Gold rose to 4,148.21 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2025, up 0.50% from the previous day. Over the past month, Gold's price has risen 12.74%, and is up 55.92% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Gold - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on October of 2025.

Dataset of historical annual gold prices from 1970 to 2024, including significant events and acts that impacted gold prices.

The price of gold per troy ounce increased considerably between 1990 and 2025, despite some fluctuations. A troy ounce is the international common unit of weight used for precious metals and is approximately **** grams. At the end of 2024, a troy ounce of gold cost ******* U.S. dollars. As of * June 2025, it increased considerably to ******** U.S. dollars. Price of – additional information In 2000, the price of gold was at its lowest since 1990, with a troy ounce of gold costing ***** U.S. dollars in that year. Since then, gold prices have been rising and after the economic crisis of 2008, the price of gold rose at higher rates than ever before as the market began to see gold as an increasingly good investment. History has shown, gold is seen as a good investment in times of uncertainty because it can or is thought to function as a good store of value against a declining currency as well as providing protection against inflation. However, unlike other commodities, once gold is mined it does not get used up like other commodities (for example, such as gasoline). So while gold may be a good investment at times, the supply demand argument does not apply to gold. Nonetheless, the demand for gold has been mostly consistent.

This statistic depicts the average annual prices for gold from 2014 to 2024 with a forecast until 2026. In 2024, the average price for gold stood at 2,388 U.S. dollars per troy ounce, the highest value recorded throughout the period considered. In 2026, the average gold price is expected to increase, reaching 3,200 U.S. dollars per troy ounce.

Gold Prices - Historical chart and current data through 2025.

Between January 1971 and May 2025, gold had average annual returns of **** percent, which was only slightly more than the return of commodities, with an annual average of around eight percent. The annual return of gold was over ** percent in 2024. What is the total global demand for gold? The global demand for gold remains robust owing to its historical importance, financial stability, and cultural appeal. During economic uncertainty, investors look for a safe haven, while emerging markets fuel jewelry demand. A distinct contrast transpired during COVID-19, when the global demand for gold experienced a sharp decline in 2020 owing to a reduction in consumer spending. However, the subsequent years saw an increase in demand for the precious metal. How much gold is produced worldwide? The production of gold depends mainly on geological formations, market demand, and the cost of production. These factors have a significant impact on the discovery, extraction, and economic viability of gold mining operations worldwide. In 2024, the worldwide production of gold was expected to reach *** million ounces, and it is anticipated that the rate of growth will increase as exploration technologies improve, gold prices rise, and mining practices improve.

Silver rose to 53.20 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2025, up 1.48% from the previous day. Over the past month, Silver's price has risen 24.62%, and is up 69.08% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Silver - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on October of 2025.

The size of the Gold Market was valued at USD 3.2 Trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 4.5 Trillion by 2032, with an expected CAGR of 7.38% during the forecast period. It is one of the crucial financial assets with a liquid market, intrinsic value, and diversified uses in jewelry, electronics, and for investment purposes. Gold includes both the physical bullion and ETF markets. Mining and refining technological innovations enhance efficiency and sustainability.Gold provides economic stability and security of investments since it is durable, widely accepted, and one that diversifies portfolios. Hence, gold holds a very significant place both in consumer markets and financial systems through its support for industries ranging from luxury goods to technology. Recent developments include: March 2023: Pan American Silver Corporation acquired all the issued and outstanding common shares of Yamana Gold Inc., as part of the arrangement, which includes its mines and increased the geographical operations of the company in Latin America., February 2023: Barrick Gold, the world's second-biggest gold producer, announced a 10% increase in attributable proved and probable gold mineral reserves to 76 million ounces net of depletion in 2022 while maintaining current reserves.. Key drivers for this market are: Demand for Gold in the form of Jewelry and Long-term Savings, Increasing Consumption in High-End Electronics Applications; Other Drivers. Potential restraints include: Declining Ore Grades and Other Technical Challenges, Other Restraints. Notable trends are: Jewelry Segment to Dominate the Demand.

Dataset of historical annual silver prices from 1970 to 2022, including significant events and acts that impacted silver prices.

