Mortgage rates surged at an unprecedented pace in 2022, with the average 10-year fixed rate doubling between March and December of that year. In response to mounting inflation, the Bank of England implemented a series of rate hikes, pushing borrowing costs steadily higher. By August 2025, the average 10-year fixed mortgage rate had climbed to 4.49 percent. As financing becomes more expensive, housing demand has cooled, weighing on market sentiment and slowing house price growth. How have the mortgage hikes affected the market? After surging in 2021, the number of residential properties sold fell significantly in 2023, dipping to just above *** million transactions. This contraction in activity also dampened mortgage lending. Between the first quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, the value of new mortgage loans declined year-on-year for five consecutive quarters. Even as rates eased modestly in 2024 and housing activity picked up slightly, volumes remained well below the highs recorded in 2021. How are higher mortgages impacting homebuyers? For homeowners, the impact is being felt most acutely as fixed-rate deals expire. Mortgage terms in the UK typically range from two to ten years, and many borrowers who locked in historically low rates are now facing significantly higher repayments when refinancing. By the end of 2026, an estimated five million homeowners will see their mortgage deals expire. Roughly two million of these loans are projected to experience a monthly payment increase of up to *** British pounds by 2026, putting additional pressure on household budgets and constraining affordability across the market.

Mortgage interest rates in the UK were on a downward trend for more than a decade before soaring in 2022. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the average weighted interest rate stood at **** percent — nearly ***** times the interest rate in the fourth quarter of 2021. Mortgage rates also vary depending on the type of mortgage: Historically, fixed rate mortgages with a shorter term had on average lower interest rates. What types of mortgages are there? In terms of the type of interest rate, mortgages can be fixed and variable. A fixed interest rate is simply a mortgage where the rate of repayment is fixed, while a variable rate depends on the lender’s underlying variable interest rate. Furthermore, mortgages could be for a house purchase or for refinancing. The vast majority of mortgages in the UK are fixed rate mortgages for house purchase, and only a small share is for remortgaging. How big is the UK mortgage market? The UK has the largest mortgage market in Europe, amounting to nearly ***billion euros in gross residential mortgage lending as of the second quarter of 2023. When comparing the total outstanding residential mortgage lending, the UK also ranks first with about *** trillion euros.

Mortgage interest rates in Europe soared in 2022 and remained elevated in the following two years. In many countries, this resulted in mortgage interest rates across the region more than doubling. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the average mortgage interest rate in the UK stood at *** percent. Belgium had the lowest rate, at **** percent, while Poland had the highest, at *** percent. Why did mortgage interest rates increase? Mortgage rates have risen as a result of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate increase. The ECB increased its interest rates to tackle inflation. As inflation calms, the ECB is expected to cut rates, which allows mortgage lenders to reduce mortgage interest rates. What is the impact of interest rates on home buying? Lower interest rates make taking out a housing loan more affordable, and thus, encourage home buying. That can be seen in many countries across Europe: In France, the number of residential properties sold rose in the years leading up to 2021, and fell as interest rates increased. The number of houses sold in the UK followed a similar trend.

Mortgage brokers’ revenue is anticipated to climb at a compound annual rate of 4.5% over the five years through 2024-25 to £2.3 billion, including estimated growth of . Rising residential property transactions stimulated by government initiatives and rising house prices have driven industry growth. However, mortgage brokers have faced numerous obstacles, including downward pricing pressures from upstream lenders and a sharp downturn in the housing market as rising mortgage rates ramped up the cost of borrowing. After a standstill in residential real estate activity in the immediate aftermath of the COVID-19 outbreak, ultra-low base rates, the release of pent-up demand, the introduction of tax incentives and buyers reassessing their living situation fuelled a V-shaped recovery in the housing market. This meant new mortgage approvals for house purchases boomed going into 2021-22, ramping up demand for brokerage services. 2022-23 was a year rife with economic headwinds, from rising interest rates to fears of a looming recession. Yet, the housing market stood its ground, with brokers continuing to benefit from rising prices. Elevated mortgage rates eventually hit demand for houses in the first half of 2023, contributing to lacklustre house price growth in 2023-24, hurting revenue, despite a modest recovery in the second half of the year as mortgage rates came down. In 2024-25, lower mortgage rates and an improving economic outlook support house prices, driving revenue growth. Mortgage brokers’ revenue is anticipated to swell at a compound annual rate of 5.3% over the five years through 2029-30 to £2.9 billion. Competition from direct lending will ramp up. Yet, growth opportunities remain. The emergence of niche mortgage products, like those targeting retired individuals and contractors, as well as green mortgages, will support revenue growth in the coming years. AI is also set to transform the industry, improving cost efficiencies by automating tasks like document verification, risk assessment and customer profiling.

