Real interest rates describe the growth in the real value of the interest on a loan or deposit, adjusted for inflation. Nominal interest rates on the other hand show us the raw interest rate, which is unadjusted for inflation. If the inflation rate in a certain country were zero percent, the real and nominal interest rates would be the same number. As inflation reduces the real value of a loan, however, a positive inflation rate will mean that the nominal interest rate is more likely to be greater than the real interest rate. We can see this in the recent inflationary episode which has taken place in the wake of the Coronavirus pandemic, with nominal interest rates rising over the course of 2022, but still lagging far behind the rate of inflation, meaning these rate rises register as smaller increases in the real interest rate.

United States Home Mortgage: Loan-to-Price Ratio data was reported at 78.400 % in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 78.000 % for Sep 2018. United States Home Mortgage: Loan-to-Price Ratio data is updated monthly, averaging 75.800 % from Jan 1973 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 550 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 80.800 % in Dec 1994 and a record low of 68.640 % in May 1982. United States Home Mortgage: Loan-to-Price Ratio data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Housing Finance Agency. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.KB011: Home Mortgage Terms.

United States Home Mortgage: Previously Occupied: Loan-to-Price Ratio data was reported at 78.200 % in Sep 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 78.800 % for Aug 2018. United States Home Mortgage: Previously Occupied: Loan-to-Price Ratio data is updated monthly, averaging 75.900 % from Jan 1973 (Median) to Sep 2018, with 549 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 81.800 % in Dec 1994 and a record low of 65.100 % in May 1982. United States Home Mortgage: Previously Occupied: Loan-to-Price Ratio data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Housing Finance Agency. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.KB011: Home Mortgage Terms.

Key information about Australia Long Term Interest Rate

• Australia Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: 10 Years was reported at 4.42 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 4.48 % pa in the previous month.
• Australia Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jul 1969 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 16.50 % pa in Aug 1982 and a record low of 0.80 % pa in Oct 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Reserve Bank of Australia.

• In the latest reports, Australia Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Bank Acceptance Bills Rates: 90 days was reported at 4.12 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Cash Target Rate) was set at 4.10 % pa in Feb 2025.
• Australia Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.49 (USD/AUD) in Jun 2023.

Mortgage Rate: Average: First Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data was reported at 5.280 % pa in Jun 2021. This records an increase from the previous number of 5.260 % pa for May 2021. Mortgage Rate: Average: First Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data is updated monthly, averaging 5.260 % pa from Apr 2021 (Median) to Jun 2021, with 3 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5.280 % pa in Jun 2021 and a record low of 5.260 % pa in May 2021. Mortgage Rate: Average: First Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Rong 360 BigData Research Institute. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MA: Rediscount and Lending Rate: Mortgage. contact us
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Graph and download economic data for Bank Prime Loan Rate Changes: Historical Dates of Changes and Rates (PRIME) from 1955-08-04 to 2024-12-20 about prime, loans, interest rate, banks, interest, depository institutions, rate, and USA.

Mortgage Rate: Average: Second Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data was reported at 5.490 % pa in Jun 2021. This records a decrease from the previous number of 5.520 % pa for May 2021. Mortgage Rate: Average: Second Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data is updated monthly, averaging 5.520 % pa from Apr 2021 (Median) to Jun 2021, with 3 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5.550 % pa in Apr 2021 and a record low of 5.490 % pa in Jun 2021. Mortgage Rate: Average: Second Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Rong 360 BigData Research Institute. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MA: Rediscount and Lending Rate: Mortgage. contact us
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A tabular presentation of prices, earnings and financial indicators in British Columbia, including CPI; interest, mortgage and exchange rates; wages and household income, 1982 to 2012 with annual percentage changes.

A tabular presentation of prices, earnings and financial indicators in British Columbia, including CPI; interest, mortgage and exchange rates; wages and household income, 1982 to 2012 with annual percentage changes.

