Real interest rates describe the growth in the real value of the interest on a loan or deposit, adjusted for inflation. Nominal interest rates on the other hand show us the raw interest rate, which is unadjusted for inflation. If the inflation rate in a certain country were zero percent, the real and nominal interest rates would be the same number. As inflation reduces the real value of a loan, however, a positive inflation rate will mean that the nominal interest rate is more likely to be greater than the real interest rate. We can see this in the recent inflationary episode which has taken place in the wake of the Coronavirus pandemic, with nominal interest rates rising over the course of 2022, but still lagging far behind the rate of inflation, meaning these rate rises register as smaller increases in the real interest rate.

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The 5% Sample Survey of Building Society Mortgage Completions (BSM) has been in existence since 1965. The Archive holds data from 1974.
Monthly returns, giving detailed information on a nominal 5% sample of all mortgage completions, have been submitted on a voluntary basis by most building societies to the Department of Environment who process the data on a quarterly basis.
The survey results have served as the offical source of statistics on the owner-occupied housing market, providing a wealth of information on mortgage advances, dwelling prices and the characteristics of borrowers and properties.
An increased share of the mortgage market being accounted for by other lenders and a widening range of mortgage products during the 1980s have necessitated change, leading to the BSM being succeeded by the Survey of Mortgage Lenders (SML) in 1992 (see GN: 33254).
An important consideration for users of the data is that the SML figures allow continuity with the BSM survey results to be maintained for a reasonable period.
Main Topics:
Building Society code, date mortgage completed, whether dwelling is wholly or partly occupied by borrower. Mortgage amount, whether solely for purchase of property, period of mortgage, gross rate of interest, repayment method. Purchase price and whether discounted in any way. Location of dwelling, whether new, age of dwelling, type, number of habitable rooms, whether garage, rateable value. Number and sex of borrowers, age of main borrower, basic income, other income, total income, whether applicant previously owner occupier, previous tenure, whether main borrower nominated by LA under support lending scheme.

Costa Rica CR: Real Interest Rate data was reported at 9.193 % pa in 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.017 % pa for 2022. Costa Rica CR: Real Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 9.164 % pa from Dec 1982 (Median) to 2023, with 42 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 17.735 % pa in 1993 and a record low of -32.129 % pa in 1982. Costa Rica CR: Real Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Costa Rica – Table CR.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Real interest rate is the lending interest rate adjusted for inflation as measured by the GDP deflator. The terms and conditions attached to lending rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.;International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files using World Bank data on the GDP deflator.;;

Lebanon: Interest rates on bank credit to the private sector: The latest value from 2019 is 10.51 percent, an increase from 9.1 percent in 2018. In comparison, the world average is 11.43 percent, based on data from 114 countries. Historically, the average for Lebanon from 1982 to 2019 is 18.26 percent. The minimum value, 7.09 percent, was reached in 2015 while the maximum of 44.46 percent was recorded in 1988.

Bhutan: Interest rates on bank credit to the private sector: The latest value from 2023 is 14 percent, unchanged from 14 percent in 2022. In comparison, the world average is 14.19 percent, based on data from 83 countries. Historically, the average for Bhutan from 1982 to 2023 is 14.89 percent. The minimum value, 13.75 percent, was reached in 2009 while the maximum of 17 percent was recorded in 1992.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: Bank lending-deposit interest rate spread : The latest value from 2020 is 6.26 interest rate points, a decline from 6.55 interest rate points in 2019. In comparison, the world average is 6.59 interest rate points, based on data from 93 countries. Historically, the average for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines from 1982 to 2020 is 6.58 interest rate points. The minimum value, 3.88 interest rate points, was reached in 1983 while the maximum of 8.03 interest rate points was recorded in 1993.

Mortgage Rate: Average: First Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data was reported at 5.280 % pa in Jun 2021. This records an increase from the previous number of 5.260 % pa for May 2021. Mortgage Rate: Average: First Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data is updated monthly, averaging 5.260 % pa from Apr 2021 (Median) to Jun 2021, with 3 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5.280 % pa in Jun 2021 and a record low of 5.260 % pa in May 2021. Mortgage Rate: Average: First Time Buyer: Gansu: Lanzhou data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Rong 360 BigData Research Institute. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MA: Rediscount and Lending Rate: Mortgage. contact us
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Lebanon: Bank lending-deposit interest rate spread : The latest value from 2019 is 0.82 interest rate points, a decline from 1.37 interest rate points in 2018. In comparison, the world average is 6.96 interest rate points, based on data from 100 countries. Historically, the average for Lebanon from 1982 to 2019 is 6.98 interest rate points. The minimum value, 0.82 interest rate points, was reached in 2019 while the maximum of 23.12 interest rate points was recorded in 1992.

