More than three million mortgage loans are projected to be affected by the increasing mortgage interest rates in Canada by 2025. About one million of these mortgages are projected to be up for renewal in 2024. These loans were taken out at a time when interest rates were much lower, meaning that homeowners will be affected by a notable increase in their monthly payments.

The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Rates have been trending downward in Canada for the last five years. The ebbs and flows are caused by changes in Canada’s bond yields (driven by Canadians economic developments and international rate movements, particularly U.S. rate fluctuations) and the overnight rate (which is set by the Bank of Canada). As of August 2022, there has been a 225 bps increase in the prime rate, since beginning of year 2022, from 2.45% to 4.70% as of Aug 24th 2022. The following are the historical conventional mortgage rates offered by the 6 major chartered banks in Canada in the past 20 years.

Evaluate Canada’s best mortgage rates in one place. RATESDOTCA’s Rate Matrix lets you compare pricing for all key mortgage types and terms. Rates are based on an average mortgage of $300,000

Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in 2024, from less than four percent in many European countries, to as high as 44 percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increase in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2023, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.

Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): All Items excl Mortgage Interest Cost data was reported at 163.200 2002=100 in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 162.600 2002=100 for Feb 2025. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): All Items excl Mortgage Interest Cost data is updated monthly, averaging 106.000 2002=100 from Dec 1984 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 484 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 163.200 2002=100 in Mar 2025 and a record low of 60.200 2002=100 in Dec 1984. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): All Items excl Mortgage Interest Cost data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Statistics Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.I009: Core Inflation Index.

The Canadian home lending market, valued at approximately $XX million in 2025, is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 5% through 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key factors. Firstly, a consistently growing population and increasing urbanization are driving demand for housing, particularly in major metropolitan areas. Secondly, favorable government policies aimed at supporting homeownership, while subject to change, have historically played a crucial role. Thirdly, the prevalence of low-interest rates (though subject to fluctuations) in recent years has made mortgages more accessible to a wider range of borrowers. Finally, the diverse range of lenders, including commercial banks, financial institutions, credit unions, and online lenders, fosters competition and innovation within the market, offering consumers more choice and potentially better rates. However, the market is not without its challenges. Rising interest rates, inflation, and potential economic downturns pose significant risks to the sustained growth trajectory. Furthermore, stricter lending regulations implemented to mitigate risks within the financial system could impact affordability and accessibility for some borrowers. Market segmentation reveals a preference for fixed-rate loans and a growing adoption of online lending platforms, alongside continued reliance on traditional brick-and-mortar institutions. Key players in the market, such as HSBC Bank Canada, Tangerine Direct Bank, and others, compete aggressively to capture market share through varied product offerings and service models. The market’s long-term prospects remain positive, albeit contingent on macroeconomic stability and regulatory shifts. Continued innovation and adaptation by lenders will be crucial in navigating the evolving landscape of the Canadian home lending market. This insightful report provides a deep dive into the dynamic Canadian home lending market, analyzing key trends, growth drivers, and challenges from 2019 to 2033. With a focus on the crucial year 2025 (base and estimated year), this comprehensive study offers invaluable insights for stakeholders across the industry. We leverage data from the historical period (2019-2024) to project the market's trajectory during the forecast period (2025-2033). Keywords: Canadian mortgage market, home equity loans Canada, mortgage rates Canada, online mortgage lenders Canada, Canadian real estate finance. Recent developments include: On March 15, 2022, First Ontario Credit Union announced its merger with Heritage savings & Credit union to offer the best in financial products and services., On February 09, 2022, Hello safe announced a new partnership with Hard bacon, a personal finance application used by more than 35,000 Canadians, this partnership is to leverage Hard bacon's portfolio of comparison tools.. Notable trends are: A Rise in Home Prices Boosting Home Equity Lending Market.

