Graph and download economic data for Treasury Yield: Money Market <100M (MMTY) from Apr 2021 to Nov 2025 about marketable, Treasury, yield, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

View monthly updates and historical trends for US Money Market Treasury Yield. from United States. Source: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Track ec…

As of July 22, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.38 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.88 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

Graph and download economic data for Treasury Yield: Rate Cap Adjusted: Money Market <100M (MMTYRCA) from Apr 2021 to Nov 2025 about marketable, adjusted, Treasury, yield, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

United States US: Money Market Rate data was reported at 0.800 % pa in 2017. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.395 % pa for 2016. United States US: Money Market Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 4.546 % pa from Dec 1954 (Median) to 2017, with 64 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 16.378 % pa in 1981 and a record low of 0.089 % pa in 2014. United States US: Money Market Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by International Monetary Fund. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.IMF.IFS: Money Market and Policy Rates: Annual.

Euro Area - Day-to-day money market interest rates was -0.49% in December of 2021, according to the EUROSTAT. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Euro Area - Day-to-day money market interest rates - last updated from the EUROSTAT on December of 2025. Historically, Euro Area - Day-to-day money market interest rates reached a record high of -0.48% in August of 2021 and a record low of -0.49% in December of 2021.

Graph and download economic data for National Rate: Money Market <100M (MMNDR) from Apr 2021 to Nov 2025 about marketable, deposits, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 1-Month Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS1MO) from 2001-07-31 to 2025-12-01 about 1-month, bills, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Money Market Funds; Total Financial Assets, Transactions (MMMFTAQ027S) from Q4 1946 to Q2 2025 about MMMF, IMA, transactions, financial, assets, and USA.

Czech Republic - Day-to-day money market interest rates was 3.50% in September of 2025, according to the EUROSTAT. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Czech Republic - Day-to-day money market interest rates - last updated from the EUROSTAT on December of 2025. Historically, Czech Republic - Day-to-day money market interest rates reached a record high of 7.00% in November of 2023 and a record low of 0.70% in August of 2021.

Hungary - Day-to-day money market interest rates was 6.50% in September of 2025, according to the EUROSTAT. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Hungary - Day-to-day money market interest rates - last updated from the EUROSTAT on December of 2025. Historically, Hungary - Day-to-day money market interest rates reached a record high of 17.83% in April of 2023 and a record low of 0.93% in August of 2021.

A yield curve (which can also be known as the term structure of interest rates) represents the relationship between market remuneration (interest) rates and the remaining time to maturity of debt securities. The information content of a yield curve reflects the asset pricing process on financial markets. When buying and selling bonds, investors include their expectations of future inflation, real interest rates and their assessment of risks. An investor calculates the price of a bond by discounting the expected future cash flows.

The European Central Bank estimates zero-coupon yield curves for the euro area and derives forward and par yield curves. A zero coupon bond is a bond that pays no coupon and is sold at a discount from its face value. The zero coupon curve represents the yield to maturity of hypothetical zero coupon bonds, since they are not directly observable in the market for a wide range of maturities. The yields must therefore be estimated from existing zero coupon bonds and fixed coupon bond prices or yields. The forward curve shows the short-term (instantaneous) interest rate for future periods implied in the yield curve. The par yield reflects hypothetical yields, namely the interest rates the bonds would have yielded had they been priced at par (i.e. at 100).

Bonds are removed if their yields deviate by more than twice the standard deviation from the average yield in the same maturity bracket. Afterwards, the same procedure is repeated.

As of December 2024, all United Kingdom government debt securities were returning positive yields, regardless of maturity. This places the yield of both UK short term bonds and long term bonds above that of major countries like Germany, France and Japan, but lower than the United States. What are government bonds? Government bonds are debt instruments where a certain amount of money is given to the issuer, in exchange for regular payments of interest over a fixed period. At the end of this period the issuer then returns the amount in full. Bonds differ from a regular loan through how they can be traded on financial markets once issued. This ability to trade bonds makes it more complex to measure the return investors receive from bonds, as the price they buy a bond for on the market may differ from the price the same bond was initially issued at. The yield is therefore calculated as what investors can expect to receive based on current market prices paid for the bond, not the value it was issued at. In total, UK government debt amounted to over 2.4 trillion British pounds in 2023 – with the majority being comprised of different types of UK government bonds. Why are inverted yield curves important? UK government bond yields over recent years have taken on a typical shape, with short term bonds having a lower yield than bonds with a maturity of 10 to 20 years. The higher yield of longer-term bonds compensates investors for the higher level of uncertainty in the future. However, if investors are sufficiently worried about both a short term economic decline, and low long term growth, they may prefer to purchase short term bonds in order to secure assets with regular interest payments in the here and now (as opposed to shares, which can lose a lot of value in a short time). This can lead to an inverted yield curve, where shorter term debt has a higher yield. Inverted yield curves are generally seen as a reliable indicator of a recession, with inverted yields occurring before most recent U.S. recessions. The major exception to this is the recession from the coronavirus pandemic – but even then, U.S. yield curves came perilously close to being inverted in mid-2019.

The 2020 recession did not follow the trend of previous recessions in the United States because only six months elapsed between the yield curve inversion and the 2020 recession. Over the last five decades, 12 months, on average, has elapsed between the initial yield curve inversion and the beginning of a recession in the United States. For instance, the yield curve inverted initially in January 2006, which was 22 months before the start of the 2008 recession. A yield curve inversion refers to the event where short-term Treasury bonds, such as one or three month bonds, have higher yields than longer term bonds, such as three or five year bonds. This is unusual, because long-term investments typically have higher yields than short-term ones in order to reward investors for taking on the extra risk of longer term investments. Monthly updates on the Treasury yield curve can be seen here.

Graph and download economic data for Retail Money Market Funds (RMFNS) from Jan 1973 to Oct 2025 about MMMF, retail, and USA.

Romania - Day-to-day money market interest rates was 5.61% in September of 2025, according to the EUROSTAT. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Romania - Day-to-day money market interest rates - last updated from the EUROSTAT on December of 2025. Historically, Romania - Day-to-day money market interest rates reached a record high of 6.32% in June of 2025 and a record low of 1.16% in September of 2021.

Poland - Day-to-day money market interest rates was 4.78% in September of 2025, according to the EUROSTAT. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Poland - Day-to-day money market interest rates - last updated from the EUROSTAT on December of 2025. Historically, Poland - Day-to-day money market interest rates reached a record high of 6.79% in July of 2023 and a record low of 0.10% in September of 2021.

In June 2025, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by February 2026. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

The present data collection consists of the following indicators:

View market daily updates and historical trends for 3 Month Treasury Bill Rate. from United States. Source: Federal Reserve. Track economic data with YCha…