A tabular presentation of prices, earnings and financial indicators in British Columbia, including CPI; interest, mortgage and exchange rates; wages and household income, 1982 to 2012 with annual percentage changes.

Interactive chart showing the daily 10 year treasury yield back to 1962. The 10 year treasury is the benchmark used to decide mortgage rates across the U.S. and is the most liquid and widely traded bond in the world.

Bhutan's Interest rate spread (lending rate - deposit rate) is 11% which is the 11th highest in the world ranking. Transition graphs on Interest rate spread (lending rate - deposit rate) in Bhutan and comparison bar charts (China vs. Bhutan), (Guyana vs. Solomon Islands vs. Bhutan) are used for easy understanding. Various data can be downloaded and output in csv format for use in EXCEL free of charge.

A tabular presentation of prices, earnings and financial indicators in British Columbia, including CPI; interest, mortgage and exchange rates; wages and household income, 1982 to 2012 with annual percentage changes.

Costa Rica CR: Lending Rate data was reported at 7.335 % pa in 2024. This records a decrease from the previous number of 9.097 % pa for 2023. Costa Rica CR: Lending Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 22.188 % pa from Dec 1982 (Median) to 2024, with 43 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 38.876 % pa in 1991 and a record low of 5.512 % pa in 2021. Costa Rica CR: Lending Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by International Monetary Fund. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Costa Rica – Table CR.IMF.IFS: Lending, Saving and Deposit Rates: Annual.

Honduras HN: Lending Rate data was reported at 19.259 % pa in 2017. This records a decrease from the previous number of 19.332 % pa for 2016. Honduras HN: Lending Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 19.388 % pa from Dec 1982 (Median) to 2017, with 36 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 32.067 % pa in 1997 and a record low of 15.375 % pa in 1988. Honduras HN: Lending Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by International Monetary Fund. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Honduras – Table HN.IMF.IFS: Lending, Saving and Deposit Rates: Annual.

Key information about Australia Long Term Interest Rate

• Australia Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: 10 Years was reported at 4.42 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 4.48 % pa in the previous month.
• Australia Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jul 1969 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 16.50 % pa in Aug 1982 and a record low of 0.80 % pa in Oct 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Reserve Bank of Australia.

Related information about Australia Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, Australia Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Bank Acceptance Bills Rates: 90 days was reported at 4.12 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Cash Target Rate) was set at 4.10 % pa in Feb 2025.
• Australia Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.49 (USD/AUD) in Jun 2023.

Antigua and Barbuda AG: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data was reported at 6.997 % pa in 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 6.645 % pa for 2017. Antigua and Barbuda AG: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 4.624 % pa from Dec 1982 (Median) to 2018, with 37 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.997 % pa in 2018 and a record low of 2.380 % pa in 1988. Antigua and Barbuda AG: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Antigua and Barbuda – Table AG.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Risk premium on lending is the interest rate charged by banks on loans to private sector customers minus the 'risk free' treasury bill interest rate at which short-term government securities are issued or traded in the market. In some countries this spread may be negative, indicating that the market considers its best corporate clients to be lower risk than the government. The terms and conditions attached to lending rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.;International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics database.;;

Saint Lucia LC: Lending Interest Rate data was reported at 8.340 % pa in 2017. This records a decrease from the previous number of 8.473 % pa for 2016. Saint Lucia LC: Lending Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 11.237 % pa from Dec 1982 (Median) to 2017, with 36 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 14.997 % pa in 2003 and a record low of 8.340 % pa in 2017. Saint Lucia LC: Lending Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s St. Lucia – Table LC.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Lending rate is the bank rate that usually meets the short- and medium-term financing needs of the private sector. This rate is normally differentiated according to creditworthiness of borrowers and objectives of financing. The terms and conditions attached to these rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files.; ;

