In the United States, interest rates for all mortgage types started to increase in 2021. This was due to the Federal Reserve introducing a series of hikes in the federal funds rate to contain the rising inflation. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the 30-year fixed rate rose slightly, to **** percent. Despite the increase, the rate remained below the peak of **** percent in the same quarter a year ago. Why have U.S. home sales decreased? Cheaper mortgages normally encourage consumers to buy homes, while higher borrowing costs have the opposite effect. As interest rates increased in 2022, the number of existing homes sold plummeted. Soaring house prices over the past 10 years have further affected housing affordability. Between 2013 and 2023, the median price of an existing single-family home risen by about ** percent. On the other hand, the median weekly earnings have risen much slower. Comparing mortgage terms and rates Between 2008 and 2023, the average rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage in the United States stood between **** and **** percent. Over the same period, a 30-year mortgage term averaged a fixed-rate of between **** and **** percent. Rates on 15-year loan terms are lower to encourage a quicker repayment, which helps to improve a homeowner’s equity.

The average mortgage interest rate decreased in nearly every country in Europe between 2012 and 2021, followed by an increase in response to inflation. In the fourth quarter of 2024, Poland, Hungary, and Romania topped the ranking as the countries with the highest mortgage interest rates in Europe. Conversely, Belgium, Spain, and Italy displayed the lowest interest rates. The UK, which is the country with the largest value of mortgages outstanding, had an interest rate of **** percent.

Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in 2024, from less than **** percent in many European countries, to as high as ** percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increase in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2023, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.

Fixed 30-year mortgage rates in the United States averaged 6.77 percent in the week ending July 4 of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The USA home loan market is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2025 to 2033. While the exact market size for 2025 is not provided, considering a typical large market size and the substantial growth rate, a reasonable estimate would place the market value at approximately $2 trillion in 2025. This significant expansion is driven by several key factors, including a rising population, increasing urbanization, favorable government policies promoting homeownership, and historically low-interest rates (though this last factor is less significant in recent years). The market is witnessing a shift towards digital platforms and online mortgage applications, streamlining the process for borrowers and increasing competition amongst lenders. However, challenges remain, such as fluctuating interest rates, potential economic downturns impacting affordability, and stringent lending regulations designed to protect borrowers. The competitive landscape is dominated by major players like Rocket Mortgage, LoanDepot, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America, along with regional and independent mortgage lenders. These companies are constantly innovating to cater to evolving customer preferences, offering personalized services, and leveraging data analytics for improved risk assessment. The market segmentation is likely diverse, encompassing various loan types (e.g., fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, FHA, VA loans), loan amounts, and borrower demographics. Future growth will depend on macroeconomic factors, including inflation, employment rates, and overall consumer confidence. Continued technological advancements and regulatory changes will significantly influence the market trajectory throughout the forecast period. Key drivers for this market are: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Potential restraints include: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Notable trends are: Growth in Nonbank Lenders is Expected to Drive the Market.

United States Mortgage Fixed Rate: Mth Avg: 15 Year data was reported at 4.250 % pa in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 4.080 % pa for Sep 2018. United States Mortgage Fixed Rate: Mth Avg: 15 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 5.680 % pa from Sep 1991 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 326 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.800 % pa in Jan 1995 and a record low of 2.660 % pa in Apr 2013. United States Mortgage Fixed Rate: Mth Avg: 15 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, Freddie Mac. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M012: Mortgage Interest Rate.

Mortgage Loan Service Market Outlook

The global mortgage loan service market size was valued at approximately $10.5 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $18.2 trillion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.1% during the forecast period. The growth of this market is driven by the increasing urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and favorable government policies aimed at promoting homeownership across various regions. Additionally, the proliferation of digital banking and fintech solutions has made mortgage services more accessible, further contributing to the market's expansion.

One of the primary growth factors for the mortgage loan service market is the significant rise in housing demand globally. As urban populations swell and economic conditions improve, more individuals and families are seeking to purchase homes, driving the need for mortgage loans. This trend is particularly evident in emerging markets, where urbanization is occurring at an unprecedented rate. Governments are also playing a crucial role by implementing policies and grants to make housing more affordable, thereby boosting mortgage adoption.