ABD'de sabit 30 yıllık mortgage faiz oranları, 11 Temmuz 2025'te haftalık bazda %6,82 olarak ortalamaya sahipti. Bu sayfa, - Amerika Birleşik Devletleri MBA 30 Yıllık Konut Kredisi Faiz Oranı - için en son bildirilen değeri, önceki yayınları, tarihsel en yüksek ve en düşük değerleri, kısa vadeli tahminleri ve uzun vadeli öngörüleri, ekonomik takvimi, anket konsensüsünü ve haberleri sağlar.

Ireland Consumer Price Index (CPI): Rents & Other Housing Costs: Mortgage Interest data was reported at 107.700 Dec2006=100 in Dec 2011. This records a decrease from the previous number of 111.300 Dec2006=100 for Nov 2011. Ireland Consumer Price Index (CPI): Rents & Other Housing Costs: Mortgage Interest data is updated monthly, averaging 58.450 Dec2006=100 from Nov 1982 (Median) to Dec 2011, with 350 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 147.200 Dec2006=100 in Oct 2008 and a record low of 30.300 Dec2006=100 in Mar 1983. Ireland Consumer Price Index (CPI): Rents & Other Housing Costs: Mortgage Interest data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Central Statistics Office of Ireland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Ireland – Table IE.I007: Consumer Price Index: Dec2006=100.

Lending Rate: Foreign Currencies Mortgage Loans: YB: CF: Ryazan Region data was reported at 10.000 % pa in Dec 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 10.000 % pa for Nov 2018. Lending Rate: Foreign Currencies Mortgage Loans: YB: CF: Ryazan Region data is updated monthly, averaging 10.205 % pa from Dec 2008 (Median) to Dec 2018, with 82 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 13.000 % pa in Jun 2009 and a record low of 4.000 % pa in Dec 2016. Lending Rate: Foreign Currencies Mortgage Loans: YB: CF: Ryazan Region data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Russia. The data is categorized under Russia Premium Database’s Interest and Foreign Exchange Rates – Table RU.MB012: Lending Rate: Foreign Currencies Housing Loans: ow Mortgage: by Region: Average from Year Beginning.

The U.S. housing market has slowed, after ** consecutive years of rising home prices. In 2021, house prices surged by an unprecedented ** percent, marking the highest increase on record. However, the market has since cooled, with the Freddie Mac House Price Index showing more modest growth between 2022 and 2024. In 2024, home prices increased by *** percent. That was lower than the long-term average of *** percent since 1990. Impact of mortgage rates on homebuying The recent cooling in the housing market can be partly attributed to rising mortgage rates. After reaching a record low of **** percent in 2021, the average annual rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage more than doubled in 2023. This significant increase has made homeownership less affordable for many potential buyers, contributing to a substantial decline in home sales. Despite these challenges, forecasts suggest a potential recovery in the coming years. How much does it cost to buy a house in the U.S.? In 2023, the median sales price of an existing single-family home reached a record high of over ******* U.S. dollars. Newly built homes were even pricier, despite a slight decline in the median sales price in 2023. Naturally, home prices continue to vary significantly across the country, with West Virginia being the most affordable state for homebuyers.