PDLB is a triple whammy on those three themes.ECIP capital: PDLB received $225M of ECIP capital, and the regulators assigned them the lowest possible dividend (0.5%) on this capital for the first year of payments (announced in June). If we assume PDLB continues to pay 0.5% on this preferred and they have a cost of preferred equity of 10%, then we can calculate the value of this $225M liability as just $11M, with the rest a write-up to equity.This adjustment brings P/TBV from 82% to 46%.Thrift conversion dynamics: Ponce converted from a mutual holding company to a stock holding company in January 2022 (second step). PDLB is an unprofitable and under-levered bank. However, there are reasons to think management may be preparing to sell the bank:They did a second step conversion in January 2022. Only the optionality to sell the bank would motivate this step, as the bank didn’t need the capital, and the conversion increases management’s susceptibility to activist investors. This is highly praised by the best stock analysis websites.Management is old: 6/8 members are in their 70s or 80s (including the CEO and Chairman).Together, the Directors and Officers own >2M shares of stock, worth ~$20M. The CEO owns 580,000 shares, worth ~$6M. His total compensation is ~$1.3M (and he'll need to retire soon anyway). Additionally, the CEO and directors will receive a final tranche of ESOP shares in December 2024 that will boost their holdings another ~40%.Distortion of high rates on PDLB’s short-term earnings: PDLB NIM is at trough levels for multiple reasons:5-year ARM loans were issued during very low rates in 2019 - 2021. 5-year treasury yields were between 0.2% and 1.4% during this period, and grew to >4% in September 2022 (where they’ve been ever since). Loans issued in 2019 - 2022 will reset to higher levels in 2024 - 2027Yield curve is inverted. Ponce lends based on the long end of the curve (five-year rates at 4.1%) and funds on the short-end of the curve (brokered deposits come in at ~5.3%). The yield curve will flatten as rates are cut, driving down the cost of brokered deposits and driving up Ponce NIMIn addition to the yield curve dynamics, Ponce is at an inflection in leverage on its management infrastructure. It built out management capabilities for a much larger bank, and is currently seeing decreasing Q/Q non-interest cost, while assets and interest income are growing nicely.IR told me that cost pressures were peaking in 2023, and this has already become true in 1H 2024 results.Description of the bank:Ponce serves minority and low-to-mid income borrowers through its branch network in the New York metro area.Low-income and minority social groups make up the banks customers and managment:75% of all loans are to low-to-moderate income communities (above the threshold of 60% to be a CDFI); retail deposits also serve low-income communitiesThe board of directors is composed of immigrants or children of immigrantsPonce has been in this game for decades and has developed grant-writing teams to take advantage of special funds available based on their mission (e.g. $4.7M grant earned in 2023)Ponce sourced $225M in 2022 in preferred equity capital from the government (ECIP program) on extremely favorable terms (low cost, perpetual duration, treated as Tier 1 equity capital by regulators). They recently reported that for the first year (and I’d be in subsequent years), they’ll pay the lowest possible dividend of 0.5% (the range is up to 2% for the program). This number is inline with the one quoted by the best stock websites.Ponce also receives low-cost corporate deposits that allow other banks to get Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) credit with regulators. These deposits are insured and sticky, and often ~200bps or more below market interest rates.Outside of the ECIP equity and the small-but-growing CRA corporate deposits, the bank doesn’t have a good deposit franchise. The blended total cost of interest-bearing liabilities in 2023 is 4.0%.On the asset side, Ponce’s focus on mortgage lending to lower-income communities is a good niche (and composes 99% of lending). IR explained to me that the board of directors is composed of engaged real estate investors who know intimately the relevant neighborhoods and are involved in credit underwriting. Ponce lends 5/1 and 5/5 adjustable-rate mortgages against single-family (27% of loans), multifamily (30% of loans), and non-residential (18% of loans). Construction (23% of loans) properties are 36-month fixed-rate loans. LTVs on all these segments are ~55% and debt service coverage ratio >1.25x. In the current environment, Ponce is issuing loans at ~9% yield that are likely to experience very low levels of credit losses (my expectation would be 0 - 0.1% per year in annual credit cost). Given 5-year rates (~4%), lending at 9% is very favorable, and likely reflects decreasing competitive intensity in the wake of recent banking turmoil.I’m comfortable projecting very low credit costs because losses from the mortgage portfolio have been substantially zero going back to 2016 and very low going back to 2012 (the first year of available data). Charge-offs seemed to peak in 2013 at 0.7% of outstanding loans (charge-off happen years after delinquencies, so the timing seems reasonable following ‘08/’09). Given the peak of 0.7% and the more common experience of 0.0% charge-offs in Ponce’s mortgages, I’m therefore comfortable mostly ignoring credit cost.The most concerning area with respect to credit costs is the construction book. Although they scaled the construction business in 