Mortgage rates increased at a record pace in 2022, with the 10-year fixed mortgage rate doubling between March 2022 and December 2022. With inflation increasing, the Bank of England introduced several bank rate hikes, resulting in higher mortgage rates. In September 2023, the average 10-year fixed rate interest rate reached 5.1 percent. As borrowing costs get higher, demand for housing is expected to decrease, leading to declining market sentiment and slower house price growth. How have the mortgage hikes affected the market? After surging in 2021, the number of residential properties sold declined in 2022, reaching close to 1.3 million. Despite the number of transactions falling, this figure was higher than the period before the COVID-10 pandemic. The falling transaction volume also impacted mortgage borrowing. Between the first quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, the value of new mortgage loans fell year-on-year for fourth straight quarters in a row. How are higher mortgages affecting homebuyers? Homeowners with a mortgage loan usually lock in a fixed rate deal for two to ten years, meaning that after this period runs out, they need to renegotiate the terms of the loan. Many of the mortgages outstanding were taken out during the period of record-low mortgage rates and have since faced notable increases in their monthly repayment. About five million homeowners are projected to see their deal expire by the end of 2026. About two million of these loans are projected to experience a monthly payment increase of up to 199 British pounds by 2026.
Mortgage interest rates in the UK were on a downward trend for more than a decade before soaring in 2022. In the second quarter of 2024, the average weighted interest rate stood at 4.8 percent - nearly three times the Interest rate in the fourth quarter of 2021. Mortgage rates also vary depending on the type of mortgage: Historically, fixed rate mortgages with a shorter term had on average lower interest rates. What types of mortgages are there? In terms of the type of interest rate, mortgages can be fixed and variable. A fixed interest rate is simply a mortgage where the rate of repayment is fixed, while a variable rate depends on the lender’s underlying variable interest rate. Furthermore, mortgages could be for a house purchase or for refinancing. The vast majority of mortgages in the UK are fixed rate mortgages for house purchase, and only a small share is for remortgaging. How big is the UK mortgage market? The UK has the largest mortgage market in Europe, amounting to nearly 61 billion euros in gross residential mortgage lending as of the second quarter of 2023. When comparing the total outstanding residential mortgage lending, the UK also ranks first with about 1.9 trillion euros.
The UK House Price Index is a National Statistic.
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This file includes a derived back series for the new UK HPI. Under the UK HPI, data is available from 1995 for England and Wales, 2004 for Scotland and 2005 for Northern Ireland. A longer back series has been derived by using the historic path of the Office for National Statistics HPI to construct a series back to 1968.
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http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Average-prices-2020-03.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=average_price&utm_term=9.30_20_05_20" class="govuk-link">Average price (CSV, 8.9MB)
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Average-prices-Property-Type-2020-03.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=average_price_property_price&utm_term=9.30_20_05_20" class="govuk-link">Average price by property type (CSV, 26.9MB)
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Sales-2020-03.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=sales&utm_term=9.30_20_05_20" class="govuk-link">Sales (CSV, 4.5MB)
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http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/First-Time-Buyer-Former-Owner-Occupied-2020-03.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=FTNFOO&utm_term=9.30_20_05_20" class="govuk-link">First time buyer and former owner occupier (CSV, 5.1MB)
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http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Indices-seasonally-adjusted-2020-03.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=index_season_adjusted&utm_term=9.30_20_05_20" class="govuk-link">Index seasonally adjusted (CSV, 182KB)
http://publicdata.landregistry.gov.uk/market-trend-data/house-price-index-data/Average-price-seasonally-adjusted-2020-03.csv?utm_medium=GOV.UK&utm_source=datadownload&utm_campaign=average-price_season_adjusted&utm_term=9.30_20_05_20" class="govuk-link">Average price seasonally adjusted (CSV, 190KB)
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Data for households in receipt of Support for Mortgage Interest (SMI) loans is available in Stat-Xplore on a quarterly basis.
These quarterly experimental statistics include number of households who are currently in receipt of the support as well as the number who have received SMI loans so far (see the background information and methodology note for an explanation of households).
The statistics are broken down by:
Geography data:
Read the background information and methodology note for guidance on these statistics, such as timeliness and interpretation.
Find further breakdowns of these statistics on https://stat-xplore.dwp.gov.uk/webapi/jsf/login.xhtml" class="govuk-link">Stat-Xplore, an online tool for exploring some of Department for Work and Pensions (DWP’s) main statistics.