Canada's inflation rate experienced significant fluctuations from 2018 to 2025. Inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022 before steadily declining to *** percent by December 2024. In early 2025, inflation began to increase again, rising to *** percent in February, and dropping to *** percent in March. In response to rising inflation between 2020 and 2022, the Bank of Canada implemented aggressive interest rate hikes. The bank rate reached a maximum of **** percent in July 2023 and remained stable until June 2024. As inflationary pressures eased in the second half of 2024, the central bank reduced interest rates to *** percent in December 2024. In 2025, the bank rate witnessed two cuts, standing at ***** percent in April 2025. This pattern reflected broader global economic trends, with most advanced and emerging economies experiencing similar inflationary challenges and monetary policy adjustments. Global context of inflation and interest rates The Canadian experience aligns with the broader international trend of central banks raising policy rates to combat inflation. Between 2021 and 2023, nearly all advanced and emerging economies increased their central bank rates. However, a shift occurred in the latter half of 2024, with many countries, including Canada, beginning to lower rates. This change suggests a new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Notably, among surveyed countries, Russia maintained the highest interest rate in early 2025, while Japan had the lowest rate. Comparison with the United States The United States experienced a similar trajectory in inflation and interest rates. U.S. inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022, slightly higher than Canada's peak. The Federal Reserve responded with a series of rate hikes, reaching **** percent in August 2023. This rate remained unchanged until September 2024, when the first cut since September 2021 was implemented. In contrast, Canada's bank rate peaked at **** percent and began decreasing earlier, with cuts in June and July 2024. These differences highlight the nuanced approaches of central banks in managing their respective economies amid global inflationary pressures.

In light of the Bank of Canada’s six interest rate hikes this year, homeowners with a mortgage loan should brace themselves for higher rates at renewal over the next five years. And according to a recent Leger survey conducted on behalf of RATESDOTCA and BNN Bloomberg, 53% of homeowners are already feeling concerned about an increase in payments when their mortgages come up for renewal. While 52% of homeowners have a plan in place to meet those increased payments, half don’t consider shopping the market as part of that plan. In fact, 51% say they don’t plan to change lenders upon renewal, and 9% said they weren’t even aware that switching lenders was possible.https://static.rates.ca/images/BNN_x_RATESDOTCA_Concern_over_mortgage_renewal.width-800.png" width="800">

The Canadian home lending market, valued at approximately $X million in 2025 (assuming a reasonable market size based on available data and comparable markets), is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 5.00% through 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Increasing homeownership aspirations among Canadians, particularly among millennials and Gen Z, are significantly contributing to market demand. Favorable government policies aimed at supporting affordable housing, though potentially fluctuating, also play a vital role. Furthermore, the rise of innovative financial technologies and the increasing accessibility of online lending platforms are streamlining the borrowing process and broadening market reach. Competition is intense among a diverse range of lenders, including commercial banks (like Bank of Montreal and National Bank of Canada), financial institutions, credit unions (such as PenFinancial and First Ontario), and specialized mortgage providers (like True North Mortgage and IntelliMortgage). This competitive landscape fosters innovation and drives down costs for borrowers. However, the market faces challenges. Rising interest rates represent a significant restraint, impacting affordability and potentially slowing growth. Stringent lending regulations, designed to mitigate risk, can also restrict lending volume to some extent. Furthermore, economic uncertainties and fluctuations in housing prices can influence market sentiment and borrower confidence. Market segmentation shows considerable diversity, with fixed-rate loans maintaining a significant share, alongside growing demand for home equity lines of credit. The rise of online lending is transforming the sector, though offline channels remain important, particularly for complex mortgages or those requiring personalized guidance. The forecast period (2025-2033) presents both opportunities and risks for lenders, requiring strategic adaptation to prevailing economic and regulatory conditions. The continued growth of the market depends upon careful balance between affordable housing options and sustainable financial practices. Recent developments include: On March 15, 2022, First Ontario Credit Union announced its merger with Heritage savings & Credit union to offer the best in financial products and services., On February 09, 2022, Hello safe announced a new partnership with Hard bacon, a personal finance application used by more than 35,000 Canadians, this partnership is to leverage Hard bacon's portfolio of comparison tools.. Notable trends are: A Rise in Home Prices Boosting Home Equity Lending Market.

The average mortgage payment in the large and mid-sized cities in Canada ranged between 1,300 Canadian dollars and 2,600 Canadian dollars. In the fourth quarter of the year, Vancouver topped the ranking, with homebuyers paying, on average, ***** Canadian dollars monthly. In Toronto, the average monthly scheduled mortgage payment was ***** Canadian dollars. Canada’s housing market House prices in Canada vary widely across the country. In 2023, the average sales price of detached single-family homes in Vancouver was nearly three times as expensive as the national average. Vancouver is undoubtedly considered the least affordable housing market: In 2023, the cost of buying a home with a **-year mortgage in Canada was approximately ** percent of the median household income, whereas in Vancouver, it was nearly *** percent. Development of house prices The development of house prices depends on multiple factors, such as availability on the market and demand. Since 2005, house prices in Canada have been continuously growing. According to the MSL composite house price index, 2021 measured the highest house price increase.

Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): Shelter: OA: Mortgage Interest Cost data was reported at 181.400 2002=100 in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 181.100 2002=100 for Feb 2025. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): Shelter: OA: Mortgage Interest Cost data is updated monthly, averaging 87.300 2002=100 from Jan 1949 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 915 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 181.400 2002=100 in Mar 2025 and a record low of 9.900 2002=100 in May 1951. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): Shelter: OA: Mortgage Interest Cost data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Statistics Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.I002: Consumer Price Index: 2002=100.

The Real Estate Investment Trusts industry in Canada has declined in recent years, as solid operational efficiency and a low interest rate environment, which had laid the foundation for growth, have been undermined by the COVID-19 pandemic and interest rate hikes. Prior to 2020, the industry benefited from a low level of revenue volatility backed by a steady stream of income from rentals amid stable economic growth. Long-term rent contracts in commercial segments and the rise of rental rates in the residential product segment enabled the industry to maintain stable growth rates. Overall, industry revenue is expected to have declined at a CAGR of 5.6% to reach an estimated $8.2 billion in 2023, when revenue is expected to decline 8.1%. Continued decline in 2023 can be attributed to rising interest rates, which have inhabited operators from making investments and have dampened demand for property sold by REITs.Industry revenue generally grows in line with the economy and benefits from steady streams of income generated from rent. The overall health of the economy had been sound prior to 2020, which benefited the industry through higher levels of investment to satisfy increasing demand for properties by businesses. A booming housing market in major metropolitan hubs, many of which have experienced elevated rental prices, has underpinned revenue growth in the residential segment. More recent interest rate hikes have raised the cost of capital for industry operators, driving down industry profit.Moving forward, the industry is expected to return to growth, with industry revenue forecast to grow at a CAGR of 2.3% to reach an expected $9.2 billion in 2028. Declining interest rates and an aging population are set to drive growth. Falling interest rates will likely make other investments less attractive, making REITs more valuable. An aging population is expected to keep demand afloat as they are typically attracted to the steady and generally market-beating returns REITs offer.

In April 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 21 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.1 percent in April 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 10.2 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

The Canadian housing market, particularly in major urban centers, has experienced a prolonged period of rapid price appreciation, driven by factors such as low interest rates, strong population growth, and limited supply. According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), the national average house price rose by more than 50% between 2020 and 2022, with prices in some major cities, such as Toronto and Vancouver, increasing by even more. This rapid price growth has made it increasingly difficult for many Canadians to afford a home, especially in the country's most desirable markets. However, the Canadian housing market is starting to show signs of cooling in 2023, as rising interest rates and stricter mortgage lending rules from the government begin to take effect. The CMHC predicts that the national average house price will decline by 7.6% in 2023, with prices in some markets, such as Toronto and Vancouver, expected to fall by even more. This cooling is expected to continue in 2024, with the CMHC predicting a further decline in the national average house price of 3.2%. The long-term outlook for the Canadian housing market is more uncertain, but the CMHC expects that prices will continue to rise, albeit at a more moderate pace. The Canadian housing market is one of the most expensive in the world, with prices in major cities like Toronto and Vancouver soaring to record highs in recent years. This has led to a growing concern about affordability, as many Canadians are being priced out of the market. Key drivers for this market are: Increasing Adoption of Remote and Hybrid Work Model. Potential restraints include: Lack of Privacy. Notable trends are: Pandemic Accelerated Luxury Home Sales in Major Canadian Markets.

Canada SLOS: Household Lending Conditions: Non-Mortgage: Price data was reported at -22.160 % in Jun 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of -26.470 % for Mar 2020. Canada SLOS: Household Lending Conditions: Non-Mortgage: Price data is updated quarterly, averaging -0.355 % from Mar 2017 (Median) to Jun 2020, with 14 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.440 % in Sep 2019 and a record low of -26.470 % in Mar 2020. Canada SLOS: Household Lending Conditions: Non-Mortgage: Price data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.S003: Senior Loan Officer Survey.

