Policy interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are forecasted to decrease gradually between 2024 and 2027, following exceptional increases triggered by soaring inflation between 2021 and 2023. The U.S. federal funds rate stood at **** percent at the end of 2023, the European Central Bank deposit rate at **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate at **** percent. With inflationary pressures stabilizing, policy interest rates are forecast to decrease in each observed region. The U.S. federal funds rate is expected to decrease to *** percent, the ECB refi rate to **** percent, the Bank of England bank rate to **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate to **** percent by 2025. An interesting aspect to note is the impact of these interest rate changes on various economic factors such as growth, employment, and inflation. The impact of central bank policy rates The U.S. federal funds effective rate, crucial in determining the interest rate paid by depository institutions, experienced drastic changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The subsequent slight changes in the effective rate reflected the efforts to stimulate the economy and manage economic factors such as inflation. Such fluctuations in the federal funds rate have had a significant impact on the overall economy. The European Central Bank's decision to cut its fixed interest rate in June 2024 for the first time since 2016 marked a significant shift in attitude towards economic conditions. The reasons behind the fluctuations in the ECB's interest rate reflect its mandate to ensure price stability and manage inflation, shedding light on the complex interplay between interest rates and economic factors. Inflation and real interest rates The relationship between inflation and interest rates is critical in understanding the actions of central banks. Central banks' efforts to manage inflation through interest rate adjustments reveal the intricate balance between economic growth and inflation. Additionally, the concept of real interest rates, adjusted for inflation, provides valuable insights into the impact of inflation on the economy.

Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in June 2025, from less than ******percent in many European countries to as high as ***percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increases in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2024, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.

Graph and download economic data for 15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE15US) from 1991-08-30 to 2025-11-26 about 15-year, mortgage, fixed, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The benchmark interest rate in Sweden was last recorded at 1.75 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Sweden Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Fixed 30-year mortgage rates in the United States averaged 6.40 percent in the week ending November 21 of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The Dutch Central Bank (DNB) estimated that the growth of mortgage lending will slow down in 2023 and 2024, after originations rose by *** percent in 2022. That can be explained with the accelerated house price growth in recent years and the higher interest rates, eroding housing affordability. Within Europe, the Netherlands counts as one of the countries with the highest mortgage debt among private individuals. This has a political background as the Dutch tax system allowed homeowners to deduct interest paid on mortgage from pre-tax income for a maximum period of thirty year, essentially allowing for income support for homeowners. In the Netherlands, this system is known as hypotheekrenteaftrek.

Mortgage rates surged at an unprecedented pace in 2022, with the average 10-year fixed rate doubling between March and December of that year. In response to mounting inflation, the Bank of England implemented a series of rate hikes, pushing borrowing costs steadily higher. By October 2025, the average 10-year fixed mortgage rate stood at **** percent. As financing becomes more expensive, housing demand has cooled, weighing on market sentiment and slowing house price growth. How have the mortgage hikes affected the market? After surging in 2021, the number of residential properties sold fell significantly in 2023, dipping to just above *** million transactions. This contraction in activity also dampened mortgage lending. Between the first quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, the value of new mortgage loans declined year-on-year for five consecutive quarters. Even as rates eased modestly in 2024 and housing activity picked up slightly, volumes remained well below the highs recorded in 2021. How are higher mortgages impacting homebuyers? For homeowners, the impact is being felt most acutely as fixed-rate deals expire. Mortgage terms in the UK typically range from two to ten years, and many borrowers who locked in historically low rates are now facing significantly higher repayments when refinancing. By the end of 2026, an estimated five million homeowners will see their mortgage deals expire. Roughly two million of these loans are projected to experience a monthly payment increase of up to *** British pounds by 2026, putting additional pressure on household budgets and constraining affordability across the market.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Mexico Interest Rates on Household Credit: Mortgage Rate: Minimum data was reported at 9.360 % pa in Mar 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 9.360 % pa for Feb 2025. Mexico Interest Rates on Household Credit: Mortgage Rate: Minimum data is updated monthly, averaging 10.150 % pa from Dec 2004 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 244 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 12.490 % pa in Jun 2005 and a record low of 7.000 % pa in Oct 2021. Mexico Interest Rates on Household Credit: Mortgage Rate: Minimum data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Mexico. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Mexico – Table MX.M006: Household Credit Interest Rates.

