More than ************* mortgage loans are projected to be affected by the increasing mortgage interest rates in Canada by 2025. About *********** of these mortgages are projected to be up for renewal in 2024. These loans were taken out at a time when interest rates were much lower, meaning that homeowners will be affected by a notable increase in their monthly payments.

In 2023, mortgage interest rates in Canada increased for all types of mortgages. The interest rate for fixed mortgage interest rates for five years and more doubled, from 2.38 percent to 5.52 percent between December 2021 and December 2023. The higher borrowing costs led to the housing market contracting in 2022 and corrections of the property prices across the country.

Rates have been trending downward in Canada for the last five years. The ebbs and flows are caused by changes in Canada’s bond yields (driven by Canadians economic developments and international rate movements, particularly U.S. rate fluctuations) and the overnight rate (which is set by the Bank of Canada). As of August 2022, there has been a 225 bps increase in the prime rate, since beginning of year 2022, from 2.45% to 4.70% as of Aug 24th 2022. The following are the historical conventional mortgage rates offered by the 6 major chartered banks in Canada in the past 20 years.

This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 items: Canada ...).

Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): All Items excl Mortgage Interest Cost data was reported at 163.200 2002=100 in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 162.600 2002=100 for Feb 2025. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): All Items excl Mortgage Interest Cost data is updated monthly, averaging 106.000 2002=100 from Dec 1984 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 484 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 163.200 2002=100 in Mar 2025 and a record low of 60.200 2002=100 in Dec 1984. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): All Items excl Mortgage Interest Cost data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Statistics Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.I009: Core Inflation Index.

Evaluate Canada’s best mortgage rates in one place. RATESDOTCA’s Rate Matrix lets you compare pricing for all key mortgage types and terms. Rates are based on an average mortgage of $300,000

Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years data was reported at 6.490 % pa in Apr 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 6.490 % pa for Mar 2025. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 7.395 % pa from Jan 1973 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 628 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 21.750 % pa in Sep 1981 and a record low of 4.640 % pa in Jun 2017. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.M005: Conventional Mortgage Rate.

Mortgage credit interest rate, percent in Canada, March, 2025 The most recent value is 4.39 percent as of March 2025, a decline compared to the previous value of 4.46 percent. Historically, the average for Canada from July 2016 to March 2025 is 3.3 percent. The minimum of 2.32 percent was recorded in February 2022, while the maximum of 4.84 percent was reached in May 2024. | TheGlobalEconomy.com

The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The Canadian home lending market, valued at approximately $XX million in 2025, is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 5% through 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key factors. Firstly, a consistently growing population and increasing urbanization are driving demand for housing, particularly in major metropolitan areas. Secondly, favorable government policies aimed at supporting homeownership, while subject to change, have historically played a crucial role. Thirdly, the prevalence of low-interest rates (though subject to fluctuations) in recent years has made mortgages more accessible to a wider range of borrowers. Finally, the diverse range of lenders, including commercial banks, financial institutions, credit unions, and online lenders, fosters competition and innovation within the market, offering consumers more choice and potentially better rates. However, the market is not without its challenges. Rising interest rates, inflation, and potential economic downturns pose significant risks to the sustained growth trajectory. Furthermore, stricter lending regulations implemented to mitigate risks within the financial system could impact affordability and accessibility for some borrowers. Market segmentation reveals a preference for fixed-rate loans and a growing adoption of online lending platforms, alongside continued reliance on traditional brick-and-mortar institutions. Key players in the market, such as HSBC Bank Canada, Tangerine Direct Bank, and others, compete aggressively to capture market share through varied product offerings and service models. The market’s long-term prospects remain positive, albeit contingent on macroeconomic stability and regulatory shifts. Continued innovation and adaptation by lenders will be crucial in navigating the evolving landscape of the Canadian home lending market. This insightful report provides a deep dive into the dynamic Canadian home lending market, analyzing key trends, growth drivers, and challenges from 2019 to 2033. With a focus on the crucial year 2025 (base and estimated year), this comprehensive study offers invaluable insights for stakeholders across the industry. We leverage data from the historical period (2019-2024) to project the market's trajectory during the forecast period (2025-2033). Keywords: Canadian mortgage market, home equity loans Canada, mortgage rates Canada, online mortgage lenders Canada, Canadian real estate finance. Recent developments include: On March 15, 2022, First Ontario Credit Union announced its merger with Heritage savings & Credit union to offer the best in financial products and services., On February 09, 2022, Hello safe announced a new partnership with Hard bacon, a personal finance application used by more than 35,000 Canadians, this partnership is to leverage Hard bacon's portfolio of comparison tools.. Notable trends are: A Rise in Home Prices Boosting Home Equity Lending Market.