PDLB is a triple whammy on those three themes.ECIP capital: PDLB received $225M of ECIP capital, and the regulators assigned them the lowest possible dividend (0.5%) on this capital for the first year of payments (announced in June). If we assume PDLB continues to pay 0.5% on this preferred and they have a cost of preferred equity of 10%, then we can calculate the value of this $225M liability as just $11M, with the rest a write-up to equity.This adjustment brings P/TBV from 82% to 46%.Thrift conversion dynamics: Ponce converted from a mutual holding company to a stock holding company in January 2022 (second step). PDLB is an unprofitable and under-levered bank. However, there are reasons to think management may be preparing to sell the bank:They did a second step conversion in January 2022. Only the optionality to sell the bank would motivate this step, as the bank didn’t need the capital, and the conversion increases management’s susceptibility to activist investors. This is highly praised by the best stock analysis websites.Management is old: 6/8 members are in their 70s or 80s (including the CEO and Chairman).Together, the Directors and Officers own >2M shares of stock, worth ~$20M. The CEO owns 580,000 shares, worth ~$6M. His total compensation is ~$1.3M (and he'll need to retire soon anyway). Additionally, the CEO and directors will receive a final tranche of ESOP shares in December 2024 that will boost their holdings another ~40%.Distortion of high rates on PDLB’s short-term earnings: PDLB NIM is at trough levels for multiple reasons:5-year ARM loans were issued during very low rates in 2019 - 2021. 5-year treasury yields were between 0.2% and 1.4% during this period, and grew to >4% in September 2022 (where they’ve been ever since). Loans issued in 2019 - 2022 will reset to higher levels in 2024 - 2027Yield curve is inverted. Ponce lends based on the long end of the curve (five-year rates at 4.1%) and funds on the short-end of the curve (brokered deposits come in at ~5.3%). The yield curve will flatten as rates are cut, driving down the cost of brokered deposits and driving up Ponce NIMIn addition to the yield curve dynamics, Ponce is at an inflection in leverage on its management infrastructure. It built out management capabilities for a much larger bank, and is currently seeing decreasing Q/Q non-interest cost, while assets and interest income are growing nicely.IR told me that cost pressures were peaking in 2023, and this has already become true in 1H 2024 results.Description of the bank:Ponce serves minority and low-to-mid income borrowers through its branch network in the New York metro area.Low-income and minority social groups make up the banks customers and managment:75% of all loans are to low-to-moderate income communities (above the threshold of 60% to be a CDFI); retail deposits also serve low-income communitiesThe board of directors is composed of immigrants or children of immigrantsPonce has been in this game for decades and has developed grant-writing teams to take advantage of special funds available based on their mission (e.g. $4.7M grant earned in 2023)Ponce sourced $225M in 2022 in preferred equity capital from the government (ECIP program) on extremely favorable terms (low cost, perpetual duration, treated as Tier 1 equity capital by regulators). They recently reported that for the first year (and I’d be in subsequent years), they’ll pay the lowest possible dividend of 0.5% (the range is up to 2% for the program). This number is inline with the one quoted by the best stock websites.Ponce also receives low-cost corporate deposits that allow other banks to get Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) credit with regulators. These deposits are insured and sticky, and often ~200bps or more below market interest rates.Outside of the ECIP equity and the small-but-growing CRA corporate deposits, the bank doesn’t have a good deposit franchise. The blended total cost of interest-bearing liabilities in 2023 is 4.0%.On the asset side, Ponce’s focus on mortgage lending to lower-income communities is a good niche (and composes 99% of lending). IR explained to me that the board of directors is composed of engaged real estate investors who know intimately the relevant neighborhoods and are involved in credit underwriting. Ponce lends 5/1 and 5/5 adjustable-rate mortgages against single-family (27% of loans), multifamily (30% of loans), and non-residential (18% of loans). Construction (23% of loans) properties are 36-month fixed-rate loans. LTVs on all these segments are ~55% and debt service coverage ratio >1.25x. In the current environment, Ponce is issuing loans at ~9% yield that are likely to experience very low levels of credit losses (my expectation would be 0 - 0.1% per year in annual credit cost). Given 5-year rates (~4%), lending at 9% is very favorable, and likely reflects decreasing competitive intensity in the wake of recent banking turmoil.I’m comfortable