Mortgage rates in the United Kingdom (UK) have risen dramatically since the beginning of 2022, causing concerns about households with loans up for renewal facing notable increases in costs. That is the case for 1.4 million fixed rate mortgages up for renewal in 2023. This type of mortgage is a popular choice among homebuyers because it allows them to lock in the interest rate for a specific period. After the period runs out, homebuyers need to renegotiate the loan or switch to a variable interest rate. The vast majority of loans up for renewal until 2024 have an initial effective mortgage rate of less than 2.5 percent - significantly lower than the current mortgage rates.

Mortgage Approvals in the United Kingdom increased to 65.35 Thousand in July from 64.57 Thousand in June of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom Mortgage Approvals - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Mortgage Rate in the United Kingdom decreased to 6.86 percent in August from 6.95 percent in July of 2025. This dataset provides - United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Rate- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in June 2025, from less than ******percent in many European countries to as high as ***percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increases in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2024, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.

The benchmark interest rate in the United Kingdom was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides - United Kingdom Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

This dataset provides values for MORTGAGE RATE reported in several countries. The data includes current values, previous releases, historical highs and record lows, release frequency, reported unit and currency.

This dataset provides values for INTEREST RATE reported in several countries. The data includes current values, previous releases, historical highs and record lows, release frequency, reported unit and currency.

The 10 largest mortgage lenders in the United Kingdom accounted for approximately 83 percent of the total market, with the top three alone accounting for 48 percent in 2024. Lloyds Banking Group had the largest market share of gross mortgage lending, with nearly 47 billion British pounds in lending in 2024. HSBC, which is the largest UK bank by total assets, ranked fifth. Development of the mortgage market In 2024, the value of outstanding in mortgage lending to individuals amounted to 1.6 trillion British pounds. Although this figure has continuously increased in the past, the UK mortgage market declined dramatically in 2024, registering the lowest value of mortgage lending since 2015. In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic caused the market to contract for the first time since 2012. The next two years saw mortgage lending soar due to pent-up demand, but as interest rates soared, the housing market cooled, leading to a decrease in new loans of about 100 billion British pounds. The end of low interest rates In 2021, mortgage rates saw some of their lowest levels since recording began by the Bank of England. For a long time, this was particularly good news for first-time homebuyers and those remortgaging their property. Nevertheless, due to the rising inflation, mortgage rates started to rise in the second half of the year, resulting in the 10-year rate doubling in 2022.

The non-depository financing industry's revenue has contracted at a projected compound annual rate of 2.1% over the five years through 2024-25. The COVID-19 outbreak caused a large drop in borrowing in 2020-21 as consumers faced a lack of spending opportunities, outweighing the gains from businesses taking out additional loans to stay afloat. The industry has also faced stronger regulatory oversight to combat the proliferation of overly risky and expensive loans. The cost-of-living crisis has caused consumer lending to swell as households rely on short-term borrowing to make up for weakened savings and costs outpacing wages. Soaring interest rates have caused the cost of mortgages to skyrocket, damaging revenue as buyers pull back and lenders are more cautious. The Non-Depository Financing industry's revenue is estimated to climb by 1.7% in 2024-25 – and is expected to total £6.7 billion. This comes from the much-anticipated sliding down of interest rates that will aid the mortgage market and big returns from newer sectors like OpenAI and sustainable technologies. Industry revenue is expected to swell at a compound annual rate of 2.4% to £7.6 billion over the five years through 2029-30. The need for credit is set to be supported by the previous erosion of savings from spiked inflation, leading to more loans needed for sizeable investments as confidence rebounds. Non-depositary financing companies will continue facing stiff competition from other types of lenders, like peer-to-peer lenders. The regulation constricting payday loans will continue to push services towards a lower margin and higher volume approach, aiding those with lower credit scores but dented industry profit. The high cost of mortgages and economic headwinds will settle and start to rebuild the housing market, supporting revenue.

