The average market risk premium in the United States decreased slightly to *** percent in 2023. This suggests that investors demand a slightly lower return for investments in that country, in exchange for the risk they are exposed to. This premium has hovered between *** and *** percent since 2011. What causes country-specific risk? Risk to investments come from two main sources. First, inflation causes an asset’s price to decrease in real terms. A 100 U.S. dollar investment with three percent inflation is only worth ** U.S. dollars after one year. Investors are also interested in risks of project failure or non-performing loans. The unique U.S. context Analysts have historically considered the United States Treasury to be risk-free. This view has been shifting, but many advisors continue to use treasury yield rates as a risk-free rate. Given the fact that U.S. government securities are available at a variety of terms, this gives investment managers a range of tools for predicting future market developments.
Market risk premiums (MRP) measure the expected return on investment an investor looks to make. For potential investors looking to add to their portfolio, the perfect scenario for a risk-based investment would be a high rate of return with as small a risk as possible. There are * main concepts to MRPs, including required market risk premiums, historical market risk premiums and expected market risk premiums. In 2025, average market risk premiums in Poland decreased from the previous year to reach *** percent. Greece and Ukraine with the highest MRP in Europe In 2023, Poland was relatively well-placed for average market risk premiums in Europe, compared to other countries. Countries with the highest MRP, and therefore of the highest investment risk included Ukraine and Russia. Poland's risk premiums reached *** percent. Ukraine risk premiums averaged at ** percent in 2023. Risk-free rates Risk-free rates are closely associated to market risk premiums and measure the rate of return on an investment with no risk. As there is no risk associated, the rate of return is lower than that of an MRP. Average risk-free rates across Europe (except for Turkey and Ukraine) were relatively low in 2023. The risk-free rate of investment in Poland was *** percent as of 2023.
This statistic illustrates the median market risk premium used for selected countries worldwide in 2024. The median market risk premium used in Turkey was the highest and reached a value of 17.2 percent in that year.
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Graph and download economic data for Real Risk Premium (TENEXPCHAREARISPRE) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about premium, real, and USA.
This statistic illustrates the average market risk premium used for selected countries worldwide in 2024. The average market risk premium used in Turkey was the highest and reached a value of **** percent in that year.
Market risk premiums (MRP) measure the expected return on investment an investor looks to make. For potential investors looking to add to their portfolio, the perfect scenario for a risk-based investment would be a high rate of return with as small a risk as possible. There are three main concepts to MRP’s, including required market risk premiums, historical market risk premiums and expected market risk premiums. United Kingdom shows little return for risk Europe wide, Finland had one of the lowest MRP alongside Poland and Germany. Ukraine had average risk premiums of **** percent in 2024. Having a lower market risk premium may seem bad, but for countries such as the UK and Germany where rates have been consistent for several years, it is because the market is stable as an environment for investment. Risk free rates Risk free rates are closely associated to market risk premiums and measure the rate of return on an investment with no risk. As there is no risk associated, the rate of return is lower than that of an MRP. Average risk free rates across Europe are relatively low.
Market risk premiums (MRP) measure the expected return on investment an investor looks to make. For potential investors looking to add to their portfolio, the perfect scenario for a risk-based investment would be a high rate of return with as small a risk as possible. There are three main concepts to MRP’s, including required market risk premiums, historical market risk premiums and expected market risk premiums. In 2023, average market risk premiums in Turkey increased from the previous year. Turkey has second-highest MRP in Europe In 2023, Turkey had the third-highest average market risk premium rates in Europe. That year, right above Turkey, Russia and Ukraine recorded the highest MRP rates in Europe. At the other end of the scale was Netherlands and Switzerland, whose market risk premiums averaged almost quarter of those seen in Ukraine. Risk-free rates Risk-free rates are closely associated to market risk premiums and measure the rate of return on an investment with no risk. As there is no risk associated, the rate of return is lower than that of an MRP. Average risk-free rates across Europe were relatively low in 2023, with exceptions. The risk-free rate of investment in Turkey in 2023 was 14.4 percent.
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Risk premium on lending (lending rate minus treasury bill rate, %) in Brazil was reported at 31.48 % in 2023, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Brazil - Risk premium on lending (prime rate minus treasury bill rate, %) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on June of 2025.
The average market risk premium used in Czechia fluctuated between 2011 and 2023. As of 2023, the average market risk premium in the country reached a value of 6.3 percent, an increase compared to the previous year.
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Risk premium on lending (lending rate minus treasury bill rate, %) in Mexico was reported at 0.49417 % in 2023, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Mexico - Risk premium on lending (prime rate minus treasury bill rate, %) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on July of 2025.
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Replication data for manuscript "The Historical and Expected Equity Risk Premium in Spain: A Long-Run View, 1900-2020". We present revised estimates of the historical (ex post) equity risk premium and an original estimate of the expected (ex ante) premium for the Madrid stock market over a period of 120 years. The results are based on a new equity index, the H-IBEX (1900-1987), built on high-quality monthly data hand-collected from primary sources and methodologically aligned with the modern Spanish index, IBEX35. We also reconstructed an original weighted index of government bonds (1900-1987) which can be smoothly connected with recent data. Data include original series for equities, bonds and bills for the Madrid Stock Exchange from 1900 to 1987, at monthly and annual frequency, spliced with more recent data on equities (IBEX35) and bonds, to cover the period until 2020. Documentation includes three Excel files: monthly series, annual series and a summary of annual data.