Loan administration and cheque cashing services endured mixed results amid economic volatility during the pandemic and the continued effects of high interest rates on Canadian businesses and consumers alike. Canadian consumers' appetite for debt has boosted the industry by sustaining demand for consumer financing, mortgages and cash services for businesses. However, sharp economic volatility in 2020 forced consumers and businesses to shift their borrowing preferences away from traditional banking clients, causing revenue to spike in 2020. While a temporary economic recovery in 2021 caused consumers to revert back to traditional financial norms, the effects of high inflation and interest rates severely influenced how clients pursue their financial goals. Broader growth in core loan vehicles, such as auto loans and mortgages, in 2024 further cemented administrator demand. Nonetheless, continued competition from digital alternatives and external competitors curtailed larger rates of growth, with revenue rising an annualized 3.2% to an estimated $1.8 billion through the end of 2024, including an estimated 2.1% boost in 2024 alone. Profit followed a similar trend, as higher rates of loan demand and lowering of operational expenses facilitated greater profitability for administrators. Canadian GDP growth has largely been driven by trends in consumption. As interest rates spiked in 2023, Canadians have had to alter their spending habits and patterns. The continued upward push of Canadians living paycheck to paycheck further discouraged demand for traditional banks and provided a more diversified revenue stream among younger and underbanked consumers. This reliance on debt to make monthly payments also provides administrators with steady demand for their payday loan offerings. But in an environment where most payday loans made are to consumers with a higher probability of default, mounting household debt runs the risk of insolvency and industry contraction. Additionally, mounting external competition from digital payment platforms undermined administrator demand, with consumers having more opportunities via digital platforms to meet their digital needs. Moving forward, loan administration and cheque cashing services will continue to benefit from uncertainty surrounding interest rates and general economic shakiness among downstream customers. However, anticipated changes in regulations surrounding payday loans and interest rates will enhance compliance costs and curtail profitability. Lastly, increased external competition from commercial banks, credit unions and emerging financial technology companies via payment platforms like Zelle and Venmo will likely put downward pressure on niche services such as cheque cashing, money order issuance, travellers' cheque issuance and payday loans. Revenue is expected to fall an annualized 2.4% to an estimated $1.6 billion through the end of 2029.

Following the drastic increase directly after the COVID-19 pandemic, the delinquency rate started to gradually decline, falling below *** percent in the second quarter of 2023. In the second half of 2023, the delinquency rate picked up, but remained stable throughout 2024. In the first quarter of 2025, **** percent of mortgage loans were delinquent. That was significantly lower than the **** percent during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 or the peak of *** percent during the subprime mortgage crisis of 2007-2010. What does the mortgage delinquency rate tell us? The mortgage delinquency rate is the share of the total number of mortgaged home loans in the U.S. where payment is overdue by 30 days or more. Many borrowers eventually manage to service their loan, though, as indicated by the markedly lower foreclosure rates. Total home mortgage debt in the U.S. stood at almost ** trillion U.S. dollars in 2024. Not all mortgage loans are made equal ‘Subprime’ loans, being targeted at high-risk borrowers and generally coupled with higher interest rates to compensate for the risk. These loans have far higher delinquency rates than conventional loans. Defaulting on such loans was one of the triggers for the 2007-2010 financial crisis, with subprime delinquency rates reaching almost ** percent around this time. These higher delinquency rates translate into higher foreclosure rates, which peaked at just under ** percent of all subprime mortgages in 2011.

The interest rate of business loans in Canada dropped significantly over the early months of 2020, but it soared in 2022 and 2023. In February 2020, the interest rate for business loans was 4.06 percent and it dropped to 2.8 in September 2021. The interest rate remained low until early 2022, when it began to increase at fast-pace. In September 2024, the rate declined by 13 basis points compared to the same period of the previous year.

Home Equity Lending in Canada Market size was valued at USD 181.7 Billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 287 Billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 4.23% from 2025 to 2032.

The Home Equity Lending Market in Canada is driven by rising home values, enabling homeowners to access equity for renovations, debt consolidation, and investments. Low interest rates and flexible lending options, including HELOCs and reverse mortgages, have made home equity loans an attractive financing solution.

Growing consumer demand for alternative credit and financial flexibility is pushing banks and non-bank lenders to expand offerings. Economic factors, such as inflation and cost-of-living increases, are also prompting homeowners to tap into home equity for liquidity and long-term financial planning.