Banking and stock markets consider gold to be an important component of their economic and financial status. There are various factors that influence the gold price trend and its fluctuations. Accurate and reliable prediction of the gold price is an essential part of financial and portfolio management. Moreover, it could provide insights about potential buy and sell points in order to prevent financial damages and reduce the risk of investment. In this paper, different architectures of deep neural network (DNN) have been proposed based on long short-term memory (LSTM) and convolutional-based neural networks (CNN) as a hybrid model, along with automatic parameter tuning to increase the accuracy, coefficient of determination, of the forecasting results. An illustrative dataset from the closing gold prices for 44 years, from 1978 to 2021, is provided to demonstrate the effectiveness and feasibility of this method. The grid search technique finds the optimal set of DNNs’ parameters. Furthermore, to assess the efficiency of DNN models, three statistical indices of RMSE, RMAE, and coefficient of determination (R2), were calculated for the test set. Results indicate that the proposed hybrid model (CNN-Bi-LSTM) outperforms other models in total bias, capturing extreme values and obtaining promising results. In this model, CNN is used to extract features of input dataset. Furthermore, Bi-LSTM uses CNN’s outputs to predict the daily closing gold price.

Forecasting gold prices remains vital in financial markets, given gold’s dual role as both a hedge against inflation and a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty. This study proposes a hybrid model integrating SARIMA, LSTM, and RF to improve predictive accuracy by capturing both linear and nonlinear dependencies in historical gold price data. SARIMA models linear trends and seasonal components, LSTM captures nonlinear patterns from SARIMA residuals, and RF refines predictions using macroeconomic indicators such as the USD Index, Federal Interest Rate, US CPI, Oil Prices, S&P 500 Index, and Bond Yields. Utilizing real-world data, the model effectively tracks market trends with reduced forecasting errors, indicating continued price fluctuations and potential long-term growth. The findings provide valuable insights for investors and policymakers, with future research focusing on additional macroeconomic factors and advanced hybrid forecasting techniques. This study introduces a hybrid SARIMA–LSTM–RF model that enhances the accuracy of gold price forecasting by capturing both linear and nonlinear market dynamics. By integrating macroeconomic indicators such as the USD Index, Federal Interest Rate, CPI, Oil Prices, S&P 500 Index, and Bond Yields, the model effectively reflects real-world financial interactions influencing gold prices. The results demonstrate reduced prediction errors and improved tracking of short-term fluctuations as well as long-term growth trends. These findings provide valuable implications for investors and policymakers in managing financial risk and optimizing investment portfolios, while contributing to the advancement of hybrid forecasting frameworks for complex financial time series.

In 2025, the price of platinum is forecast to hover around ***** U.S. dollars per troy ounce. Meanwhile, the cost of per troy ounce of gold is expected to amount to ***** U.S. dollars. Precious metals Precious metals are counted among the most valuable commodities worldwide. The most well known such metals are gold, silver and the platinum group metals. A precious metal can be used as an industrial commodity or as an investment. The major areas of application include the following sectors: technology, car-making, industrial manufacturing and jewelry making. Furthermore, gold and silver are used as coinage metals, and gold reserves are held by the central banks of many countries worldwide in order to store value or for use as a redemption medium. The idea behind this procedure is that gold reserves will help secure and stabilize the countries’ respective currencies. At ***** tons, the United States is the country with the most extensive stock of gold. It is kept in an underground vault at the New York Federal Reserve Bank. Russia, the United States, Canada, South Africa and China are the main producers of precious metals. Silver is the most abundant of the metals, followed by gold and palladium. Barrick Gold is the world’s largest gold mining company. The Toronto-based firm produced some **** million ounces of gold in 2020. The leading silver producers include Mexico-based Fresnillo, Poland’s KGHM Polska Miedž and the mining giant Glencore. Anglo Platinum and Impala are the key mining companies to produce platinum group metals. In 2023, Silver prices are expected to settle at around **** U.S. dollars per troy ounce. It is expected to remain the precious metal with the lowest value per ounce. The price of gold is forecast to drop to around ***** U.S. dollars per ounce, making it the most expensive precious metal in 2023.