projecting very low credit costs because losses from the mortgage portfolio have been substantially zero going back to 2016 and very low going back to 2012 (the first year of available data). Charge-offs seemed to peak in 2013 at 0.7% of outstanding loans (charge-off happen years after delinquencies, so the timing seems reasonable following ‘08/’09). Given the peak of 0.7% and the more common experience of 0.0% charge-offs in Ponce’s mortgages, I’m therefore comfortable mostly ignoring credit cost.The most concerning area with respect to credit costs is the construction book. Although they scaled the construction business in 2023, it's not a new business for PDLB (they've been doing construction loans on the order of ~100M per year since 2017, and on a smaller scale before that). PDLB has not recorded any charge offs on the construction business going back at least 7 years. PDLB had no new delinquencies on this book in 2023 (I.e. from loans made in 2020). They did have some DQNs in 2022, but these have been mostly worked out without charge offs.Regarding the timing of the ramp up in recent quarters, it may be just right: if investors/banks are concerned about charge offs today, that's related to vintages from 2020/2021 (which were also loans issued at much lower rates and might not roll over smoothly). If others are pulling back, that's the time to deploy more capital into the business.The bank is currently very under-leveraged: Tier-1 equity / RWA is 21% (vs. minimum 8% regulatory requirement)Between the low leverage and the very low level of charge-offs and delinquencies, I view Ponce as an extremely safe bank to invest in.Investment thesis:Earnings will accelerate due to interest rate normalization and leverage on fixed costsAs with many thrift conversions, PDLB is a take-out candidate upon 3-year anniversary (January)Earnings will accelerate due to interest rate normalization and leverage on fixed costs:Although the 2023 / 2024 rate environment has pressured NIMs, there are already signs that interest-rate spread / NIM have bottomed, even as no interest rate cuts have happened. Interest rate spreads have leveled out in the past three quarters at ~1.7%. Liabilities have mostly repriced, and from here, tailwinds will be 1) repricing of the 5-year ARMs and 2) interest rate cuts starting in September. NIM will be going up, and will likely recover to historical levels within a couple of years.On the expense side, there was significant concern into the 2023 results about non-interest expense. Compensation and benefits grew by 13% CAGR from 2019 - 2023. Growth was 10% in 2023, showing deceleration but still to a high level. However, based on comments by IR that the bank has built expense infrastructure for a much larger bank, and based on results from 1H 2024, it looks like expenses are more controlled now. Non interest cost was in the 17.0M - 17.9M range for the last four quarters (prior to recently announced Q2). Q2, on the other hand, showed non-interest expense at 16.1M. Meanwhile, interest earning assets continued to grow at ~12% Y/Y. The combination of flat / decreasing costs and double-digit asset growth is very favorable for expense leverage.Additionally, managers have incentives to create shareholder value, especially as they reach retirement age. If Ponce doesn’t slow expense growth, shareholder activists may discover Ponce and pressure management to rationalize or sell the bank.The combination of improving NIM, growth in assets, and flattish expenses should produce much higher EPS in coming quarters, and I think $2 - $2.50 in EPS by 2026 is likely (if the bank isn’t sold).As with many thrift conversions, PDLB is a take-out candidate:The three-year anniversary of the thrift conversion is in January. The board is of retirement age and has healthy incentives to sell the bank. A buyout is likely a home-run from today’s stock price of $10.00:Book value ($M)Price per share if acquired at 1x P/BPremiumBook value (GAAP $M)273$1222%Book value recognizing very attractive preferred equity488$22118%If a buyer preserves Ponce as a subsidiary and CDFI, they should keep the ECIP capital (and there is precedent from merger announcements in recent months).Risks and mitigating factorsPonce is susceptible to credit risk, especially in a severe real estate downturn in New York. However, from what we can see of the wake of 2008/2009 financial crash, realized losses on the portfolio were quite low. Additionally, current credit metrics are pristine. 90-day delinquencies are just 0.5% of loans. Construction loans were the worst performers at 1.6%, followed by (counter-intuitively) owner-occupied at 1.4%. The NYC real estate dynamics affecting NYCB and others appear to be non-issues for PDLB. However it’s worth keeping a close eye on credit metrics.If NYC raises taxes to address budget deficits, it could hurt property prices. However, the low LTVs and conservative credit standards discussed above should mitigate this