Technological advancements are another significant factor propelling the mortgage loan service market. The integration of AI, big data analytics, and blockchain technology has revolutionized the way mortgage services are delivered. These technologies streamline application processes, enhance risk assessment, and improve customer service, making it easier and faster for consumers to secure loans. Fintech companies, in particular, are leveraging these technologies to offer more competitive rates and personalized loan products, thereby attracting a broader customer base.

Furthermore, the increasing participation of non-banking financial institutions (NBFIs) and credit unions has diversified the mortgage loan service market. These entities often provide more flexible and innovative loan products compared to traditional banks, meeting the needs of a more varied clientele. NBFIs and credit unions also tend to have more lenient approval processes, making them an attractive option for individuals with non-traditional income sources or lower credit scores. This diversification is contributing significantly to the market's growth.

Mortgage Loans Software is playing an increasingly pivotal role in the evolution of the mortgage loan service market. As the industry embraces digital transformation, software solutions are being developed to streamline the entire mortgage process, from application to approval. These software platforms facilitate better data management, enhance customer experience, and improve operational efficiency for service providers. By automating routine tasks and providing real-time analytics, Mortgage Loans Software helps lenders make more informed decisions, reduce processing times, and minimize errors. This technological advancement is not only beneficial for lenders but also empowers borrowers by offering them greater transparency and control over their mortgage journey.

Regionally, North America continues to dominate the mortgage loan service market due to its well-established financial infrastructure and high homeownership rates. However, the Asia Pacific region is expected to register the fastest growth during the forecast period, driven by rapid urbanization, rising incomes, and government initiatives aimed at affordable housing. Countries like China and India are particularly noteworthy due to their large and growing middle-class populations.

Type Analysis

The mortgage loan service market is segmented by type into fixed-rate mortgages, adjustable-rate mortgages, interest-only mortgages, reverse mortgages, and others. Fixed-rate mortgages are the most popular type, offering borrowers the stability of a constant interest rate over the life of the loan. This makes them particularly attractive in times of low-interest rates, as borrowers can lock in favorable terms for the long term. The predictability of monthly payments also makes fixed-rate mortgages a preferred choice for many homeowners.

Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) offer lower initial interest rates compared to fixed-rate mortgages, making them an attractive option for borrowers who anticipate an increase in their income or plan to sell their property before the rate adjusts. However, the fluctuating interest rates can pose a risk, especially in volatile economic conditions. Despite this, the flexibility

Exploiting variation in the timing of resets of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), we find that a sizable decline in mortgage payments (up to 50 percent) induces a significant increase in car purchases (up to 35 percent). This effect is attenuated by voluntary deleveraging. Borrowers with lower incomes and housing wealth have significantly higher marginal propensity to consume. Areas with a larger share of ARMs were more responsive to lower interest rates and saw a relative decline in defaults and an increase in house prices, car purchases, and employment. Household balance sheets and mortgage contract rigidity are important for monetary policy pass-through.

30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States increased to 6.72 percent in July 10 from 6.67 percent in the previous week. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.

United States US: Lending Interest Rate data was reported at 3.512 % pa in 2016. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.260 % pa for 2015. United States US: Lending Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 6.922 % pa from Dec 1960 (Median) to 2016, with 57 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.870 % pa in 1981 and a record low of 3.250 % pa in 2014. United States US: Lending Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Lending rate is the bank rate that usually meets the short- and medium-term financing needs of the private sector. This rate is normally differentiated according to creditworthiness of borrowers and objectives of financing. The terms and conditions attached to these rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files.; ;