The global gold bars market, valued at approximately $120.49 billion in 2025, is projected to experience steady growth, driven by a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.2% from 2025 to 2033. This growth is fueled by several key factors. Increased investment demand, particularly from both institutional investors (like central banks diversifying reserves) and individual investors seeking safe haven assets during economic uncertainty, is a major driver. Furthermore, the ongoing popularity of physical gold as a tangible asset, coupled with rising inflation in several regions, contributes to the market's expansion. The market is segmented by application (investment and central bank holdings) and type (cast bars and minted bars), with investment-grade bars dominating the market share. Geographically, North America and Europe currently hold significant market share, but Asia-Pacific, particularly China and India, are expected to witness substantial growth due to increasing affluence and a rising middle class with a growing interest in gold as a store of value and for jewelry purposes. The presence of established players like Umicore, Argor-Heraeus, and Metalor Technologies, alongside significant regional refineries in Asia, ensures a competitive yet stable market landscape. However, market growth may face some challenges. Fluctuations in gold prices, influenced by global economic conditions and currency exchange rates, represent a significant restraint. Geopolitical instability and regulatory changes impacting gold trading and refining can also affect market dynamics. Nevertheless, the inherent value of gold as a safe-haven asset and its diverse applications across various sectors suggest a positive long-term outlook for the gold bars market. The continued expansion of the global economy, coupled with increasing demand from emerging markets, positions the market for sustained growth over the forecast period. Specific market segments, like minted bars, might witness accelerated growth due to their appeal to individual investors seeking smaller, more easily traded units.

Gold is the most popular precious metal in the investment industry. The rate of return for gold investments fluctuated significantly during the period from 2002 to 2024 but generated positive returns in most years of the observed period. The return of gold as an investment reached almost ** percent in 2024, one of the highest recorded. Why is gold valuable? Gold is a precious metal with several practical uses, particularly in technology. For example, NASA uses gold to improve its lasers and protect sensitive things in space, including a part of the visor for its astronauts. However, a large share of the demand for gold worldwide is as an investment, particularly by central banks. Gold serves the purpose of an alternative to currency because it is relatively scarce but still has enough mine production to serve the financial sector. Gold as an investment Under the Bretton Woods agreement after World War II, the world’s major currencies were tied to the value of gold. This system, called the Gold Standard, ended in 1971. Still, most countries maintain significant gold reserves. Due to this history and the overall faith in the value of gold, the average gold price tends to increase in times of recession, making it an attractive investment in uncertain times.

Gold Loan Market Outlook

The global gold loan market size was valued at approximately USD 140 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 260 billion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7%. This substantial growth is driven by factors such as increasing awareness and acceptance of gold loans, the rising price of gold, and the need for quick and easy financing solutions. Gold loans have become an increasingly popular financial instrument, especially in regions where gold holds cultural and economic significance.

One of the primary growth factors for the gold loan market is the rising price of gold. As gold prices increase, the value of collateral used in gold loans also rises, making it an attractive option for both lenders and borrowers. Additionally, economic uncertainties and volatile financial markets have led individuals and businesses to seek safer investment options, further enhancing the appeal of gold loans. This has driven significant growth in the market as more people turn to gold as a reliable asset for securing loans.

Another significant growth driver is the increasing awareness and acceptance of gold loans among various demographics. Traditionally, gold loans were more popular in rural areas, but over the past few years, there has been a noticeable shift in urban and semi-urban regions as well. Financial institutions and fintech companies have played a crucial role in educating consumers about the benefits of gold loans, including lower interest rates compared to other unsecured loans, quick disbursement, and minimal documentation requirements. This broader acceptance has contributed to the market's expansion.

Moreover, the technological advancements in the financial sector have streamlined the gold loan process, making it more accessible and convenient for borrowers. Online platforms and mobile applications have simplified the application and approval processes, reducing the time and effort required to obtain a gold loan. This technological integration has not only enhanced customer experience but also expanded the reach of gold loan services to a larger audience, including tech-savvy millennials and business owners seeking faster financing options.

Regionally, the Asia Pacific region dominates the gold loan market, largely due to the cultural significance of gold in countries like India and China. The region's market is expected to continue its dominance, driven by the increasing demand for gold loans from both individuals and businesses. In contrast, regions such as North America and Europe are witnessing moderate growth, primarily due to the rising acceptance and awareness of gold loans as viable financial instruments. The Middle East & Africa and Latin America regions are also showing promising potential, with increasing market penetration and strategic partnerships among financial institutions.

