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The Global Bond Market is Segmented by Type (Treasury Bonds, Municipal Bonds, Corporate Bonds, High-Yield Bonds, Mortgage-Backed Securities, and More), by Issuer (Public Sector Issuers, Private Sector Issuers), by Sectors (Energy and Utilities, Technology, Media and Telecom, Healthcare, Consumers, Industrial, Real Estate and More), and Region. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to increase by *** percentage points by 2027, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by *** percentage points. From *** percent in 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach *** percent in 2027.
Among the factors that influence mortgage interest rates are inflation, economic growth, monetary policies, the bond market, lenders' stability, and the housing market's overall conditions. The mortgage interest rate in Romania fluctuated during the period under observation, with an upward trend from the second quarter of 2017 onwards. The first quarter of 2023 reached the highest value recorded — **** percent; by the fourth quarter of 2024, it dropped to **** percent.
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This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.
Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)
Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)
Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)
Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators
Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles
Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)
Stock price prediction
Portfolio optimization
Algorithmic trading
Market sentiment analysis
Risk management
Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction
Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies
Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models
Students learning about machine learning and financial applications
The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)
Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training
Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data
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This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.
Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)
Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)
Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)
Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators
Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles
Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)
Stock price prediction
Portfolio optimization
Algorithmic trading
Market sentiment analysis
Risk management
Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction
Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies
Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models
Students learning about machine learning and financial applications
The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)
Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training
Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data
Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in 2024, from less than **** percent in many European countries, to as high as ** percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increase in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2023, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.
In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.
The mortgage interest rate in Ireland increased notably in 2023. From 2.77 percent in the fourth quarter of 2022, the rate reached 4.19 percent in the same quarter of 2023. This was part of an overall trend of increasing mortgage interest rates in Europe. Factors that influence mortgage interest rates include inflation, economic growth, monetary policies, the bond market, the stability of lenders, and the overall conditions of the housing market.
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This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.
Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)
Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)
Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)
Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators
Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles
Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)
Stock price prediction
Portfolio optimization
Algorithmic trading
Market sentiment analysis
Risk management
Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction
Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies
Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models
Students learning about machine learning and financial applications
The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)
Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training
Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data
The mortgage interest rate in Germany decreased notably between 2013 and 2022, falling below 1.5 percent. This was part of an overall trend of falling mortgage interest rates in Europe. The mortgage interest rate in Germany has since increased to 3.9 percent in the second quarter of 2024. The German mortgage market In Europe, Germany is the second-largest mortgage market, with a total value of mortgages outstanding amounting to over 1.8 trillion euros. Mortgage loans are one of the oldest bank products. Among the factors that influence mortgage interest rates are inflation, economic growth, monetary policies, the bond market, the stability of lenders, and the overall conditions of the housing market. Mortgage loans The higher cost of borrowing has a significant effect on the market: While the interest rates were at their lowest, mortgage lending was on the rise. In 2023, when the rates reached a 10-year-high, the quarterly gross mortgage lending fell to the lowest value since 2014. Meanwhile, house prices have also increased substantially in recent years. According to the House Price Index in Germany, between 2015 and 2022, house prices increased by over 60 percent.
The mortgage interest rate in Czechia increased between the first quarter of 2017 to its highest in the fourth quarter of 2022. Factors that influence mortgage interest rates are inflation, economic growth, monetary policies, the bond market, the stability of lenders, and the overall conditions of the housing market. In the third quarter of 2024, the average mortgage interest rate in Czechia was 5.12 percent. In 2023, Poland and Hungary were among the countries with the highest mortgage interest rates in Europe.
In 2022, Portugal overturned the sinking mortgage interest rate it had gone through during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. The country did not escape from the overall trend of falling mortgage interest rates observed in Europe during the COVID-19 crisis, which positioned national mortgage interest rates at **** percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. Interest rates as a weapon against inflation Even though interest rates are affected by economic growth, monetary policies, the bond market, the stability of lenders, and the overall conditions of the housing market, inflation currently leads the European Central Bank (ECB)’s decisions regarding them. As inflation had been low in Europe since the 2008 financial crisis, the ECB lowered interest rates in an attempt to promote economic growth. However, the economic difficulties brought up by the coronavirus pandemic and the Russian-Ukrainian war have fueled inflation. To counteract this rise, the ECB increased interest rates. Portugal’s abrupt rise in interest rates on new residential loans from **** percent in 2021 to **** percent in 2023 demonstrates the balanced and calculated act between the two financial indices. High interest rates and low mortgage lending Compared to other European nations, Portugal has a low gross residential mortgage lending. In the third and fourth quarters of 2022, mortgage lending decreased in the country due to rising interest rates and worsening economic conditions, but have increased dramatically until 2024. Despite being in a rising trajectory in terms of outstanding residential mortgage lending since the second quarter of 2021, 2023 registered decreasing figures caused by the same economic contingencies. 2024 shows a different trend, however.