Building society revenue is anticipated to grow at a compound annual rate of 27.4% over the five years through 2025-26 to £51.7 billion, including estimated growth of 2.7% in 2025-26. Building societies have benefitted from an influx of re-mortgaging activity, as homeowners have sought to lock in lower rates before expected interest rate rises. However, societies faced challenging operating conditions, including intense competition from other financial institutions like retail banks. Following the COVID-19 outbreak, the Bank of England underwent aggressive rate hikes, aiding interest income. Despite the growing base rate environment feeding through to elevated mortgage rates, the residential property market proved resilient for most of 2022-23, resulting in building societies reporting huge boosts to their net interest income. In 2023-24, rates continued to rise, lifting revenue growth further despite intensifying mortgage price competition. However, deposit costs picked up during the year, placing downward pressure on net interest income and profitability. Yet, revenue continued to skyrocket thanks to healthy interest income from mortgage lending in the higher base rate environment. In 2024-25, sticky inflation resulted in interest rates staying higher for longer, aiding revenue growth. However, rate cuts did occur as inflation normalised, contributing to a slower rate of revenue growth, which was partially offset by a healthy housing market. In 2025-26, revenue is set to continue growing as mortgage lending gathers momentum, with buyers making the most of lower borrowing costs. However, a declining base rate will continue to erode interest income and further slow revenue in 2025-26. Building society revenue is anticipated to grow at a compound annual rate of 2.5% over the five years through 2029-30 to reach £58.5 billion. The UK housing market will continue to grow thanks to lower borrowing costs and aid interest income in the coming years through healthier mortgage lending. Revenue growth will disperse outside of the capital in regions like the North West, Yorkshire and the West Midlands due to the government's levelling up agenda and private multinationals expanding their presence elsewhere.

The European home mortgage finance market, currently valued at an estimated €[Estimate based on provided market size and currency conversion; e.g., €500 Billion] in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 6% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Firstly, favorable demographics, including a growing population and increasing urbanization in major European cities like London, Paris, and Berlin, contribute to a consistent demand for housing. Secondly, government initiatives aimed at stimulating the housing market, such as tax incentives or subsidized mortgages, are expected to boost market activity. Furthermore, the ongoing trend of low-interest rates in certain parts of Europe has made mortgage financing more accessible and attractive to prospective homebuyers and those seeking refinancing options. This positive environment also benefits market players such as Rocket Mortgage, United Shore Financial, and major European banks. However, the market is not without its challenges. Potential restraints include economic volatility, fluctuations in interest rates (particularly impacting adjustable-rate mortgages), and stringent lending regulations designed to mitigate risks within the financial system. Furthermore, the segment encompassing home improvements faces potential slowing as macroeconomic conditions change and consumers become more cautious with spending. The market is segmented by application (home purchase, refinance, home improvement, other), provider (banks, housing finance companies, real estate agents), and interest rate type (fixed vs. adjustable). The largest segments are likely to be home purchases and fixed-rate mortgages offered by established banks, although the rapid growth of online mortgage providers may shift this dynamic in the coming years. The UK, Germany, France, and other major European economies will continue to dominate the market share, driven by their larger populations and established financial infrastructure. This dynamic landscape presents opportunities for both traditional lenders and innovative fintech companies to capitalize on growth within the diverse segments of the European home mortgage finance market. Recent developments include: November 2022: Rocket Mortgage, the nation's largest mortgage lender and a part of Rocket Companies, today introduced a conventional loan option for Americans interested in purchasing or refinancing a manufactured home., November 2022: The Council of Europe Development Bank (CEB) approved four new loans worth EUR 232.5 million to boost affordable housing and other social sector development. Under this, it offered EUR 25 million in loans to Kosovo to finance the 'Adequate Social Housing Programme' to establish a sustainable social and affordable housing system in the country.. Notable trends are: Increased Number of Salaried Individuals is Driving the Market Growth.

The UK’s total loan balances outstanding (including credit card balances, personal loan balances, and residential mortgage balances outstanding) recorded a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.3% during 2014-18 to reach £1,626.6bn ($2,075.6bn). The majority of loan balances outstanding are from home loans, with residential mortgage balances outstanding accounting for 86.7% of total balances in 2018, followed by personal loans (8.8%) and credit cards (4.5%). However, uncertainty on account of Brexit and its impact on the economy will affect the growth of total loan balances outstanding in the coming years. As a result, we estimate total loan balances outstanding to record a subdued CAGR of 2.7% over 2019-23. The UK lending space is dominated by Lloyds Banking Group, Barclays, and RBS Group – a trend that is anticipated to continue over the coming years. However, they may face increased competition from non-bank lenders, digital banks, and digital lending platforms breaking into the market and offering low interest rates and hassle-free loan approvals. The savings market in the UK recorded a CAGR of 3.9% over 2014-18 to reach £1,433.7bn ($1,829.4bn) in 2018. The market grew at a higher rate compared to loan balances during the five-year review period due to economic uncertainty surrounding Brexit. Read More