Please answer this https://forms.office.com/Pages/ResponsePage.aspx?id=6fbxllcQF0GsKIDN_ob4ww6eQtaLpw1MuH5cgQWx29tUMVE4QkFPVlUxMVM5VllRMDc2REpUWVc5UC4u" class="govuk-link">short survey to help us make the statistics better for you.
We welcome all feedback on the content, relevance, accessibility and timing of these statistics to help us in producing statistics that meet user needs. For non-media enquiries on these statistics email: laura.parkhurst@dwp.gov.uk
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Support for Mortgage Interest statistics are published quarterly. The dates for future releases are listed in the statistics release calendar.
In addition to staff who are responsible for the production and quality assurance of the statistics, up to 24-hour pre-release access is provided to ministers and other officials. We publish the job titles and organisations of the people who have been granted up to 24-hour pre-release access to the latest Support for Mortgage Interest statistics.
August 2024 marked a significant shift in the UK's monetary policy, as it saw the first reduction in the official bank base interest rate since August 2023. This change came after a period of consistent rate hikes that began in late 2021. In a bid to minimize the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Bank of England cut the official bank base rate in March 2020 to a record low of 0.1 percent. This historic low came just one week after the Bank of England cut rates from 0.75 percent to 0.25 percent in a bid to prevent mass job cuts in the United Kingdom. It remained at 0.1 percent until December 2021 and was increased to one percent in May 2022 and to 2.25 percent in October 2022. After that, the bank rate increased almost on a monthly basis, reaching 5.25 percent in August 2023. It wasn't until August 2024 that the first rate decrease since the previous year occurred, signaling a potential shift in monetary policy. Why do central banks adjust interest rates? Central banks, including the Bank of England, adjust interest rates to manage economic stability and control inflation. Their strategies involve a delicate balance between two main approaches. When central banks raise interest rates, their goal is to cool down an overheated economy. Higher rates curb excessive spending and borrowing, which helps to prevent runaway inflation. This approach is typically used when the economy is growing too quickly or when inflation is rising above desired levels. Conversely, when central banks lower interest rates, they aim to encourage borrowing and investment. This strategy is employed to stimulate economic growth during periods of slowdown or recession. Lower rates make it cheaper for businesses and individuals to borrow money, which can lead to increased spending and investment. This dual approach allows central banks to maintain a balance between promoting growth and controlling inflation, ensuring long-term economic stability. Additionally, adjusting interest rates can influence currency values, impacting international trade and investment flows, further underscoring their critical role in a nation's economic health. Recent interest rate trends Between 2021 and 2024, most advanced and emerging economies experienced a period of regular interest rate hikes. This trend was driven by several factors, including persistent supply chain disruptions, high energy prices, and robust demand pressures. These elements combined to create significant inflationary trends, prompting central banks to raise rates in an effort to temper spending and borrowing. However, in 2024, a shift began to occur in global monetary policy. The European Central Bank (ECB) was among the first major central banks to reverse this trend by cutting interest rates. This move signaled a change in approach aimed at addressing growing economic slowdowns and supporting growth.
Mortgage interest rates in Europe soared in 2022 and remained elevated in 2023. In many countries, this resulted in interest rates more than doubling. In Denmark, the average mortgage interest rate rose from 0.67 percent in 2021 to 4.98 percent in 2023. Why did mortgage interest rates increase? Mortgage rates have risen as a result of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate increase. The ECB increased its interest rates to tackle inflation. As inflation calms, the ECB is expected to cut rates, which will allow mortgage lenders to reduce mortgage interest rates. What is the impact of interest rates on homebuying? Lower interest rates make taking out a housing loan more affordable, and thus, encourage homebuying. That can be seen in many countries across Europe: In France, the number of residential properties sold rose in the years leading up to 2021, and fell as interest rates increased. The number of houses sold in the UK followed a similar trend.
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Key information about United Kingdom Long Term Interest Rate
The bulletin presents the latest statistics on the numbers of mortgage and landlord possession actions in the county courts of England and Wales. These statistics are a leading indicator of the number of properties to be repossessed and the only source of sub-national possession information. In addition to monitoring court workloads, they are used to assist in the development, monitoring and evaluation of policy both nationally and locally.
This release contains an additional annex related to coronavirus (COVID-19). This annex provides further detail of the early impact of COVID-19 related actions on possession actions from March 2020. Due to continued recovery, this will be the last time we publish this annex focusing on the Coronavirus period.
A supporting document is included alongside the bulletin with background information on the mortgage court system, policy background, methodology used, a user guide to the data CSVs, and other useful sources of mortgage statistics.