The average mortgage payment in the large and mid-sized cities in Canada ranged between 1,300 Canadian dollars and 2,600 Canadian dollars. In the fourth quarter of the year, Vancouver topped the ranking, with homebuyers paying, on average, ***** Canadian dollars monthly. In Toronto, the average monthly scheduled mortgage payment was ***** Canadian dollars. Canada’s housing market House prices in Canada vary widely across the country. In 2023, the average sales price of detached single-family homes in Vancouver was nearly three times as expensive as the national average. Vancouver is undoubtedly considered the least affordable housing market: In 2023, the cost of buying a home with a **-year mortgage in Canada was approximately ** percent of the median household income, whereas in Vancouver, it was nearly *** percent. Development of house prices The development of house prices depends on multiple factors, such as availability on the market and demand. Since 2005, house prices in Canada have been continuously growing. According to the MSL composite house price index, 2021 measured the highest house price increase.

This table contains 102 series, with data starting from 2013, and some select series starting from 2016. This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 item: Canada), Components (51 items: Total, funds advanced, residential mortgages, insured; Variable rate, insured; Fixed rate, insured, less than 1 year; Fixed rate, insured, from 1 to less than 3 years; ...), and Unit of measure (2 items: Dollars; Interest rate). For additional clarification on the component dimension, please visit the OSFI website for the Report on New and Existing Lending.

The Canadian home lending market, valued at approximately $X million in 2025 (assuming a reasonable market size based on available data and comparable markets), is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 5.00% through 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Increasing homeownership aspirations among Canadians, particularly among millennials and Gen Z, are significantly contributing to market demand. Favorable government policies aimed at supporting affordable housing, though potentially fluctuating, also play a vital role. Furthermore, the rise of innovative financial technologies and the increasing accessibility of online lending platforms are streamlining the borrowing process and broadening market reach. Competition is intense among a diverse range of lenders, including commercial banks (like Bank of Montreal and National Bank of Canada), financial institutions, credit unions (such as PenFinancial and First Ontario), and specialized mortgage providers (like True North Mortgage and IntelliMortgage). This competitive landscape fosters innovation and drives down costs for borrowers. However, the market faces challenges. Rising interest rates represent a significant restraint, impacting affordability and potentially slowing growth. Stringent lending regulations, designed to mitigate risk, can also restrict lending volume to some extent. Furthermore, economic uncertainties and fluctuations in housing prices can influence market sentiment and borrower confidence. Market segmentation shows considerable diversity, with fixed-rate loans maintaining a significant share, alongside growing demand for home equity lines of credit. The rise of online lending is transforming the sector, though offline channels remain important, particularly for complex mortgages or those requiring personalized guidance. The forecast period (2025-2033) presents both opportunities and risks for lenders, requiring strategic adaptation to prevailing economic and regulatory conditions. The continued growth of the market depends upon careful balance between affordable housing options and sustainable financial practices. Recent developments include: On March 15, 2022, First Ontario Credit Union announced its merger with Heritage savings & Credit union to offer the best in financial products and services., On February 09, 2022, Hello safe announced a new partnership with Hard bacon, a personal finance application used by more than 35,000 Canadians, this partnership is to leverage Hard bacon's portfolio of comparison tools.. Notable trends are: A Rise in Home Prices Boosting Home Equity Lending Market.

