for the United States reached a record high of 3.35 in November of 1983 and a record low of -2.65 in March of 2009. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Leading Index for the United States - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Composite Leading Indicators: Reference Series (GDP) Calendar and Seasonally Adjusted for United States (LORSGPORUSQ659S) from Q1 1948 to Q4 2023 about leading indicator, GDP, and USA.

United States Leading Index: US data was reported at 1.718 % in Feb 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.573 % for Jan 2020. United States Leading Index: US data is updated monthly, averaging 1.536 % from Jan 1982 (Median) to Feb 2020, with 458 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.355 % in Nov 1983 and a record low of -2.654 % in Mar 2009. United States Leading Index: US data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S012: State Leading Index. The data predicts the six-month growth rate of the state’s coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy such as the state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. Given the sudden, extreme impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on initial unemployment claims in recent weeks, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia researchers’ standard approach for estimating the six-month change in coincident indexes is not appropriate. Therefore, they suspended the release of the state leading indexes indefinitely.

United States Leading Economic Index: MoM data was reported at -0.300 % in Feb 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of -0.200 % for Jan 2025. United States Leading Economic Index: MoM data is updated monthly, averaging 0.300 % from Feb 1959 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 793 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.200 % in Jun 2020 and a record low of -5.500 % in Apr 2020. United States Leading Economic Index: MoM data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Conference Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.The Conference Board: Leading Economic Index. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Graph and download economic data for Leading Indicators OECD: Component Series: Confidence Indicator: Normalised for United States (USALOCOCINOSTSAM) from Jan 1978 to Dec 2023 about , and leading indicator.

United States Lagging Economic Index data was reported at 119.100 2016=100 in Mar 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 119.200 2016=100 for Feb 2025. United States Lagging Economic Index data is updated monthly, averaging 58.700 2016=100 from Jan 1959 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 795 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 119.400 2016=100 in Apr 2024 and a record low of 25.000 2016=100 in Jan 1959. United States Lagging Economic Index data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Conference Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.The Conference Board: Leading Economic Index. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

United States State Leading Index: Mississippi data was reported at 0.777 % in Jul 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 1.308 % for Jun 2018. United States State Leading Index: Mississippi data is updated monthly, averaging 0.971 % from Jan 1982 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 439 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.154 % in Nov 1983 and a record low of -0.742 % in Mar 2009. United States State Leading Index: Mississippi data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S008: State Leading Index.

OECD Data Filters: REF_AREA: USA MEASURE: RS UNIT_MEASURE: IX ACTIVITY: _Z ADJUSTMENT: Y TRANSFORMATION: IX TIME_HORIZ: _Z METHODOLOGY: N FREQ: Q

All OECD data should be cited as follows: OECD (year), (dataset name), (data source) DOI or https://data-explorer.oecd.org/ (https://data-explorer.oecd.org/). (accessed on (date)).

CEIC Leading Indicator: United States data was reported at 90.502 NA in Jan 2019. This records an increase from the previous number of 89.263 NA for Dec 2018. CEIC Leading Indicator: United States data is updated monthly, averaging 101.812 NA from Jan 1980 (Median) to Jan 2019, with 469 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 124.731 NA in Jan 1980 and a record low of 53.678 NA in Feb 2009. CEIC Leading Indicator: United States data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under World Trend Plus’s CEIC Leading Indicator – Table US.S001: CEIC Leading Indicator.

United States State Leading Index: Michigan data was reported at 0.696 % in Jul 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.283 % for Jun 2018. United States State Leading Index: Michigan data is updated monthly, averaging 1.017 % from Jan 1982 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 439 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5.846 % in Apr 1983 and a record low of -9.674 % in Jan 2009. United States State Leading Index: Michigan data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S008: State Leading Index.

We propose an optimal filter to transform the Conference Board Composite Leading Index (CLI) into recession probabilities in the US economy. We also analyse the CLI's accuracy at anticipating US output growth. We compare the predictive performance of linear, VAR extensions of smooth transition regression and switching regimes, probit, non-parametric models and conclude that a combination of the switching regimes and non-parametric forecasts is the best strategy at predicting both the NBER business cycle schedule and GDP growth. This confirms the usefulness of CLI, even in a real-time analysis.

United States State Leading Index: Vermont data was reported at 0.285 % in Jul 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.640 % for Jun 2018. United States State Leading Index: Vermont data is updated monthly, averaging 1.423 % from Jan 1982 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 439 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.529 % in Jul 1991 and a record low of -2.236 % in Dec 1990. United States State Leading Index: Vermont data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S008: State Leading Index.

United States State Leading Index: Idaho data was reported at 1.695 % in Jul 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.013 % for Jun 2018. United States State Leading Index: Idaho data is updated monthly, averaging 1.842 % from Jan 1982 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 439 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.040 % in May 1983 and a record low of -1.130 % in Nov 2008. United States State Leading Index: Idaho data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S008: State Leading Index.

U.S. GDP Leading Indicators: 76 years of historical data from 1947 to 2023.