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The FCA and the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA) both have responsibility for the regulation of mortgage lenders and administrators. They jointly publish the mortgage lending statistics every quarter.
Since the beginning of 2007, around 340 regulated mortgage lenders and administrators have been required to submit a Mortgage Lending and Administration Return (MLAR) each quarter, providing data on their mortgage lending activities.
The 10 largest mortgage lenders in the United Kingdom accounted for approximately 81 percent of the total market, with the top three alone accounting for 41 percent in 2023. Lloyds Banking Group had the largest market share of gross mortgage lending, with nearly 36.8 billion British pounds in lending in 2023. HSBC, which is the largest UK bank by total assets, ranked fourth. Development of the mortgage market In 2023, the value of outstanding in mortgage lending to individuals amounted to 1.6 trillion British pounds. Although this figure has continuously increased in the past, the UK mortgage market declined dramatically in 2023, registering the lowest value of mortgage lending since 2015. In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic caused the market to contract for the first time since 2012. The next two years saw mortgage lending soar due to pent-up demand, but as interest rates soared, the housing market cooled, leading to a decrease in new loans of about 100 billion British pounds. The end of low interest rates In 2021, mortgage rates saw some of their lowest levels since recording began by the Bank of England. For a long time, this was particularly good news for first-time homebuyers and those remortgaging their property. Nevertheless, due to the rising inflation, mortgage rates started to rise in the second half of the year, resulting in the 10-year rate doubling in 2022.
Mortgage cases are dealt with in the Chancery division of the High Court, which sits at the Royal Courts of Justice in Belfast. They relate specifically to properties or land owned at least in part with a mortgage. This bulletin provides statistics for cases received (i.e. writs and originating summonses issued), cases disposed and final orders made in respect of mortgages in the Chancery Division of the Northern Ireland High Court for the period October to December 2020 and commentary on trends observed for this quarter in each year from 2007.
This publication can be found in the https://www.justice-ni.gov.uk/publications/nicts-mortgages-action-possession" class="govuk-link">NICTS mortgages: action for possession section of the Department of Justice website.
http://reference.data.gov.uk/id/open-government-licencehttp://reference.data.gov.uk/id/open-government-licence
The FCA and the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA) both have responsibility for the regulation of mortgage lenders and administrators. They jointly publish the mortgage lending statistics every quarter.
Since the beginning of 2007, around 340 regulated mortgage lenders and administrators have been required to submit a Mortgage Lending and Administration Return (MLAR) each quarter, providing data on their mortgage lending activities.
The outstanding value of all residential mortgage loans was £1,655.5 billion at the end of 2023 Q2, 0.4% higher than a year earlier, but the largest decrease on the previous quarter since reporting began in 2007.
The value of gross mortgage advances in 2023 Q2 was £52.4 billion, which was £6.3 billion lower than the previous quarter, and 32.8% lower than in 2022 Q2. This was the lowest observed since 2020 Q2.
The value of new mortgage commitments (lending agreed to be advanced in the coming months) in 2023 Q2 was 26.2% greater than the previous quarter but 26.6% less than a year earlier, at £61.7 billion. This was the first increase and highest value observed since 2022 Q3.
The effective fixed interest rate of new consumer credit in the United Kingdom (UK) reached over nine percent in December 2024. During the first half of 2020, the interest rates for all new household lending declined sharply. However, since July 2020, interest rates for secured and unsecured loans have soared. In the first quarter of 2024, the average interest rates of personal loans in the UK remained relatively stable.
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Bank Lending Rate in the United Kingdom remained unchanged at 8.50 percent in February. This dataset provides - United Kingdom Prime Lending Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
Following the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the number of residential mortgage approvals in the UK plummeted. As the measures eased, the market rebounded, peaking at 157,000 mortgage approvals in November 2020. In 2022 and 2023, mortgage lending declined again as a response to the rising mortgage interest rates and the cooling of the housing market. In September 2024, the number of mortgage approvals exceeded 106,000 - up from about 70,500 in the same month a year ago. The increase indicated a rise in mortgage demand and an improvement in consumer sentiment.
Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in 2024, from less than four percent in many European countries, to as high as 44 percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increase in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2023, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.
Since the start of the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis, many businesses have had to close their doors or have struggled to pay rent. As a result, commercial property landlords suffered loss of income, leading to failure to repay mortgage loans. In 2020, the default rate of commercial real estate mortgages rose to 4.6 percent, which is the highest value observed since the global financial crisis.