Canada Conventional Mortgage: 1 Year: Weekly data was reported at 6.090 % pa in 07 May 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 6.090 % pa for 30 Apr 2025. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 1 Year: Weekly data is updated weekly, averaging 3.750 % pa from Jan 2000 (Median) to 07 May 2025, with 1323 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.300 % pa in 31 May 2000 and a record low of 2.790 % pa in 16 Mar 2022. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 1 Year: Weekly data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.M005: Conventional Mortgage Rate.

The share of mortgages in arrears in Canada decreased for the third year in a row in 2022, reaching tan all-time low. As of *************, the rate of mortgage arrears was **** percent, down from **** percent in 2009, when the highest rate was observed. Among the different provinces, the arrears rate was the highest in Saskatchewan at **** percent in *************.

Key information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• Canada Government Benchmark Bonds Yield: Month End: 10 Years was reported at 2.90 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 3.07 % pa in the previous month.
• Canada Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1993 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 9.28 % pa in Jun 1994 and a record low of 0.46 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Bank of Canada.

• In the latest reports, Canada Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills Yield: 3 Months was reported at 2.82 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Target Rate) was set at 3.00 % pa in Feb 2025.
• Canada Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.33 (USD/CAD) in Jun 2023.

Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): Shelter: OA: Mortgage Interest Cost data was reported at 181.400 2002=100 in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 181.100 2002=100 for Feb 2025. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): Shelter: OA: Mortgage Interest Cost data is updated monthly, averaging 87.300 2002=100 from Jan 1949 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 915 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 181.400 2002=100 in Mar 2025 and a record low of 9.900 2002=100 in May 1951. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): Shelter: OA: Mortgage Interest Cost data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Statistics Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.I002: Consumer Price Index: 2002=100.

Canada's inflation rate experienced significant fluctuations from 2018 to 2025. Inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022 before steadily declining to *** percent by December 2024. In early 2025, inflation began to increase again, rising to *** percent in February, and dropping to *** percent in March. In response to rising inflation between 2020 and 2022, the Bank of Canada implemented aggressive interest rate hikes. The bank rate reached a maximum of **** percent in July 2023 and remained stable until June 2024. As inflationary pressures eased in the second half of 2024, the central bank reduced interest rates to *** percent in December 2024. In 2025, the bank rate witnessed two cuts, standing at ***** percent in May 2025. This pattern reflected broader global economic trends, with most advanced and emerging economies experiencing similar inflationary challenges and monetary policy adjustments. Global context of inflation and interest rates The Canadian experience aligns with the broader international trend of central banks raising policy rates to combat inflation. Between 2021 and 2023, nearly all advanced and emerging economies increased their central bank rates. However, a shift occurred in the latter half of 2024, with many countries, including Canada, beginning to lower rates. This change suggests a new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Notably, among surveyed countries, Russia maintained the highest interest rate in early 2025, while Japan had the lowest rate. Comparison with the United States The United States experienced a similar trajectory in inflation and interest rates. U.S. inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022, slightly higher than Canada's peak. The Federal Reserve responded with a series of rate hikes, reaching **** percent in August 2023. This rate remained unchanged until September 2024, when the first cut since September 2021 was implemented. In contrast, Canada's bank rate peaked at **** percent and began decreasing earlier, with cuts in June and July 2024. These differences highlight the nuanced approaches of central banks in managing their respective economies amid global inflationary pressures.

As of the third quarter of 2023, approximately one in four mortgage holders in Canada was between the age of 45 and 54. In comparison, people under the age of 25 with mortgage loan represented the just one percent of the total.

This table contains 80 series, with data starting from 1982 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 item: Canada); Mortgages (4 items: Total, mortgage loans outstanding; Mortgages in Canada outstanding; Mortgage loans outside Canada outstanding; Allowance for credit losses); Increases and decreases (15 items: Total, increases and decreases; Gross increase; Cash disbursement of principal; Purchases of mortgages from; ...); Type of mortgage (7 items: Total, mortgages; Total, residential mortgages; Residential mortgages, insured; Residential mortgages, uninsured; ...).