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In the last five years, the mortgage lending sector has seen negative growth. During this period, industry turnover fell by an average of 3.8% per year, meaning that it is expected to amount to 6.5 billion euros in 2024. This nevertheless corresponds to an increase of 3.1% compared to the previous year. As in all sectors dedicated to the provision of financial services, industry turnover, which in this sector is made up of interest and commission income, was negatively impacted by the low level of interest rates. However, the mortgage banks were able to hold their own comparatively well on the market thanks to their favourable refinancing options. Thanks to their comparatively low default risk, Pfandbriefe have become increasingly popular with institutional investors such as insurers in recent years.Industry sales in 2024 will be influenced by the recent increases in the key interest rate by the European Central Bank (ECB). The sector can also build on the high demand for real estate in Germany, which is primarily based on ongoing urbanisation and positive economic growth. The ECB resumed its bond-buying programme in 2020 and expanded it during the coronavirus crisis, allowing real estate banks to refinance themselves at favourable conditions. At the same time, the price of Pfandbriefe has risen thanks to the increased demand for them, which has had a positive impact on this sector. Competition in the market for property loans will remain strong in 2024, meaning that price competition is likely to intensify in the current year.IBISWorld expects industry turnover to increase by an average of 3.4% annually over the next five years, so that it is likely to amount to 7.7 billion euros in 2029. Interest income in particular is expected to increase due to rising interest rates on the capital markets. However, commission income is likely to fall over the next five years as price competition continues to intensify. The search for ways to increase efficiency is likely to lead to an increased reduction in the number of employees.
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The ICE BofA Option-Adjusted Spreads (OASs) are the calculated spreads between a computed OAS index of all bonds in a given rating category and a spot Treasury curve. An OAS index is constructed using each constituent bond's OAS, weighted by market capitalization. The Corporate Master OAS uses an index of bonds that are considered investment grade (those rated BBB or better). When the last calendar day of the month takes place on the weekend, weekend observations will occur as a result of month ending accrued interest adjustments.
This data represents the ICE BofA US Corporate Index value, which tracks the performance of US dollar denominated investment grade rated corporate debt publicly issued in the US domestic market. To qualify for inclusion in the index, securities must have an investment grade rating (based on an average of Moody's, S&P, and Fitch) and an investment grade rated country of risk (based on an average of Moody's, S&P, and Fitch foreign currency long term sovereign debt ratings). Each security must have greater than 1 year of remaining maturity, a fixed coupon schedule, and a minimum amount outstanding of $250 million. Original issue zero coupon bonds, "global" securities (debt issued simultaneously in the eurobond and US domestic bond markets), 144a securities and pay-in-kind securities, including toggle notes, qualify for inclusion in the Index. Callable perpetual securities qualify provided they are at least one year from the first call date. Fixed-to-floating rate securities also qualify provided they are callable within the fixed rate period and are at least one year from the last call prior to the date the bond transitions from a fixed to a floating rate security. DRD-eligible and defaulted securities are excluded from the Index.
ICE BofA Explains the Construction Methodology of this series as: Index constituents are capitalization-weighted based on their current amount outstanding. With the exception of U.S. mortgage pass-throughs and U.S. structured products (ABS, CMBS and CMOs), accrued interest is calculated assuming next-day settlement. Accrued interest for U.S. mortgage pass-through and U.S. structured products is calculated assuming same-day settlement. Cash flows from bond payments that are received during the month are retained in the index until the end of the month and then are removed as part of the rebalancing. Cash does not earn any reinvestment income while it is held in the Index. The Index is rebalanced on the last calendar day of the month, based on information available up to and including the third business day before the last business day of the month. Issues that meet the qualifying criteria are included in the Index for the following month. Issues that no longer meet the criteria during the course of the month remain in the Index until the next month-end rebalancing at which point they are removed from the Index.