The Direct Real Estate Activities industry have come up against numerous headwinds in recent years, ranging from the COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 to the rising base rate environment in the years since, which have inflated borrowing costs for potential buyers. This is a sharp contrast to the ultra-low interest environment seen over the decade following the 2008 financial crisis. Revenue is forecast to fall at a compound annual rate of 4.0% over the five years through 2024 to €588.2 billion, including an anticipated drop of 3.1% in 2024. However, profitability remains strong, with the average industry profit margin standing at an estimated 41.6% in 2024. Central banks across Europe adopted aggressive monetary policy in the two years through 2023 in an effort to curb spiralling inflation. This ratcheted up borrowing costs and hit the real estate sector. In the residential property market, mortgage rates picked up and hit housing transaction levels. However, the level of mortgage rate hikes has varied across Europe, with the UK experiencing the largest hike, meaning the dent to UK real estate demand was more pronounced. Commercial real estate has also struggled due to inflationary pressures, supply chain disruptions and rising rates. Alongside this, the market’s stock of office space isn’t able to satisfy business demand, with companies placing a greater emphasis on high-quality space and environmental impact – properties in many areas aren’t suitable due to their lack of green credentials. Revenue is slated to inch upwards at a compound annual rate of 3.1% over the five years through 2029 to €651.3 billion. Although economic conditions are set to improve in the short term, elevated mortgage rates will continue to weigh on demand for residential property. However, the warehousing market is positioned for solid growth, benefitting from the rise in e-commerce. This is particularly relevant to Poland, which leads the EU warehouse market.
According to a survey conducted among 2,000 adults in the United Kingdom (UK), in December 2023, people were generally pessimistic about the prospects of buying a residential property. Asked whether they think now is the time to buy, approximately 16 percent of respondents said they agree, while 41 percent said they disagree. In contrast, between June 2020 and September 2021, the opposite trend was observed. Some of the reasons had to do with policies introduced in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, such as freeze of the income tax thresholds, extension of the furlough scheme, stamp duty holiday, the mortgage guarantee scheme, and the low mortgage rates.
Mortgage rates in the Netherlands increased sharply in 2022 and 2023, after declining gradually between 2008 and 2021. In December 2022, the average interest rate for new mortgage loans stood at 1.65 percent, and by the end of 2023, it had risen to 4.13 percent. The 10-year interest rate was the lowest, at 2.96 percent; the floating and less than one-year interest rates amounted to 5.13 and 4.62 percent, respectively. In early 2024, mortgage rates decreased notably. Are mortgage rates in the Netherlands different from those in other European countries? When comparing this ranking to data that covers multiple European countries, the Netherlands’ mortgage rate was similar to the rates found in Spain, the United Kingdom, and Sweden. It was, however, a lot lower than the rates in Eastern Europe. Hungary and Romania, for example, had some of the highest mortgage rates. For more information on the European mortgage market and how much the countries differ from each other, please visit this dedicated research page. How big is the mortgage market in the Netherlands? The Netherlands has overall seen an increase in the number of mortgage loans sold and is regarded as one of the countries with the highest mortgage debt in Europe. The reason behind this is that Dutch homeowners were able to for many years to deduct interest paid from pre-tax income (a system known in the Netherlands as hypotheekrenteaftrek). Total mortgage debt of Dutch households has been increasing year-on-year since 2013.
Mortgage rates increased at a record pace in 2022, with the 10-year fixed mortgage rate doubling between March 2022 and December 2022. With inflation increasing, the Bank of England introduced several bank rate hikes, resulting in higher mortgage rates. In September 2023, the average 10-year fixed rate interest rate reached 5.1 percent. As borrowing costs get higher, demand for housing is expected to decrease, leading to declining market sentiment and slower house price growth. How have the mortgage hikes affected the market? After surging in 2021, the number of residential properties sold declined in 2022, reaching close to 1.3 million. Despite the number of transactions falling, this figure was higher than the period before the COVID-10 pandemic. The falling transaction volume also impacted mortgage borrowing. Between the first quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, the value of new mortgage loans fell year-on-year for fourth straight quarters in a row. How are higher mortgages affecting homebuyers? Homeowners with a mortgage loan usually lock in a fixed rate deal for two to ten years, meaning that after this period runs out, they need to renegotiate the terms of the loan. Many of the mortgages outstanding were taken out during the period of record-low mortgage rates and have since faced notable increases in their monthly repayment. About five million homeowners are projected to see their deal expire by the end of 2026. About two million of these loans are projected to experience a monthly payment increase of up to 199 British pounds by 2026.