After a period of record-low mortgage interest rates, the cost of mortgage borrowing in Germany surged in 2022. In 2019, mortgage rates declined notably, falling as low as **** percent in December 2020. This downward trend reversed in 2021, as mortgage rates started to gradually pick up. Five-to-ten-year mortgage loans had the lowest rates in March 2025 at **** percent, while floating rate mortgages up to one year were the most expensive at **** percent. Mortgages with over **-year fixed period – the most popular loan type among homebuyers — had an interest rate of **** percent. Why did mortgage rates in Germany increase? In 2022, the annual inflation rate in Germany experienced a swift rise, prompting the central bank to raise interest rates to counter this surge. The European Central Bank (ECB) is responsible for determining Germany's central bank interest rate. In July 2022, following a prolonged period of stability, the average interest rates in Germany began a steady rise, which persisted consistently thereafter.  This increase is intended to stabilize prices, but it also means higher borrowing costs for those seeking mortgages. Downturn in Germany's home loan borrowing From 2022 onward, the gross residential mortgage lending in Germany fell dramatically. Besides the higher interest rates, the downturn can be explained by the slowed pace of economic growth, which makes individuals and businesses more cautious about big investments such as buying a home. Additionally, the German housing market suffers a chronic undersupply, meaning that homebuyers often struggle to find an affordable home to purchase.

Mortgage interest rates in Czechia have experienced significant fluctuations over the past few years, reaching a peak of nearly six percent in December 2022 before gradually declining. As of March 2025, the interest rate on new mortgages in the country amounted to 4.68 percent, showing a slight decrease from the previous month. This trend in mortgage rates has occurred alongside substantial increases in housing prices. Housing market dynamics The changes in mortgage rates have gone hand in hand with notable shifts in the Czech housing market. Despite the high-interest rates, new mortgage lending reached over 18 million Czech koruna in December 2024, marking a significant increase from the same month in the previous year. This growth in lending has continued despite the steady rise in housing prices, with the house price index reaching 219.9 in the third quarter of 2024. This marks a significant increase from the 2015 baseline, reflecting the ongoing upward trend. The average purchase price per square meter for family houses increasing across the country. In 2023, Prague recorded the highest average price at 111,087 Czech koruna per square meter. Construction sector trends The construction sector in Czechia has shown its response to these market conditions. The index of multi-dwelling building construction fluctuated recently, with 2024 showing a slight decrease to 83.8 index points compared to the previous year. However, regarding non-residential buildings, the construction has been continuously growing since 2018 with hotels and industrial buildings accounting for the majority of new non-residential constructions.

Mortgage interest rates in Europe soared in 2022 and remained elevated in the following two years. In many countries, this resulted in interest rates more than doubling. In the UK, the average mortgage interest rate rose from **** percent in 2020 to **** percent in 2023, before falling to **** in 2024. Why did mortgage interest rates increase? Mortgage rates have risen as a result of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate increase. The ECB increased its interest rates to tackle inflation. As inflation calms, the ECB is expected to cut rates, which allows mortgage lenders to reduce mortgage interest rates. What is the impact of interest rates on home buying? Lower interest rates make taking out a housing loan more affordable, and thus, encourage homebuying. That can be seen in many countries across Europe: In France, the number of residential properties sold rose in the years leading up to 2021, and fell as interest rates increased. The number of houses sold in the UK followed a similar trend.

Mortgage credit interest rate, percent in Jamaica, April, 2025 The most recent value is 7.53 percent as of April 2025, an increase compared to the previous value of 7.5 percent. Historically, the average for Jamaica from January 1996 to April 2025 is 13.02 percent. The minimum of 6.2 percent was recorded in October 2009, while the maximum of 34.71 percent was reached in May 1996. | TheGlobalEconomy.com

