The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to increase by *** percentage points by 2027, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by *** percentage points. From *** percent in 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach *** percent in 2027.

In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

Graph and download economic data for 15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE15US) from 1991-08-30 to 2025-07-10 about 15-year, fixed, mortgage, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States increased to 6.72 percent in July 10 from 6.67 percent in the previous week. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.

An index that can be used to gauge broad financial conditions and assess how these conditions are related to future economic growth. The index is broadly consistent with how the FRB/US model generally relates key financial variables to economic activity. The index aggregates changes in seven financial variables: the federal funds rate, the 10-year Treasury yield, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate, the triple-B corporate bond yield, the Dow Jones total stock market index, the Zillow house price index, and the nominal broad dollar index using weights implied by the FRB/US model and other models in use at the Federal Reserve Board. These models relate households' spending and businesses' investment decisions to changes in short- and long-term interest rates, house and equity prices, and the exchange value of the dollar, among other factors. These financial variables are weighted using impulse response coefficients (dynamic multipliers) that quantify the cumulative effects of unanticipated permanent changes in each financial variable on real gross domestic product (GDP) growth over the subsequent year. The resulting index is named Financial Conditions Impulse on Growth (FCI-G). One appealing feature of the FCI-G is that its movements can be used to measure whether financial conditions have tightened or loosened, to summarize how changes in financial conditions are associated with real GDP growth over the following year, or both.

Key information about New Zealand Long Term Interest Rate

• New Zealand Government Bond Yield: 10 Years was reported at 4.58 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 4.55 % pa in the previous month.
• New Zealand Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1985 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 18.90 % pa in Mar 1986 and a record low of 0.46 % pa in Sep 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

CEIC calculates monthly Long Term Interest Rate from daily 10 year Government Bond Yield. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand provides 10 year Treasury Bond Yield. Long Term Interest Rate prior to March 1985 is sourced directly from Reserve Bank of New Zealand.. The ten-year benchmark for New Zealand Government bonds with a fixed interest coupon paid semi-annually in arrears. The bonds are redeemable at par on maturity.


Related information about New Zealand Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, New Zealand Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: New Zealand: Bank Accepted Bills: 90 Days was reported at 5.71 % pa in Jun 2023.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: New Zealand: Official Cash Rate) was set at 5.50 % pa in Jun 2023.
• New Zealand Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.63 (USD/NZD) in Jun 2023.

The U.S. bank prime loan rate has undergone significant fluctuations over the past three decades, reflecting broader economic trends and monetary policy decisions. From a high of **** percent in 1990, the rate has seen periods of decline, stability, and recent increases. As of May 2025, the prime rate stood at *** percent, marking a notable rise from the historic lows seen in the early 2020s. Federal Reserve's impact on lending rates The prime rate's trajectory closely mirrors changes in the federal funds rate, which serves as a key benchmark for the U.S. financial system. In 2023, the Federal Reserve implemented a series of rate hikes, pushing the federal funds target range to 5.25-5.5 percent by year-end. This aggressive monetary tightening was aimed at combating rising inflation, and its effects rippled through various lending rates, including the prime rate. Long-term investment outlook While short-term rates have risen, long-term investment yields have also seen changes. The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, a benchmark for long-term interest rates, showed an average market yield of **** percent in the second quarter of 2024, adjusted for constant maturity and inflation. This figure represents a recovery from negative real returns seen in 2021, reflecting shifting expectations for economic growth and inflation. The evolving yield environment has implications for both borrowers and investors, influencing decisions across the financial landscape.

Key information about Philippines Long Term Interest Rate

• Philippines Long Term Interest Rate: Month End: Philippines: Treasury Bond Rate: 10 Years was reported at 6.12 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 6.25 % pa in the previous month.
• Philippines Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Sep 1996 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 21.07 % pa in Nov 1997 and a record low of 2.72 % pa in Jan 2021.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by CEIC Data.

The Bureau of the Treasury provides 10 year Treasury Bond Rate. The null values for this series mean that there is no auction on that specific month.


Related information about Philippines Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, Philippines Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bill Rate: 91 Days was reported at 5.38 % pa in Jan 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Lending Facility) was set at 7.00 % pa in May 2024.
• Philippines Exchange Rate against USD averaged 55.89 (USD/PHP) in Jun 2023.

Ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands had a yield of *** percent in 2023, compared to **** percent in 2022. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

The year 2021 saw the peak in issuance of residential mortgage backed securities (MBS), at *** trillion U.S. dollars. Since then, MBS issuance has slowed, reaching *** trillion U.S. dollars in 2023. What are mortgage backed securities? A mortgage backed security is a financial instrument in which mortgages are bundled together and sold to investors. The idea is that the risk of these individual mortgages is pooled when they are packaged together. This is a sound investment policy, unless the foreclosure rate increases significantly in a short amount of time. Mortgage risk Since mortgages are loans backed by an asset, the house, the risk is often considered relatively low. However, the loan maturities are very long, sometimes decades, meaning lenders must factor in the risk of a shift in the economic climate. As such, interest rates on longer mortgages tend to be higher than on shorter loans. The ten-year treasury yield influences these rates, since it is a long-term rate that most investors accept as risk-free. Additionally, a decline in the value of homeowner equity could lead to a situation where the debtor is “underwater” and owes more than the home is worth.

This statistic shows the yield on ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands from 2011 to 2023 with a forecast for 2024 and 2025. In 2023, the long-term interest rate was at *** percent. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

The yield of ten-year government bonds in Belgium have started declining from April 2020 due to the financial unrest caused by the coronavirus outbreak in early March 2020, spending much of 2020 in negative territory. By July 2021, Belgian bond yields had dropped back to a negative value of -0.13 percent, before just creeping into positive territory again in September 2021 with a yield of 0.01 percent. From the beginning of 2022, ten-year yield of Belgian government bonds started to increase and reached 3.06 percent as of June 2023.

A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

Key information about China Long Term Interest Rate

• China Treasury Bond Yield: Interbank: Spot Yield: 10 year was reported at 1.73 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 1.64 % pa in the previous month.
• China Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jul 2008 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 4.63 % pa in Dec 2013 and a record low of 1.64 % pa in Jan 2025.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by National Interbank Funding Center.

Related information about China Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, China Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: SHIBOR: 3 Months was reported at 1.92 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: China: Rediscount Rate) was set at 2.65 % pa in Jun 2023.
• China Exchange Rate against USD averaged 7.16 (USD/RMB) in Jun 2023.

Ten-year government bonds in Belgium had a yield of *** percent in 2023, compared to **** percent in 2022. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

Graph and download economic data for 30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo Mortgage Index (OBMMIJUMBO30YF) from 2017-01-03 to 2025-07-10 about jumbo, 30-year, fixed, mortgage, rate, indexes, and USA.

Treasury plans to sell up to $10 billion of securities per month, subject to market conditions. This is in addition to principal paydowns (currently ranging between $2 and $4 billion per month). If the sales proceeded at the full $10 billion per month, the portfolio would be unwound in whole over approximately one year, depending on future rates of prepayments. If market conditions change and Treasury slows asset sales, it is possible that the unwind will take a longer period of time. Excel data shows the total principal and interest that the Treasury received from purchase to sell off of the MBS securities.

The table below showcases the 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, and 90th percentiles of mortgage rates for each zip code in Coffeen, Illinois. It's important to understand that mortgage rates can vary greatly and can change yearly.

In November 2022, the long-term interest rate of the Netherlands reached a value of approximately 2.35, compared to 2.7 percent in Luxembourg. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

The mortgage interest rate in Germany decreased notably between 2013 and 2022, falling below 1.5 percent. This was part of an overall trend of falling mortgage interest rates in Europe. The mortgage interest rate in Germany has since increased to 3.9 percent in the second quarter of 2024. The German mortgage market In Europe, Germany is the second-largest mortgage market, with a total value of mortgages outstanding amounting to over 1.8 trillion euros. Mortgage loans are one of the oldest bank products. Among the factors that influence mortgage interest rates are inflation, economic growth, monetary policies, the bond market, the stability of lenders, and the overall conditions of the housing market. Mortgage loans The higher cost of borrowing has a significant effect on the market: While the interest rates were at their lowest, mortgage lending was on the rise. In 2023, when the rates reached a 10-year-high, the quarterly gross mortgage lending fell to the lowest value since 2014. Meanwhile, house prices have also increased substantially in recent years. According to the House Price Index in Germany, between 2015 and 2022, house prices increased by over 60 percent.

Key information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• Canada Government Benchmark Bonds Yield: Month End: 10 Years was reported at 2.90 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 3.07 % pa in the previous month.
• Canada Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1993 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 9.28 % pa in Jun 1994 and a record low of 0.46 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Bank of Canada.

Government Benchmark Bond are rates based on actual mid-market closing yields of selected Canada bond issues that mature approximately in the indicated term areas.


Related information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, Canada Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills Yield: 3 Months was reported at 2.82 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Target Rate) was set at 3.00 % pa in Feb 2025.
• Canada Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.33 (USD/CAD) in Jun 2023.