Type Analysis

The gold loan market can be segmented into two main types: short-term gold loans and long-term gold loans. Short-term gold loans are typically preferred by individuals and businesses seeking quick financing solutions to meet immediate financial needs. These loans usually have a repayment period ranging from a few days to a few months. The demand for short-term gold loans is driven by the need for fast cash flow, minimal documentation, and the ability to repay the loan within a short period. Moreover, the shorter repayment tenure reduces the risk for lenders, making it an attractive option for financial institutions.

On the other hand, long-term gold loans are aimed at borrowers who require a more extended repayment period, typically ranging from one year to several years. These loans are often used for more substantial financial requirements such as business expansion, higher education, or significant personal expenses. The longer repayment period allows borrowers to manage their finances more effectively and provides them with the flexibility to repay the loan in manageable installments. The increasing demand for long-term gold loans is also driven by the rising price of gold, which enhances the value of collateral and provides borrowers with higher loan amounts.

Both short-term and long-term gold loans have their unique advantages and cater to different financial needs. Short-term gold loans are favored for their quick approval process and minimal documentation requirements, making them ideal for immediate financial needs. In contrast, long-term gold loans offer the benefit of larger loan amounts and extended repayment periods, making them suitable for signi

The global plain gold jewelry market, encompassing 24K, 22K, and 18K gold variations, across online and offline retail channels, is experiencing robust growth. While precise market size figures for 2025 are unavailable, leveraging the provided CAGR (let's assume a conservative 5% for illustration) and a hypothetical 2019 market size of $50 billion, a 2025 market size of approximately $64 billion can be reasonably inferred. This growth is fueled by several key factors. Firstly, gold's enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset and its cultural significance in various regions drive consistent demand. Secondly, evolving consumer preferences, including a rising interest in minimalist designs and sustainable sourcing, are positively impacting the market. The online segment is witnessing rapid expansion due to increased e-commerce penetration and the convenience it offers. Major players like Chow Tai Fook, Tanishq, and others are leveraging online platforms to expand their reach and cater to a broader customer base. However, market growth faces certain challenges. Economic fluctuations, particularly inflation and recessionary pressures, can impact consumer spending on non-essential items like jewelry. Furthermore, fluctuating gold prices directly influence market dynamics and consumer purchasing decisions. The market is segmented geographically, with Asia-Pacific (particularly India and China) remaining a dominant region due to strong cultural ties to gold and significant consumer purchasing power. North America and Europe also exhibit considerable demand, driven by both investment and adornment motivations. The segmentation by karat (24K, 22K, 18K) reflects varying preferences for purity and color, offering diverse product options to meet consumer needs. Future growth will depend on managing price volatility, adapting to changing consumer preferences, and strategically navigating the evolving retail landscape. The competitive landscape is marked by a mix of established global players and regional brands. Large jewelry conglomerates benefit from established supply chains and strong brand recognition. However, smaller, specialized brands are gaining traction by offering unique designs and catering to niche market segments. Success in this market will require a combination of strong brand building, efficient supply chain management, and the ability to adapt quickly to shifting consumer preferences and macroeconomic conditions. The continued rise of e-commerce and the increasing importance of sustainable practices are likely to further shape the market landscape in the coming years. Understanding regional nuances and tailoring marketing strategies accordingly will be crucial for long-term market success.

Prices of Bitcoin, US stock indices, Gold and crude oil

This model will help us in knowing that how Crude oil price, interest rate (repo rate), Indian currency price in dollars, Sensex (BSE), Inflation rate and US Dollar index will follow a relationship with the gold price directly or indirectly.

The regression analysis in which we use one dependent variable and multiple independent variables is called a multivariate regression analysis. The forecasting plays an important role in econometrics and also helps to determine government policies with optimality. The business decision which are dependent on the prices of such commodities can make benefits from a feasible prediction. We will have a brief view over the error mean square values of the regression model which will guide us about the predictive ability of the predictive model . The data is wide spread across the time and is available from dated 1st October 2000 to 1 August 2020.