August 2024 marked a significant shift in the UK's monetary policy, as it saw the first reduction in the official bank base interest rate since August 2023. This change came after a period of consistent rate hikes that began in late 2021. In a bid to minimize the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Bank of England cut the official bank base rate in March 2020 to a record low of *** percent. This historic low came just one week after the Bank of England cut rates from **** percent to **** percent in a bid to prevent mass job cuts in the United Kingdom. It remained at *** percent until December 2021 and was increased to one percent in May 2022 and to **** percent in October 2022. After that, the bank rate increased almost on a monthly basis, reaching **** percent in August 2023. It wasn't until August 2024 that the first rate decrease since the previous year occurred, signaling a potential shift in monetary policy. Why do central banks adjust interest rates? Central banks, including the Bank of England, adjust interest rates to manage economic stability and control inflation. Their strategies involve a delicate balance between two main approaches. When central banks raise interest rates, their goal is to cool down an overheated economy. Higher rates curb excessive spending and borrowing, which helps to prevent runaway inflation. This approach is typically used when the economy is growing too quickly or when inflation is rising above desired levels. Conversely, when central banks lower interest rates, they aim to encourage borrowing and investment. This strategy is employed to stimulate economic growth during periods of slowdown or recession. Lower rates make it cheaper for businesses and individuals to borrow money, which can lead to increased spending and investment. This dual approach allows central banks to maintain a balance between promoting growth and controlling inflation, ensuring long-term economic stability. Additionally, adjusting interest rates can influence currency values, impacting international trade and investment flows, further underscoring their critical role in a nation's economic health. Recent interest rate trends Between 2021 and 2024, most advanced and emerging economies experienced a period of regular interest rate hikes. This trend was driven by several factors, including persistent supply chain disruptions, high energy prices, and robust demand pressures. These elements combined to create significant inflationary trends, prompting central banks to raise rates in an effort to temper spending and borrowing. However, in 2024, a shift began to occur in global monetary policy. The European Central Bank (ECB) was among the first major central banks to reverse this trend by cutting interest rates. This move signaled a change in approach aimed at addressing growing economic slowdowns and supporting growth.

Annual house price inflation, simple and mix-adjusted average house prices, by dwelling, type of buyer, number of transactions, mortgage advances, distribution of borrowers' ages/incomes, interest rates, land prices, average valuations, Land Registry data

The UK mortgage and loan broker market, valued at £2.88 billion in 2025, is poised for significant growth, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 9.60% from 2025 to 2033. This robust expansion is driven by several factors. Increasing demand for mortgages and loans from both individuals and businesses, fueled by a growing population and a dynamic economy, is a primary driver. The rise of online platforms and fintech solutions is streamlining the application process, making mortgages and loans more accessible to a wider range of consumers. Furthermore, the increasing complexity of financial products necessitates the expertise of brokers who can navigate the market and secure the best deals for their clients. The market is segmented by enterprise size (large, small, mid-sized), application type (home loans, commercial and industrial loans, vehicle loans, loans to governments, others), and end-user (businesses, individuals). Major players like Lloyds Banking Group, NatWest Group, and HSBC Bank dominate the market, alongside smaller, specialized brokers catering to niche needs. While regulatory changes and economic fluctuations present potential restraints, the market's inherent growth trajectory and the continuing need for professional financial guidance strongly suggest a sustained period of expansion. The competitive landscape features a mix of established banking institutions and independent brokerages. While large banks offer extensive resources and brand recognition, independent brokers often provide more personalized service and access to a wider range of lenders. The market's geographical distribution across the UK reflects regional variations in housing prices, economic activity, and consumer behaviour. Future growth will likely be influenced by interest rate adjustments, government policies impacting the housing market, and technological innovations enhancing the efficiency and accessibility of mortgage and loan brokerage services. The increasing focus on sustainable and ethical lending practices could also shape the industry's future. Further specialization within niche market segments like green mortgages or bridging loans is expected to emerge, attracting further investments and enhancing competition. Recent developments include: In October 2023, Deutsche Bank AG announced the completion of its acquisition of Numis Corporation Plc. The integration of both brands' strengths and reputations in the UK and global markets has led to the introduction of 'Deutsche Numis', emerging as a prominent entity in UK investment banking and the preferred advisor for listed companies in the UK., In January 2024, Perenna took a major step forward by becoming a part of the lender panels for several prominent networks and clubs in the UK, such as Mortgage Advice Bureau, Stonebridge, and Legal & General Mortgage Club. This expansion marks a strategic growth initiative for Perenna, with intentions to forge additional partnerships in the coming times.. Notable trends are: The Future of Mortgages in UK is Being Reshaped by Digitization.