The average market risk premium used in Denmark fluctuated between 2011 and 2024. As of 2024, the market risk premium in the country reached a value of 5.8 percent, lower than the previous year.
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Risk premium on lending (lending rate minus treasury bill rate, %) in Georgia was reported at 4.0168 % in 2023, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Georgia - Risk premium on lending (prime rate minus treasury bill rate, %) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on July of 2025.
Split into three categories (required, historical, expected), market risk premiums measure the rate of return investors expect on an investment over the risk that investment holds. In Europe, average market risk premiums (MRP) sit between **** and *** percent. Greece sees hike in MRP Although it has a relatively high market risk premium, Greece has seen its rates significantly decrease since 2020. Greece also saw a ****** than average return rate on risk free investments. The same correlation can be seen with Europe’s less risky countries for investment. With Germany seeing some of the ****** market risk premiums and risk free returns in Europe. Required, historical and expected Separating the three types of market risk premiums is straightforward. Required MRP’s differ between investors, as approaches to investment change and measure the rate of return needed for an investment to be made. Expected premiums look at the rate of return, and what they are calculated to come out as, while historical MRP’s look back over a period at the average rate of return that investors previously got in the past.
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The Premium Matchmaking Service market has emerged as a significant sector within the personal relationship and dating industry, catering to individuals seeking deeper, more meaningful connections beyond traditional dating apps. With a current market size estimated at several billion dollars, the landscape of premiu
Market risk premiums (MRP) measure the expected return on investment an investor looks to make. For potential investors looking to add to their portfolio, the perfect scenario for a risk-based investment would be a high rate of return with as small a risk as possible. There are three main concepts to MRP’s, including required market risk premiums, historical market risk premiums and expected market risk premiums. In 2024, average market risk premiums in Germany stood at *** percent. MRP in Europe As of 2024, Germany had one of the ****** average market risk premium in Europe. At the same time, market risk premiums in Ukraine were almost ***** as high due to the risk of investment involved. Risk free rates Risk free rates are closely associated to market risk premiums and measure the rate of return on an investment with no risk. As there is no risk associated, the rate of return is lower than that of an MRP. Average risk free rates across Europe were relatively low in 2024. The risk free rate of investment in Germany was less than three percent as of 2024.
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United States US: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data was reported at 3.186 % pa in 2016. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.201 % pa for 2015. United States US: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 2.868 % pa from Dec 1960 (Median) to 2016, with 57 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.793 % pa in 1981 and a record low of 0.587 % pa in 1965. United States US: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Risk premium on lending is the interest rate charged by banks on loans to private sector customers minus the 'risk free' treasury bill interest rate at which short-term government securities are issued or traded in the market. In some countries this spread may be negative, indicating that the market considers its best corporate clients to be lower risk than the government. The terms and conditions attached to lending rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics database.; ;
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Risk premium on lending (lending rate minus treasury bill rate, %) in Kenya was reported at 1.376 % in 2023, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Kenya - Risk premium on lending (prime rate minus treasury bill rate, %) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on July of 2025.
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This article investigates the intertemporal relation between volatility spreads and expected returns on the aggregate stock market. We provide evidence for a significantly negative link between volatility spreads and expected returns at the daily and weekly frequencies. We argue that this link is driven by the information flow from option markets to stock markets. The documented relation is significantly stronger for the periods during which (i) S&P 500 constituent firms announce their earnings; (ii) cash flow and discount rate news are large in magnitude; and (iii) consumer sentiment index takes extreme values. The intertemporal relation remains strongly negative after controlling for conditional volatility, variance risk premium, and macroeconomic variables. Moreover, a trading strategy based on the intertemporal relation with volatility spreads has higher portfolio returns compared to a passive strategy of investing in the S&P 500 index, after transaction costs are taken into account.
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Risk premium on lending (lending rate minus treasury bill rate, %) in Nigeria was reported at 9.278 % in 2023, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Nigeria - Risk premium on lending (prime rate minus treasury bill rate, %) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on June of 2025.
The average market risk premium in the United States decreased slightly to *** percent in 2023. This suggests that investors demand a slightly lower return for investments in that country, in exchange for the risk they are exposed to. This premium has hovered between *** and *** percent since 2011. What causes country-specific risk? Risk to investments come from two main sources. First, inflation causes an asset’s price to decrease in real terms. A 100 U.S. dollar investment with three percent inflation is only worth ** U.S. dollars after one year. Investors are also interested in risks of project failure or non-performing loans. The unique U.S. context Analysts have historically considered the United States Treasury to be risk-free. This view has been shifting, but many advisors continue to use treasury yield rates as a risk-free rate. Given the fact that U.S. government securities are available at a variety of terms, this gives investment managers a range of tools for predicting future market developments.