When the last calendar day of the month takes place on the weekend, weekend observations will occur as a result of month ending accrued interest adjustments.
Certain indices and index data included in FRED are the property of ICE Data Indices, LLC (“ICE DATA”) and used under license. ICE® IS A REGISTERED TRADEMARK OF ICE DATA OR ITS AFFILIATES AND BOFA® IS A REGISTERED TRADEMARK OF BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION LICENSED BY BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION AND ITS AFFILIATES (“BOFA”) AND MAY NOT BE USED WITHOUT BOFA’S PRIOR WRITTEN APPROVAL. ICE DATA, ITS AFFILIATES AND THEIR RESPECTIVE THIRD PARTY SUPPLIERS DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL WARRANTIES AND REPRESENTATIONS, EXPRESS AND/OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE, INCLUDING WITH REGARD TO THE INDICES, INDEX DATA AND ANY DATA INCLUDED IN, RELATED TO, OR DERIVED THEREFROM. NEITHER ICE DATA, NOR ITS AFFILIATES OR THEIR RESPECTIVE THIRD PARTY PROVIDERS SHALL BE SUBJECT TO ANY DAMAGES OR LIABILITY WITH RESPECT TO THE ADEQUACY, ACCURACY, TIMELINESS OR COMPLETENESS OF THE INDICES OR THE INDEX DATA OR ANY COMPONENT THEREOF. THE INDICES AND INDEX DATA AND ALL COMPONENTS THEREOF ARE PROVIDED ON AN “AS IS” BASIS AND YOUR USE IS AT YOUR OWN RISK. ICE DATA, ITS AFFILIATES AND THEIR RESPECTIVE THIRD PARTY SUPPLIERS DO NOT SPONSOR, ENDORSE, OR RECOMMEND FRED, OR ANY OF ITS PRODUCTS OR SERVICES.
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Key information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate
An index that can be used to gauge broad financial conditions and assess how these conditions are related to future economic growth. The index is broadly consistent with how the FRB/US model generally relates key financial variables to economic activity. The index aggregates changes in seven financial variables: the federal funds rate, the 10-year Treasury yield, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate, the triple-B corporate bond yield, the Dow Jones total stock market index, the Zillow house price index, and the nominal broad dollar index using weights implied by the FRB/US model and other models in use at the Federal Reserve Board. These models relate households' spending and businesses' investment decisions to changes in short- and long-term interest rates, house and equity prices, and the exchange value of the dollar, among other factors. These financial variables are weighted using impulse response coefficients (dynamic multipliers) that quantify the cumulative effects of unanticipated permanent changes in each financial variable on real gross domestic product (GDP) growth over the subsequent year. The resulting index is named Financial Conditions Impulse on Growth (FCI-G). One appealing feature of the FCI-G is that its movements can be used to measure whether financial conditions have tightened or loosened, to summarize how changes in financial conditions are associated with real GDP growth over the following year, or both.
Following the drastic increase directly after the COVID-19 pandemic, the delinquency rate started to gradually decline, falling below *** percent in the second quarter of 2023. In the second half of 2023, the delinquency rate picked up, but remained stable throughout 2024. In the first quarter of 2025, **** percent of mortgage loans were delinquent. That was significantly lower than the **** percent during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 or the peak of *** percent during the subprime mortgage crisis of 2007-2010. What does the mortgage delinquency rate tell us? The mortgage delinquency rate is the share of the total number of mortgaged home loans in the U.S. where payment is overdue by 30 days or more. Many borrowers eventually manage to service their loan, though, as indicated by the markedly lower foreclosure rates. Total home mortgage debt in the U.S. stood at almost ** trillion U.S. dollars in 2024. Not all mortgage loans are made equal ‘Subprime’ loans, being targeted at high-risk borrowers and generally coupled with higher interest rates to compensate for the risk. These loans have far higher delinquency rates than conventional loans. Defaulting on such loans was one of the triggers for the 2007-2010 financial crisis, with subprime delinquency rates reaching almost ** percent around this time. These higher delinquency rates translate into higher foreclosure rates, which peaked at just under ** percent of all subprime mortgages in 2011.