Mortgage Rate: Average: First Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data was reported at 5.280 % pa in Jun 2021. This records an increase from the previous number of 5.260 % pa for May 2021. Mortgage Rate: Average: First Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data is updated monthly, averaging 5.260 % pa from Apr 2021 (Median) to Jun 2021, with 3 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5.280 % pa in Jun 2021 and a record low of 5.260 % pa in May 2021. Mortgage Rate: Average: First Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Rong 360 BigData Research Institute. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MA: Rediscount and Lending Rate: Mortgage. contact us
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August 2024 marked a significant shift in the UK's monetary policy, as it saw the first reduction in the official bank base interest rate since August 2023. This change came after a period of consistent rate hikes that began in late 2021. In a bid to minimize the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Bank of England cut the official bank base rate in March 2020 to a record low of *** percent. This historic low came just one week after the Bank of England cut rates from **** percent to **** percent in a bid to prevent mass job cuts in the United Kingdom. It remained at *** percent until December 2021 and was increased to one percent in May 2022 and to **** percent in October 2022. After that, the bank rate increased almost on a monthly basis, reaching **** percent in August 2023. It wasn't until August 2024 that the first rate decrease since the previous year occurred, signaling a potential shift in monetary policy. Why do central banks adjust interest rates? Central banks, including the Bank of England, adjust interest rates to manage economic stability and control inflation. Their strategies involve a delicate balance between two main approaches. When central banks raise interest rates, their goal is to cool down an overheated economy. Higher rates curb excessive spending and borrowing, which helps to prevent runaway inflation. This approach is typically used when the economy is growing too quickly or when inflation is rising above desired levels. Conversely, when central banks lower interest rates, they aim to encourage borrowing and investment. This strategy is employed to stimulate economic growth during periods of slowdown or recession. Lower rates make it cheaper for businesses and individuals to borrow money, which can lead to increased spending and investment. This dual approach allows central banks to maintain a balance between promoting growth and controlling inflation, ensuring long-term economic stability. Additionally, adjusting interest rates can influence currency values, impacting international trade and investment flows, further underscoring their critical role in a nation's economic health. Recent interest rate trends Between 2021 and 2025, most advanced and emerging economies experienced a period of regular interest rate hikes. This trend was driven by several factors, including persistent supply chain disruptions, high energy prices, and robust demand pressures. These elements combined to create significant inflationary trends, prompting central banks to raise rates to temper spending and borrowing. However, in 2024, a shift began to occur in global monetary policy. The European Central Bank (ECB) was among the first major central banks to reverse this trend by cutting interest rates. This move signaled a change in approach aimed at addressing growing economic slowdowns and supporting growth.

View weekly updates and historical trends for 15 Year Mortgage Rate. from United States. Source: Freddie Mac. Track economic data with YCharts analytics.

Mortgage Rate: Average: Second Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data was reported at 5.490 % pa in Jun 2021. This records a decrease from the previous number of 5.520 % pa for May 2021. Mortgage Rate: Average: Second Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data is updated monthly, averaging 5.520 % pa from Apr 2021 (Median) to Jun 2021, with 3 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5.550 % pa in Apr 2021 and a record low of 5.490 % pa in Jun 2021. Mortgage Rate: Average: Second Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Rong 360 BigData Research Institute. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MA: Rediscount and Lending Rate: Mortgage. contact us
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Graph and download economic data for 30-Year Fixed Rate FHA Mortgage Index (OBMMIFHA30YF) from 2017-01-03 to 2025-12-01 about FHA, 30-year, mortgage, fixed, rate, indexes, and USA.

The benchmark interest rate in China was last recorded at 3 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - China Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Key information about Finland Long Term Interest Rate

• Finland Long Term Interest Rate: Month Avg: Finland: ECB Harmonised was reported at 3.01 % pa in Oct 2025, compared with 3.09 % pa in the previous month.
• Finland Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Aug 1991 to Oct 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 13.53 % pa in Sep 1992 and a record low of -0.41 % pa in Dec 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by CEIC Data.

• In the latest reports, Finland Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: EURIBOR: 3 Months was reported at -0.57 % pa in Nov 2021.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Main Refinancing Operations) was set at 2.15 % pa in Nov 2025.
• Finland Exchange Rate against USD averaged 0.86 (USD/EUR) in Oct 2025.

Key information about Spain Long Term Interest Rate

• Spain Long Term Interest Rate: Month Avg: Spain: ECB Harmonised was reported at 3.15 % pa in Oct 2025, compared with 3.26 % pa in the previous month.
• Spain Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Nov 1991 to Oct 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 517.90 % pa in Oct 2016 and a record low of 137.40 % pa in Mar 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by CEIC Data.

• In the latest reports, Spain Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: EURIBOR: 3 Months was reported at -0.57 % pa in Nov 2021.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Main Refinancing Operations) was set at 2.15 % pa in Nov 2025.
• Spain Exchange Rate against USD averaged 0.86 (USD/EUR) in Oct 2025.

The benchmark interest rate in Hong Kong was last recorded at 4.25 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Hong Kong Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

United States MBA Forecast: Unemployment Rate: Annual: sa data was reported at 3.700 % in 2021. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.600 % for 2020. United States MBA Forecast: Unemployment Rate: Annual: sa data is updated yearly, averaging 4.400 % from Dec 2013 (Median) to 2021, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.400 % in 2013 and a record low of 3.500 % in 2019. United States MBA Forecast: Unemployment Rate: Annual: sa data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Mortgage Bankers Association. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.G023: Current Population Survey: Unemployment Rate: Seasonally Adjusted: Forecast: Mortgage Bankers Association.

The mortgage loans volume development has been somewhat fluctuant over the period under consideration. After a negative growth observed in 2019, figures grew at over ** percent in 2020. For 2021, forecast suggests only *** percent growth mortgage loans issued in Russia, relative to the previous year's levels.