Key information about House Prices Growth

• Montenegro house prices grew 8.2% YoY in Dec 2024, following an increase of 12.8% YoY in the previous quarter.
• YoY growth data is updated quarterly, available from Mar 2012 to Dec 2024, with an average growth rate of 3.6%.
• House price data reached an all-time high of 36.3% in Sep 2021 and a record low of -21.9% in Sep 2020.

CEIC calculates quarterly House Prices Growth from quarterly Average Price of New Dwellings per Square Meter. The Statistical Office of Montenegro provides Average Price of New Dwellings per Square Meter in EUR.

The Montenegro home mortgage finance market, exhibiting a robust CAGR exceeding 8.00%, presents a compelling investment opportunity. Driven by factors such as increasing urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and government initiatives aimed at boosting homeownership, the market is projected for significant growth through 2033. The market is segmented by application (home purchase, refinance, home improvement, others), providers (banks, housing finance companies, real estate agents), and interest rate types (fixed and adjustable). Banks currently dominate the market, holding the largest share, followed by housing finance companies and real estate agents. However, the increasing sophistication of fintech solutions is likely to disrupt this traditional dominance and diversify the provider landscape in the coming years. The preference for fixed-rate mortgages remains high, reflecting risk aversion among borrowers. Nonetheless, adjustable-rate mortgages are expected to gain traction as interest rates fluctuate, potentially attracting a segment of more risk-tolerant borrowers. While challenges such as fluctuating interest rates and potential economic volatility represent restraints, the overall market outlook remains positive, fueled by sustained demand and ongoing government support for the housing sector. Key players like Erste Bank Montenegro, Lovćen Bank, First Bank, Crnogorska Komercijalna Banka, and Ziraat Bank Montenegro are well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, though competition is likely to intensify with new entrants and evolving consumer preferences. The projected market size for 2025, considering the provided CAGR and assuming a reasonable base year market size (estimated based on regional comparisons and similar economies), indicates significant potential. Growth will likely be driven by the home purchase segment, followed by home improvements and refinancing. The fixed-rate mortgage segment will likely retain its larger share, but adjustable-rate mortgages could see growth, particularly during periods of lower interest rates. Government policies impacting interest rates, lending regulations, and housing affordability will play a critical role in shaping the market trajectory. Further analysis of consumer credit scores and affordability indices would further refine the market projections. Recent developments include: October 2022: Montenegro's Erste Bank Podgorica acquired 100% of the capital of S-Leasing Podgorica from the founders of the leasing company, Vienna-based Erste Group Immorent International Holding and Graz-based Steiermaerkische Bank und Sparkassen., February 2022: The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) launched a EUR 4 million ( USD 4.5 million) credit line to Montenegro's Lovcen Banka to support the competitiveness of local small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The credit line will support the post-pandemic recovery of Montenegro's economy and strengthen its resilience in the medium and long term. The EBRD said in a statement earlier this week.. Notable trends are: Growth in Tourism in Montenegro is Anticipated to Drive the Growth of the Market.