In 2022, Portugal overturned the sinking mortgage interest rate it had gone through during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. The country did not escape from the overall trend of falling mortgage interest rates observed in Europe during the COVID-19 crisis, which positioned national mortgage interest rates at **** percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. Interest rates as a weapon against inflation Even though interest rates are affected by economic growth, monetary policies, the bond market, the stability of lenders, and the overall conditions of the housing market, inflation currently leads the European Central Bank (ECB)’s decisions regarding them. As inflation had been low in Europe since the 2008 financial crisis, the ECB lowered interest rates in an attempt to promote economic growth. However, the economic difficulties brought up by the coronavirus pandemic and the Russian-Ukrainian war have fueled inflation. To counteract this rise, the ECB increased interest rates. Portugal’s abrupt rise in interest rates on new residential loans from **** percent in 2021 to **** percent in 2023 demonstrates the balanced and calculated act between the two financial indices. High interest rates and low mortgage lending Compared to other European nations, Portugal has a low gross residential mortgage lending. In the third and fourth quarters of 2022, mortgage lending decreased in the country due to rising interest rates and worsening economic conditions, but have increased dramatically until 2024. Despite being in a rising trajectory in terms of outstanding residential mortgage lending since the second quarter of 2021, 2023 registered decreasing figures caused by the same economic contingencies. 2024 shows a different trend, however.

Mortgage credit interest rate, percent in Hungary, March, 2025 The most recent value is 5.73 percent as of March 2025, an increase compared to the previous value of 5.66 percent. Historically, the average for Hungary from January 2000 to March 2025 is 9.24 percent. The minimum of 4.36 percent was recorded in January 2018, while the maximum of 22.44 percent was reached in January 2000. | TheGlobalEconomy.com

Mortgage Application in the United States increased by 9.40 percent in the week ending July 4 of 2025 over the previous week. This dataset provides - United States MBA Mortgage Applications - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Mortgage rates increased at a record pace in 2022, with the 10-year fixed mortgage rate doubling between March 2022 and December 2022. With inflation increasing, the Bank of England introduced several bank rate hikes, resulting in higher mortgage rates. In May 2025, the average 10-year fixed rate interest rate reached **** percent. As borrowing costs get higher, demand for housing is expected to decrease, leading to declining market sentiment and slower house price growth. How have the mortgage hikes affected the market? After surging in 2021, the number of residential properties sold declined in 2023, reaching just above *** million. Despite the number of transactions falling, this figure was higher than the period before the COVID-19 pandemic. The falling transaction volume also impacted mortgage borrowing. Between the first quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, the value of new mortgage loans fell year-on-year for five straight quarters in a row. How are higher mortgages affecting homebuyers? Homeowners with a mortgage loan usually lock in a fixed rate deal for two to ten years, meaning that after this period runs out, they need to renegotiate the terms of the loan. Many of the mortgages outstanding were taken out during the period of record-low mortgage rates and have since faced notable increases in their monthly repayment. About **** million homeowners are projected to see their deal expire by the end of 2026. About *** million of these loans are projected to experience a monthly payment increase of up to *** British pounds by 2026.

In October 2024, the interest rate for mortgages with an initial rate fixation of five and up to ten years was 3.23 percent. This mortgage rate saw a general increase since the beginning of 2022 until the end of 2023, however started to decline in 2024. Falling mortgage rates might be a reason for the value of new mortgage lending rose in 2024. As borrowing costs increase, taking out a mortgage becomes less affordable for home buyers, also leading to the mortgage market slowing down. What about housing prices in Belgium? On average, a house cost approximately 319,000 euros in Belgium in 2022. Big price differences are observed, however, among the three regions of the country. A house in the French-speaking region of Wallonia is much more expensive on average than a house in the Brussels-Capital Region (the city of Brussels with its surrounding villages). Belgium’s real estate market grows steadily Property transactions in Belgium are affected by the country’s fiscal system. When purchasing a house in Belgium, consumers pay the asking price plus ten (in Flanders) or 12 percent (in Wallonia and the Brussels-Capital Region) in registration rights. This makes buying a house in Belgium a long-term investment and something consumers do not do right away.

Rates have been trending downward in Canada for the last five years. The ebbs and flows are caused by changes in Canada’s bond yields (driven by Canadians economic developments and international rate movements, particularly U.S. rate fluctuations) and the overnight rate (which is set by the Bank of Canada). As of August 2022, there has been a 225 bps increase in the prime rate, since beginning of year 2022, from 2.45% to 4.70% as of Aug 24th 2022. The following are the historical conventional mortgage rates offered by the 6 major chartered banks in Canada in the past 20 years.