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The global fixed income asset management market size was valued at approximately USD 5.7 trillion in 2023 and is projected to grow to USD 9.3 trillion by 2032, expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% over the forecast period. The growth of this market is primarily driven by the increasing demand for stable and predictable returns in an uncertain economic environment.
One of the significant growth factors for the fixed income asset management market is the aging global population. As more individuals approach retirement age, the demand for fixed income investments that offer stable returns and lower risk compared to equities is increasing. Retirees and near-retirees often prioritize capital preservation and income generation, which fixed income products are well-suited to provide. This demographic trend is particularly prominent in developed countries but is also becoming more relevant in emerging markets as their populations age and accumulate wealth.
Another crucial growth driver is the rising interest rate environment. As central banks around the world shift towards tightening monetary policies to combat inflation, interest rates are gradually increasing. Higher interest rates make newly issued bonds more attractive to investors due to their higher yields. This situation creates opportunities for fixed income asset managers to attract new investments and cater to clients looking for better returns in a higher interest rate environment. Additionally, higher yields can enhance the overall performance of fixed income portfolios, making them more appealing to both institutional and retail investors.
The increasing complexity and diversity of fixed income products is also contributing to market growth. The fixed income market has evolved to include a wide range of instruments beyond traditional government and corporate bonds. Products such as mortgage-backed securities, municipal bonds, and various structured financial instruments offer different risk-return profiles and investment opportunities. This diversification allows asset managers to tailor portfolios to meet specific client needs and preferences, thereby attracting a broader investor base. The development of innovative fixed income products continues to drive growth in this market by expanding the range of investment options available.
In the realm of private equity, the PE Fund Management Fee plays a crucial role in shaping the investment landscape. These fees are typically charged by fund managers to cover the operational costs of managing the fund, including research, administration, and portfolio management. The structure of these fees can vary, often comprising a management fee based on the committed capital and a performance fee tied to the fund's returns. Understanding the intricacies of these fees is essential for investors, as they can significantly impact the net returns on their investments. As private equity continues to grow as an asset class, the transparency and justification of management fees are becoming increasingly important to investors seeking to maximize their returns while ensuring alignment of interests with fund managers.
From a regional perspective, North America remains the largest market for fixed income asset management, driven by the presence of a well-established financial industry, a large pool of institutional investors, and a high level of individual wealth. However, the Asia Pacific region is expected to exhibit the highest growth rate during the forecast period. Rapid economic growth, increasing financial literacy, and a burgeoning middle class are driving demand for fixed income investments in countries such as China and India. Additionally, regulatory reforms aimed at developing local bond markets and attracting foreign investment are further propelling the market in this region.
The fixed income asset management market can be categorized by asset type into government bonds, corporate bonds, municipal bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and others. Each of these asset types offers unique characteristics and appeals to different segments of investors, contributing to the overall growth and diversification of the market.
Government bonds are one of the most significant segments in the fixed income market. Issued by national governments, these bonds are considered low-risk investments due to the backing of the issuing g
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Graph and download economic data for Treasury and Agency Securities: Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS), All Commercial Banks (TMBACBW027NBOG) from 2009-07-01 to 2025-07-02 about mortgage-backed, agency, securities, Treasury, banks, depository institutions, and USA.
The mortgage interest rate in Ireland increased notably in 2023. From **** percent in the fourth quarter of 2022, the rate reached **** percent in the fourth quarter of 2023. In 2024, the rate eased, falling to **** percent in the fourth quarter of the year. This was part of an overall trend of increasing mortgage interest rates in Europe. Factors that influence mortgage interest rates include inflation, economic growth, monetary policies, the bond market, the stability of lenders, and the overall conditions of the housing market.
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The Global Bond Market is Segmented by Type (Treasury Bonds, Municipal Bonds, Corporate Bonds, High-Yield Bonds, Mortgage-Backed Securities, and More), by Issuer (Public Sector Issuers, Private Sector Issuers), by Sectors (Energy and Utilities, Technology, Media and Telecom, Healthcare, Consumers, Industrial, Real Estate and More), and Region. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).