2023, it's not a new business for PDLB (they've been doing construction loans on the order of ~100M per year since 2017, and on a smaller scale before that). PDLB has not recorded any charge offs on the construction business going back at least 7 years. PDLB had no new delinquencies on this book in 2023 (I.e. from loans made in 2020). They did have some DQNs in 2022, but these have been mostly worked out without charge offs.Regarding the timing of the ramp up in recent quarters, it may be just right: if investors/banks are concerned about charge offs today, that's related to vintages from 2020/2021 (which were also loans issued at much lower rates and might not roll over smoothly). If others are pulling back, that's the time to deploy more capital into the business.The bank is currently very under-leveraged: Tier-1 equity / RWA is 21% (vs. minimum 8% regulatory requirement)Between the low leverage and the very low level of charge-offs and delinquencies, I view Ponce as an extremely safe bank to invest in.Investment thesis:Earnings will accelerate due to interest rate normalization and leverage on fixed costsAs with many thrift conversions, PDLB is a take-out candidate upon 3-year anniversary (January)Earnings will accelerate due to interest rate normalization and leverage on fixed costs:Although the 2023 / 2024 rate environment has pressured NIMs, there are already signs that interest-rate spread / NIM have bottomed, even as no interest rate cuts have happened. Interest rate spreads have leveled out in the past three quarters at ~1.7%. Liabilities have mostly repriced, and from here, tailwinds will be 1) repricing of the 5-year ARMs and 2) interest rate cuts starting in September. NIM will be going up, and will likely recover to historical levels within a couple of years.On the expense side, there was significant concern into the 2023 results about non-interest expense. Compensation and benefits grew by 13% CAGR from 2019 - 2023. Growth was 10% in 2023, showing deceleration but still to a high level. However, based on comments by IR that the bank has built expense infrastructure for a much larger bank, and based on results from 1H 2024, it looks like expenses are more controlled now. Non interest cost was in the 17.0M - 17.9M range for the last four quarters (prior to recently announced Q2). Q2, on the other hand, showed non-interest expense at 16.1M. Meanwhile, interest earning assets continued to grow at ~12% Y/Y. The combination of flat / decreasing costs and double-digit asset growth is very favorable for expense leverage.Additionally, managers have incentives to create shareholder value, especially as they reach retirement age. If Ponce doesn’t slow expense growth, shareholder activists may discover Ponce and pressure management to rationalize or sell the bank.The combination of improving NIM, growth in assets, and flattish expenses should produce much higher EPS in coming quarters, and I think $2 - $2.50 in EPS by 2026 is likely (if the bank isn’t sold).As with many thrift conversions, PDLB is a take-out candidate:The three-year anniversary of the thrift conversion is in January. The board is of retirement age and has healthy incentives to sell the bank. A buyout is likely a home-run from today’s stock price of $10.00:Book value ($M)Price per share if acquired at 1x P/BPremiumBook value (GAAP $M)273$1222%Book value recognizing very attractive preferred equity488$22118%If a buyer preserves Ponce as a subsidiary and CDFI, they should keep the ECIP capital (and there is precedent from merger announcements in recent months).Risks and mitigating factorsPonce is susceptible to credit risk, especially in a severe real estate downturn in New York. However, from what we can see of the wake of 2008/2009 financial crash, realized losses on the portfolio were quite low. Additionally, current credit metrics are pristine. 90-day delinquencies are just 0.5% of loans. Construction loans were the worst performers at 1.6%, followed by (counter-intuitively) owner-occupied at 1.4%. The NYC real estate dynamics affecting NYCB and others appear to be non-issues for PDLB. However it’s worth keeping a close eye on credit metrics.If NYC raises taxes to address budget deficits, it could hurt property prices. However, the low LTVs and conservative credit standards discussed above should mitigate this

美国30年期抵押贷款利率从前一周的6.81%下降至6月26日的6.77%。 本页包含美国30年抵押贷款利率的历史数据图表。

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines VC: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data was reported at 6.064 % pa in 2016. This records a decrease from the previous number of 6.376 % pa for 2015. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines VC: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 4.969 % pa from Dec 1981 (Median) to 2016, with 36 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.376 % pa in 2015 and a record low of 3.500 % pa in 1982. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines VC: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s St. Vincent and the Grenadines – Table VC.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Risk premium on lending is the interest rate charged by banks on loans to private sector customers minus the 'risk free' treasury bill interest rate at which short-term government securities are issued or traded in the market. In some countries this spread may be negative, indicating that the market considers its best corporate clients to be lower risk than the government. The terms and conditions attached to lending rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics database.; ;