A prediction model is developed for the gold price in India dependent on 5 variables using the statistical interpretations from these variables. The independent variables taken were crude oil prices, USD to INR, Sensex, CPI and Interest rate. The model passes different aspects such as adjusted R squared, T test and Durbin Watson with high favoring values.

The model is passed as a perfect fit along with the residual analysis which depicts that the model is a good fit and acceptable. The data was taken for a long span of time period and there were no missing values which was favorable for the regression model. We could observe a strong relation between the gold price and USD to INR, CPI and Sensex values. In future, more variables can be a part of this model and the data can be for a longer time span leading to the other heights of optimality.

Forecast for the gold prices is created for the next 10 months ahead using ARIMA Model.

Analysis of ‘Sentiment Analysis of Commodity News (Gold)’ provided by Analyst-2 (analyst-2.ai), based on source dataset retrieved from https://www.kaggle.com/ankurzing/sentiment-analysis-in-commodity-market-gold on 12 November 2021.

--- Dataset description provided by original source is as follows ---

Context

This is a news dataset for the commodity market where we have manually annotated 11,412 news headlines across multiple dimensions into various classes. The dataset has been sampled from a period of 20+ years (2000-2021).

Content

The dataset has been collected from various news sources and annotated by three human annotators who were subject experts. Each news headline was evaluated on various dimensions, for instance - if a headline is a price related news then what is the direction of price movements it is talking about; whether the news headline is talking about the past or future; whether the news item is talking about asset comparison; etc.

Acknowledgements

Sinha, Ankur, and Tanmay Khandait. "Impact of News on the Commodity Market: Dataset and Results." In Future of Information and Communication Conference, pp. 589-601. Springer, Cham, 2021.

https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.04202 Sinha, Ankur, and Tanmay Khandait. "Impact of News on the Commodity Market: Dataset and Results." arXiv preprint arXiv:2009.04202 (2020)

We would like to acknowledge the financial support provided by the India Gold Policy Centre (IGPC).

Inspiration

Commodity prices are known to be quite volatile. Machine learning models that understand the commodity news well, will be able to provide an additional input to the short-term and long-term price forecasting models. The dataset will also be useful in creating news-based indicators for commodities.

Apart from researchers and practitioners working in the area of news analytics for commodities, the dataset will also be useful for researchers looking to evaluate their models on classification problems in the context of text-analytics. Some of the classes in the dataset are highly imbalanced and may pose challenges to the machine learning algorithms.

--- Original source retains full ownership of the source dataset ---

The global gold and silver jewelry market exhibits robust growth, driven by increasing disposable incomes, particularly in emerging economies, and a persistent demand for precious metals as investment assets and status symbols. The market's expansion is further fueled by evolving fashion trends incorporating intricate designs and sustainable sourcing practices, attracting a broader consumer base. While economic downturns can temporarily dampen demand, the inherent value and enduring appeal of gold and silver jewelry ensure consistent market resilience. Significant regional variations exist, with Asia-Pacific, specifically China and India, demonstrating particularly strong market presence due to cultural preferences and robust domestic manufacturing. However, challenges include fluctuating gold and silver prices, which impact consumer spending and profitability for manufacturers and retailers. Furthermore, the market faces increasing competition from alternative jewelry materials and brands targeting younger demographics. Successful players effectively navigate these challenges through strategic pricing, diversification of product lines, leveraging online retail channels, and emphasizing ethical and sustainable sourcing to cater to evolving consumer preferences. Over the forecast period (2025-2033), the gold and silver jewelry market is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory, propelled by the factors mentioned above. The market will see a continued shift towards online sales channels and personalized jewelry experiences. Technological advancements in jewelry design and manufacturing will enhance production efficiency and create opportunities for innovation. However, maintaining sustainable sourcing practices and responsible mining operations will be crucial for ensuring long-term market sustainability. Competition among established players and emerging brands will intensify, demanding continuous adaptation and innovation to meet consumer preferences and stay ahead of the curve. The market's segmentations, based on factors such as metal type, jewelry type, price range, and distribution channel, will continue to play a significant role in shaping market dynamics and growth.