The Czech housing market has seen significant fluctuations over the past three decades, with over 30 thousand completed dwellings in 2024. This figure represents an increase since 1995, highlighting the substantial growth in the country's residential construction sector. The highest number of completions was recorded in 2007 at 41,649 units. Rising property prices and mortgage lending While the number of completed dwellings has generally trended upward, property prices in Czechia have also seen a sharp increase. Apartment prices have more than doubled since 2010, with the price index reaching 228.1 in 2024. This change in prices was recorded in major cities, with Prague leading at approximately 5,153 euros per square meter for new residential properties in 2023. The rising costs have been accompanied by fluctuations in mortgage lending and interest rates, with new mortgage lending reaching over 18.7 million CZK in December 2024, an increase of nearly seven million koruna compared to the same month in the previous year. Investment trends in Czech real estate The real estate market in Czechia has experienced fluctuations recently, with investment volumes varying significantly. In the first half of 2024, the total investment volume amounted to 875 million euros, a decrease from the 1.2 billion euros recorded in the first half of 2022. Retail real estate attracted the largest share of investment at 31 percent, followed by office and industrial properties. The majority of real estate investor activity originated from within the country. This share amounted to 82 percent, indicating strong domestic confidence in the market.

Lending Rate: Foreign Currencies Mortgage Loans: YB: CF: Ryazan Region在2018-12达10.000% 每年，相较于2018-11的10.000% 每年保持不变。Lending Rate: Foreign Currencies Mortgage Loans: YB: CF: Ryazan Region数据按月度更新，2008-12至2018-12期间平均值为10.205% 每年，共82份观测结果。该数据的历史最高值出现于2009-06，达13.000% 每年，而历史最低值则出现于2016-12，为4.000% 每年。CEIC提供的Lending Rate: Foreign Currencies Mortgage Loans: YB: CF: Ryazan Region数据处于定期更新的状态，数据来源于Bank of Russia，数据归类于Russia Premium Database的Interest and Foreign Exchange Rates – Table RU.MB012: Lending Rate: Foreign Currencies Housing Loans: ow Mortgage: by Region: Average from Year Beginning。

住房抵押贷款：贷款价格比在10-01-2018达78.400%，相较于09-01-2018的78.000%有所增长。住房抵押贷款：贷款价格比数据按月更新，01-01-1973至10-01-2018期间平均值为75.800%，共550份观测结果。该数据的历史最高值出现于12-01-1994，达80.800%，而历史最低值则出现于05-01-1982，为68.640%。CEIC提供的住房抵押贷款：贷款价格比数据处于定期更新的状态，数据来源于Federal Housing Finance Agency，数据归类于全球数据库的美国 – 表 US.KA019：住房按揭条款。

Prior to 1974 the data was based on surveys of existing house sales in Dublin carried out by the Valuation Office on behalf of the D. O. E. Since 1974 the data has been based on information supplied by all lending agencies on the average price of mortgage financed existing house transactions. Average house prices are derived from data supplied by the mortgage lending agencies on loans approved by them rather than loans paid. In comparing house prices figures from one period to another, account should be taken of the fact that changes in the mix of houses (incl apartments) will affect the average figures. Data for 1969/1970 is not available for Cork, Limerick, Galway, Waterford and Other areas The most current data is published on these sheets. Previously published data may be subject to revision. Any change from the originally published data will be highlighted by a comment on the cell in question. These comments will be maintained for at least a year after the date of the value change. National and Other Areas figure changed for 2015 on 27/6/15 as revised data received from Local Authorities Prices includes houses and apartments measured in €

The benchmark interest rate in New Zealand was last recorded at 3.25 percent. This dataset provides - New Zealand Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The France Loan market was valued at USD 2190.23 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 3145.67 billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 5.65%.